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Texas A&M University Retailing Summit 
Opportunities for Strategic Growth 
Ted C. Vaughan, National Retail & Consumer Products Partner 
BDO USA, LLP 
Robert A. Snape, President 
BDO Capital Advisors, LLC 
BDO Capital Advisors, LLC Member FINRA/SIPC 
BDO Capital Advisors, LLC is a separate legal entity and is an affiliated company of BDO USA, LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and national professional services firm.
OVERVIEW 
Current Deal Flow 
Trends And 
Opportunities In 
The Retail 
Industry: 
 Trends in strategic expansion 
 Opportunities and risks identified 
by retailers 
 Economic and capital markets 
trends 
 Focus on retail mergers and 
acquisitions
Consumer Products Companies Ride M&A Wave 
“Global consumer 
products companies are 
in the midst of merger 
mania.” 
“Global consumer 
products M&A deal 
volume in the 1st half of 
2014 was almost 4X the 
amount during the same 
period last year, and the 
highest since 2008.” 
“The second quarter of 
2014 was the [retail and 
consumer products] 
sector’s strongest 
quarter of IPO’s in three 
years, measured both by 
the number of deals and 
the proceeds generated 
from them.”
Focus Areas for M&A 
Retailers must prove that they have: 
A defined customer base 
Consistently demonstrated growth 
A strategy for targeting a specific segment 
or demographic 
Product that sells well online
Opportunities and Risks for Retailers 
Top 10 Risks Identified by Retailers: 
1. General Economic Concerns (100%) 
2. Federal, State and/or Local Regulations (99%) 
3. Competition & Consolidation in Retail Sector (98%) 
4. U.S. and Foreign Supplier/ Vendor Concerns (96%) 
5. Labor (health coverage, union concerns, staffing) (94%) 
6. Dependency on Consumer Trends (93%) 
7. Implementation & Maintenance of IT Systems (92%) 
8. Privacy Concerns Related to Security Breach (91%) 
9. Consumer Confidence and Spending (91%) 
10. Legal Proceedings (91%)
Strategic Growth Initiatives
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW 
Conditions Continue to Improve 
7 
• World economic recovery is ongoing but 
challenged; Q2 2014 Eurozone GDP flat 
• Moderate growth continues in U.S. 
• Consumer confidence is rising but volatile 
– Net worth of U.S. households fully recovered 
from recession lows 
– Deleveraging has occurred 
– Unemployment declining 
• Manufacturing and output has recovered 
to near pre-recession levels in most 
sectors and regions 
• Companies are more productive and 
competitive 
– Profit margins at record highs 
• CAPEX expected to increase in 2014/2015 
- further fuel for growth 
• Balance sheets are strong 
‐ S&P 500 leverage ratio at 20 year low 
• Borrowing costs are low; capital is 
abundant 
• Federal Reserve tapering in full swing 
– Low inflation – labor, raw materials, energy 
costs are contained
8 
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW 
Growth Taking Hold 
GDP growth at 4.2% for Q2 2014, reversing 2.1% decline in Q1 
– Weather was major drag on Q1; sharp rebound in Q2 
– Inventory investment contributed 1.7% 
– Durable goods shipments up 3.9% in last year 
– Industrial production up 5.5%, Q2 annualized 
– Consensus forecast of 3% GDP growth for 2014; highest since 2005 
U.S. GDP Growth Rate 
6% 
4% 
2% 
0% 
-2% 
-4% 
-6% 
-8% 
-10% 
Q1'08 Q3'08 Q1'09 Q3'09 Q1'10 Q3'10 Q1'11 Q3'11 Q1'12 Q3'12 Q1'13 Q3'13 Q1'14 
Quarterly % Change
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW 
U.S. Consumers Have Money to Spend 
• U.S. Household Net Worth has grown to $80 trillion, recouping 
the $16 trillion lost during the financial crisis and growing to 
new highs 
• Total household financial obligations as a percentage of 
disposable income peaked in Q3 2007 at 17%; they are now 
down to 15% 
– Household debt is $8T mortgages, $1.1T student loans, $900B credit cards 
9 
$100 
$80 
$60 
