2. Index
Q3 2011 results 1 Annex: further details WASTE 16
Business plan Annex: further details NETWORKS 20
Sector topic and Hera platform 7 Annex: further details ENERGY 24
Hera strategy 8
Ebitda growth drivers 9 Annex: Business plan by business 27
M&A strategy 10 Disclaimer 32
Ebitda by strategic areas 11
Target by business area 12
Risk exposure 13
Capex plan and financial structure 14
Closing remarks 15
4. First 9 month 2011 results confirm solid platform
9m ’11 growth rates Strong set of achievements in first 9
18%
+15.4% months despite summer period within
16%
14%
Q3.
12% +10.2%
10% +8.2%
8%
Growth underpinned by all businesses,
6%
4% and particularly by Energy activities with
2% commercial development and procurement
0%
position more than offsetting volatility and
Ebitda Ebit Pretax Profit
first half lower consumptions.
2011 quarters growth M&A progressed through acquisition of
45.0
Sadori Gas.
+40 m€
40.0
+5m€ +35 m€
Positive results in all businesses driving
35.0
Ebitda up by +35.3m€ confirming
30.0 business plan targets.
(10) m€
25.0
20.0 Debt at 2.06 b€ confirming D/Ebitda ratio.
15.0
Confirmed credit ratings by S&Ps and
Q1 '11 Q2 '11 Q3 '11 9m '11 Moodys.
1
5. First 9 month 2011 results highlights positive growth
9m 2011 posted a growth Ebitda growth Drivers
(m€)
(m€) 9m '10 9m '11 Ch. Ch.% +5.0 +5.7 466.7
431.4 +24.6
450
(1) Revenues* 2,732.9 3,039.7 +306.8 +11.2%
Ebitda 431.4 466.7 +35.3 +8.2%
(2) Ebit 218.2 240.5 +22.3 +10.2% 350
(3) Pre tax Profit 135.4 156.2 +20.8 +15.4%
(4) Tax (56.3) (72.2) (15.9) +28.2%
Net Profit 79.1 84.0 +4.9 +6.3% 250
Minorities (10.7) (16.4) (5.6) +52.5%
9m '10 Syn & New M&A 9m '11
Hera Profit 68.4 67.7 (0.7) (1.0%) Org.G. Plants
(1) Tariffs, commodity prices
and market expansion
Ebitda by strategic area
(m€)
466.7
(2) 431.4
Higher accruals to Bad 12.7
Debt and provisions 10.9
149.2 +7.9%
139.3
(3)
Substantially stable
interest charges +0.5%
209.0
208.0
(4) Higher incidence of IRAP
and additional Robin Tax 73.2 95.8 +30.9%
(~2m€ effect).
9m '10 9m '11
ENERGY NETWORKS WASTE OTHER
* Revenues include sales, change in stock and other revenues
2
6. First 9 month 2011: WASTE & WATER results
Waste increase margins despite lower volumes Water shows enhanced volumes and tariffs
9 months results (m€) 9 months results (m€)
M€ 9m '10 9m '11 Ch. % M€ 9m '10 9m '11 Ch. %
Revenues 531.7 550.2 +3.5% Revenues 433.2 439.2 +1.4%
Operat. Costs (298.0) (299.6) +0.6% Operat. Costs (253.7) (253.8) +0.0%
Personnel (113.1) (112.5) (0.6%) Personnel (79.0) (79.3) +0.4%
Capitaliz. 18.7 11.1 (40.3%) Capitaliz. 9.8 5.5 (43.8%)
Ebitda 139.3 149.2 +7.1% Ebitda 110.2 111.6 +1.3%
9 months waste from third parties Fresh water volumes
(k ton) (m cubic meter)
(2.3%) 75
3 000
2 8 00
2,609 2,549 72
2 6 00
2 4 00
2 2 00
2 000
1 8 00
1,202 1,181 Special 62 64 2010
1 6 00
1 4 00 59 2011
1 2 00
1 000
Urban 56
8 00
6 00
4 00
1,407 1,368
2 00
0 5 0
9m '10 9m '11 Q1 Q2 Q3
Revenues growth underpinned by tariff increase (+3%) and Revenues growth underpinned by tariff increase (+2.8%)
higher electricity production (from 400 to 490 GWh). and higher volumes related to the dry summer season.
Ebitda benefit from Enomondo biomass plant contribution Still stagnant the works for third parties.
(+5m€) and from enhanced WTE electricity production (mainly
related to Rimini WTE). Posted lower treatment cost thanks Ebitda benefit from operating efficiencies rebalancing
also to better weather conditions. higher electricity costs.
