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The Public Opinion Landscape:
Health Care




March 26, 2012
SUMMARY
1. Two years since being signed into law, opinion on the health reform law
   remains divided
     •   Views on the health reform law remain strongly partisan

2.   Most elements of the health reform law are viewed favorably with the
     exception of the individual mandate

3.   Most Americans consider the individual mandate unconstitutional
     •    A substantial minority believes the law has been overturned by the
          Supreme Court




                                                                               1
Views on Reform




                  2
TWO YEARS OF CLOSELY DIVIDED OPINION ON ACA
       As you may know, a health reform bill was signed into law in 2010. Given what you know about the health
       reform law, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of it?
 80%


        ACA signed into law
        on March 23, 2010
                                            Favorable                      Unfavorable                    Don’t know/Refused
 60%

                          50                              50                                              51
                     48              49                          48
          46                    45                                    46             46
                44                        44                                    44        43 44 43              44 43 44 43
                                                42 42                      41                                                         41%
 40%
                                43        42                     43 42
          40 41 41                   40         40 41 41               41 42 42 42                   41              41          42
                                                                                                                                      40%
                                                                                                39
                                                                                                                37        37
                          35                                                                              34

                                                18   18                    18                                   19        19          19%
 20%                                                                                            17   16              17
          14    14        14              15                                    14        15              15                     15
                                12                                    13             12
                     10              11
                                                            9    8


  0%
          Apr May Jun     Jul   Aug Sep   Oct   Nov Dec   Jan    Feb Mar   Apr May Jun    Jul   Aug Sep   Oct   Nov Dec   Jan    Feb Mar
         2010




                                                          2011




                                                                                                                          2012
                                                                       A recent CBS News/New York Times poll
                                                                       shows 47 percent of Americans disapprove
                                                                       of the Affordable Care Act, with 36 percent
                                                                       indicating they support the law.                                     3
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
A LASTING PARTISAN GAP ON ACA
       Percent who say they have a favorable opinion of the health reform law:

        ACA signed into law
        on March 23, 2010                            Democrats                  Independents                      Republicans
 80%      78                         75
                72        73                              73          71        72
                     69         68        69 68 69
                                                                 66        64        65 64           65                     66%
                                                                                                60              62 64 62 64
 60%
                                                                                                          52
                     49 48
                                41 42                            43        41
                                                                                          38                                     40 40%
 40%      36 37                           34
                                                37 37
                                                          34
                                                                      37        35 33                36
                                                                                                33        32 34 33 30

                     23 21           21                                                         24
                                                                                     20                             19
 20%                            16              15                              17        16                                     16
          13                                         12 12 11              12                        14
                                          11                          9                                   11 12           12          12%
                8

  0%
          Apr May Jun     Jul   Aug Sep   Oct   Nov Dec   Jan    Feb Mar   Apr May Jun    Jul   Aug Sep   Oct   Nov Dec   Jan    Feb Mar
         2010




                                                          2011




                                                                                                                          2012
                                                                                                                                           4
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
REPUBLICAN OPPOSITION MARKEDLY MORE
    INTENSE THAN DEMOCRATIC SUPPORT
     As you may know, a new health reform bill was signed into law early last year. Given
     what you know about the health reform law, do you have a generally favorable or
     generally unfavorable opinion of it?


                 Total                           18%         23%        11%        29%


        Democrats                        34%              32%           6%6%



    Independents                                 15%        25%         13%          29%


                                                          4%       8% 15%                       60%
       Republicans
                                Very Favorable     Somewhat Favorable    Somewhat Unfavorable         Very Unfavorable



                                                                               Note: DK/REF answers not shown.
                                                                                                                         5
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll, February 29 – March 5, 2012
VAST MAJORITY HAVE HEARD MOSTLY NEGATIVE
    THINGS ABOUT THE LAW
   Have the things you’ve heard about this law recently been mainly (positive) or mainly (negative)?