$40 
$20 
$0 
2000 
2001 
2002 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
2014 
Trillion 
U.S. Household Net Worth 
19% 
18% 
18% 
17% 
17% 
16% 
16% 
15% 
15% 
14% 
14% 
U.S. Household Obligations as 
% of Disposable Income 
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW 
Consumer Sentiment and Confidence Building 
• Recent surveys show the U.S. consumer is gaining confidence in the future 
• Improving business conditions and job growth fueling rebound 
10 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
University of Michigan 
Consumer Sentiment 
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
The Conference Board 
Consumer Confidence 
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 
20 Year 
Average = 87
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW 
Steady Improvement in Retail Sales 
2012 2013 2014 
11 
6% 
5% 
4% 
3% 
2% 
1% 
0% 
A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J 
Y 
O 
Y 
C 
H 
A 
N 
G 
E 
Core Retail Sales* 
*Retail sales ex. autos, gas and building material
12 
Index 
YTD1 
Return 
2013 
Return 
Dow Jones 2.7% 26.5% 
NASDAQ 8.3% 35.1% 
Russell 2000 -1.2% 37.0% 
S&P 500 7.5% 29.6% 
CAPITAL MARKETS OVERVIEW 
U.S. Public Equities 
• All major market indices rose approximately 25-35% in 2013, best performance since 1997 
• $36B raised in 154 U.S. IPOs in H1 2014, most since H1 2000 
• Equity markets are seeking direction given current valuation levels – corporate earnings, 
geopolitical risk, Fed tapering 
U.S. Indices Performance Trends 
Source: S&P Capital IQ 
*1/3/11 through 9/15/14 
1YTD as of 9/15/14 
Major U.S. Indices*
CAPITAL MARKETS OVERVIEW 
Capital Reserve Balances Remain High 
• Balances held by financial and strategic buyers remain at high levels 
Strategic and Financial Capital Availability 
13 
– PE capital raised increased 68% to $220 billion in 2013 
– Highest yearly total since 2008 
• PE firms have $466 billion of dry powder, the greatest amount since 2009 
– Q1 2014 PE fundraising points to another strong year, with 95% of funds reaching their goals 
• Strategic buyers are flush with cash, and have access to attractive debt 
financing in a record low interest rate environment 
Source: PitchBook and The Federal Reserve
CAPITAL MARKETS OVERVIEW 
Banks Offer Favorable Deal Environment for Quality Companies 
• Leverage tolerances for middle market PE transactions have 
rebounded from 2009 lows and debt capital is readily available 
• With valuation multiples high, equity contributions have fallen as 
Leverage Equity Contribution 
14 
buyers access greater leverage 
Source: S&P LCD; represents deals valued between $25 million and $500 million
M&A MARKET OVERVIEW 
Historical M&A Cycles Provide Insight For Future Trends 
• Historical data supports that M&A markets are cyclical 
• Cycles are becoming more predictable and contracted 
15 
– 2-4 years separate peaks and troughs 
– 6-7 years to cover a full cycle 
Change in Announced M&A $ Volume 
Source: Thomson Reuters and private company data
GLOBAL M&A ACTIVITY 
Overall Deal Volume Rises Dramatically in 2014 
Deals with price tags >$500m account for 75% of overall market 
16 
– “Super” mega deals ($10b+) are back 
– Most markets up 40% to 45% over 2013 
– Average deal size up nearly $50m YoY 
35,000 
30,000 
25,000 
20,000 
15,000 
10,000 
5,000 
0 
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 
YTD 
2013 
YTD 
Global M&A Activity 
Number of Deals 
3.00 
2.50 
2.00 
1.50 
1.00 
0.50 
0.00 
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 
YTD 
2013 
YTD 
$ 
T 
r 
i 
l 
l 
i 
o 
n 
s 
Global M&A Activity 
Dollar Volume
M&A MARKET OVERVIEW 
Overall Market Trends Apply to Retail M&A Outlook 
17 
• Global M&A reached $1T in Q2 2014, up 
72% from Q2 2013 
– U.S. led with volume more than doubling to 
$473B 
• Growth driven, in part, by large cross-border 
tax inversion deals by U.S. 
