Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One
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The Audit series provides a statistical context to everyday speculation about the state of political engagement. In doing so, the Audits indicate the degree to which attitudes and behaviour change year-on-year and allows a fuller picture of participation and interest in politics. The Audits present the findings from public opinion polling on a range of political engagement indicators, updating trends published annually since 2004. The Audit considers six core indicators of political engagement: Knowledge and interest: (1) the percentage of people who feel that they know about politics; and (2) the percentage who report an interest in politics. Action and participation: (3) the percentage of people who report they are absolutely certain to vote at an immediate general election; and (4) the percentage who are politically active. Efficacy and satisfaction: (5) the percentage of people who believe that getting involved works; and (6) the percentage who think that the present system of governing works well. It also examines the public's reported levels of discussion of politics, charitable and political donation, and contacting of elected representatives.
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Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One
- 1. Dr Ruth Fox Matt Korris Hansard Society Prof. Gerry Stoker University of Southampton Chair: Fiona Booth
- 2. 2011 – A momentous year Audit of Political Engagement 9 2
- 3. The public’s response... disgruntled disillusioned disengaged Audit of Political Engagement 9 3 Photo: bengoldsberry, eBaumsworld
- 4. Propensity to vote Mean propensity to vote (out of 10) Audit 1 Audit 9 (2004) (2012) Audit of Political Engagement 9 4
- 5. Certainty to vote to in 2011 in 2012 Audit of Political Engagement 9 5
- 6. Why don’t we vote? ...you’ve got all these reality shows that get folk to vote... everybody is caught Why are you going to take up with the idea of time out of you day to go voting… They’re and queue or whatever, to happy to vote put a cross by somebody, that possibly you don’t know who they are....and then they’re not even going to do what they say they’re going to do... Audit of Political Engagement 9 6
- 7. Interest in politics to in 2011 in 2012 Audit of Political Engagement 9 7
- 8. Knowledge of politics to in 2011 in 2012 Audit of Political Engagement 9 8
- 9. Discussed politics fallen to just in 2012 ...started to get desensitised to it all…I started to stop watching it and stop listening to it... I try to avoid it…I don’t see the implications on myself. It’s all too confusing. I don’t understand it – I ignore it. It’s just on the news all the time... Audit of Political Engagement 9 9
- 10. What about Parliament? Two in five claim to know at least a fair amount about Parliament Two in three agree that Parliament is ‘essential to democracy’ And one in two agree that Parliament deals with issues that ‘matter to me’ Audit of Political Engagement 9 10
- 11. What about Parliament? Only three in ten believe Parliament encourages public involvement in politics ….and fewer people are signing petitions Proportion who have signed a petition (%) Audit 1 Audit 9 (2004) (2012) Audit of Political Engagement 9 11
- 12. What about MPs? ...the way they behave a lot of the time, you know, shouting out. Much of it seems quite immature School playground nursery classroom Audit of Political Engagement 9 12
- 13. But despite our dissatisfaction with MPs… One in four (25%) would turn to their MP in the event of a problem, e.g. with local health services Lower than your doctor/GP (44%) BUT above: • Friends/family 16% • Local advice service/CAB 14% • Local council 14% • Local councillor 13% • Ombudsman 8% • Media 4% • Lawyer/solicitor 3% • Parliament 1% Audit of Political Engagement 9 13
- 14. Which roles and functions do people value? Representing UK’s national interests Representing views of local communities Holding government to account Representing views of individual citizens Scrutinising new laws Representing views of interest groups Audit of Political Engagement 9 14
- 15. System of governing in 2012 just agree in 2004 thought the system of governing Britain worked extremely or mainly well Audit of Political Engagement 9 15
- 16. The one thing the public can agree on is that getting involved at a national level will make little difference ... we should be more like the French in standing up for our rights only think getting involved can help change the way the country is run Audit of Political Engagement 9 16 Photo: © BBC
- 17. Local involvement is seen differently... think getting involved in their community can In your make a difference local area …but only 56% 38% 24% inclined to actually 32% 33% 13% do something In the country as whole ...how is that going to help when other people have already tried and nothing’s changed. Audit of Political Engagement 9 17
- 18. Declining commitment to voluntary work in 2012 just said the same in 2010 had done some voluntary work Audit of Political Engagement 9 18
