2. PAGE 2
TA B L E O F C O N T ENTS
Slide
Current Political Landscape 3
Russia 8
ISIS 13
Iran 18
Refugee Crisis 24
3. C u r r e n t P o l i t i c a l L a n d s c a p e
4. Source: Gallup Poll, October 7-11, 2015 PAGE 4
F O R E IG N P O L I CY I S S U ES N O T T H E M O S T I M P O RTANT P R O B LEMS
FA C I N G T H E U . S .
Oct 2015
Dissatisfaction with government 16%
Economy in general 13%
Immigration/Illegal aliens 8%
Unemployment/jobs 8%
Guns/Gun control 7%
Healthcare 6%
Ethics/Moral/Religiousdecline 5%
Federal budgetdeficit/Federal debt 5%
Crime/Violence 5%
Education 4%
Oct 2015
Terrorism 3%
Foreign policy/foreign aid/focus overseas 3%
National security 2%
International issues,problems 2%
Situation in Iraq/ISIS 2%
Wars/War (nonspecific)/Fear or war 2%
Middle Eastconflict 2%
Lack ofmilitary defense 2%
*Non-Foreign policy issues
below 4% not shown
5. Source: Pollster.com Aggregate data, Latest Poll as of October 28, 2015 PAGE 5
I N W H AT WA S A S T R O NG S U I T I N H I S 1 S T T E R M , A M E R ICAN S N O W
D I S A P PROV E O F O B A M A’ S J O B P E R F ORM ANCE O N F O R E IG N
P O L I C Y
Job Approval on Foreign Policy
Disapprove49.4%
Approve 35.3%
Job Approvalon Foreign
Policy worsethan Economy
and HealthCare
Approval %
OverallApproval 45%
The Economy 45%
Healthcare 43%
Foreign Policy 40%
6. Source: FOX News Poll, 9/20-22,2015 – CNN Poll, 9/4-8 – Gallup Poll, 8/5-9 PAGE 6
A M A J O RIT Y O F A M E R I CANS D I S AP PROV E O F T H E WAY B A R A C K
O B A M A I S H A N D LI NG VA R I OUS I N T E RNAT ION AL I S S UE S
33% 42% 41%
58% 55% 55%
The situation in Iran Foreign affairs Terrorism
Disapprove
Approve
Do you approve or disapproveofthe way Barack Obamais handling– the situationin Iran,foreignaffairs,terrorism?
7. Source: AP/NORC Poll, June 25 – July 7, 2015 PAGE 7
Do you think the UnitedStates
shouldtake a more or less active
role solvingthe world’s problems,or
is its currentrole aboutright?
A more active role,
27%
Its currentrole is
aboutright,33%
A less active role,
38%
Don’tknow,2%
P L U R AL ITY O F A M E R IC ANS T H I N K T H E U N I TE D S TATES S H O ULD
TA K E A L E S S A C T I VE R O L E I N S O LV ING T H E W O R LD’ S
P R O B LE MS
9. Source: Gallup Poll, February 8-11, 2015 PAGE 9
S E V E N I N T E N A M E R IC ANS H AV E A N U N FAVOR ABL E O P I N ION O F
R U S S IA
Next,I’d like your overallopinionofsome foreign countries.Whatis your overall opinion of[RUSSIA]? Is itvery favorable,
mostly favorable,mostlyunfavorable,or very unfavorable?
40%
52%
66%
63%
41%
59% 61%
58%
53%
48%
40%
47%
51% 50%
44%
34%
24%
53%
42%
27% 26%
52%
35% 33% 35%
41%
46%
53%
45%
42% 44%
50%
60%
70%
Nov-‐00
Mar-‐01
Jul-‐01
Nov-‐01
Mar-‐02
Jul-‐02
Nov-‐02
Mar-‐03
Jul-‐03
Nov-‐03
Mar-‐04
Jul-‐04
Nov-‐04
Mar-‐05
Jul-‐05
Nov-‐05
Mar-‐06
Jul-‐06
Nov-‐06
Mar-‐07
Jul-‐07
Nov-‐07
Mar-‐08
Jul-‐08
Nov-‐08
Mar-‐09
Jul-‐09
Nov-‐09
Mar-‐10
Jul-‐10
Nov-‐10
Mar-‐11
Jul-‐11
Nov-‐11
Mar-‐12
Jul-‐12
Nov-‐12
Mar-‐13
Jul-‐13
Nov-‐13
Mar-‐14
Jul-‐14
Nov-‐14
10. Source: Gallup Poll, February 8-11, 2015 PAGE 10
R U S S IA N O W S E E N A S U N I T ED S TAT ES’ G R E AT EST E N E M Y
Whatone country anywhere in the worlddo you consider to be the UnitedStates’ greatestenemy today? [OPEN END]
6%
2%
1%
2% 2%
3%
2%
9%
18%
2%
22%
15%
18%
9%
16%
10%
16%
15%
14%
10% 10%
11%
14%
16%
23%
20%
12%
8%
14%
31%
26%
25% 25%
32%
16%
9%
38%
22%
22%
21%
22%
7%
5%
7%
8%
Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15
Russia
North Korea
China
Iran
Iraq
11. Source: NBC News / WSJ Survey, October 15-18, 2015 PAGE 11
S E V E N I N T E N A M E R IC ANS H AV E A N U N FAVOR ABL E O P I N ION O F
V L A D I MIR P U T I N
Next,we’dlike to getyour overallopinion ofsome peoplein the news.As I readeach name,pleasesay ifyou have a
favorable or unfavorable opinionofthese people – or ifyou have never heardaboutthem.How about[Vladimir Putin]?
