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JANUARY   2013




A RESEARCH SUMMARY FOR ENTREPRENEURS,
POLICY MAKERS AND TECHNOLOGY FIRMS


Creating Distributed
Generation: How Solar
Financing Ventures are Built

                    By HARALD OVERHOLM

     University of Cambridge, Institute for Manufacturing




H
         ow can innovative sustainable technologies be spread to
         make an impact on global warming and resource scarcity?
         Much research addresses this topic by focusing on end
customer awareness, or on conditions for technology innovation.
This research project instead analyses the potential for business
model innovation to contribute to sustainable technology diffusion.

The focus of this research is on how upfront costs for customers of
solar modules are removed through financing and services by third
parties. This has been achieved through a business model whereby
firms build, own and maintain solar panels on the premises of end-
customers, only selling the electricity to the customer. Solar power
is effectively offered as a service, rather than as a product, hence




                                                                                        1
Creating Distributed Generation                     JANUARY   2013



the firms creating such offerings are called solar service firms in this
report.

A large set of clean technologies in for example heating, electricity
generation and water treatment could be sold through similar
business models. Such technologies, including solar panels,
typically share some basic traits. In the words of two academic
experts on these markets, “a wide range of environmentally sound
products are characterized not simply by higher total cost but rather
by a different investment profile, namely higher initial cost versus
lower operating cost” 1.
                                                                              EXECUTIVE
Hardware, installation and learning costs make the investment
expensive, even when operating costs are low. The requirement for             SUMMARY
a large effort and cash investment upfront deters most customer
types. The solar service business model solves this problem and            Business model innovation
creates customer value in a number of ways:                                can help spread clean
                                                                           technologies. This work
     By removing customers’ upfront investment cost                       uses the market for small-
                                                                           scale solar financing, in
     By taking on the initial efforts of selecting, installing and        which firms build, own and
      securing permits for the technology                                  maintain solar panels for
                                                                           end-customers, as an
     By taking full responsibility for the long-term operation and        empirical example. These
      maintenance of the solar panel                                       “solar service” ventures
                                                                           have an intermediary role
The customer gets green electricity, typically at a cheaper rate than      between panel
electricity from the grid, and with long-term guaranteed price             manufacturers and end-
stability. The main potential drawback for the customer is that, due       customers, and have
to financing costs, the project may become more expensive over its         opened up new solar
                                                                           markets. In other
entire life-span than it would have been if the customer had paid
                                                                           burgeoning markets the
for it upfront.                                                            business model is applied
                                                                           to new technologies. This
As a part of this research a database of US solar service firms was
                                                                           research provides insights
created (see graphical representation below) based on cross-               for new ventures seeking
examination of government, industry and news sources. No pre-              to use the business model,
existing comprehensive database of US solar service actors was             manufacturers looking to
identified.                                                                sell to similar markets, and
                                                                           policy-makers encouraging
                                                                           their growth.


1
 Kaenzig, J. & Wüstenhagen, R., 2010. The Effect of Life Cycle Cost
Information on Consumer Investment Decisions Regarding Eco-
Innovation. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 14(1), p2


HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                         2
Creating Distributed Generation                JANUARY   2013



All early solar service firms in the US were new ventures, started
with the specific purpose of creating solar service offerings. They
took an intermediary role, and did not own or manufacture the
solar technologies they were using.



Intermediary ventures with business models similar to the solar
service firms have emerged in other sustainable technology
industries, using technologies such as:

    •   Ground-source heat pumps (Eco2 Energy, Sweden)
    •   Methane combustions from landfills (Vireo Energy, EU)
    •   Solar heating (Skyline Innovations, US)
    •   Water treatment (Water Capital, Mexico)
    •   Greenhouses for local food production (Brightfarms, US)
    •   Car sharing of electric vehicles (MoveAbout, Norway)



Two firms, SunEdison and Renewable Ventures, pioneered the
business model in the US in around 2005, and laid the foundation
for a market that rapidly grew. New incentives for solar power
installations, in particular the California Solar Initiative (started in
2007), helped motivate early entrants. Later, the collapse of solar
panel prices and a rapid decline in installation costs may have
provided an important impulse for new actors to join in – especially
for the surge of established firms entering the market after 2008.

This research also points to growing familiarity with the business
model among the firms’ networks (consisting of finance providers,
insurers, installers and end-customers) as an important driving
force in itself, increasing the velocity with which solar service actors
could sell, finance and build portfolios of solar installations.

Although the US solar service market is by far the largest, similar
firms have emerged in the UK 2, The Netherlands 3 and Singapore 4.




2
  For example: Engensa, http://www.engensa.com/
3
  Zonline, http://www.zonline.nu/
4
  Sunseap, http://www.sunseap-leasing.com/


HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                   3
Creating Distributed Generation                         JANUARY   2013




      Entrants in the US solar service market for photovoltaic and heating panels
                       (studied firms marked as “CASE FIRM”)




HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                            4
Creating Distributed Generation                 JANUARY   2013



The solar service market has spread solar technology to new groups
of end customers. According to researchers at the US National
Renewable Energy Laboratory, the firms using solar service
business models “have enticed a new demographic to adopt PV, likely
by reducing or removing several adoption barriers, […] repackaging
PV value into a simple monthly bill savings rather than a payback
time on the order of decades” 5.