                   Mainly
                positive, 19%
                                                                            Mainly
                                                                         negative, 70%

                      Mixed, 5%




         0%         10%          20%         30%          40%    50%          60%             70%


                                                                                                         6
                                                                   Note: No opinion answers not shown.
Source: ABC News/Washington Post Poll, March 7-10, 2012
MOST AMERICANS FEEL THEY UNDERSTAND THE
    REFORMS THAT WERE PASSED BUT ONLY SOMEWHAT
    WELL; A QUARTER ADMITS THEY LACK UNDERSTANDING

     How well do you feel you understand the healthcare reforms that were passed by
     Congress in March of 2010?



           Feb-12     10%          18%                     44%                        12%           15%




           Apr-10     8%          20%                      44%                           17%            12%




                              Extremely Well   Very Well    Somewhat Well         Not Too Well        Not Well At All




                                                                            Note: “Don’t know / Refused answers not     7
                                                                            shown.
Source: AP-GfK Poll, February, 16-20, 2012
FEW HAVE FELT LAW’S EFFECT
  THOSE WHO HAVE CITE INCREASED ACCESS AND COST
    So far, would you say you and your family have                  So far, would you say you and your family
    personally benefitted from the health reform                    have been negatively affected by the health
    law, or not?                                                    reform law, or not?




                                                                                                       21%
              83%                           14%                                  76%                   Yes
                                            Yes                                   No
               No                                                                                        4%
                                            3%                                                         DK/REF
                                          DK/REF




      Most common benefit: Access to health care (39%)                      Most common negative: Cost (52%)

                                                                                                                8
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
MIXED FEELINGS ABOUT LAW’S IMPACT ON
   THE COUNTRY
   Do you think the country as a whole will be better off or worse off under the new health reform
   law, or don’t you think it will make much difference?


                                            The country as a whole
        50%

        40%                  38%                              36%
        30%

        20%                                                                                        18%

        10%

         0%
                         Better off                       Worse off                    Wont make much
                                                                                         difference
                                                                              Note: “Depends” (vol.) and Don’t know /
                                                                              Refused answers not shown.
                                                                                                                        9
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
ONLY A QUARTER OF AMERICANS BELIEVE THE LAW
    WILL MAKE THEIR FAMILY’S HEALTHCARE SITUATION
    BETTER; VIEWS ARE HIGHLY PARTISAN
   Now suppose all the provisions of the healthcare law go into effect in the next few years. In the long
   run, how do you think the healthcare law would affect your family’s healthcare situation? Would it
   make things better, not make much difference, or would it make things worse?


          All Americans           24%                 34%                                38%



             Democrats                    40%                               43%                      12%



          Independents             26%                33%                                 35%



            Republicans 3%           25%                                     68%


                                Make Better           Not Much Difference                       Make Worse

                                                                                                                            10
                                                                            Note: Don’t know / Refused answers not shown.
Source: USA Today/Gallup Poll, February 20-21, 2012
MORE PERCEIVE NEGATIVE EFFECTS OF LAW
   THAN POSITIVE EFFECTS
       As of today, do you think the health care law has or has not done each of the following?


                           YES, health care               NO, health care law
                                                                                            Don’t know/Refused
                           law has done this              has not done this


                   Increased the federal budget deficit                54%                    32%       15%


  Significantly increased the price of health insurance              49%                     38%        12%

   Allowed many young adults under age 26 to obtain
                                                                     47%                    33%       19%
                         health insurance coverage
    Caused many employers to drop health insurance
                     coverage for their employees
                                                                     44%                    40%        16%

Eliminated costs for preventive services such as blood
                                                               27%                    51%             22%
 pressure screenings for people with health insurance

           Lowered prescription drug costs for seniors         26%                    50%             24%

                                                                                                                 11
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
Elements of the Law




                      12
MOST ELEMENTS OF LAW VIEWED FAVORABLY BY
     MAJORITY OF PUBLIC
         Next, I’m going to read you several elements of the health reform law. As I read each one,
         please tell me whether you feel very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable,
         or very unfavorable about it.