13%
72%
Favorable
Unfavorable
Note: Never heard of
and No opinion not
shown
12. Source: CNN Poll, September 4-8, 2015 PAGE 12
A VA S T M A J O RI TY O F A M E R I CANS P E R CEI VE R U S SIA A S A V E R Y
O R M O D E RATE LY S E R IO US T H R EAT T O T H E U N I T ED S TAT ES
Very serious
threat,
49%
Justa slight
threat,
11%
Moderately
serious
threat,
33%
No threat
at all,
7%
Would you say that the following [RUSSIA] represent a
very serious threat to the United States, a moderately
serious threat, just a slight threat, or no threat at all?
82% Believe Russia
Represents a
Very or Moderately
Serious Threat to the
United States
14. Source: Quinnipiac Poll, Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2015
PAGE 14
MAJORITIES OF AMERICANS BELIEVE THE U.S. IS LOSING THE FIGHT
AGAINST ISIS AND THAT THINGS ARE GOING BADLY IN IRAQ & SYRIA
FOR THE U.S.
Do you think the United States and its allies are
winning or losing the fight against ISIS?
In general, how would you say things are
going for the U.S. in its military action
against ISIS forces in Iraq and Syria – very
well, moderately well, moderately badly,
or very badly?
16%
66%
Winning Losing
Note: Unsure
results not
shown
Well Badly
Total 31%
Total 67%
Moderately,
27%
Very,4%
Moderately,
36%
Very,31%
Source: CNN/ORC Poll, October 14-17, 2015
15. Source: CNN/ORC Poll, October 14-17, 2015 PAGE 15
S E V E N I N T E N A M E R IC ANS T H I N K T H E P R E SI DEN T D O E S N O T
H AV E A C L E A R P L A N F O R D E A L IN G W I T H I S I S
27%
71%
2%
Yes, has a clear strategy No, does not have a clear strategy No opinion
Do you think Barack Obamadoes or does nothave a clear planfor dealingwith ISIS?
16. Source: YouGov Poll, September 30 – October 1, 2015 PAGE 16
A M E R IC ANS S U P P ORT A I R S T R I K ES A G A I NST I S I S R AT H ER
T H A N S E N DI NG I N G R O U ND T R O OP S
Do you supportor oppose U.S.
air strikes in IraqandSyria
againstISIS? Do you supportor
oppose sendingU.S.ground
troops to fight ISIS?
64%
61%
53%
88%
35%
26% 28%
59%
Total Democrats Independents Republicans
Air strikes Ground troops
17. Source: CNN/ORC Poll, October 14-17, 2015 PAGE 17
M A J O RI TY O F A M E R I CAN S A R E AT L E A S T S O M E WHAT W O R RI ED
T H AT M I L I TA RY A C T IO N A G A IN ST I S I S W I L L L E A D T O A L A R G E R
WA R
How worriedare you thatthe military action
againstISISforces in IraqandSyria will
developinto a larger war thatcouldspread
throughoutthe region andother parts ofthe
world? Wouldyou say you arevery worried,
somewhatworried,nottoo worried,or not
worriedatall?
Total
worried:
76%
19. Source: FOX News Poll, September 20-22, 2015 PAGE 19
MAJORITY OF AMERICANS THINK IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL WILL MAKE
THE UNITED STATES LESS SAFE
26%
56%
5%
13%
Safer
Less safe
No different
DK/NA
Do you think the agreementon Iran’s nuclear program will
make the United States safer or less safe?
10%
22%
46%
80%
59%
32%
1%
9%
6%
9%
11%
16%
Republicans
Independents
Democrats
Safer Less safe No different DK/NA
20. PAGE 20
Source QuestionText Support /
Approve
Oppose /
Disapprove
FOX News
Oct. 10-12
For reference:Ifyou were in Congress andhad to castan up-or-downvote on the
recentdeal withIran thatlifts sanctions for ten years in exchange for Iran curtailingits
pursuitofa nuclear program over thattime period– would you approveor rejectthe
deal?