What is the bottleneck to growth for this kind of intermediary
service market? This research points clearly to the entrepreneurial
effort required to build intermediary service companies as a major
constraining factor. The intermediary ventures pioneering these
markets undertake a monumental entrepreneurial task – to bring
all parties needed for the offering together simultaneously within
strict financial boundaries. As the ventures provide a full solution
to the end customer, they have to arrange financing, insurance and
permits for the installation, contract installers, oversee
procurement and design, and negotiate interconnection with
utilities to be able to sell surplus solar electricity to the grid. Not
until all this is in place do the ventures see a cash flow, which then
comes in the form of an initial fee from financial project partners
and later from back office and O&M services to existing
installations.

The initial creation of an intermediary service offering is a taxing
process, and one that demands a high degree of entrepreneurial
skill. The reward for taking on that task can be a fast-growing
company once all the pieces of the service offering are in place.
SolarCity, a solar service firm that launched its service offering in
2008, was the largest US installer of residential solar installations in
2011 6. SunEdison, one of the pioneering firms, built solar projects
between 2005 and 2012 with a combined generating capacity of
almost a gigawatt, using a total $ 3 bn in project financing 7.



5
  Drury, E. et al., 2012. The transformation of southern California’s
residential photovoltaics market through third-party ownership. Energy
Policy, 42, p689
6
  Krulewitz, A., 2012. Who Reigns Supreme in Residential Solar?, Greentech
Solar [http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/who-reigns-
supreme-in-residential-solar]
7
  http://www.sunedison.com/wps/portal/memc/aboutus/whoweare/
ourexperience/


HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                     5
Creating Distributed Generation                          JANUARY   2013




              Key parties and resource flows needed to create a solar service installation
                       (not illustrating underlying financial / legal structures)



My research set out to understand the process through which the
early solar service entrepreneurs created their customer offerings
by bringing all necessary counterparties together, thereby kick
starting the solar service market. It is my hope that this work may
provide insights of use to new ventures and their counterparties
wherever the business model is applied again.

For an in-depth look at how the solar service offering works once in
place, rather than the process of creating it, please refer to the
suggested further reading on the last page of this report.

My main method of research was an in-depth study of 6 US
ventures, selected from the database above. Five were active in the
solar photovoltaic industry, and one in the solar heating industry.
The bulk of my research was made up of interviews with the
founding teams, and with their early financial or installation
counterparties. In addition, I made extensive use of documents on
the firms from themselves and from third parties, visited trade fairs
where the firms were represented, and interviewed industry
experts, policy makers and regulators.




HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                             6
Creating Distributed Generation                               JANUARY   2013




                SunPioneer        SunPath          SunBuilder       SunFinance       SolarPrivate     SolarHeat

Relative        Pioneer           Follower         Follower         Late follower    Follower         Pioneer
market entry

Customer        Commercial /      Commercial /     Commercial /     Commercial /     Residential      Commercial /
niche           institutional     institutional    institutional    institutional                     institutional

Technology      Solar electric    Solar electric   Solar electric   Solar electric   Solar electric   Solar heating
used

Additional      (Equity-only      No               No               No               Direct cash      (Equity-only
business        installations                                                        sales of solar   installations
models          before bank                                                          installations    before bank
                financing)                                                                            financing)

Installed MW    2006-2009:        2008: 1          2007: <5         2010: <1         2010: <5         2010: <1
first 3 years   <100              2009: 1          2008: >10        2011: >1         2011: >5         2011: >1
                                  2010: <5         2009: >15        2012: >5         2012: >10        2012: >5

Exit            Sold in 2009      No               Sold in 2011     No               No               No

Location of     California,       California,      California       Washington,      California       Washington,
early value     other US          New Jersey                        DC, other US                      DC
creation        states                                              states


                                  Studied US solar service firms (anonymized)




HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                                      7
Creating Distributed Generation                     JANUARY   2013



FINDINGS OF RELEVANCE TO NEW SERVICE VENTURES
How are solar service ventures built? The firms analyzed in this
research project typically lacked significant intellectual property or
other proprietary assets. This meant that the new value they
created mainly was a product of the ecosystem they created
through bringing together other actors in a network, and the way in
which they structured interactions in that network. They differed
from the vast majority of new ventures in other industries by the
number of partnerships they needed and the time-critical way in
which those ties had to be formed and sequenced.

Of all their connections, those related to financing were by far the
most difficult to obtain. In contrast, end customers were often seen
as abundant, and not the main concern for any of the solar electric
ventures. This was different for the solar heating venture, which
had a smaller potential customer base to choose from.



                     SunPioneer       SunPath      SunBuilder   SunFinance     SolarHeat         SolarPrivate

Non-commercial       State            State        Utilities    State policy   State             State
relationships        regulators       regulators                makers         regulators        regulators

                     State policy     Utilities                 Utilities      Local              Local
                     makers                                                    regulators        regulators

                     Utilities                                                                   Utilities

Installers           Vertically       3-6          3-6          3-6            2                 Many
                     integrated

Financial partners   2 banks          1 bank       2 banks      1 bank,        Aggregated        1 bank
                                                                               individuals
                                                                Aggregated
                                                                individuals

Insurance firms or   1 insurer,       1 broker     1 insurer    1 insurer,     1 insurer         2 insurers
agents
                     1 broker                                   1 agent

End customers        3-6              3-6          3-6          3-6            3-6               Many



                 Type and number of counterparties during first 1-2 years of value creation




HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                             8
Creating Distributed Generation                           JANUARY   2013



Called “bankability” in the sector, the ability to finance a portfolio
of installations through banks was a pivotal skill developed by the
ventures. Bankability followed from minute attention to how and
with whom the ventures’ other relationships were formed, so that
all demands of the financial partners were accommodated. Only
creditworthy end-customers could be involved; only well-proven
equipment from large and reliable manufacturers with strong
warranties could be installed; and installers had to be reputable and
provide warranties for their work. Insurance had to be procured.