                                                                        Very      Somewhat Somewhat         Very
                                                                      favorable    favorable unfavorable unfavorable
Require easy-to-understand plan summaries                               50%          29%         7%          11%
Guaranteed issue                                                         45           24         11           17
Tax credits to small businesses                                          44           36          8           8
Subsidy assistance to individuals                                        43           28         10           15
No cost sharing for preventive services                                  42           27         15           13
Health plan decision appeals                                             37           34         12           12
Medicaid expansion                                                       36           34         12           15
Medical loss ratio                                                       32           25         16           19
Employer mandate/penalty for large employers                             29           25         15           29
Increase Medicare payroll tax on upper income                            26           27         17           24
Basic benefits package, defined by government                            23           28         15           31
Individual mandate/penalty                                               15           17         12           54

Response wording abbreviated. Don’t know/Refused answers not shown.

                                                                                                                13
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
MOST POPULAR PROVISIONS AMONG LEAST
    WIDELY RECOGNIZED
       Percent who say they have a favorable opinion of each of the following and percent who say
       they are aware each is included in the health reform law:

                                Percent with a favorable           Percent who are aware
                                view of provision                  provision is included in ACA

                                                                                                        80%
                      Tax credits to small businesses
                                                                                      49%
                                                                                                        79%
        Require easy-to-understand plan summaries
                                                                                      49%
                                                                                                  71%
                        Health plan decision appeals
                                                                                      51%
                                                                                                  69%
              No cost sharing for preventive services
                                                                              37%
                                                                                            57%
                                    Medical loss ratio
                                                                             35%



                                                                           32%
                         Individual mandate/penalty
                                                                                              64%

                                                                                                              14
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
AMERICANS OPPOSE THE INDIVIDUAL MANDATE

     Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose a law...

     …that would require every American to have health insurance, or pay money to the
     government as a penalty if they do not, unless the person is very poor?


                     Jan, 2011                                               Feb, 2012


                      59%                                                             58%
                       Oppose                                                  Oppose



                           31%                7%                            34%
                                                                                                       6%
                       Favor                Neither                            Favor                   Neither


                                                                                                          15
                                                       Note: Don’t know / Refused answers not shown.
Source: AP-GfK Poll, February 16-20, 2012
BUT FAVOR THE EMPLOYER MANDATE

     Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose a law...

     …requiring most medium-size and large companies to offer health insurance to their
     employees or pay money to the government as a penalty if they don’t?

                      Jan, 2011                                              Feb, 2012



                                 32%                                                        32%
                               Oppose                                                   Oppose

                                       9%                                      60%
                        59%                  Neither                          Favor                    6%
                      Favor                                                                            Neither


                                                                                                          16
                                                       Note: Don’t know / Refused answers not shown.
Source: AP-GfK Poll, February, 16-20, 2012
Next Steps




             17
PLURALITY OF AMERICANS THINK LAW MAY NEED
    SMALL TWEAKS BUT WANT TO SEE HOW IT WORKS;
    OVER A THIRD WANT IT REPEALED
     Turning to the health care law passed last year, what is your opinion of the law? It should be
     repealed. It may need small modifications, but we should see how it works. It should be left alone.


         50%                                    46%

         40%                    37%

         30%                                                                         Should be repealed
                                                                                     See how it works
         20%                                                                         Should be left alone
                                                        11%
         10%

           0%

                                                                                                            18
Source: Bloomberg News Poll, March 8-11, 2012                   Note: “Unsure” answers not shown.
Constitutionality




                    19
FOUR IN TEN ARE UNSURE WHETHER THE LAW
   HAS BEEN OVERTURNED BY THE SUPREME
   COURT OR MISTAKENLY BELIEVE IT HAS BEEN
   OVERTURNED
                                                                                      As far as you
                                                                                      know, which comes
         It has been overturned                                                       closest to describing
         by the Supreme Court                     14%                                 the current status of
         and is no longer law                                                         the health reform law
                                                                                      that was passed in
                                                                     58%              2010?
                                         28%                    It is still the
                                          Don’t                  law of the
                                          know/
                                         Refused
                                                                     land




                                                                                                              20
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
MOST AMERICANS BELIEVE THE INDIVIDUAL
    MANDATE IS UNCONSTITUTIONAL
       As you may know, the Supreme Court will hear arguments next month concerning a
       requirement in the healthcare law that every American must buy health insurance or pay a
       fine. Regardless of whether you favor or oppose the law, do you think this requirement is
       constitutional or unconstitutional?


