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Value chain assessment from an animal health
                 perspective

                     Fred Unger (ILRI)

   CGIAR Livestock and Fish Value Chain Development Team
             Meeting, Nairobi, 5-8 March 2012
 Vet Epidemiology – AH
   – Disease detection, mitigation, prevention & prediction
   – Tools:   Statistics & epidemiological parameters:
              sample size, statistical differences, correlations,
              prevalence‘s, case fatality, odds ratios

   – Challenge:
      • Product flows, drivers, profitability, incentives
      • Variety of stakeholders (people, groups and organisations)
        in livestock production and marketing systems
      • Different perceptions of the same risk
      • May be affected in different ways (traders vs. producers)
      • May react in different ways

                                                                2
VCA from AH perspective – general comments
– Key questions to be answered:


   • Who has most to gain or lose related to mitigation efforts

   • Which processes within the chain carry risk for disease
     spread, what are their relative contributions to overall risk
   • Where are the ‘risk hotspots’(e.g. for disease spread)

   • When in the year are the high risk times (e.g. Ted, Ramadan)

   • Where and when should prevention & control measures be
     targeted (identification of critical control points)?
   • Policy environment (regulation-enforcement)


                                                               3
VCA from AH perspective - Approach
Pig VC Work Vietnam
– Human health risks and economic costs of smallholder pig diseases
– What are the critical points / opportunities for risk management
– Mitigations which benefit small holder pig sector and “poor” consumer

Project site: 2 project sites
              3 VC gradients (rural-rural, rural-peri-urban, peri-urban)


Suggested approach


• Review (Yr 1)
 Rapid assessment (Yr 1)
 In-depth assessment (Yr 1 & 2)
 Interventions (Yr 3 - ...)
 Dissemination (Yr 4 - 5)
                                                                      4
VCA from AH perspective - Approach

 Review (year 1)
   Tools: Official/grey literature & projects
   Outputs: Currently AH constraint – list of important pathogens
            Surveillance, policies
            What has worked and what has not
   Challenge: several hundred pathogens including zoonoses & FBD
            How to reasonable scale it down to 1-3
            Different perception on AH constraints (e.g. Small holder
            versus large scale, latter perhaps favourites by governments)

 Rapid assessment (year 1)
   Tools: FGD, interviews, observations, check list
   Outputs: Diseases of concerns - key AH constraints (reduced to 2-3)
            Description of situation, basic flows and actors involved
            Basic pathways mapped
            First idea on possible intervention opportunities
                                                                  5
VCA from AH perspective - Approach
       In-depth assessment (integrated disease risk and economic survey)
        (year 1 & 2)
          Tools: Cross-sectional, longitudinal, producer + other actors
                   Biological sampling, FGD, questionnaires, check list ...
                   (aligned with Public Health and socio-economics)
          Target: Producers, slaughterhouses (spot check and over time)
                   Veterinary health workers (disease reports)
          Outputs: Disease impact (prevalence, mortality, treatment costs,
            indirect/direct losses...)
                   Detailed risk pathways/risk assessment, control points,
                   Set of promising interventions (Having in mind what worked
                   and what has not)

       Interventions (Yr 3 onwards)
           Set of intervention packages
           Randomised control trials aligned WTP, WTC
 •                                                                     6
VCA from AH perspective
         Pig VC Vietnam - Challenges

Different constraints - different actors involved & perceptions

    – Production constraints

    Feed supply (input sector and producer)

    Production disease (producer, life animal trader, input system)
    – Zoonoses                   )       However, perhaps not

    From farm to fork            )       attractive for producer,
    – FBD                        )       as productivity still

    Entire chain, farm to fork   )       reasonable

    (input sector/producer) – slaughterhouse - trader – consumer

                                                                 7

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Value chain assessment from an animal health perspective

  • 1. Value chain assessment from an animal health perspective Fred Unger (ILRI) CGIAR Livestock and Fish Value Chain Development Team Meeting, Nairobi, 5-8 March 2012
  • 2.  Vet Epidemiology – AH – Disease detection, mitigation, prevention & prediction – Tools: Statistics & epidemiological parameters: sample size, statistical differences, correlations, prevalence‘s, case fatality, odds ratios – Challenge: • Product flows, drivers, profitability, incentives • Variety of stakeholders (people, groups and organisations) in livestock production and marketing systems • Different perceptions of the same risk • May be affected in different ways (traders vs. producers) • May react in different ways 2
  • 3. VCA from AH perspective – general comments – Key questions to be answered: • Who has most to gain or lose related to mitigation efforts • Which processes within the chain carry risk for disease spread, what are their relative contributions to overall risk • Where are the ‘risk hotspots’(e.g. for disease spread) • When in the year are the high risk times (e.g. Ted, Ramadan) • Where and when should prevention & control measures be targeted (identification of critical control points)? • Policy environment (regulation-enforcement) 3
  • 4. VCA from AH perspective - Approach Pig VC Work Vietnam – Human health risks and economic costs of smallholder pig diseases – What are the critical points / opportunities for risk management – Mitigations which benefit small holder pig sector and “poor” consumer Project site: 2 project sites 3 VC gradients (rural-rural, rural-peri-urban, peri-urban) Suggested approach • Review (Yr 1)  Rapid assessment (Yr 1)  In-depth assessment (Yr 1 & 2)  Interventions (Yr 3 - ...)  Dissemination (Yr 4 - 5) 4
  • 5. VCA from AH perspective - Approach  Review (year 1) Tools: Official/grey literature & projects Outputs: Currently AH constraint – list of important pathogens Surveillance, policies What has worked and what has not Challenge: several hundred pathogens including zoonoses & FBD How to reasonable scale it down to 1-3 Different perception on AH constraints (e.g. Small holder versus large scale, latter perhaps favourites by governments)  Rapid assessment (year 1) Tools: FGD, interviews, observations, check list Outputs: Diseases of concerns - key AH constraints (reduced to 2-3) Description of situation, basic flows and actors involved Basic pathways mapped First idea on possible intervention opportunities 5
  • 6. VCA from AH perspective - Approach  In-depth assessment (integrated disease risk and economic survey) (year 1 & 2) Tools: Cross-sectional, longitudinal, producer + other actors Biological sampling, FGD, questionnaires, check list ... (aligned with Public Health and socio-economics) Target: Producers, slaughterhouses (spot check and over time) Veterinary health workers (disease reports) Outputs: Disease impact (prevalence, mortality, treatment costs, indirect/direct losses...) Detailed risk pathways/risk assessment, control points, Set of promising interventions (Having in mind what worked and what has not)  Interventions (Yr 3 onwards)  Set of intervention packages  Randomised control trials aligned WTP, WTC  • 6
  • 7. VCA from AH perspective Pig VC Vietnam - Challenges Different constraints - different actors involved & perceptions – Production constraints Feed supply (input sector and producer) Production disease (producer, life animal trader, input system) – Zoonoses ) However, perhaps not From farm to fork ) attractive for producer, – FBD ) as productivity still Entire chain, farm to fork ) reasonable (input sector/producer) – slaughterhouse - trader – consumer 7