Sorted collection reached 49.2% of urban waste. Ebitda incidence on revenues confirmed at 25.4%.
3
8. Financial issues: Capex and cash flows
Capital Exp. & Investments
M€ 9m '10 9m '11
Capex declined following completion on waste
Waste 70.0 44.8 treatment assets (WTE).
Water 67.3 69.4
Gas 33.3 34.3
Electricity 31.4 20.2
Other 10.1 10.4 Net Working Capital increased by 88 m€
Holding 32.5 34.0 mainly due to higher gas in storage and
Investments 2.5 0.0 expanded commercial activity (+300m€
Capex 247.1 213.1 revenues).
Debt come in at 2.06b€ confirming D/Ebitda
9m 2011 free cash flows^ ratio of Q3 ‟10.
300 +260
250
200
Moody‟s and S&P‟s confirmed Hera rating
150
100
50
+3
00 (213)
-50
(88) (18)
-100 (7) (64.6)
-150
Op. Capex Dismis. NWC Minor. Other Free
CF* CF
5
^Before dividends and M&A *Op.CF=Net profit + D&A + ch. provisions
9. Closing remarks on Q3 interim results
Strong set of achievements in first 9 months
despite summer period within Q3.
Growth underpinned by all businesses even in
slow increasing economic environment and Q3 ’11 growth rates
negative impact of climate conditions. 18%
+15.4%
16%
14%
12% +10.2%
M&A is progressing well; with Aimag negotiations 10% +8.2%
ongoing. 8%
6%
4%
2%
Hera obtained the preliminary assignment for 0%
the new WTE in Florence. Authorisation process Ebitda Ebit Pretax Profit
will soon start (to obtain “VIA”).
Financial structure is sound as confirmed by
rating agencies.
Solid platform to reach year end & Business plan targets
6
11. Challenging scenario opens up opportunities for Hera platform
Business issues Hera platform
Energy upstream over-capacity Flexible Energy upstream position
Competition in Energy downstream Platform for cross selling and expansion
Waste infrastructure shortage Unique & integrated asset base / expertise
Gas distribution tenders Strong market share in all catchment area
Water referendum ATO tariff agreement up to end 2012
Financial issues
EPS downward revision Multiutility model with low risk exposure
Financial rebalancing Financial soundness/flexibility
Portfolio rationalisation Presence limited to core areas
7
12. Sticking to multi-utility expansion strategies
HERA STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
1
From 1.8 to 2.0 m customers
Downstream expansion 2.5 contracts per customer
2
Confirm gas distrib. in territory
Organic growth Extract further efficiency gains
3
Aimag consolidation
External growth opportunities Gas distribution tenders
4
Focus on “sustainable” developm.
Selective asset development New opportunities in WTE (FI)
5
EBITDA +5.6% Cagr
Enhance Returns and credit standing “A grade” ratios
8
13. Consistent growth leveraging upon “all” drivers
Next 5Y Ebitda Target
+60 800
800 +104 +29
607
600
343*
Capex 340
400
(m€)
200
0
2010 Syn & New M&A E2015
Org. G. plants
Synergies & Organic growth New Plants M&A
Market expansion in energy Biomass (Enomondo) project, Development strategy continue
and waste areas (+40m€). desorption and sorting plants, to focus on core business
Tariff adjustments in Networks and Bio digesters (+12m€). areas and on strengthening
(+20m€). Other plants to complete the Hera presence in reference
value chain (+15m€). and surrounding territories
Cost to serve and cost per starting from Aimag
POD reduction (15m€). consolidation.
* Including Aimag capex
9
14. M&A strategy focused on “traditional core dimensions”
Ebitda growth from M&A
(m€)
GAS TENDERS +13 SADORI: Gas supply activity
Tender calendar under way
M&A ‟11-‟15 Active in northern part of Marche
Hera aims at winning bids +60 m€ region (Pesaro & Ancona).
for current concessions +30
34K gas clients.
which imply coverage +17
completion of catchment Ebitda ~3m€
areas (~110m€ capex-RAB
development). Waste Energy Network s Other
Other Aimag
AIMAG: Territorial expansion
Hera strengths Gas tenders 2%
76%
17%
Coverage in territory Active in northern part of MO
4th national player province.
Sadori
Quality of service 5% Targeting a majority stake moving
M&A ‟11-‟15
Other national players +60 m€
from current 25% (bought for
35m€ in „09).
F2I 4%
Edison 3% Negotiations in progress to
pursue a share swap acquisition.
