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September 27, 2011

The Case for Incentives in the U.S.
Corporate Tax Code



Rob Atkinson, President, ITIF
The New Conventional Wisdom: “The Tax Code Should be Neutral”


 The Obama Administration’s Economic Recovery Board report
on tax reform:

   “The combination of a high statutory rate and numerous
   deductions and exclusions results in an inefficient tax
   system that distorts corporate behavior in multiple ways.
   Because certain assets and investments are tax favored, tax
   considerations drive overinvestment in those assets at the
   expense of more economically productive investments.




                                                                 2
Neoclassical Economics Assumes:

 Markets generally get it right

 There are few market failures; and

 The lion’s share of growth comes from allocating goods
and services according to market price signals alone.




                                                           3
Neoclassical Economics Assumes:


Tax incentives distort allocative
efficiency.

The most efficient tax code is one
that is neutral between corporate
decisions – ala 86 Tax Reform Act




                                      4
Innovation Economics Assumes:
 The goal of economic policy is to spur the effective creation of new
goods and services and increased productivity.

 Market forces alone often do not always produce optimal outcomes
and policies to correct for these mismatches can enhance societal
welfare.

As Aleb ab Iorwerth argues, “There is no presumption that distortions
are necessarily welfare-reducing. Distortions that favor the
contributors to long-run growth will be welfare-enhancing.”




                                                                         5
The Case For Tax Incentives


 Key Inputs to U.S. Economic Performance Are Down

  Cap ex growth rates are down

  Expenditures on workforce training are down as share
   of GDP

  Corporate R&D is not growing

  U.S. competitiveness has fallen.
                                                          6
Investments in Fixed Assets is Falling
           Percentage Change in Fixed Asset Investment, by Decade
400%

350%

300%                                                               Manufacturing

250%
                                                                   Total private fixed assets
200%

150%
                                                                   Performing arts and
                                                                   spectator sports
100%

50%                                                                Funds, trusts, and other
                                                                   financial vehicles
 0%

-50%
       1959-1969   1969-1979   1979-1989   1989-1999   1999-2009      Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
0.0
                            5.0
                                  10.0
                                         15.0
                                                20.0
                                                       25.0
            China
        S. Korea
          Cyprus
        Slovenia
         Estonia
     Czech Rep.
          Latvia
      Singapore
          EU-10
        Portugal
        Hungary
       Lithuania
             India
          Austria
            Chile
          Greece
            Japan
        Slovakia
         Finland
       Denmark
      Australia
      Indonesia
          Ireland
               UK
           Brazil
          Mexico
          Poland
           EU-25
    Netherlands
           Turkey
            Spain
      Argentina
         Russia
         Canada
                                                              U.S. Ranks 43rd in Rate of Progress on




        Malaysia
           EU-15
          France
        Germany
         Sweden
        Belgium
          NAFTA
    South Africa
                                                              Innovation-Based Competitiveness (1999-2011)




              U.S.
8




              Italy
U.S. Manufacturing Job Growth Was the
   Worst of A Sample of OECD Nations
100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%                             manuf job growth as share of pop growth -97-
                                2010
30%

20%

10%

 0%                          Correlation between change in manufacturing
                             jobs from 87 to 2005 and total change in
                              employment from 2005 to 2010 was 0.57




                                                                               9
The Case For Tax Incentives

   Can Counter U.S. Corporate Short-Termism

    • As the Business Roundtable reported, “The obsession with short-
      term results by investors, asset management firms, and
      corporate managers collectively leads to the unintended
      consequences of destroying long-term value, decreasing market
      efficiency, reducing investment returns, and impeding efforts to
      strengthen corporate governance.”




                                                                         10
The Case For Tax Incentives

 Most Incentives Are Focused on “Traded Sectors” Where
  Tax Competition Has Large Impact on the Location of
  Economic Activity.

   • 85 percent of the value of the deductions claimed under the
     Domestic Production Deduction are claimed by traded sectors
     such as manufacturing, information technology, or mining.




                                                                   11
Key Incentives

 R&E Credit

 Accelerated Depreciation and Expensing of Capital Equipment
  Investments.