Key aspects of “bankability” – the ability to secure bank financing for a solar installation



In order to form these partnerships simultaneously while achieving
bankability, the ventures relied strongly on two strategic processes:

     Tutoring of counterparties – extensive information transfer
      on areas counterparties needed to understand in order to
      work with the venture

     Constant cycling between multiple negotiations, in order to
      form all partnerships simultaneously on identical terms



HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                              9
Creating Distributed Generation              JANUARY   2013



Compared to product ventures, reliant on processes for internal
product development and product sales to end-customers, these
key strategic processes of the solar service ventures mark a different
kind of entrepreneurship.

Tutoring, the transfer of large amounts of information to
counterparties in order to establish a common knowledge base on
which the partnership could operate, was critical. In the case of
financial and insurance partners, tutoring focused on the solar
installation and the ventures’ business model; for installers,
tutoring centered on how to create quality standards, detailed
budgeting and other traits of a professional growth market that
many solar installers were initially unused to.

Tutoring was often combined with two other knowledge
management processes: screening of counterparties to find those
with most pre-existing knowledge before entering into tutoring;
and carefully coordinated co-learning with partners when new
knowledge had to be acquired by both parties (for example on legal
details or new policy) in order to close negotiations.

Cycling in-between counterparties was a central strategic process,
not only due to the time-critical character of the value creation, but
also as different partners often made requests on which other
partners the venture had to work with, or expected other
partnership discussions of the venture to be closed before
committing to joint value creation. This often created chicken-and-
egg situations for the ventures, only to be solved by rapid and
constant cycling between negotiations and tutoring processes.

The critical nature of these two strategic processes is in contrast to
other strategies that were expected from prior research literature to
be important. For example, risk reduction by creating redundant
ties with many similar partners was a strategy seldom used, mainly
as the venture teams had little bandwidth left beyond negotiations
they needed to pursue. Building on the venture teams’ previous
contacts was typically not a prominent strategy to access partners,
as the partnerships needed for value creation were so specific that
they were unlikely to overlap with any pre-existing network of
entrepreneurs. Typical sales processes, involving symbolic or
visionary communication and elaborate rapport-building, may have




HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                 10
Creating Distributed Generation           JANUARY   2013



occasionally mattered but were very much subordinate to the
essential processes of knowledge transfer and cycling.

The ventures often had to influence and rely on non-commercial
partnerships using the same strategic processes as for their
commercial partners. Several firms closely interacted with and
tutored state energy boards, local zoning departments, and the
interconnection departments of utilities, for example.



Variation among the ventures

The ventures were cross-compared to identify differences in process
related to market entry, business model or technology.

Use of a different technology did not alter the processes described
above. SolarHeat, which created a service solution around solar
heating rather than photovoltaic panels, did not depart from the
partnering patterns of other ventures.

The number of end-customers a firm worked with seemed clearly
linked to the structure of its partnering processes. SolarPrivate,
which worked with a large number of small residential end-
customers, had to standardize and formalize its process of
negotiating with customers, local permitting authorities and
installers to a much higher extent than the other ventures.

Being a pioneer of the service business model, as SunPioneer was in
the solar electric market and SolarHeat was in the solar heating
panel market, meant relying on even more extensive tutoring and
cycling, as counterparties were less knowledgeable and more risk
concerned than they would be when they were later contacted by
followers. Both firms found that they had to start their business
slowly by creating pilot installations with their own funds, rather
than with bank financing, to demonstrate business model viability
to prospective partners.



The negative externality of building a solar service venture

When a venture used tutoring and cycling to reach value creation it
left partners with a roadmap for how to carry out further similar



HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                              11
Creating Distributed Generation               JANUARY   2013



work – with or without the same solar service venture. An
ecosystem was created that could be entered by other actors
focused on similar value creation. Conversely, all the follower
ventures reported benefitting from the work of other solar service
firms.

Several of the firms described trying to protect the value they
created through their education and binding together of networks,
yet failing to find reliable ways to do so, at least beyond the
temporary protection that the personal relationships to partners
might offer. In this sense, the establishment of an ecosystem of
partners through tutoring and cycling was a negative externality for
the solar service firms, limiting the entrepreneurial rent they could
extract from their actions.



Transfer of conclusions to other industries / countries

To what extent would the strategic processes described above be
critical to intermediary service ventures in other sustainable
technology industries?

Ventures aiming to build intermediary service solutions are likely
to encounter fairly similar conditions, irrespective of their industry.
The strategic importance of efficient cycling between negotiations
with potential partners is likely to apply widely, as anyone
attempting to use this business model has to complete its full
portfolio of partnerships simultaneously. However, in an industry
where fewer partners are needed, cycling may become less taxing.
For example, intermediary service ventures in car sharing do not
rely on installers, and hence one degree of complexity is removed
from their portfolio.

Tutoring of counterparties is likely to be important in all cases
where partners that do not share the industry knowledge of the
venture are needed. To use the car sharing example again, such a
venture may rely on financing from car leasing firms, which are
used to analyze risks in the car industry, something that would
lessen the need for information transfer. In the case of most other
technologies, it is unlikely that financial partners and insurers will
know the technology well, or that installation partners will be used




HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                  12
Creating Distributed Generation                JANUARY   2013



to the sort of highly structured construction processes needed for
third party financed installations.

To what extent can ventures from outside the US use the findings?
For entrepreneurs in developed markets, the particularities of the
US market – such as certain types of regulations or financial
vehicles – may be a reason for concern. Yet the critical strategic
processes were mainly related to ties formed with commercial
parties, likely to be similar to those in other developed countries.