31% 58%
ABC News/
WashingtonPost
Sep. 7-10
As you may know,the U.S.and other countries have announced a deal to lift
economic sanctions againstIran in exchangefor Iran agreeingnotto produce nuclear
weapons.International inspectors would monitor Iran’s facilities,andifIran is caught
breaking the agreementeconomic sanctionswould beimposed again.Do you support
or oppose this agreement? (askedof half sample)
51% 41%
ABC News/
WashingtonPost
Sep. 7-10
As you may know,the U.S.and other countries have announced a deal to lift
economic sanctions againstIran in exchangefor Iran agreeingnotto produce nuclear
weapons.Do you supportor oppose this agreement??(asked of half sample)
45% 44%
CNN/ORC
Sep. 4-8
Do you think Congress should approveor rejectthe deal with Iran?
47% 49%
Pew Research Center
Sep. 3-7
From whatyou know do youapprove or disapproveofthe recentagreementon Iran’s
nuclear programbetween Iran,the UnitedStates and other nations? 21% 49%
S U P P ORT F O R I R A N N U C LE AR D E A L VA R I ES D E P E NDI NG O N H O W THE
Q U E S TI ON I S A S K E D
21. Source: Pew Research Center Poll, September 3-7, 2015 PAGE 21
A M A J O RIT Y O F A M E R I CANS H AV E L I T T LE T O N O C O N F ID ENCE T H AT
I R A N W I L L U P H O LD T H E T E R MS O F T H E A G R E EME NT
How much confidence do you have that Iran’s leaders will uphold their side of the agreement?
A greatdeal
2%
A fair amount
18%
Nottoo much
28%
None atall
43%
Unsure/Refused
9%
Total with little to
no confidence:
71%
22. Source: Pew Research Center Poll, September 3-7, 2015 PAGE 22
B U T A S M A L LE R M A J ORI TY O F A M E R ICA NS H AV E L I T T LE T O N O
C O N F ID ENCE I N T H E U N I T E D S TATES’ A B I L I TY T O M O N I TOR I R A N
How much confidence do youhavein the U.S. and international agencies’ ability to monitor Iran’s compliance with theagreement?
A greatdeal
12%
A fair amount
30%
Nottoo much
27%
None atall
24%
Unsure/Refused
7%
Total with little to no
confidence: 51%
23. Source: CNN Poll, September 4-8,2015 PAGE 23
MAJORITY OF AMERICANS WANT U.S. TO TAKE MILITARY ACTION
AGAINST IRAN IF THE AGREEMENT IS VIOLATED
SupposeIran violates its terms,if
thathappens,do you think the
U.S. shouldor should nottake
military actionagainstIran?
Should take
military
action, 64%
Should not
take military
action, 34%
No opinion,
2%
25. Source: Pew Research Center Poll, September 22-27, 2015 PAGE 25
M A J O RI TY O F A M E R I CAN S H AV E H E A R D A L O T A B O U T T H E
R E F U GE E C R I SI S A N D A P L U R ALI TY O F A M E R ICA NS T H I NK T H E
U . S . S H O U LD B E D O I N G M O R E T O A D D RE SS T H E S I T U ATI ON
How much, if anything, haveyou heard about
large numbers of migrants fleeingviolencein
Syria and other countries andenteringEurope?
A lot, 55% A little, 32%
Nothing
at all,
12%
More, 44% Less, 19%
Doing what it
should, 31%
In general, do youthink theUnitedStates
should be doingmore, shouldbe doing less, or
is the U.S. doing about what it should to address
the refugee situation?
26. Source: Pew Research Center, September 22-27, 2015 PAGE 26
A N D A S L I G H T M A J ORI TY O F A M E R I CAN S A P P RO VE O F T H E
U N I T ED S TAT ES’ D E C I SI ON T O I N C R EAS E A C C E PTANC E O F
R E F U GE ES
Approve,
51%
Disapprove,
45%
Unsure,
4%
69%
51%
30%
29%
43%
67%
2%
5%
3%
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
Approve Disapprove Unsure
In order to help deal with this situation,the United States recently
announcedit will increase the number of refugees it accepts. All in
all, do you approve or disapprove of this decision?
27. Source: NBC/WSJ Survey, September 20-24, 2015 PAGE 27
BUT ALMOST A QUARTER OF AMERICANS THINK WE SHOULD TAKE IN
NO ADDITIONAL SYRIAN REFUGEES
Take none
at all, 24%
Right
amount,
35%
Take
fewer,
17%
Take
more,
21%
Not sure,
3%
The Obama administrationis recommending
the United States take in at leastten
thousand (10,000) Syrian refugees over the
next year. Do you think the United States
should – take in more refugees from Syria,
take in fewer refugees from Syria – this is
about the right amount, or should theUnited
States take no Syrian refugees at all?
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