companies 
– Retail sector active including Burger King’s 
$11.4B acquisition of Tim Horton’s 
• 20 deals valued at more than $10B in H1 
2014, most since H1 2007 
• Major drivers - record low interest rates 
and access to debt markets, high stock 
prices, encouragement by public company 
shareholders, external cost cutting 
opportunities, an increasing focus on core 
competencies, and return of corporate 
confidence 
• U.S. PE firms deployed $244B of capital in 
H1 2014, up 27% from 2013 
– Deal volume up 30%; number of transactions 
increased 7% 
• PE firms pulled back from buying public 
companies due to rising stock prices 
– Go-private transactions 3.5% of leveraged buyout 
volume in H1 2014, lowest on record, compared 
to 68% in H1 2008 
• PE firms increased secondary buyout deals 
which reached 60% of leveraged buyout 
volume in H1 2014, highest on record 
Sources: S&P Capital IQ, Dealogic, PitchBook, The Wall Street Journal
– North America 40%; Europe 32%; Asia 26% of retail activity in Q2 2014 
– PE related activity 32% of retail M&A market 
18 
RETAIL M&A OVERVIEW 
Deal Volumes Grow 
Retail deals account for just 3% of overall market 
70 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2013 YTD 
$ 
B 
i 
l 
l 
i 
o 
n 
s 
Global Retail M&A Activity 
Dollar Volume
19 
RETAIL M&A OVERVIEW 
Growth Drivers 
 Companies looking for economies of scale 
 Brand expansion / enhancement 
 Distribution and logistics efficiencies and synergies 
 Tax strategies / inversion 
 Organic growth limitations 
 Changing demographics 
 Market share expansion 
– Offense / Defense
20 
RETAIL M&A OVERVIEW 
Retail Deal Trends 
Large 
Restaurant 
Deals 
Red Lobster 
CEC 
Crossover Deals 
Between Retail 
and Technology 
Etsy / Grand St. 
@Walmartlabs / Stylr 
Etsy / Incubart 
Amazon / Iconology 
Staples / PNI Digital 
Media 
Grocers and 
Convenience 
Stores 
Safeway 
Hess / Speedway 
Deals 
for Rivals 
Signet / Zale 
Jos. A Bank / Men’s 
Warehouse
RETAIL M&A OVERVIEW 
2014 M&A Landscape Much Better Than 2013 
21 
Barring A Major 
Financial or Systemic 
Shock to the 
Financial Markets, 
2014 Retail M&A 
Activity Should 
Continue to 
Accelerate: 
 An improving macro-economic environment and positive M&A 
fundamentals are supportive of healthy transaction levels 
 Strategic buyers have record amounts of cash on their balance 
sheets, many are challenged to grow organically, and market 
confidence is on the rise 
 As stock prices climb, companies have access to a favorable 
transaction currency, a need to show earnings growth and the 
ability to pay more for acquisitions without suffering dilution 
 Private equity has over $466B in capital overhang available to be 
invested within a limited time 
 The debt markets are liquid, with leverage reaching its highest 
levels since 2007 and interest rates at historic lows 
 Strong valuations, public equity markets at record highs, 
abundant private equity, aggressive leverage multiples and the 
beginning of Fed tapering will compel sellers to act before the 
window shuts 
 Global push, drive for market share, brand diversification 
 Retail/technology “crossover” deals

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BDO Breakout Session: 2014 Texas A&M Retailing Summit

  • 1. Texas A&M University Retailing Summit Opportunities for Strategic Growth Ted C. Vaughan, National Retail & Consumer Products Partner BDO USA, LLP Robert A. Snape, President BDO Capital Advisors, LLC BDO Capital Advisors, LLC Member FINRA/SIPC BDO Capital Advisors, LLC is a separate legal entity and is an affiliated company of BDO USA, LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and national professional services firm.
  • 2. OVERVIEW Current Deal Flow Trends And Opportunities In The Retail Industry:  Trends in strategic expansion  Opportunities and risks identified by retailers  Economic and capital markets trends  Focus on retail mergers and acquisitions
  • 3. Consumer Products Companies Ride M&A Wave “Global consumer products companies are in the midst of merger mania.” “Global consumer products M&A deal volume in the 1st half of 2014 was almost 4X the amount during the same period last year, and the highest since 2008.” “The second quarter of 2014 was the [retail and consumer products] sector’s strongest quarter of IPO’s in three years, measured both by the number of deals and the proceeds generated from them.”