New opportunities might come from sector conditions/reforms
10
15. Overview on Ebitda growth by strategic areas
Ebitda growth
(m€)
18
+5.6% Cagr
E2015 Ebitda 293
16
+12 +2 800 m€
+81
195
Y2010 Ebitda +98 370 119
607 m€
289
107
Waste Energy Networks Other
Waste Networks Energy Other
Strategy in Waste Strategy in Networks Strategy in Energy
1. Consolidate leadership 1. Win tenders/expand gas distribution 1. Expansion and cross selling
2. Increase energy/material recovery 2. Tariffs to guarantee proper return 2. Diversify procur. mix and trading
3. Reach proper return in Urban Coll. 3. Efficiency/Innovation to enhanced return 3. Optimize cost to serve
11
16. Targets by business areas
’10-’15 Ebitda growth split by business
(m€)
Networks Waste
• Tariffs increase (avg +2% • 60% sorted collection (+12%
yearly on all regulated vs 2010) and > 90% recycle/
businesses) recovery
• -150 bp leakage in water nets • + 1,5 mln ton (+43%) waste
• +10k km network exp. (+14%) treated (excluding Hera
• +30% #POD per employee production)
+193 m€ +98
• +30% District Heating • Reduction of waste disposed
+81
volumes in landfills (from 25% to 18%)
• + 250 GWh energy
production awarded with
Green Certificates
+12
• Additional 9 new assets
Energy
• +350,000 gas clients and +240,000 electricity clients
• + 0.6 bcm of Gas and +2.6 TWh of electricity sold
• 7% reduction of Cost to serve
• +43 MW renewable energy (installed capacity)
12
17. Business risk exposure
Risk sensitivity by business
50% of Diversified
Regulated Regulatory
business risks Risk factors Impacts Mitigating
and Authorities 2010-2015 factored in factors
• Downstream • Churn gas ~ 7% • Taking care of customer base
competition • Churn E.E. ~ 12% and competitive offering
Strong Energy • Doubled churn rates
Market Some risk factor • Supply margins • Decrease (in real terms) • Upstream balance//flexible
positions have opposite
impacts on portfolio
activities • Green Certificates • 72 €/MWh in 2015 • Low exposure (each -10%
(-14% vs. 2010) GC price equal -0.4% of
Group Ebitda)
Waste • Competition on • 5-8% cut of margins • Expansion of “physical”
special waste on some special w. presence
categories
• Leverage on full service
• Gas tenders/ new • tariffs impact • Asset ownership
tariff period • Strong mkt share
Network • Water tariff system• Increase by • ATO agreements until
inflation -0.5%
the end of 2012
from 2013
• Regulatory risk • n.a.
Still retaining some Capex flexibility
13
18. Capital discipline and enhanced financial structure
Capex plan* Returns
(m€) (%)
ROI
345 343 10.5%
8.5%
2010 E2015
NIC**
(b€)
3.7 4,3
2012 2013 2014 2015
Energy Waste Network Other
E2015 Cash flows Financial ratios
(b€)
FFO/Debt Debt/Ebitda
+0.5 (0.34) 3.1x
~ 20% ~ 2.7x
15%
0.16
Operating Capex & Inv. Free Cash 2010 E2015 2010 E2015
Cash flows flows
14
* Including Aimag capex **Net invested capital
19. Closing remarks
…reliable and resilient company story
~800 m€ EBITDA (+~200 m€) with marginal risks
~340/350* m€/year of capex, down by ~78 m€/year vs past 5Y,
>60% on regulated activities
Free cash flow of all businesses in “positive” zone
Net Debt/EBITDA to 2.7 by 2015**
Confirming equity story
* Including contribution from AIMAG
** Accounting conversion of convertible bond 15
26. Networks track records
Hera track record Hera Market share in gas distribution
Networks track record (m€)
Incumbent in reference territories
(% of customers)
Cagr.%
C2004 C2005 C2006 C2007 C2008 C2009 C2010
04-10
Revenues 452.2 592.4 662.8 763.8 769.2 924.2 893.2 +12.0%
55%
Ebitda 146.2 199.9 216.3 239.4 262.4 278.1 288.8 +12.0%
Ferrara
Total networks length
(Km)
+4.5% Cagr Modena
Bologna Ravenna 80%
70.247 71.178
68.833
16%
59.612 60.974 71% Forlì-Cesena
98% Rimini
Marche
83%
C2006 C2007 C2008 C2009 C2010 Multiserviz
Average local Market Share i
64%*
92% electricity net with electronic metering
3 00
+58 236 92%
2 00
+68
+35
1 00
75
Potentials to win tenders inside the
0 reference territory and in surroundings
2007 2008 2009 2010 total
20
27. Networks internal growth drivers (1)
Visible and safe tariff enhancement Benefitting from new asset base
Avg. revenue per m3 of water distributed
(€/m3) Hera heating production sources
(GWht)
+2.9% Cagr
1.93 +8.6 % Cagr
929
1.67
20%
616 16%
17% 669
2010 E2015 Efficient
14% 28%
363
thermal energy
17% production
Total gas revenues 11% 8%
(m€) 41% 28%
+1.6 % Cagr
177
163 2010 E2015
Gas boilers Geotherm. Co-gen. WTE Hera CCGT
2010 E2015
Total electricity revenues Hera heating production sources
(m€)
+0.18% Cagr
Increase volume sold to new customer
50.0 50.4
(new urbanization)
Efficient sources for heat production
Waste contribution to increase heat gen.