For entrepreneurs in developing markets, issues of trust and
underlying infrastructure (such as the ability to obtain credit
ratings for end customers) may be pressing issues to clarify before
being able to use these partnering processes successfully.




FINDINGS OF RELEVANCE TO POLICY MAKERS
Facilitating the emergence of intermediary service ventures in
sustainable technology industries can benefit the goals of policy
makers with a green or resource-conserving agenda. For the solar
service area, it has been concluded that:

Policies that enable third-party PV products [i.e., solar service firms]
to enter new markets, or policies that target similar barriers to PV
adoption, represent strong opportunities for stimulating PV demand
in concert with traditional incentives that reduce system costs or
increase revenues. These opportunities frequently represent low-cost
or cost-neutral policies that have the potential to dramatically
increase PV demand by enticing new customers to adopt PV that are
associated with a significantly larger population demographic. 8

The research summarized in this paper provides additional
observations that may be of help to policy makers wishing to see
the success of the solar service firms repeated in new geographies
or industries.




8
 Drury, E. et al., 2012. The transformation of southern California’s
residential photovoltaics market through third-party ownership. Energy
Policy, 42, p689


HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                   13
Creating Distributed Generation            JANUARY   2013



The commercial front is far behind the technology innovation front

A general observation is that the commercial front of the solar
market is far behind the front of new solar technology, due to the
bankability phenomenon. In order for banks to finance a
technology, for insurers to provide full insurance coverage, and for
manufacturers and installers to feel comfortable providing
warranties, a robust and time-tested technology must be used by
the intermediary service ventures that launch these services.

Understanding of bankability deserves more focus when energy
R&D is planned, and calls for innovative policy making when
helping to commercialize new energy innovations. One topic for
policy makers to explore may be aid to commercialization through
the compiling and publishing of performance data on new
technologies, which would provide information critical to
bankability.



Incentives to support entrepreneurs are different from those
supporting end-customers

An intermediary service industry works differently from a product
market, and the ultimate aim of supportive policy for such a market
should be to attract entrepreneurs into developing firms, rather
than to push customers to make one-off purchases. To nudge
entrepreneurs into creating intermediary service ventures, stable
and well-defined policy instruments are needed. For example, the
tradable Renewable Energy Certificates issued by some US states –
albeit initially very generous – were unpredictable and widely
disliked by the entrepreneurs. For those entrepreneurs that
expanded into markets with RECs, the instability of the instrument
created severe problems. On the other hand, the robust and
century-old concept of tax equity, a policy instrument providing tax
breaks to investors in infrastructure assets, was simple in terms of
benefits, had been used widely in other sectors, and was typically
seen as a positive and important policy instrument by
entrepreneurs once it extended into the solar market. It had clear
end-dates and could not change significantly during its active
period. It was occasionally difficult to find suitable tax equity
investors, but that was ultimately a question of a market imbalance



HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                               14
Creating Distributed Generation              JANUARY   2013



that could be solved by skillful entrepreneurs in co-operation with
their financial partners.



Helping remove practical barriers may be more powerful than
creating incentives

Standardized and transparent regulation of technology installation
and maintenance procedures can be a great help to entrepreneurs.
The devil was in the details for the solar service ventures: to ensure
a profitable operation, it was critical for them to sort out how to
successfully manage building regulations, utility interconnections,
and access to installations in the case of customer default, to name
but a few regulatory areas. In addition to battling with the vastly
more powerful utilities, this demanded interaction with a number
of institutions unrelated to the energy area, such as tax authorities,
fire authorities, and zoning departments. Clear and homogenous
guidelines for such regulatory bodies and common industry
standards applied to different cities and regions can help reduce
costs and be a great aid to the growth of intermediary service
markets.



FINDINGS OF RELEVANCE TO TECHNOLOGY FIRMS
This research shows how the requirements of intermediary service
firms, rather than end-customer preferences, may shape demand
for sustainable technology products. Technology managers at
manufacturing firms can benefit from three observations:

     Technology bankability is pivotal to intermediary markets.
      To be bankable, a technology needs long-term performance
      data validated by third parties, and strong warranties made
      by a creditworthy firm. This means that the prospects of
      intermediary service markets for novel technologies, or for
      small manufacturers without credit ratings, are limited.

     For technology markets in which installation services are
      needed, installers influence the viability of intermediary
      business models. If installers cannot install a technology
      cost-efficiently, or if there are too few installers to scale up



HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                                 15
Creating Distributed Generation          JANUARY   2013



        the market, it is difficult for entrepreneurs to create
        intermediary ventures. Again, this limits the prospects of
        intermediary service markets for novel technologies.

     Intermediary service ventures can act as lead users and
      contribute significantly to product innovation – they are
      often among the most sophisticated and experienced
      customers of the technology they are using.

Finally, manufacturers may also want to use the findings on how
new ventures create the business model to evaluate whether they
could apply this business model themselves. As was clear from the
industry database, several manufacturers have entered the solar
service markets since the beginning of 2009.




HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                             16
Creating Distributed Generation            JANUARY   2013



Suggested further reading on the solar service market

Coughlin, J. & Cory, K., 2009. Solar Photovoltaic Financing:
Residential Sector Deployment, Golden, Colorado: National
Renewable Energy Laboratory

Kollins, K., Speer, B. & Cory, K., 2010. Solar PV Project Financing:
Regulatory and Legislative Challenges for Third-Party PPA System
Owners, Golden, Colorado: National Renewable Energy Laboratory



Acknowledgements

This research could not have been written without the support of a
large number of people. I am indebted to all informants of the
studied ventures and their financial and installation partners who
were more than kind to share their memories of the early solar
service industry. In addition, I wish to thank Dr Elizabeth Garnsey
(University of Cambridge), Dr Damian Miller (Orb Energy), Richard
Kaufmann (DoE), David Feldman (NREL), Dan Oros (KPCB),
Professor Kathleen M. Eisenhardt (Stanford University), Reinhard
Reicher (IFC) and Dr Johann Napp (Bain) for their generosity in
aiding this work. Finally, the research could not have been
conducted without kind financial support from RADMA, SWECO
and Churchill College, and the encouragement of my previous
employers at Sustainable Technologies Fund (Stockholm).



Source of this research summary

Overholm, H., 2013. Genesis of an Ecosystem: Alliance Initiation by
Technology-Intermediary Ventures, Unpublished PhD thesis
submitted for examination to the University of Cambridge



Contact

Harald Overholm
Institute for Manufacturing
17 Charles Babbage Road
Cambridge, CB3 0FS, UK
E-mail: haraldoverholm@gmail.com


HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE                                               17

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Solar service and third-party (PPA) financing ventures in the US - research summary

