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CGIAR ClimBeR Preparatory Meeting in Senegal
25 March 2022, Dakar
ClimBeR – Governance for Resilience (G4R)
Giriraj Amarnath (a.giriraj@cgiar.org)
ClimBeR WP4 Lead
Multiscale governance for transformative adaptation
www.cgiar.org
Why Governance for Resilience ?
• Lack of coping capacity including governance in
climate risk assessment is well documented that
explains the slow progress of resilience
• Issues: Rising climate change impacts due to
multihazards, Institutions in silos; lack of cross scale
collaboration, policy coherence and limited bottom up
approaches for resilient development
• Developing countries will have significant pressure on
increasing population, food and livelihood
insecurity, and conflicts
• This calls for a multiscale governance moving from
incremental to transformative adaptation in promoting
systemic resilience and managing climate risks
3
www.cgiar.org
ClimBeR Target Countries (Risk and Vulnerability)
4
• Multi-hazard risk at country level with high risk and high vulnerabilities namely SOM, AFG,
YEM and others
• ClimBeR target countries have moderate risk with high hazard with low coping capacity and
high vulnerability compare to countries such as Singapore or Japan
www.cgiar.org
Why Senegal?
5
• Senegal with moderate risk with higher
degree of vulnerability and lack of
coping capacity
• Indicators such as governance, resilient
infrastructure are lower
2014
Drought
650,000
people
at
risk
2013
Drought
170,000
people
at
risk
Floods and Droughts in Senegal
Updated
from
ReliefWeb
2012
www.cgiar.org
Terminology and Definitions
• Transformative adaptation - reduce the root causes of vulnerability to climate change in
the long-term by shifting systems away from unsustainable or undesirable trajectories
(O'Brien, 2012; Olsson et al., 2014)
• Polycentric governance - a governance system in which multiple governing bodies
interact to make and enforce rules within a specific policy arena or location (Vincent and
Elinor Ostrom)
• Multilevel stakeholders
• AWARE – Early Warning, Early Action and Early Finance Platform
• ClimaAdapt.Gov – Dashboard for Climate adaptation Governance
6
Overall G4R framework (draft)
7
Multi level
governance for
transformative
adaptation
Loop A: Barriers to cross-level
communication and collaboration
between national and sub-national level
Loop B: ClimBeR augments learnings from the tools
and address a diversity of constraints (e.g. Water
Resilient food system, AWARE, catalyze TA)
Treat the land-
water-food system
as a system
Adopt polycentric
multi-level inclusive
governance & support
inclusive participation
Enable innovation,
new knowledge &
learning
Incorporate
diversity &
redundancy
Ensure system
preparedness
Plan for the long
term & local short-
term nature of
adaptation
Government | NGOs | CBOs | Uni. & Research Org. | FPOs | Donors and Dev. Partners | Private Sector entities
Integrated
approach for
resilient
development
Powerful network
communities & cross-level
interactions (Stakeholder
mapping)
Develop interventions to
catalyze TA in design &
implementation of
responses to CC
Social equity
and sustainable
finance
More than 70% of households
know what the tools are used for
Co-design, Co-produce
& Co-implement -
AWARE &
ClimaAdapt.Gov tools
Anticipating actions to
mitigate risks (water, food,
nutrition & health)
Policy coherence and local-
scale finance and decision
process
Measurable Indicators:
Climate, Markets, Nutrition,
Health and Displacement
Champion of change
to promote multiscale
governance TA
Policy coherence and local-
scale finance and decision
process
Enhanced livelihood resilience,
decrease in conflict, reduce
water & food security
www.cgiar.org
Multiscale polycentric governance (MSG) model: Develop MSG model framework with partners in
ClimBeR countries using bottom-up approaches for adaptation interventions and scaling
implementation.
AWARE Platform: Develop early warning and early action for trigger mechanisms, SOPs to promote
integrated multiscale institutional responses to climate shocks in Senegal, Zambia, Guatemala and
Kenya.