  • 4. Focus Areas for M&A Retailers must prove that they have: A defined customer base Consistently demonstrated growth A strategy for targeting a specific segment or demographic Product that sells well online
  • 5. Opportunities and Risks for Retailers Top 10 Risks Identified by Retailers: 1. General Economic Concerns (100%) 2. Federal, State and/or Local Regulations (99%) 3. Competition & Consolidation in Retail Sector (98%) 4. U.S. and Foreign Supplier/ Vendor Concerns (96%) 5. Labor (health coverage, union concerns, staffing) (94%) 6. Dependency on Consumer Trends (93%) 7. Implementation & Maintenance of IT Systems (92%) 8. Privacy Concerns Related to Security Breach (91%) 9. Consumer Confidence and Spending (91%) 10. Legal Proceedings (91%)
  • 7. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Conditions Continue to Improve 7 • World economic recovery is ongoing but challenged; Q2 2014 Eurozone GDP flat • Moderate growth continues in U.S. • Consumer confidence is rising but volatile – Net worth of U.S. households fully recovered from recession lows – Deleveraging has occurred – Unemployment declining • Manufacturing and output has recovered to near pre-recession levels in most sectors and regions • Companies are more productive and competitive – Profit margins at record highs • CAPEX expected to increase in 2014/2015 - further fuel for growth • Balance sheets are strong ‐ S&P 500 leverage ratio at 20 year low • Borrowing costs are low; capital is abundant • Federal Reserve tapering in full swing – Low inflation – labor, raw materials, energy costs are contained
  • 8. 8 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Growth Taking Hold GDP growth at 4.2% for Q2 2014, reversing 2.1% decline in Q1 – Weather was major drag on Q1; sharp rebound in Q2 – Inventory investment contributed 1.7% – Durable goods shipments up 3.9% in last year – Industrial production up 5.5%, Q2 annualized – Consensus forecast of 3% GDP growth for 2014; highest since 2005 U.S. GDP Growth Rate 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% -10% Q1'08 Q3'08 Q1'09 Q3'09 Q1'10 Q3'10 Q1'11 Q3'11 Q1'12 Q3'12 Q1'13 Q3'13 Q1'14 Quarterly % Change
  • 9. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW U.S. Consumers Have Money to Spend • U.S. Household Net Worth has grown to $80 trillion, recouping the $16 trillion lost during the financial crisis and growing to new highs • Total household financial obligations as a percentage of disposable income peaked in Q3 2007 at 17%; they are now down to 15% – Household debt is $8T mortgages, $1.1T student loans, $900B credit cards 9 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Trillion U.S. Household Net Worth 19% 18% 18% 17% 17% 16% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% U.S. Household Obligations as % of Disposable Income 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
  • 10. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Consumer Sentiment and Confidence Building • Recent surveys show the U.S. consumer is gaining confidence in the future • Improving business conditions and job growth fueling rebound 10 100 80 60 40 20 0 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 The Conference Board Consumer Confidence 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20 Year Average = 87
  • 11. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Steady Improvement in Retail Sales 2012 2013 2014 11 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J Y O Y C H A N G E Core Retail Sales* *Retail sales ex. autos, gas and building material
  • 12. 12 Index YTD1 Return 2013 Return Dow Jones 2.7% 26.5% NASDAQ 8.3% 35.1% Russell 2000 -1.2% 37.0% S&P 500 7.5% 29.6% CAPITAL MARKETS OVERVIEW U.S. Public Equities • All major market indices rose approximately 25-35% in 2013, best performance since 1997 • $36B raised in 154 U.S. IPOs in H1 2014, most since H1 2000 • Equity markets are seeking direction given current valuation levels – corporate earnings, geopolitical risk, Fed tapering U.S. Indices Performance Trends Source: S&P Capital IQ *1/3/11 through 9/15/14 1YTD as of 9/15/14 Major U.S. Indices*
  • 13. CAPITAL MARKETS OVERVIEW Capital Reserve Balances Remain High • Balances held by financial and strategic buyers remain at high levels Strategic and Financial Capital Availability 13 – PE capital raised increased 68% to $220 billion in 2013 – Highest yearly total since 2008 • PE firms have $466 billion of dry powder, the greatest amount since 2009 – Q1 2014 PE fundraising points to another strong year, with 95% of funds reaching their goals • Strategic buyers are flush with cash, and have access to attractive debt financing in a record low interest rate environment Source: PitchBook and The Federal Reserve