  • 1. JANUARY 2013 A RESEARCH SUMMARY FOR ENTREPRENEURS, POLICY MAKERS AND TECHNOLOGY FIRMS Creating Distributed Generation: How Solar Financing Ventures are Built By HARALD OVERHOLM University of Cambridge, Institute for Manufacturing H ow can innovative sustainable technologies be spread to make an impact on global warming and resource scarcity? Much research addresses this topic by focusing on end customer awareness, or on conditions for technology innovation. This research project instead analyses the potential for business model innovation to contribute to sustainable technology diffusion. The focus of this research is on how upfront costs for customers of solar modules are removed through financing and services by third parties. This has been achieved through a business model whereby firms build, own and maintain solar panels on the premises of end- customers, only selling the electricity to the customer. Solar power is effectively offered as a service, rather than as a product, hence 1
  • 2. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 the firms creating such offerings are called solar service firms in this report. A large set of clean technologies in for example heating, electricity generation and water treatment could be sold through similar business models. Such technologies, including solar panels, typically share some basic traits. In the words of two academic experts on these markets, “a wide range of environmentally sound products are characterized not simply by higher total cost but rather by a different investment profile, namely higher initial cost versus lower operating cost” 1. EXECUTIVE Hardware, installation and learning costs make the investment expensive, even when operating costs are low. The requirement for SUMMARY a large effort and cash investment upfront deters most customer types. The solar service business model solves this problem and Business model innovation creates customer value in a number of ways: can help spread clean technologies. This work  By removing customers’ upfront investment cost uses the market for small- scale solar financing, in  By taking on the initial efforts of selecting, installing and which firms build, own and securing permits for the technology maintain solar panels for end-customers, as an  By taking full responsibility for the long-term operation and empirical example. These maintenance of the solar panel “solar service” ventures have an intermediary role The customer gets green electricity, typically at a cheaper rate than between panel electricity from the grid, and with long-term guaranteed price manufacturers and end- stability. The main potential drawback for the customer is that, due customers, and have to financing costs, the project may become more expensive over its opened up new solar markets. In other entire life-span than it would have been if the customer had paid burgeoning markets the for it upfront. business model is applied to new technologies. This As a part of this research a database of US solar service firms was research provides insights created (see graphical representation below) based on cross- for new ventures seeking examination of government, industry and news sources. No pre- to use the business model, existing comprehensive database of US solar service actors was manufacturers looking to identified. sell to similar markets, and policy-makers encouraging their growth. 1 Kaenzig, J. & Wüstenhagen, R., 2010. The Effect of Life Cycle Cost Information on Consumer Investment Decisions Regarding Eco- Innovation. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 14(1), p2 HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 2
  • 3. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 All early solar service firms in the US were new ventures, started with the specific purpose of creating solar service offerings. They took an intermediary role, and did not own or manufacture the solar technologies they were using. Intermediary ventures with business models similar to the solar service firms have emerged in other sustainable technology industries, using technologies such as: • Ground-source heat pumps (Eco2 Energy, Sweden) • Methane combustions from landfills (Vireo Energy, EU) • Solar heating (Skyline Innovations, US) • Water treatment (Water Capital, Mexico) • Greenhouses for local food production (Brightfarms, US) • Car sharing of electric vehicles (MoveAbout, Norway) Two firms, SunEdison and Renewable Ventures, pioneered the business model in the US in around 2005, and laid the foundation for a market that rapidly grew. New incentives for solar power installations, in particular the California Solar Initiative (started in 2007), helped motivate early entrants. Later, the collapse of solar panel prices and a rapid decline in installation costs may have provided an important impulse for new actors to join in – especially for the surge of established firms entering the market after 2008. This research also points to growing familiarity with the business model among the firms’ networks (consisting of finance providers, insurers, installers and end-customers) as an important driving force in itself, increasing the velocity with which solar service actors could sell, finance and build portfolios of solar installations. Although the US solar service market is by far the largest, similar firms have emerged in the UK 2, The Netherlands 3 and Singapore 4. 2 For example: Engensa, http://www.engensa.com/ 3 Zonline, http://www.zonline.nu/ 4 Sunseap, http://www.sunseap-leasing.com/ HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 3
  • 4. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 Entrants in the US solar service market for photovoltaic and heating panels (studied firms marked as “CASE FIRM”) HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 4
  • 5. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 The solar service market has spread solar technology to new groups of end customers. According to researchers at the US National Renewable Energy Laboratory, the firms using solar service business models “have enticed a new demographic to adopt PV, likely by reducing or removing several adoption barriers, […] repackaging PV value into a simple monthly bill savings rather than a payback time on the order of decades” 5. What is the bottleneck to growth for this kind of intermediary service market? This research points clearly to the entrepreneurial effort required to build intermediary service companies as a major constraining factor. The intermediary ventures pioneering these markets undertake a monumental entrepreneurial task – to bring all parties needed for the offering together simultaneously within strict financial boundaries. As the ventures provide a full solution to the end customer, they have to arrange financing, insurance and permits for the installation, contract installers, oversee procurement and design, and negotiate interconnection with utilities to be able to sell surplus solar electricity to the grid. Not until all this is in place do the ventures see a cash flow, which then comes in the form of an initial fee from financial project partners and later from back office and O&M services to existing installations. The initial creation of an intermediary service offering is a taxing process, and one that demands a high degree of entrepreneurial skill. The reward for taking on that task can be a fast-growing company once all the pieces of the service offering are in place. SolarCity, a solar service firm that launched its service offering in 2008, was the largest US installer of residential solar installations in 2011 6. SunEdison, one of the pioneering firms, built solar projects between 2005 and 2012 with a combined generating capacity of almost a gigawatt, using a total $ 3 bn in project financing 7. 5 Drury, E. et al., 2012. The transformation of southern California’s residential photovoltaics market through third-party ownership. Energy Policy, 42, p689 6 Krulewitz, A., 2012. Who Reigns Supreme in Residential Solar?, Greentech Solar [http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/who-reigns- supreme-in-residential-solar] 7 http://www.sunedison.com/wps/portal/memc/aboutus/whoweare/ ourexperience/ HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 5
  • 6. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 Key parties and resource flows needed to create a solar service installation (not illustrating underlying financial / legal structures) My research set out to understand the process through which the early solar service entrepreneurs created their customer offerings by bringing all necessary counterparties together, thereby kick starting the solar service market. It is my hope that this work may provide insights of use to new ventures and their counterparties wherever the business model is applied again. For an in-depth look at how the solar service offering works once in place, rather than the process of creating it, please refer to the suggested further reading on the last page of this report. My main method of research was an in-depth study of 6 US ventures, selected from the database above. Five were active in the solar photovoltaic industry, and one in the solar heating industry. The bulk of my research was made up of interviews with the founding teams, and with their early financial or installation counterparties. In addition, I made extensive use of documents on the firms from themselves and from third parties, visited trade fairs where the firms were represented, and interviewed industry experts, policy makers and regulators. HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 6