ClimaAdapt.Gov Dashboard: Launch dashboard to empower farmers, communities, and policy
planners to plan and implement bottom-up integrated climate and water risk management
interventions in Philippines and Morocco.
Champions of change: Co-demonstrate the adaptation interventions to advocate polycentric
multiscale governance to target local investments for empowering farmers, including women in
ClimBeR countries.
Governance 4 Resilience (WP 4)
Multiscale governance for transformative adaptation
Kenya Senegal Zambia
Morocco Philippines Guatemala
www.cgiar.org
Innovations
• Multiscale polycentric governance model
• ‘Leave No One Behind’ Indicators
• Early Warning, Early Action, Early Finance (AWARE) platform
• ClimaAdapt.Gov Dashboard
Partners
• Innovation: CGIAR entities, NARS, IPAR, SECNSA, FAO, ANACIM, WFP
• Demand and Scaling: CSE, RUFORUM, SADC, Ministry of Agriculture,
and Ministry of National Development Planning, ASPRODEB*,
African Ministers’ Council on Water (AMCOW)*, UN WFP
Kenya Senegal Zambia
Morocco Philippines Guatemala
Governance 4 Resilience (WP 4)
Multiscale governance for transformative adaptation
*Identified as demand partners only.
www.cgiar.org
WP 4: Multiscale governance for transformative adaptation
10
WP 4 focuses on: 1) develop and integrate bottom-up multiscale polycentric governance frameworks for reducing systemic cascading risks; 2) co-
demonstrate transformative adaptation options with relevant actors to illustrate applicability across scales; and 3) co-develop “champions of change”
to advocate polycentric multiscale governance to target local investments for empowering farmers, including women.
Key Challenges
• Lack of coordination and
collaboration across various actors
for multiscale governance for TA
• Ensuring adaptation responses
meet the aspiration of local level
developments and resilience
building measures
• Lack of inclusive governance
strategies for local people to
receive timely financing before
and after climate shocks
• Inadequate monitoring tool to
assess the progress of climate
adaptation targets and achieve
SDG goals
Intermediary Outcomes
• Bottom up polycentric
governance model
developed
• Integrated framework
“Leave No Behind
Indicators” for polycentric
to facilitate multiscale cross
cutting intervention across
water, energy and food;
• Developed policy guidelines
and ‘champions of change’
among institutions and
people across scale for
transformative adaptation
for wider scaling
Innovations
• Polycentric MSG model
developed for implementing
multiple interventions e.g.
IDT’s (UU, LCSR, National
policies)
• AWARE platform to promote
integrated multiscale
institutional responses to
climate shocks
• ClimaAdapt.Gov to empower
farmers, community and
policy planners to plan and
implement bottom up
integrated climate and water
risk manage. interventions
Partners
• CG Centers
• NARS
• ASPRODEB
• Africa Group of Negotiators
(AGN)
• SADC
• Minister of Green Economy
and Environment;
Agriculture and Planning
Division
• RUFORUM
• African Ministers Council on
Water (AMCOW)
• UN WFP
End of Initiative Outcome (2024)
At least US$ 30 million in new investments made through ClimBeR’s partnerships by 2024, focusing on disadvantaged groups, women, youth, and
vulnerable smallholder farmers that are contributing to building systemic resilience (drawing on WP1 outputs, supported by WP3 policy outputs).
www.cgiar.org
Governance for
Resilience
Data and
Information
Innovation
Integrity and
Transparency
Stakeholder
engagement
Clear roles and
responsibilities
Policy
coherence
Governance 4 Resilience
Water Resilient food system and addressing systemic risks
• Governance data will be collected
across 6 ClimBeR Countries
• 46 questions, distributed into 12
sections will be consulted with
multilevel stakeholders during
participatory dialogue
• Identify multilevel governance
characteristics; quantification of
evidence regarding governance gaps,
and diversity of governance
situations at sub-national level
Modified from Mark Smith et al. 2019 (GCA report)
www.cgiar.org
Early Warning Early Action Early Finance (AWARE)
• AWARE Dashboard supports multiscale, multipartner to equip relevant
decision makers with key information for preparedness, response,
advocacy and resource mobilisation efforts to mitigate and manage
these risks.
