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08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 1
Hunter Energy Plan
A solution for NSW energy crisis
08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 2
NSW energy crisis – current position and challenges
• Gas – traditionally used by industry and consumers
• Challenge – shortage
• Sourcing – 95% imported from other states
• Security of supply – transported long distances by pipeline mainly from Bass Strait and the Cooper Basin
• Infrastructure constraints – limited pipeline competition and capacity
• Leading to – shortages/lack of firm contracts to supply industry
• Ddisincentive for investment
• Rising prices – highest in the world – LNG buyers paying $8-$9, today’s domgas price $10-$12 and rising
• Industry non-competitive – loss of businesses and jobs
• Household budgets under pressure
• Risk of gas shedding (power blackouts) in summer and winter
08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 3
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
4/1/2016 5/31/2016 7/30/2016 9/28/2016 11/27/2016 1/26/2017 3/27/2017
GasPrice($/GJ)
30 Day Avg STTM Price
01/04/2016 - 31/03/2017
Historical NSW Gas Prices
2013 Avg Price
2010 Avg Price
08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 4
08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 5
08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 6
Gas is now critical for electricity generation
• Gas-fired power stations – now the best option for stabilizing the grid
• Low capital cost
• Short lead time – can be constructed quickly, within 12 months
• Can be turned on/off quickly – perfect complement to underpin renewables
• Small footprint – can be located close to demand
• Less than half the CO2 emissions of black coal and 70% lower emissions than brown coal
• Perfect for clean energy transition over next 20 years until effective
and competitive grid-based battery technology is developed
08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 7
NSW energy solution
• Fast track Development Approval, construction and start-up of Narrabri Gas Project
• 1.2TCF proven resource
• A$2 billion investment
• Construct Hunter Gas Pipeline from Narrabri to Newcastle
• Development Approval already in place – shovel ready; MOU for construction and operation
with Jemena
• A$500 million investment
• Guarantees gas supply to Sydney Basin via Newcastle
• Guarantees gas for electricity generation
• 667MW Colongra power station on Central Coast
• Future power stations, already approved (2000MW Bayswater; 770MW Tomago)
• Future-proof NSW electricity grid
08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 8
08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 9
Benefits for NSW
• Gas to domestic market secured
• Gas supply for Colongra and future gas-fired power stations
• Security of gas supply makes NSW attractive investment destination
• Shorter, already-approved pipeline route means gas to market sooner and more
competitively
• Increased competition in east coast pipeline network
• Gas supply and industry opportunities for towns along route – Upper Hunter, Scone,
Muswellbrook, Singleton
• $2.5 billion capital spend for NSW economy
• Ongoing revenue from gas royalties for NSW Treasury
08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 10
What can NSW Government do?
• Fast track Development Approval of Narrabri Gas Project
• Consider condition that gas (at least 50PJ per annum) must be used to supply
domestic NSW market, particularly Hunter and Sydney basin
• Ensure environmental conditions allow construction immediately and cost-
effectively
• Consider condition that there must be an open, competitive process for pipeline
transportation
• Hunter Gas Pipeline very competitive – already-approved, shorter route to
market

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Hunterenergyplan

  • 1. 08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 1 Hunter Energy Plan A solution for NSW energy crisis
  • 2. 08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 2 NSW energy crisis – current position and challenges • Gas – traditionally used by industry and consumers • Challenge – shortage • Sourcing – 95% imported from other states • Security of supply – transported long distances by pipeline mainly from Bass Strait and the Cooper Basin • Infrastructure constraints – limited pipeline competition and capacity • Leading to – shortages/lack of firm contracts to supply industry • Ddisincentive for investment • Rising prices – highest in the world – LNG buyers paying $8-$9, today’s domgas price $10-$12 and rising • Industry non-competitive – loss of businesses and jobs • Household budgets under pressure • Risk of gas shedding (power blackouts) in summer and winter
  • 3. 08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 3 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 4/1/2016 5/31/2016 7/30/2016 9/28/2016 11/27/2016 1/26/2017 3/27/2017 GasPrice($/GJ) 30 Day Avg STTM Price 01/04/2016 - 31/03/2017 Historical NSW Gas Prices 2013 Avg Price 2010 Avg Price
  • 6. 08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 6 Gas is now critical for electricity generation • Gas-fired power stations – now the best option for stabilizing the grid • Low capital cost • Short lead time – can be constructed quickly, within 12 months • Can be turned on/off quickly – perfect complement to underpin renewables • Small footprint – can be located close to demand • Less than half the CO2 emissions of black coal and 70% lower emissions than brown coal • Perfect for clean energy transition over next 20 years until effective and competitive grid-based battery technology is developed
  • 7. 08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 7 NSW energy solution • Fast track Development Approval, construction and start-up of Narrabri Gas Project • 1.2TCF proven resource • A$2 billion investment • Construct Hunter Gas Pipeline from Narrabri to Newcastle • Development Approval already in place – shovel ready; MOU for construction and operation with Jemena • A$500 million investment • Guarantees gas supply to Sydney Basin via Newcastle • Guarantees gas for electricity generation • 667MW Colongra power station on Central Coast • Future power stations, already approved (2000MW Bayswater; 770MW Tomago) • Future-proof NSW electricity grid
  • 9. 08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 9 Benefits for NSW • Gas to domestic market secured • Gas supply for Colongra and future gas-fired power stations • Security of gas supply makes NSW attractive investment destination • Shorter, already-approved pipeline route means gas to market sooner and more competitively • Increased competition in east coast pipeline network • Gas supply and industry opportunities for towns along route – Upper Hunter, Scone, Muswellbrook, Singleton • $2.5 billion capital spend for NSW economy • Ongoing revenue from gas royalties for NSW Treasury
  • 10. 08/04/2017 Commercial-in-Confidence 10 What can NSW Government do? • Fast track Development Approval of Narrabri Gas Project • Consider condition that gas (at least 50PJ per annum) must be used to supply domestic NSW market, particularly Hunter and Sydney basin • Ensure environmental conditions allow construction immediately and cost- effectively • Consider condition that there must be an open, competitive process for pipeline transportation • Hunter Gas Pipeline very competitive – already-approved, shorter route to market