Presented virtually by Laura Cramer at the Chort IX of the AGNES Climate Leadership Program, 22 August 2022 Opening presentation to the decision support tool unit of the Climate Governance, Diplomacy and Negotiations Leadership Program administered by the African Group of Negotiators Expert Support (AGNES).

1. Climate Governance, Diplomacy and Negotiations Leadership Program
Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate
Research for Africa (AICCRA)
Module 6, Unit 2:
Decision support tools
Application in policy, planning and
implementation
Laura Cramer, AICCRA Theme Leader on Policies and Priorities for CSA
Virtual presentation to Cohort IX of the AGNES Climate Leadership Program
22 August 2022

2. Climate Governance, Diplomacy and Negotiations Leadership Program
Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate
Research for Africa (AICCRA)
SESSION
TEAM
WITH MATERIAL FROM
PHILIP THORNTON
TODD ROSENSTOCK
CONSTANCE NEELY
SABRINA CHESTERMAN
ROMY CHEVALLIER
ANDREEA NOWAK
CINIRO COSTA JUNIOR
 LAURA CRAMER, ILRI/AICCRA
Part 1, Introduction
Part 2, Examples
 ARUN KHATRI-CHHETRI, CONSULTANT
 EVAN GIRVETZ, ALLIANCE OF
BIOVERSITY & CIAT

3. Objectives
Understand the range of tools available for helping evaluate adaptation and
mitigation interventions within different agriculture sub-sectors
Recognize different strategies for developing baselines and undertaking
planning under conditions of low data availability
Be familiar with some available tools to generate long-term projections
Be aware of resources for additional information and help from national or
regional partners
Appreciate the need to evaluate trade-offs across different sectors affected
by and contributing to climate change

4. Today’s plan
Session 1
1:30 pm Opening and introductions (AGNES)
1:35 pm Overview of the topic of decision support tools and their uses (Laura Cramer)
2:00 pm Q&A
2:10 pm Bringing results of DSTs into planning processes and addressing socio-economic issues
not covered in data-driven models
2:20 pm Instructions for self-led exercise
2:30pm Session closes
Session 2
4:00 pm Opening, recap of what was covered earlier (Laura)
4:05 pm Feedback on self-led exercise on use of DSTs for decisions making
4:15 pm Example of a DST: gender hotspot mapping in Rwanda (Arun) + Q&A
5:00 pm DST examples for adaptation planning (Evan)
5:45 pm Final Q&A
6:00pm Session closes

5. Key lessons on previous
topics on long-term policy
planning?

6. Hazards, exposure, risk,
vulnerability
Planning, implementation
Aids to decision making
Context

7. IPCC (2014)

8. Godde et al. (2021)

9. Decision support tools

10. Decision support tools
What are they?
Ways of storing,
visualizing and
interpreting data and
information to help
people make decisions
Who builds them?
Anyone who wants to
codify information &
knowledge to
strengthen the scientific
basis of decisions

11. Many tools
available to
supply
different
information
needs
Address uncertainty | Address multiple (competing) objectives | Evaluate the
consequences of certain actions/ pathways | Provide a legitimate process and
Basic analyses
(graphs, maps,
spreadsheets,
reports, GIS);
Impact models
(e.g., ecosystem
models, crop
models, water
resource models,
disease models)
Earth systems
models (e.g., general
circulation models,
climate forecast
models)
Emission calculators (e.g.,
Life Cycle Analysis, GHG
accounting, Carbon sink
accounting tools)
Economic models
(e.g., cost-
effectiveness and
cost-benefit analysis)
Policy simulations (role
play workshops,
computer-based
simulations)
Integrated
assessment models
(climate, energy,
economic, etc.)
Participatory
processes
(stakeholder/
expert elicitation)

13. What kind of decisions might you make based on these maps?
What other info would you need to pair with this?
https://www.icpac.net/seasonal-forecast/

14. “LOST
WITHOUT
INFORMATION”
Insufficient
information,
poor quality
“LOST
IN INFORMATION”
Lots of valuable data,
inadequately
packaged
ADEQUATE
INFORMATIO
N
FOR BETTER
DECISIONS.
Source: https://3st.com/work/big-data-editorial-illustration

15. An example of a theory of change for decision
support tools
StakeHolder Approach to Risk informed and Evidence-based Decision-making - www.worldagroforestry.org/shared

16. Many types of
climate
information
for many user
types and
needs
Emissions reductions scenarios (Rwanda NDC)
Source: https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/NDC/2022-06/Rwanda_Updated_NDC_May_2020.pdf (pg. 3)

17. Many types of
climate
information
for many user
types and
needs
GHG inventory (Rwanda NDC)

18. Many types of
climate
information
for many user
types and
needs
Composite vulnerability in Africa
(Univ. of Texas/ Robert S. Strauss Center)

19. How to
visualize
information
depends on
various
factors • Information type
• Availability of data
• Audience
• Skills, qualifications, resources for data analysis
• Others
The way data /
information is
packaged influences
its accessibility

20. Q&A

21. Choose one of the following decision support tools
to explore during the break
Click around, looking at inputs needed, time
needed, and possible outputs
Come prepared to discuss in the next session
Interactive exercise

22. Example decision support tools:
1. ICPAC East Africa Hazards Watch:
https://eahazardswatch.icpac.net/
2. Cool Farm Tool:
https://coolfarmtool.org/
3. En-ROADS simulation: https://en-
roads.climateinteractive.org/
4. Geoportail Senegal:
https://retd1.teledetection.fr/climap/pr
oj/