  • 7. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 SunPioneer SunPath SunBuilder SunFinance SolarPrivate SolarHeat Relative Pioneer Follower Follower Late follower Follower Pioneer market entry Customer Commercial / Commercial / Commercial / Commercial / Residential Commercial / niche institutional institutional institutional institutional institutional Technology Solar electric Solar electric Solar electric Solar electric Solar electric Solar heating used Additional (Equity-only No No No Direct cash (Equity-only business installations sales of solar installations models before bank installations before bank financing) financing) Installed MW 2006-2009: 2008: 1 2007: <5 2010: <1 2010: <5 2010: <1 first 3 years <100 2009: 1 2008: >10 2011: >1 2011: >5 2011: >1 2010: <5 2009: >15 2012: >5 2012: >10 2012: >5 Exit Sold in 2009 No Sold in 2011 No No No Location of California, California, California Washington, California Washington, early value other US New Jersey DC, other US DC creation states states Studied US solar service firms (anonymized) HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 7
  • 8. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 FINDINGS OF RELEVANCE TO NEW SERVICE VENTURES How are solar service ventures built? The firms analyzed in this research project typically lacked significant intellectual property or other proprietary assets. This meant that the new value they created mainly was a product of the ecosystem they created through bringing together other actors in a network, and the way in which they structured interactions in that network. They differed from the vast majority of new ventures in other industries by the number of partnerships they needed and the time-critical way in which those ties had to be formed and sequenced. Of all their connections, those related to financing were by far the most difficult to obtain. In contrast, end customers were often seen as abundant, and not the main concern for any of the solar electric ventures. This was different for the solar heating venture, which had a smaller potential customer base to choose from. SunPioneer SunPath SunBuilder SunFinance SolarHeat SolarPrivate Non-commercial State State Utilities State policy State State relationships regulators regulators makers regulators regulators State policy Utilities Utilities Local Local makers regulators regulators Utilities Utilities Installers Vertically 3-6 3-6 3-6 2 Many integrated Financial partners 2 banks 1 bank 2 banks 1 bank, Aggregated 1 bank individuals Aggregated individuals Insurance firms or 1 insurer, 1 broker 1 insurer 1 insurer, 1 insurer 2 insurers agents 1 broker 1 agent End customers 3-6 3-6 3-6 3-6 3-6 Many Type and number of counterparties during first 1-2 years of value creation HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 8
  • 9. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 Called “bankability” in the sector, the ability to finance a portfolio of installations through banks was a pivotal skill developed by the ventures. Bankability followed from minute attention to how and with whom the ventures’ other relationships were formed, so that all demands of the financial partners were accommodated. Only creditworthy end-customers could be involved; only well-proven equipment from large and reliable manufacturers with strong warranties could be installed; and installers had to be reputable and provide warranties for their work. Insurance had to be procured. Key aspects of “bankability” – the ability to secure bank financing for a solar installation In order to form these partnerships simultaneously while achieving bankability, the ventures relied strongly on two strategic processes:  Tutoring of counterparties – extensive information transfer on areas counterparties needed to understand in order to work with the venture  Constant cycling between multiple negotiations, in order to form all partnerships simultaneously on identical terms HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 9
  • 10. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 Compared to product ventures, reliant on processes for internal product development and product sales to end-customers, these key strategic processes of the solar service ventures mark a different kind of entrepreneurship. Tutoring, the transfer of large amounts of information to counterparties in order to establish a common knowledge base on which the partnership could operate, was critical. In the case of financial and insurance partners, tutoring focused on the solar installation and the ventures’ business model; for installers, tutoring centered on how to create quality standards, detailed budgeting and other traits of a professional growth market that many solar installers were initially unused to. Tutoring was often combined with two other knowledge management processes: screening of counterparties to find those with most pre-existing knowledge before entering into tutoring; and carefully coordinated co-learning with partners when new knowledge had to be acquired by both parties (for example on legal details or new policy) in order to close negotiations. Cycling in-between counterparties was a central strategic process, not only due to the time-critical character of the value creation, but also as different partners often made requests on which other partners the venture had to work with, or expected other partnership discussions of the venture to be closed before committing to joint value creation. This often created chicken-and- egg situations for the ventures, only to be solved by rapid and constant cycling between negotiations and tutoring processes. The critical nature of these two strategic processes is in contrast to other strategies that were expected from prior research literature to be important. For example, risk reduction by creating redundant ties with many similar partners was a strategy seldom used, mainly as the venture teams had little bandwidth left beyond negotiations they needed to pursue. Building on the venture teams’ previous contacts was typically not a prominent strategy to access partners, as the partnerships needed for value creation were so specific that they were unlikely to overlap with any pre-existing network of entrepreneurs. Typical sales processes, involving symbolic or visionary communication and elaborate rapport-building, may have HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 10
  • 11. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 occasionally mattered but were very much subordinate to the essential processes of knowledge transfer and cycling. The ventures often had to influence and rely on non-commercial partnerships using the same strategic processes as for their commercial partners. Several firms closely interacted with and tutored state energy boards, local zoning departments, and the interconnection departments of utilities, for example. Variation among the ventures The ventures were cross-compared to identify differences in process related to market entry, business model or technology. Use of a different technology did not alter the processes described above. SolarHeat, which created a service solution around solar heating rather than photovoltaic panels, did not depart from the partnering patterns of other ventures. The number of end-customers a firm worked with seemed clearly linked to the structure of its partnering processes. SolarPrivate, which worked with a large number of small residential end- customers, had to standardize and formalize its process of negotiating with customers, local permitting authorities and installers to a much higher extent than the other ventures. Being a pioneer of the service business model, as SunPioneer was in the solar electric market and SolarHeat was in the solar heating panel market, meant relying on even more extensive tutoring and cycling, as counterparties were less knowledgeable and more risk concerned than they would be when they were later contacted by followers. Both firms found that they had to start their business slowly by creating pilot installations with their own funds, rather than with bank financing, to demonstrate business model viability to prospective partners. The negative externality of building a solar service venture When a venture used tutoring and cycling to reach value creation it left partners with a roadmap for how to carry out further similar HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 11
  • 12. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 work – with or without the same solar service venture. An ecosystem was created that could be entered by other actors focused on similar value creation. Conversely, all the follower ventures reported benefitting from the work of other solar service firms. Several of the firms described trying to protect the value they created through their education and binding together of networks, yet failing to find reliable ways to do so, at least beyond the temporary protection that the personal relationships to partners might offer. In this sense, the establishment of an ecosystem of partners through tutoring and cycling was a negative externality for the solar service firms, limiting the entrepreneurial rent they could extract from their actions. Transfer of conclusions to other industries / countries To what extent would the strategic processes described above be critical to intermediary service ventures in other sustainable technology industries? Ventures aiming to build intermediary service solutions are likely to encounter fairly similar conditions, irrespective of their industry. The strategic importance of efficient cycling between negotiations with potential partners is likely to apply widely, as anyone attempting to use this business model has to complete its full portfolio of partnerships simultaneously. However, in an industry where fewer partners are needed, cycling may become less taxing. For example, intermediary service ventures in car sharing do not rely on installers, and hence one degree of complexity is removed from their portfolio. Tutoring of counterparties is likely to be important in all cases where partners that do not share the industry knowledge of the venture are needed. To use the car sharing example again, such a venture may rely on financing from car leasing firms, which are used to analyze risks in the car industry, something that would lessen the need for information transfer. In the case of most other technologies, it is unlikely that financial partners and insurers will know the technology well, or that installation partners will be used HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 12
