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Inter-epidemic Rift Valley fever virus
seropositivity in an irrigation scheme
in Bura, south-east Kenya
Deborah Mbotha1,2, Bernard Bett1, Salome Kairu-Wanyoike3, Delia Grace1,
Absolomon Kihara1, Martin Wainaina1, Antje Hoppenheit2, Peter-Henning Clausen2
and Johanna Lindahl1,4
1International Livestock Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya
2Institute for Parasitology and Tropical Veterinary Medicine, Freie Universitaet Berlin, Berlin, Germany
3State Department for Veterinary Services, Nairobi, Kenya
4Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden
2
Rift Valley fever: Background
3
Rift Valley fever: Distribution
4
Rift Valley fever: Study aim
Investigate low-level RVFV transmission during an inter-epidemic period (IEP) in
Bura irrigation scheme and evaluate the role of potential risk factors
5
Materials and methods: Study site
Bura irrigation scheme, Tana River County, southeast Kenya
Bura
Chifiri
Husingo
Tana River
6
Materials and methods: Study design
• Longitudinal study – 10 months
• Open sentinel herd – sheep and goats
• Screening of anti-RVFV immunoglobulin IgG antibodies directed against
RVF virus nucleoprotein
• Commercially available ELISA kits from ID Screen® from Idvet (Louis
Pasteur, France)
• Testing done using manufacture’s protocol
• Bura (irrigation scheme) – 139 animals
• Husingo (riverine) – 109 animals
• Chifiri (pastoralism) – 69 animals
7
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Materials and methods: Study design
• Periodic sampling done 6 times
• 3 times during short wet season - Nov-Dec 2014, Jan 2015
• 3 times during dry season – Sept2014, Mar & Jun 2015
• Data analysis
• Generalized linear mixed-effects model (GLM) with binomial family structure in
R 3.2.3
• Account for sample selection method
• Bura & Husingo – not random (from previous study)
• Chifiri - random
• Kaplan-Meier survival analysis
• 2 levels of analyses (outcomes)
• Seroprevalence
• Seroconversion
9
Results: Seroprevalence
• Total 39 (12.3%) animals tested positive during study period
• Varied across sampling sites
• Pastoralist village - 26.1%
• Irrigation and riverine - 8.6% and 8.3% seropositive animals respectively
10
Results: Seroconversion
Seroconversions – 15
• Irrigation villages – 7, spread over 4 months (Dec – Mar)
• Riverine village – 8, all in Jan 2015, (wet season)
• Pastoral village – None
• Incidence rate (new cases per 1000 animals per month) was not significantly
different (p>0.05) between the irrigated (7) and the riverine areas (11)
• Seroconversions significantly higher in wet season between November 2014-
January 2015 than in dry season (OR=71.22, CI= 13.54- 752.15, p=<0.001)
11
Results: Seroconversion
12
Results: Seroconversion
13
Conclusion
Creation and expansion of irrigation schemes in this region
• Establishes more habitats that appear similar to the riverine ecosystem
• RVF incidence
• Potentially contributes in endemic transmission of vector-borne diseases that
naturally occur in similar suitable ecosystems
• Increases risk of local RVFV endemicity
• Policy makers
• Better understanding for vector and RVF prevention and control within
changing environment
14
Acknowledgents
• Dr Anderson Thuo Njau, DVO Bura, Kenya
• Samuel Cheruyiot Tonui, AHA, Bura, Kenya
• John Maigwa Kimani, AHA, Kabete, Kenya
• State Department for Veterinary Services in Kabete, Bura, Garissa
• Dahlem Research School (DRS)
• Institute for Parasitology and Tropical Veterinary Medicine
Financial support
• German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) in Bonn, Germany
• International Livestock Research Institute (ILR), Nairobi, Kenya
• Dynamic Drivers of Disease in Africa Consortium (DDDAC), Nairobi, Kenya
15
Thank you!
Questions?