• Dashboard supports broad range of key early-warning indicators, and an
accountability framework, which sets out the roles and responsibilities
of key actors in the humanitarian community in ensuring the
mechanism tightens the links between early warnings and response.
Five sets of indicators:
• Climate (rainfall, vegetation coverage/NDVI
and drought/floods)
• Market (cereal prices, livestock prices, Wage
Labor)
• Health (Measles, AWD, Polio and Malaria)
• Nutrition
• Population displacement
Increasing food and nutrition security among vulnerable households
• Thresholds for key set of
indicators for “trigger”
• System “alert” across ministries,
NGOs and local communities
• Contingency planning
• Scalable safety nets
• Accountability for action
Food Insecurity
Outlook
Drought
Outlook
NDMA, MoF
Moderate
Severe
Extreme
Drought Early
Warning &
Declaration
MoA
(DEWC)
Scalability
SOPs
Pre-designed SOPs: i.e.
• District IDSI classification
• Drought severity (intensity and
duration)
• Pop affected
• Land-use classes affected
• % of sown area deviation from
long term
• IPC class
IPC
DEWC, NDMA &
NDMC
www.cgiar.org
ClimaAdapt-Gov Dashboard
• Shows disaster risk and vulnerability indicators and the current level of
SDG’s and NAP’s (spatial and temporal variation)
• Shows resilience indicators for rapid resilience assessment with respect to
disaster risks (using a simplified desktop application)
• Shows Governance models (top-down, bottom-up) and entry points for
implementing interventions for resilience.
➢ Bottom-up methods are better capable of reflecting community
needs and priorities, data variability and contextual differences
make top-down approaches more suitable for standardization of
data and comparison across scales.
➢ Predictive models will be applied to identify the high dependence
of bottom-up approaches on the community inputs
➢ Advocating for bottom-up approaches does not mean that top-
down methods will be dismissed
• Prioritizies local-scale investment needs for enhancing resilience
• Shows the linkages between enhancing resilience and moving towards
SDG/NAP
13
www.cgiar.org
Thank you

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ClimBeR – Governance for Resilience (G4R)

  • 1. CGIAR ClimBeR Preparatory Meeting in Senegal 25 March 2022, Dakar
  • 2. ClimBeR – Governance for Resilience (G4R) Giriraj Amarnath (a.giriraj@cgiar.org) ClimBeR WP4 Lead Multiscale governance for transformative adaptation
  • 3. www.cgiar.org Why Governance for Resilience ? • Lack of coping capacity including governance in climate risk assessment is well documented that explains the slow progress of resilience • Issues: Rising climate change impacts due to multihazards, Institutions in silos; lack of cross scale collaboration, policy coherence and limited bottom up approaches for resilient development • Developing countries will have significant pressure on increasing population, food and livelihood insecurity, and conflicts • This calls for a multiscale governance moving from incremental to transformative adaptation in promoting systemic resilience and managing climate risks 3
  • 4. www.cgiar.org ClimBeR Target Countries (Risk and Vulnerability) 4 • Multi-hazard risk at country level with high risk and high vulnerabilities namely SOM, AFG, YEM and others • ClimBeR target countries have moderate risk with high hazard with low coping capacity and high vulnerability compare to countries such as Singapore or Japan
  • 5. www.cgiar.org Why Senegal? 5 • Senegal with moderate risk with higher degree of vulnerability and lack of coping capacity • Indicators such as governance, resilient infrastructure are lower 2014 Drought 650,000 people at risk 2013 Drought 170,000 people at risk Floods and Droughts in Senegal Updated from ReliefWeb 2012