                                All Americans         20%                              72%

                                   Democrats                37%                               56%

                                Independents          21%                              70%

                                  Republicans    6%                                  94%

          Think healthcare law is a good thing              38%                               54%

            Think healthcare law is a bad thing 4%                                  94%


                                                            Constitutional            Unconstitutional

                                                                                                                             21
Source: USA Today/Gallup Poll, February 20-21, 2012                          Note: Don’t know / Refused answers not shown.
AS HEALTH CARE LAW’S TRIAL APPROACHES,
   PLURALITY OF AMERICANS SAY DITCH ENTIRE LAW
  The U.S. Supreme Court will hear arguments about the health care law later this month. Of these
  three options, which would you prefer to have the Supreme Court do: 1) uphold the entire law, 2)
  throw out the part of the law that requires individuals to have coverage and keep the rest of the
  law, or 3) throw out the entire law?



                                                                 42%


               26%                       25%


                                                                                       7%


          Uphold the law            Throw out the         Throw out the whole      No opinion
                                      mandate                    law

                                                                                                      22
Source: ABC News/Washington Post Poll, March 7-10, 2012
IF SUPREME COURT RULES AGAINST ACA, SIX IN TEN
    WANT LAWMAKERS TO KEEP WORKING ON PROPOSALS
       If the Supreme Court rules that the health care law is unconstitutional, do you think
       lawmakers should focus on developing new proposals to improve Americans’ access to
       affordable health care, or should they stop talking about health care and focus on other
       national problems?


           All Americans                              60%                                  34%



              Democrats                                      72%                                   25%



           Independents                              57%                                35%



            Republicans                           52%                                  43%


                            Focus on developing new proposals to improve    Stop talking about health care and focus on
                              Americans’ access to affordable health care             other national problems

                                                                                                                          23
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
The Players




              24
MAJORITY CONTINUE TO DISAPPROVE OF
 OBAMA’S HANDLING OF HEALTH CARE
   Obama Job Approval – Health Care




                                                                As of March 24



                                                                 OPPOSE: 50%

                                                                 FAVOR: 42%

                                 President Obama signs health
                                 care reform bill into law on
                                 March 23, 2010




Source: Pollster.com Aggregate Data, as of March 24, 2012
DEMOCRATS SEEN AS BETTER ON HEALTHCARE
 THAN REPUBLICANS

    And which party could
                                                            Both
    do a better job of               Republican Democratic                      Neither   DK/Ref
                                                           Equally
    [DEALING WITH                      Party      Party                          (vol.)    (vol.)
                                                            (vol.)
    HEALTHCARE]?

    Mar 7-11, 2012                       35%              49%              1%    7%        8%

    Sep 22-Oct 4, 2011                   38%              49%              3%    4%        6%

    Mar 30-Apr 3, 2011                   40%              42%              6%    5%        7%

    Oct 13-18, 2010                      32%              39%              5%    11%       13%

    Aug 25-Sep 6, 2010                   36%              45%              5%    7%        6%



                                                                                                    26
Source: Pew Research Center For The People & The Press, March 7-11, 2012
GPG Research
GPG has a full-scale internal research team offering the full complement of qualitative and
quantitative public opinion research services. We use research to inform message
development and communication strategy, as well as to help clients assess and monitor
critical issues and track the effectiveness of strategic communication campaigns.
GPG has a deep experience conducting research about complex health care topics with
diverse audiences. We go beyond the standard Q&A, using innovative, projective techniques
to uncover key insights. The result is actionable research that helps shape our clients’
messaging and strategy.




