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Three steps to better
product decision
making
Colleen Graneto
”If you don’t make a
decision, you still have
made a choice”
-Geddy Lee
Managing products, you
make tons of decisions
every day!
We don’t just want to make decisions, but make the best decision possible with the
information we have at the time
How to make better product decisions?
1. Build your process
2. Decide how much information you need
3. Move quickly!
Colleen Graneto
BUILD YOUR PROCESS
● What’s going on? What’s the context? What’s
at stake?
The decision
Decision
Outcome
Principles
Stakeholders
Data & expertise
Risks
Communication
● What’s the ideal outcome?
The outcome
● What’s important to stay true to your product vision?
Product principles
● Who’s impacted?
Stakeholders
● What information would help make a better decision?
● What info are you missing?
● Who’s perspectives would be valuable? Who are subject matter experts?
Who might disagree?
Data and perspectives?
● What are the various options?
● How do they each play out? Risks, considerations, consequences?
● Play devils advocate
Looking around corners
● How will you share out information and get your team motivated around
what was decided? Entire team has context and understands why the
decision was made, even if they don’t agree with it. Disagree and
commit.
Communication
HOW MUCH INFO?
The 70/40 Rule
Avoid analysis paralysis
4 Star General in the United States Army
Oversaw 28 crises in his military career, over 35 years of service
Reached highest military position in the Department of Defense,
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
Who’s Colin Powell?
> 70% - you waited too long, there’s an opportunity cost
70% - you feel anxious, you know what you don’t know, but trust your intuition
40% - you feel ok, you have some idea, it’s still a toss up
< 40% - you take a gamble, mistakes and bad decisions are made
How much information do you need?
How much risk and urgency?
High Urgency
High Risk
Low Risk
Low Urgency
40%
70%
40%
40%
Vote! What quadrant
would these decisions
fall into?
MOVE QUICKLY
De-risk decisions with
experiments
Lessons learned the hard way
Sourcing
Sourcing
Business
Plan
Research
Market
Sourcing
Business
Plan
Logo &
Name
Research
Market
Sourcing
Business
Plan
Logo &
Name
Photos
Marketing
Materials
Research
Market
Sourcing
Business
Plan
Logo &
Name
Photos
Marketing
Materials
Set Up
Etsy
Shop
Website
Research
Market
Sourcing
Business
Plan
Logo &
Name
Photos
Marketing
Materials
Set Up
Etsy
Shop
Website
Street
Fairs
Research
Market
Sourcing
Business
Plan
Logo &
Name
Photos
Marketing
Materials
Set Up
Etsy
Shop
Website
Street
Fairs
Retail
Stores
Research
Market
Sourcing
Business
Plan
Logo &
Name
Photos
Marketing
Materials
Set Up
Etsy
Shop
Website
Street
Fairs
Retail
Stores
Optimize
Etsy Shop
Research
Market
Sound at all similar to how you
do a product launch?
Sourcing
Business
Plan
Logo &
Name
Photos
Marketing
Materials
Set Up
Etsy
Shop
Website
Street
Fairs
Retail
Stores
Optimize
Etsy Shop
Research
Market
Opportunity sizing
Research
Impact assessment
Product requirements docs
Effort estimates
RICE Framework
Roadmaps
Product
Requirements Docs
High Fidelity
Prototypes
User Stories
Finally get in front of users!
Do we get the results we expect
in the first iteration? …….
Probably not!
And all that planning and
research ….. 😱
Let’s look at it another way ...
Do things that don’t scale!
Experiment
Sourcing
Business
Plan
Logo &
Name
Photos
Marketing
Materials
Set Up
Etsy
Shop
Website
Street
Fairs
Retail
Stores
Optimize
Etsy Shop
Research
Market
1
3
2
4
5
Airbnb Experiences
Managed Marketplace
Merchandising
Merchandising
IMAGINE THE IDEAL OUTCOME
Airbnb goes out and shoots footage and creates merchandising for every experience
FIGURE OUT HOW TO SCALE
Create a ‘formula’ for what types of pictures potential guests want to see, give guidance to hosts
on how to fill this ‘formula’ with content they create on their own
Smart algorithms that choose how to tag host created content, and how to feature content with
a story arch based on the type of experience
How to do things
that don’t scale
How might we …
Learn more about this opportunity in the
fastest, cheapest way possible?
Get creative!
Crazy 8s -- everyone on the team comes up
with 8 answers to that question in ~15 minutes,
share and build on each other’s ideas!
How to make better product decisions
1. Build your process
2. Decide how much information you need
3. Move quickly!
QUESTIONS?
www.linkedin.com/in/colleengraneto

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