  • 6. www.cgiar.org Terminology and Definitions • Transformative adaptation - reduce the root causes of vulnerability to climate change in the long-term by shifting systems away from unsustainable or undesirable trajectories (O'Brien, 2012; Olsson et al., 2014) • Polycentric governance - a governance system in which multiple governing bodies interact to make and enforce rules within a specific policy arena or location (Vincent and Elinor Ostrom) • Multilevel stakeholders • AWARE – Early Warning, Early Action and Early Finance Platform • ClimaAdapt.Gov – Dashboard for Climate adaptation Governance 6
  • 7. Overall G4R framework (draft) 7 Multi level governance for transformative adaptation Loop A: Barriers to cross-level communication and collaboration between national and sub-national level Loop B: ClimBeR augments learnings from the tools and address a diversity of constraints (e.g. Water Resilient food system, AWARE, catalyze TA) Treat the land- water-food system as a system Adopt polycentric multi-level inclusive governance & support inclusive participation Enable innovation, new knowledge & learning Incorporate diversity & redundancy Ensure system preparedness Plan for the long term & local short- term nature of adaptation Government | NGOs | CBOs | Uni. & Research Org. | FPOs | Donors and Dev. Partners | Private Sector entities Integrated approach for resilient development Powerful network communities & cross-level interactions (Stakeholder mapping) Develop interventions to catalyze TA in design & implementation of responses to CC Social equity and sustainable finance More than 70% of households know what the tools are used for Co-design, Co-produce & Co-implement - AWARE & ClimaAdapt.Gov tools Anticipating actions to mitigate risks (water, food, nutrition & health) Policy coherence and local- scale finance and decision process Measurable Indicators: Climate, Markets, Nutrition, Health and Displacement Champion of change to promote multiscale governance TA Policy coherence and local- scale finance and decision process Enhanced livelihood resilience, decrease in conflict, reduce water & food security
  • 8. www.cgiar.org Multiscale polycentric governance (MSG) model: Develop MSG model framework with partners in ClimBeR countries using bottom-up approaches for adaptation interventions and scaling implementation. AWARE Platform: Develop early warning and early action for trigger mechanisms, SOPs to promote integrated multiscale institutional responses to climate shocks in Senegal, Zambia, Guatemala and Kenya. ClimaAdapt.Gov Dashboard: Launch dashboard to empower farmers, communities, and policy planners to plan and implement bottom-up integrated climate and water risk management interventions in Philippines and Morocco. Champions of change: Co-demonstrate the adaptation interventions to advocate polycentric multiscale governance to target local investments for empowering farmers, including women in ClimBeR countries. Governance 4 Resilience (WP 4) Multiscale governance for transformative adaptation Kenya Senegal Zambia Morocco Philippines Guatemala
  • 9. www.cgiar.org Innovations • Multiscale polycentric governance model • ‘Leave No One Behind’ Indicators • Early Warning, Early Action, Early Finance (AWARE) platform • ClimaAdapt.Gov Dashboard Partners • Innovation: CGIAR entities, NARS, IPAR, SECNSA, FAO, ANACIM, WFP • Demand and Scaling: CSE, RUFORUM, SADC, Ministry of Agriculture, and Ministry of National Development Planning, ASPRODEB*, African Ministers’ Council on Water (AMCOW)*, UN WFP Kenya Senegal Zambia Morocco Philippines Guatemala Governance 4 Resilience (WP 4) Multiscale governance for transformative adaptation *Identified as demand partners only.