  • 14. CAPITAL MARKETS OVERVIEW Banks Offer Favorable Deal Environment for Quality Companies • Leverage tolerances for middle market PE transactions have rebounded from 2009 lows and debt capital is readily available • With valuation multiples high, equity contributions have fallen as Leverage Equity Contribution 14 buyers access greater leverage Source: S&P LCD; represents deals valued between $25 million and $500 million
  • 15. M&A MARKET OVERVIEW Historical M&A Cycles Provide Insight For Future Trends • Historical data supports that M&A markets are cyclical • Cycles are becoming more predictable and contracted 15 – 2-4 years separate peaks and troughs – 6-7 years to cover a full cycle Change in Announced M&A $ Volume Source: Thomson Reuters and private company data
  • 16. GLOBAL M&A ACTIVITY Overall Deal Volume Rises Dramatically in 2014 Deals with price tags >$500m account for 75% of overall market 16 – “Super” mega deals ($10b+) are back – Most markets up 40% to 45% over 2013 – Average deal size up nearly $50m YoY 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2013 YTD Global M&A Activity Number of Deals 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2013 YTD $ T r i l l i o n s Global M&A Activity Dollar Volume
  • 17. M&A MARKET OVERVIEW Overall Market Trends Apply to Retail M&A Outlook 17 • Global M&A reached $1T in Q2 2014, up 72% from Q2 2013 – U.S. led with volume more than doubling to $473B • Growth driven, in part, by large cross-border tax inversion deals by U.S. companies – Retail sector active including Burger King’s $11.4B acquisition of Tim Horton’s • 20 deals valued at more than $10B in H1 2014, most since H1 2007 • Major drivers - record low interest rates and access to debt markets, high stock prices, encouragement by public company shareholders, external cost cutting opportunities, an increasing focus on core competencies, and return of corporate confidence • U.S. PE firms deployed $244B of capital in H1 2014, up 27% from 2013 – Deal volume up 30%; number of transactions increased 7% • PE firms pulled back from buying public companies due to rising stock prices – Go-private transactions 3.5% of leveraged buyout volume in H1 2014, lowest on record, compared to 68% in H1 2008 • PE firms increased secondary buyout deals which reached 60% of leveraged buyout volume in H1 2014, highest on record Sources: S&P Capital IQ, Dealogic, PitchBook, The Wall Street Journal
  • 18. – North America 40%; Europe 32%; Asia 26% of retail activity in Q2 2014 – PE related activity 32% of retail M&A market 18 RETAIL M&A OVERVIEW Deal Volumes Grow Retail deals account for just 3% of overall market 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2013 YTD $ B i l l i o n s Global Retail M&A Activity Dollar Volume
  • 19. 19 RETAIL M&A OVERVIEW Growth Drivers  Companies looking for economies of scale  Brand expansion / enhancement  Distribution and logistics efficiencies and synergies  Tax strategies / inversion  Organic growth limitations  Changing demographics  Market share expansion – Offense / Defense
  • 20. 20 RETAIL M&A OVERVIEW Retail Deal Trends Large Restaurant Deals Red Lobster CEC Crossover Deals Between Retail and Technology Etsy / Grand St. @Walmartlabs / Stylr Etsy / Incubart Amazon / Iconology Staples / PNI Digital Media Grocers and Convenience Stores Safeway Hess / Speedway Deals for Rivals Signet / Zale Jos. A Bank / Men’s Warehouse
  • 21. RETAIL M&A OVERVIEW 2014 M&A Landscape Much Better Than 2013 21 Barring A Major Financial or Systemic Shock to the Financial Markets, 2014 Retail M&A Activity Should Continue to Accelerate:  An improving macro-economic environment and positive M&A fundamentals are supportive of healthy transaction levels  Strategic buyers have record amounts of cash on their balance sheets, many are challenged to grow organically, and market confidence is on the rise  As stock prices climb, companies have access to a favorable transaction currency, a need to show earnings growth and the ability to pay more for acquisitions without suffering dilution  Private equity has over $466B in capital overhang available to be invested within a limited time  The debt markets are liquid, with leverage reaching its highest levels since 2007 and interest rates at historic lows  Strong valuations, public equity markets at record highs, abundant private equity, aggressive leverage multiples and the beginning of Fed tapering will compel sellers to act before the window shuts  Global push, drive for market share, brand diversification  Retail/technology “crossover” deals