Increase of margins/environmental perf.
2010 E2015
21
28. Networks internal growth drivers (2)
Economies of scale in networks management
Gas
(€/POD)
-1.7% Cagr
Average Cost per POD
(€/POD)
49
+0.02% Cagr 45
155 156
2010 E2015
Electricity Water
(€/POD) (€/POD)
2010 E2015 -0.9% Cagr +0.4% Cagr
147
140 275
270
smart metering and smart grid
workforce management
network remote control
network layout optimization
2010 E2015 2010 E2015
22
29. Networks targets
Capital discipline and efficiency gains turn cash flows to positive
Ebitda Capex
(m€) +5.1% Cagr (m€)
370
289 217
182
2010 E2015
2010 E2015
Ebitda Capex
(€/ POD) (€/ POD)
119.2 146.9 75.2 88.1
Cash Flow RAB/ NIC*
(m€) (b€)
2,6
2,3 0,3
0,2 0,4
0,3
D.H.
+0 0,9
E.E. 0,9
2010 E2015 Gas
Water 0,9 1,0
(11) 2010 E2015
(*) = Regulated Asset Base for Gas & Water; Net Invested
Capital (Fixed Asset, Working Capital less provisions) for E.E. & D.H
23
32. Keeping a balanced and effective energy upstream strategy
Sales expansion Sales coverage
Evolution of Hera Energy clients Hera Electricity provisioning mix (TWh)
(m clients)
1.9 10.8
1.4
8.2
1.2
0.9 7.6 70%
1.1 Market 5.4
66%
0.8 0.7 Hera assets 2.8 34% 3.2 30%
0.4
0.1
2004 2010 E2015 2010 E2015
Electricity Gas Exploit trading and procurement capabilities
Hera commercial strategy Reach flexibility with current asset base
Keep in focusing on residential and SoHo Identify opportunities on new leading edge projects
Further penetrate surrounding Regions in the M/L term
Keep on leveraging on “salvaguardia” customer base
(Tuscany and Umbria) Gas provisioning mix (bcm)
Focus on cross selling through a multiservice offer
3.2
Provide key industrial clients trigen solutions 2.9
Domestic 1.6 50%
1.6 56%
supply
Hera customer satisfaction Indexes 1.6 50%
(60 correspond to satisfied, 70 to delighted)
Int.l supply 1.3 44%
E2015 Implement innovative 2010 E2015
= 70
CRM practices Exploit market position
2010 69 Leverage upon direct Consolidate relationship with key player
contact points to Leverage on procurement trading capabilities
2006 67
enhance customer Exploit capacity available on international pipelines
satisfaction Expand trading strengths
Identify infrastructure opportunities
25
33. Energy targets
Growing results and decreasing capex turn cash flow to positive
Cost to serve Ebitda growth
(€/contract)
(m€)
+2.2% Cagr
-1.6% Cagr
Multi-utility approach to 21.2
119
exploit economies of 107
scale
Sales channels tailored 19.7
on clients‟ segment 43
Online services and
electronic invoices
Optimisation of customer
operations 2005 2010 E2015
2010 E2015
Cash Flow
Capex (m€)
(m€) 41 54
28 28
2010 E2015
Cash Flow per customer 27
(€)
2010 E2015
26
40. Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events (which impact the Hera
Group’s future results) that are based on current expectations, estimates and opinions of management.
These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and events that are unpredictable
and depend on circumstances that might change in future.
As a result, any expectation on Group results and estimates set out in this presentation may differ
significantly depending on changes in the unpredictable circumstances on which they are based.
Therefore, any forward -looking statement made by or on behalf of the Hera Group refer on the date
they are made.
The Hera Group shall not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in the
Group’s expectations or in the events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are
based.
Nevertheless, the Hera Group has a “profit warning policy” , in accordance with Italian laws, that shall
notify the market (under “price-sensitive” communication rules) regarding any “sensible change” that
might occur in Group expectations on future results.
32