  • 10. www.cgiar.org WP 4: Multiscale governance for transformative adaptation 10 WP 4 focuses on: 1) develop and integrate bottom-up multiscale polycentric governance frameworks for reducing systemic cascading risks; 2) co- demonstrate transformative adaptation options with relevant actors to illustrate applicability across scales; and 3) co-develop “champions of change” to advocate polycentric multiscale governance to target local investments for empowering farmers, including women. Key Challenges • Lack of coordination and collaboration across various actors for multiscale governance for TA • Ensuring adaptation responses meet the aspiration of local level developments and resilience building measures • Lack of inclusive governance strategies for local people to receive timely financing before and after climate shocks • Inadequate monitoring tool to assess the progress of climate adaptation targets and achieve SDG goals Intermediary Outcomes • Bottom up polycentric governance model developed • Integrated framework “Leave No Behind Indicators” for polycentric to facilitate multiscale cross cutting intervention across water, energy and food; • Developed policy guidelines and ‘champions of change’ among institutions and people across scale for transformative adaptation for wider scaling Innovations • Polycentric MSG model developed for implementing multiple interventions e.g. IDT’s (UU, LCSR, National policies) • AWARE platform to promote integrated multiscale institutional responses to climate shocks • ClimaAdapt.Gov to empower farmers, community and policy planners to plan and implement bottom up integrated climate and water risk manage. interventions Partners • CG Centers • NARS • ASPRODEB • Africa Group of Negotiators (AGN) • SADC • Minister of Green Economy and Environment; Agriculture and Planning Division • RUFORUM • African Ministers Council on Water (AMCOW) • UN WFP End of Initiative Outcome (2024) At least US$ 30 million in new investments made through ClimBeR’s partnerships by 2024, focusing on disadvantaged groups, women, youth, and vulnerable smallholder farmers that are contributing to building systemic resilience (drawing on WP1 outputs, supported by WP3 policy outputs).
  • 11. www.cgiar.org Governance for Resilience Data and Information Innovation Integrity and Transparency Stakeholder engagement Clear roles and responsibilities Policy coherence Governance 4 Resilience Water Resilient food system and addressing systemic risks • Governance data will be collected across 6 ClimBeR Countries • 46 questions, distributed into 12 sections will be consulted with multilevel stakeholders during participatory dialogue • Identify multilevel governance characteristics; quantification of evidence regarding governance gaps, and diversity of governance situations at sub-national level Modified from Mark Smith et al. 2019 (GCA report)
  • 12. www.cgiar.org Early Warning Early Action Early Finance (AWARE) • AWARE Dashboard supports multiscale, multipartner to equip relevant decision makers with key information for preparedness, response, advocacy and resource mobilisation efforts to mitigate and manage these risks. • Dashboard supports broad range of key early-warning indicators, and an accountability framework, which sets out the roles and responsibilities of key actors in the humanitarian community in ensuring the mechanism tightens the links between early warnings and response. Five sets of indicators: • Climate (rainfall, vegetation coverage/NDVI and drought/floods) • Market (cereal prices, livestock prices, Wage Labor) • Health (Measles, AWD, Polio and Malaria) • Nutrition • Population displacement Increasing food and nutrition security among vulnerable households • Thresholds for key set of indicators for “trigger” • System “alert” across ministries, NGOs and local communities • Contingency planning • Scalable safety nets • Accountability for action Food Insecurity Outlook Drought Outlook NDMA, MoF Moderate Severe Extreme Drought Early Warning & Declaration MoA (DEWC) Scalability SOPs Pre-designed SOPs: i.e. • District IDSI classification • Drought severity (intensity and duration) • Pop affected • Land-use classes affected • % of sown area deviation from long term • IPC class IPC DEWC, NDMA & NDMC
  • 13. www.cgiar.org ClimaAdapt-Gov Dashboard • Shows disaster risk and vulnerability indicators and the current level of SDG’s and NAP’s (spatial and temporal variation) • Shows resilience indicators for rapid resilience assessment with respect to disaster risks (using a simplified desktop application) • Shows Governance models (top-down, bottom-up) and entry points for implementing interventions for resilience. ➢ Bottom-up methods are better capable of reflecting community needs and priorities, data variability and contextual differences make top-down approaches more suitable for standardization of data and comparison across scales. ➢ Predictive models will be applied to identify the high dependence of bottom-up approaches on the community inputs ➢ Advocating for bottom-up approaches does not mean that top- down methods will be dismissed • Prioritizies local-scale investment needs for enhancing resilience • Shows the linkages between enhancing resilience and moving towards SDG/NAP 13