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Inter-epidemic Rift Valley fever virus seropositivity in an irrigation scheme in Bura, southeast Kenya

  • 1. 1 Inter-epidemic Rift Valley fever virus seropositivity in an irrigation scheme in Bura, south-east Kenya Deborah Mbotha1,2, Bernard Bett1, Salome Kairu-Wanyoike3, Delia Grace1, Absolomon Kihara1, Martin Wainaina1, Antje Hoppenheit2, Peter-Henning Clausen2 and Johanna Lindahl1,4 1International Livestock Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya 2Institute for Parasitology and Tropical Veterinary Medicine, Freie Universitaet Berlin, Berlin, Germany 3State Department for Veterinary Services, Nairobi, Kenya 4Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden
  • 2. 2 Rift Valley fever: Background
  • 3. 3 Rift Valley fever: Distribution
  • 4. 4 Rift Valley fever: Study aim Investigate low-level RVFV transmission during an inter-epidemic period (IEP) in Bura irrigation scheme and evaluate the role of potential risk factors
  • 5. 5 Materials and methods: Study site Bura irrigation scheme, Tana River County, southeast Kenya Bura Chifiri Husingo Tana River
  • 6. 6 Materials and methods: Study design • Longitudinal study – 10 months • Open sentinel herd – sheep and goats • Screening of anti-RVFV immunoglobulin IgG antibodies directed against RVF virus nucleoprotein • Commercially available ELISA kits from ID Screen® from Idvet (Louis Pasteur, France) • Testing done using manufacture’s protocol • Bura (irrigation scheme) – 139 animals • Husingo (riverine) – 109 animals • Chifiri (pastoralism) – 69 animals
  • 7. 7
  • 8. 8 Materials and methods: Study design • Periodic sampling done 6 times • 3 times during short wet season - Nov-Dec 2014, Jan 2015 • 3 times during dry season – Sept2014, Mar & Jun 2015 • Data analysis • Generalized linear mixed-effects model (GLM) with binomial family structure in R 3.2.3 • Account for sample selection method • Bura & Husingo – not random (from previous study) • Chifiri - random • Kaplan-Meier survival analysis • 2 levels of analyses (outcomes) • Seroprevalence • Seroconversion
  • 9. 9 Results: Seroprevalence • Total 39 (12.3%) animals tested positive during study period • Varied across sampling sites • Pastoralist village - 26.1% • Irrigation and riverine - 8.6% and 8.3% seropositive animals respectively
  • 10. 10 Results: Seroconversion Seroconversions – 15 • Irrigation villages – 7, spread over 4 months (Dec – Mar) • Riverine village – 8, all in Jan 2015, (wet season) • Pastoral village – None • Incidence rate (new cases per 1000 animals per month) was not significantly different (p>0.05) between the irrigated (7) and the riverine areas (11) • Seroconversions significantly higher in wet season between November 2014- January 2015 than in dry season (OR=71.22, CI= 13.54- 752.15, p=<0.001)
  • 13. 13 Conclusion Creation and expansion of irrigation schemes in this region • Establishes more habitats that appear similar to the riverine ecosystem • RVF incidence • Potentially contributes in endemic transmission of vector-borne diseases that naturally occur in similar suitable ecosystems • Increases risk of local RVFV endemicity • Policy makers • Better understanding for vector and RVF prevention and control within changing environment
  • 14. 14 Acknowledgents • Dr Anderson Thuo Njau, DVO Bura, Kenya • Samuel Cheruyiot Tonui, AHA, Bura, Kenya • John Maigwa Kimani, AHA, Kabete, Kenya • State Department for Veterinary Services in Kabete, Bura, Garissa • Dahlem Research School (DRS) • Institute for Parasitology and Tropical Veterinary Medicine Financial support • German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) in Bonn, Germany • International Livestock Research Institute (ILR), Nairobi, Kenya • Dynamic Drivers of Disease in Africa Consortium (DDDAC), Nairobi, Kenya