- 19. What other changes have taken place over time? Born Audits Audits As people born 1979-1985 1979-1985 1&2 8&9 become older: Knowledge of politics Interest in politics aged 0 aged 18-25 aged 25-32 Certain to vote Political efficacy Approval of system Audit of Political Engagement 9 19
- 20. What other changes have taken place over time? Audits Audits 1&2 8&9 The later generation of aged 18-25 18-25s Knowledge of politics Interest in politics aged 18-25 Certain to vote Sign petitions Political efficacy Approval of system Audit of Political Engagement 9 19
- 21. What other changes have taken place over time? Audits Audits The later generation of 1&2 8&9 25-32s: Knowledge of politics Interest in politics aged 25-32 Political efficacy Approval of system Certain to vote aged 25-32 Audit of Political Engagement 9 19
- 22. Conclusions • A fairly grim picture this year – disgruntled, disillusioned and disengaged • A blip or the start of a trend? • What would the public like to see change? How does this relate to the coalition government’s political reform package? Audit of Political Engagement 9 20
- 23. Dr Ruth Fox Matt Korris Hansard Society Prof. Gerry Stoker University of Southampton Chair: Fiona Booth
Notas do Editor
- Discontent with the way MPs act Laughing at not with Emphasis that these are unprompted remarks – focus groups were not asked what they thought about MPs’ behaviour
- Long-standing concern about the increasing ‘social worker’ element of an MP’s role What does this mean for localism? Clearly a need to re-align governance and the roles of representatives, institutions, officials and watchdogs to re-balance things A higher proportion of people in London said local council (23%) than the average (14%). Is this due to greater awareness or proximity of their council, or because of having a mayor, or something else?
- Contrast the ‘social worker’ role to the desire of respondents for Parliament to concentrate on representing the UK’s national interest. This was roles of Parliament. When asked about work of MPs in Audit 7, 46% said representing the views of individual citizens 41% representing the UK’s national interests 37% debating important issues in the House of Commons 31% holding government to account 26% dealing with the problems of individual constituents The explicitly Parliamentary roles (scrutiny of new laws and holding govt. to account) are not the highest priorities – though not necessarily unimportant. Does the “UK national interest” encompass everything voters expect of MPs and Parliament? The textbook ideal of representation? A thought that Gerry will come back to.
- Lowest ever in the Audit series. Had been relatively stable at around one third (33%) saying that the system of governing works well. This question tends to mirror satisfaction with the government of the day, and in that regard the coalition government has been worse polling ratings in recent months. Also a reflection of some of the lowest combined ratings ever for the three party leaders in other polls
- Unlike almost every other measure, this is true for all major demographics - Gender, Age, Social Class. This view of the French was a common theme from our focus groups. Admiration of their willingness to take action. However seemingly limited enthusiasm to get involved themselves. Only when issues are hyper-local, and really affect them, can most foresee actually getting involved.
- Comparison between the local and the national. People think local involvement is more effective, but they are no more likely to want to get involved locally than nationally. The desire for involvement locally has dropped by 10 points over the past 3 years (since Audit 6). Primarily this has been a decline in the proportions of the higher social grades (ABs and C1s) who say they want to be involved.
- Another problem for the government’s Big Society agenda is a declining commitment to voluntary work. Volunteering is more common amongst those with higher qualifications (33%) and young people (30%)
- Set the scene: Younger groups have been found to be less engaged than older age groups by almost every measure across the whole of the Audit series Now that we have 9 years of data, is there evidence that as people age they become more engaged with politics? 3 indicative comparisons between the youngest age group from Audits 1 and 2 to examine this question.
- So, from these 3 comparisons, it appears that – at least for this group – they have become more engaged as they have aged. Those born in 1979-85 are more engaged now, than they were in the past. The youngest age group today are not noticeably different to young people today. And 25-32 year olds today have a very similar pattern of engagement to 25-32 year olds in Audit 1 and 2.
- A grim picture – a bit like the weather. Too early to tell if it’s a blip – but such sharp movement, after many years of stability or only gradual change, is concerning. The Expenses crisis did not bring about such significant movement. Nor did an inconclusive general election, nor the formation of the first coalition government in decades. Over to Gerry.