Keynote Address by Modibo Traore (FAO) at the ILRI@40 Conference on livestock-based options for sustainable food and nutritional security, economic well-being and healthy lives, Nairobi, Kenya, 1 October 2014
Rising Above_ Dubai Floods and the Fortitude of Dubai International Airport.pdf
Why invest in livestock-based options for livelihoods, healthy lives and a sustainable environment?
1. Why invest in livestock-based options
for livelihoods, healthy lives and a
sustainable environment ?
Modibo Tiemoko TRAORE (FAO)
Keynote Address at the ILRI@40 Conference on
livestock-based options for sustainable food and
nutritional security, economic well-being and
healthy lives, Nairobi, Kenya, 1 October 2014
2. OUTLINE
• LIVESTOCK CONTRIBUTION TO GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY
• LIVESTOCK SECTOR IN THE ECONOMY OF AFRICAN COUNTRIES
• INVESTING TO ADDRESS CHALLENGES FOR AN ENHANCED
CONTRIBUTION OF LIVESTOCK SUB SECTOR TO FOOD SECURITY
PROGRAMS AND SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE
REGION
• ROLE OF LIVESTOCK RESEARCH IN PROMOTING INVESTMENTS
3. Prevalence of undernourishment
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
world developed
regions
developing
regions
Africa Asia Latin
America
1990-92
2005-07
2012-14
From: FAO 2014. The state of food insecurity in the World
4. Hunger distribution 2012/2014
• Developed regions 01.8%
• Southern Asia 34.3%
• SSA (214M) 26.6%
• LAC 04.6%
• SE Asia 07.9%
• Western Asia 02.3%
From: FAO 2014. The state of food insecurity in the World
5. CONTRIBUTION OF LIVESTOCK SECTOR
Development
stage
%agric in
GDP
%livestock in
agric GDP
Demand for
livestock products
Smallholder roles
Agricultural 30-50 15-45 Rural and urban
poor – small
quantities
Smallholders
competitive;
informal markets
Transforming 15-25 18-50 Increased quantity
demanded
Urbanized 6-9 30-50 Quantity but
especially quality
demands
Complex value
chains; vertical
coordination;
smallholders not
competitive unless
where labour and
inputs benefit
6. Average daily consumption per capita of livestock
protein compared to safe level in 2005
• Africa 9.9 17%
• Americas 45.3 78%
• Asia 16.6 29%
• Europe 47.7 82%
• Oceania 56.8 98%
9. By 2050 we will need huge amounts
of cereals, dairy and meat
1bn tonnes more
cereals to 2050
1bn tonnes
dairy each year
460m tonnes
meat each year
10. Various sources:
BMGF, FAO and ILRI
Smallholders still dominate
livestock production in many countries
Region
(definition of
‘smallholder’)
% production by smallholder livestock farms
Beef Chicken
meat
Sheep/goat
meat
Milk Pork Eggs
East Africa
(≤ 6 milking
animals)
60-90
Bangladesh
(< 3ha land)
65 77 78 65 77
India
(< 2ha land)
75 92 92 69 71
Vietnam
(small scale)
80
Philippines
(backyard)
50 35
11. Much of the world’s livestock food comes from
small mixed farms in developing countries
Developing-country
mixed crop-livestock
systems, most of them
smallholders, supply
much of the world’s
livestock products
Herrero et al. 2009
12. INVESTING TO ADDRESS CHALLENGES FOR AN ENHANCED CONTRIBUTION
OF LIVESTOCK SUB SECTOR TO FOOD SECURITY PROGRAMS AND
SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE REGION
• Promoting sustainable intensification of small-holder production
systems to improve availability of and access to animal food
• Promoting decent job creation for Youth upstream and downstream
the production segment to improve productivity, marketing and
processing (food quality and safety)-
• Fighting wide spread malnutrition by promoting sustainable diets
based on strategic introduction of locally produced animal food in
school feeding programs and other public feeding schemes-
• Creating conducive environment to unlock livestock potential in the
Region and reduce reliance on food imports to meet regional
demands in animal products (regional market, extension of
production zones to tsetse infested areas).
Notas do Editor
Food supply – role in Human diet – wealth creation – Externalities and controversies.
Contribution to GDP, employment and trade – Animal productions in the Region and main challenges to increased productivity- Consumption of animal food in the Continent, trends and main challenges to meeting demand..
Safe level 58 g a day
BUSINESS AND LIVELIHOODS IN AFRICAN LIVESTOCK. Investments to overcome information gaps. Livestock data innovation in Africa. February 2014. The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, the World Bank, the International Livestock
Research Institute and the African Union-Interafrican Bureau for Animal Resources. http://www.fao.org/docrep/019/i3724e/i3724e.pdf
Source of data for 2000 – 2030 figures:
FAO. 2011. Mapping supply and demand for animal source foods to 2030. By T.P. Robinson and F.Pozer. Animal Production and Health Working Paper. No. 2. FAO, Rome.
All types of food are needed – diversity of food
Specifically, the world will need:
1 billion tonnes more cereals to 2050
1 billion tonnes dairy products each year
460 million tonnes meat each year
Vietnam
Small Scale Farming with Low Biosecurity 1-2 sows, <20 pigs
Small Scale Farming with Minimum Biosecurity 50-20 sow, <100 pigs
Philippines
Backyard - any farm or household raising at least one head of animal and does not qualify as a commercial farm.
Commercial - if it satisfies at least one of the following conditions:
a) at least 21 heads of adults and zero young
b) at least 41 heads of young animals
c) at least 10 heads of adults and 22 heads of young.