 The Domestic Production Deduction




                                                                12
Thank You
Robert Atkinson
ratkinson@itif.org
Follow ITIF:
    Facebook: facebook.com/innovationpolicy
    Blog: www.innovationpolicy.org
    YouTube: www.youtube.com/user/techpolicy
    Website: www.itif.org
    Twitter: @robatkinsonitif

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The Case for Incentives in the U.S. Corporate Tax Code

  • 1. September 27, 2011 The Case for Incentives in the U.S. Corporate Tax Code Rob Atkinson, President, ITIF
  • 2. The New Conventional Wisdom: “The Tax Code Should be Neutral”  The Obama Administration’s Economic Recovery Board report on tax reform: “The combination of a high statutory rate and numerous deductions and exclusions results in an inefficient tax system that distorts corporate behavior in multiple ways. Because certain assets and investments are tax favored, tax considerations drive overinvestment in those assets at the expense of more economically productive investments. 2
  • 3. Neoclassical Economics Assumes:  Markets generally get it right  There are few market failures; and  The lion’s share of growth comes from allocating goods and services according to market price signals alone. 3
  • 4. Neoclassical Economics Assumes: Tax incentives distort allocative efficiency. The most efficient tax code is one that is neutral between corporate decisions – ala 86 Tax Reform Act 4
  • 5. Innovation Economics Assumes:  The goal of economic policy is to spur the effective creation of new goods and services and increased productivity.  Market forces alone often do not always produce optimal outcomes and policies to correct for these mismatches can enhance societal welfare. As Aleb ab Iorwerth argues, “There is no presumption that distortions are necessarily welfare-reducing. Distortions that favor the contributors to long-run growth will be welfare-enhancing.” 5
  • 6. The Case For Tax Incentives  Key Inputs to U.S. Economic Performance Are Down  Cap ex growth rates are down  Expenditures on workforce training are down as share of GDP  Corporate R&D is not growing  U.S. competitiveness has fallen. 6
  • 7. Investments in Fixed Assets is Falling Percentage Change in Fixed Asset Investment, by Decade 400% 350% 300% Manufacturing 250% Total private fixed assets 200% 150% Performing arts and spectator sports 100% 50% Funds, trusts, and other financial vehicles 0% -50% 1959-1969 1969-1979 1979-1989 1989-1999 1999-2009 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 8. 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 China S. Korea Cyprus Slovenia Estonia Czech Rep. Latvia Singapore EU-10 Portugal Hungary Lithuania India Austria Chile Greece Japan Slovakia Finland Denmark Australia Indonesia Ireland UK Brazil Mexico Poland EU-25 Netherlands Turkey Spain Argentina Russia Canada U.S. Ranks 43rd in Rate of Progress on Malaysia EU-15 France Germany Sweden Belgium NAFTA South Africa Innovation-Based Competitiveness (1999-2011) U.S. 8 Italy
  • 9. U.S. Manufacturing Job Growth Was the Worst of A Sample of OECD Nations 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% manuf job growth as share of pop growth -97- 2010 30% 20% 10% 0% Correlation between change in manufacturing jobs from 87 to 2005 and total change in employment from 2005 to 2010 was 0.57 9
  • 10. The Case For Tax Incentives  Can Counter U.S. Corporate Short-Termism • As the Business Roundtable reported, “The obsession with short- term results by investors, asset management firms, and corporate managers collectively leads to the unintended consequences of destroying long-term value, decreasing market efficiency, reducing investment returns, and impeding efforts to strengthen corporate governance.” 10
  • 11. The Case For Tax Incentives  Most Incentives Are Focused on “Traded Sectors” Where Tax Competition Has Large Impact on the Location of Economic Activity. • 85 percent of the value of the deductions claimed under the Domestic Production Deduction are claimed by traded sectors such as manufacturing, information technology, or mining. 11
  • 12. Key Incentives  R&E Credit  Accelerated Depreciation and Expensing of Capital Equipment Investments.  The Domestic Production Deduction 12
  • 13. Thank You Robert Atkinson ratkinson@itif.org Follow ITIF: Facebook: facebook.com/innovationpolicy Blog: www.innovationpolicy.org YouTube: www.youtube.com/user/techpolicy Website: www.itif.org Twitter: @robatkinsonitif