  • 13. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 to the sort of highly structured construction processes needed for third party financed installations. To what extent can ventures from outside the US use the findings? For entrepreneurs in developed markets, the particularities of the US market – such as certain types of regulations or financial vehicles – may be a reason for concern. Yet the critical strategic processes were mainly related to ties formed with commercial parties, likely to be similar to those in other developed countries. For entrepreneurs in developing markets, issues of trust and underlying infrastructure (such as the ability to obtain credit ratings for end customers) may be pressing issues to clarify before being able to use these partnering processes successfully. FINDINGS OF RELEVANCE TO POLICY MAKERS Facilitating the emergence of intermediary service ventures in sustainable technology industries can benefit the goals of policy makers with a green or resource-conserving agenda. For the solar service area, it has been concluded that: Policies that enable third-party PV products [i.e., solar service firms] to enter new markets, or policies that target similar barriers to PV adoption, represent strong opportunities for stimulating PV demand in concert with traditional incentives that reduce system costs or increase revenues. These opportunities frequently represent low-cost or cost-neutral policies that have the potential to dramatically increase PV demand by enticing new customers to adopt PV that are associated with a significantly larger population demographic. 8 The research summarized in this paper provides additional observations that may be of help to policy makers wishing to see the success of the solar service firms repeated in new geographies or industries. 8 Drury, E. et al., 2012. The transformation of southern California’s residential photovoltaics market through third-party ownership. Energy Policy, 42, p689 HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 13
  • 14. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 The commercial front is far behind the technology innovation front A general observation is that the commercial front of the solar market is far behind the front of new solar technology, due to the bankability phenomenon. In order for banks to finance a technology, for insurers to provide full insurance coverage, and for manufacturers and installers to feel comfortable providing warranties, a robust and time-tested technology must be used by the intermediary service ventures that launch these services. Understanding of bankability deserves more focus when energy R&D is planned, and calls for innovative policy making when helping to commercialize new energy innovations. One topic for policy makers to explore may be aid to commercialization through the compiling and publishing of performance data on new technologies, which would provide information critical to bankability. Incentives to support entrepreneurs are different from those supporting end-customers An intermediary service industry works differently from a product market, and the ultimate aim of supportive policy for such a market should be to attract entrepreneurs into developing firms, rather than to push customers to make one-off purchases. To nudge entrepreneurs into creating intermediary service ventures, stable and well-defined policy instruments are needed. For example, the tradable Renewable Energy Certificates issued by some US states – albeit initially very generous – were unpredictable and widely disliked by the entrepreneurs. For those entrepreneurs that expanded into markets with RECs, the instability of the instrument created severe problems. On the other hand, the robust and century-old concept of tax equity, a policy instrument providing tax breaks to investors in infrastructure assets, was simple in terms of benefits, had been used widely in other sectors, and was typically seen as a positive and important policy instrument by entrepreneurs once it extended into the solar market. It had clear end-dates and could not change significantly during its active period. It was occasionally difficult to find suitable tax equity investors, but that was ultimately a question of a market imbalance HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 14
  • 15. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 that could be solved by skillful entrepreneurs in co-operation with their financial partners. Helping remove practical barriers may be more powerful than creating incentives Standardized and transparent regulation of technology installation and maintenance procedures can be a great help to entrepreneurs. The devil was in the details for the solar service ventures: to ensure a profitable operation, it was critical for them to sort out how to successfully manage building regulations, utility interconnections, and access to installations in the case of customer default, to name but a few regulatory areas. In addition to battling with the vastly more powerful utilities, this demanded interaction with a number of institutions unrelated to the energy area, such as tax authorities, fire authorities, and zoning departments. Clear and homogenous guidelines for such regulatory bodies and common industry standards applied to different cities and regions can help reduce costs and be a great aid to the growth of intermediary service markets. FINDINGS OF RELEVANCE TO TECHNOLOGY FIRMS This research shows how the requirements of intermediary service firms, rather than end-customer preferences, may shape demand for sustainable technology products. Technology managers at manufacturing firms can benefit from three observations:  Technology bankability is pivotal to intermediary markets. To be bankable, a technology needs long-term performance data validated by third parties, and strong warranties made by a creditworthy firm. This means that the prospects of intermediary service markets for novel technologies, or for small manufacturers without credit ratings, are limited.  For technology markets in which installation services are needed, installers influence the viability of intermediary business models. If installers cannot install a technology cost-efficiently, or if there are too few installers to scale up HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 15
  • 16. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 the market, it is difficult for entrepreneurs to create intermediary ventures. Again, this limits the prospects of intermediary service markets for novel technologies.  Intermediary service ventures can act as lead users and contribute significantly to product innovation – they are often among the most sophisticated and experienced customers of the technology they are using. Finally, manufacturers may also want to use the findings on how new ventures create the business model to evaluate whether they could apply this business model themselves. As was clear from the industry database, several manufacturers have entered the solar service markets since the beginning of 2009. HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 16
  • 17. Creating Distributed Generation JANUARY 2013 Suggested further reading on the solar service market Coughlin, J. & Cory, K., 2009. Solar Photovoltaic Financing: Residential Sector Deployment, Golden, Colorado: National Renewable Energy Laboratory Kollins, K., Speer, B. & Cory, K., 2010. Solar PV Project Financing: Regulatory and Legislative Challenges for Third-Party PPA System Owners, Golden, Colorado: National Renewable Energy Laboratory Acknowledgements This research could not have been written without the support of a large number of people. I am indebted to all informants of the studied ventures and their financial and installation partners who were more than kind to share their memories of the early solar service industry. In addition, I wish to thank Dr Elizabeth Garnsey (University of Cambridge), Dr Damian Miller (Orb Energy), Richard Kaufmann (DoE), David Feldman (NREL), Dan Oros (KPCB), Professor Kathleen M. Eisenhardt (Stanford University), Reinhard Reicher (IFC) and Dr Johann Napp (Bain) for their generosity in aiding this work. Finally, the research could not have been conducted without kind financial support from RADMA, SWECO and Churchill College, and the encouragement of my previous employers at Sustainable Technologies Fund (Stockholm). Source of this research summary Overholm, H., 2013. Genesis of an Ecosystem: Alliance Initiation by Technology-Intermediary Ventures, Unpublished PhD thesis submitted for examination to the University of Cambridge Contact Harald Overholm Institute for Manufacturing 17 Charles Babbage Road Cambridge, CB3 0FS, UK E-mail: haraldoverholm@gmail.com HARALD OVERHOLM | UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE 17