For more information about this presentation or to find out more
about GPG’s research capabilities contact:
      Susan Kannel (skannel@gpgdc.com) I Chris Gallup (cgallup@gpgdc.com)




                                                                                              27

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Public opinion landscape health care - mar 26

  • 1. The Public Opinion Landscape: Health Care March 26, 2012
  • 2. SUMMARY 1. Two years since being signed into law, opinion on the health reform law remains divided • Views on the health reform law remain strongly partisan 2. Most elements of the health reform law are viewed favorably with the exception of the individual mandate 3. Most Americans consider the individual mandate unconstitutional • A substantial minority believes the law has been overturned by the Supreme Court 1
  • 4. TWO YEARS OF CLOSELY DIVIDED OPINION ON ACA As you may know, a health reform bill was signed into law in 2010. Given what you know about the health reform law, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of it? 80% ACA signed into law on March 23, 2010 Favorable Unfavorable Don’t know/Refused 60% 50 50 51 48 49 48 46 45 46 46 44 44 44 43 44 43 44 43 44 43 42 42 41 41% 40% 43 42 43 42 40 41 41 40 40 41 41 41 42 42 42 41 41 42 40% 39 37 37 35 34 18 18 18 19 19 19% 20% 17 16 17 14 14 14 15 14 15 15 15 12 13 12 10 11 9 8 0% Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 2010 2011 2012 A recent CBS News/New York Times poll shows 47 percent of Americans disapprove of the Affordable Care Act, with 36 percent indicating they support the law. 3 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
  • 5. A LASTING PARTISAN GAP ON ACA Percent who say they have a favorable opinion of the health reform law: ACA signed into law on March 23, 2010 Democrats Independents Republicans 80% 78 75 72 73 73 71 72 69 68 69 68 69 66 64 65 64 65 66% 60 62 64 62 64 60% 52 49 48 41 42 43 41 38 40 40% 40% 36 37 34 37 37 34 37 35 33 36 33 32 34 33 30 23 21 21 24 20 19 20% 16 15 17 16 16 13 12 12 11 12 14 11 9 11 12 12 12% 8 0% Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 2010 2011 2012 4 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
  • 6. REPUBLICAN OPPOSITION MARKEDLY MORE INTENSE THAN DEMOCRATIC SUPPORT As you may know, a new health reform bill was signed into law early last year. Given what you know about the health reform law, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of it? Total 18% 23% 11% 29% Democrats 34% 32% 6%6% Independents 15% 25% 13% 29% 4% 8% 15% 60% Republicans Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable Note: DK/REF answers not shown. 5 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll, February 29 – March 5, 2012
  • 7. VAST MAJORITY HAVE HEARD MOSTLY NEGATIVE THINGS ABOUT THE LAW Have the things you’ve heard about this law recently been mainly (positive) or mainly (negative)? Mainly positive, 19% Mainly negative, 70% Mixed, 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 6 Note: No opinion answers not shown. Source: ABC News/Washington Post Poll, March 7-10, 2012
  • 8. MOST AMERICANS FEEL THEY UNDERSTAND THE REFORMS THAT WERE PASSED BUT ONLY SOMEWHAT WELL; A QUARTER ADMITS THEY LACK UNDERSTANDING How well do you feel you understand the healthcare reforms that were passed by Congress in March of 2010? Feb-12 10% 18% 44% 12% 15% Apr-10 8% 20% 44% 17% 12% Extremely Well Very Well Somewhat Well Not Too Well Not Well At All Note: “Don’t know / Refused answers not 7 shown. Source: AP-GfK Poll, February, 16-20, 2012
  • 9. FEW HAVE FELT LAW’S EFFECT THOSE WHO HAVE CITE INCREASED ACCESS AND COST So far, would you say you and your family have So far, would you say you and your family personally benefitted from the health reform have been negatively affected by the health law, or not? reform law, or not? 21% 83% 14% 76% Yes Yes No No 4% 3% DK/REF DK/REF Most common benefit: Access to health care (39%) Most common negative: Cost (52%) 8 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
  • 10. MIXED FEELINGS ABOUT LAW’S IMPACT ON THE COUNTRY Do you think the country as a whole will be better off or worse off under the new health reform law, or don’t you think it will make much difference? The country as a whole 50% 40% 38% 36% 30% 20% 18% 10% 0% Better off Worse off Wont make much difference Note: “Depends” (vol.) and Don’t know / Refused answers not shown. 9 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
  • 11. ONLY A QUARTER OF AMERICANS BELIEVE THE LAW WILL MAKE THEIR FAMILY’S HEALTHCARE SITUATION BETTER; VIEWS ARE HIGHLY PARTISAN Now suppose all the provisions of the healthcare law go into effect in the next few years. In the long run, how do you think the healthcare law would affect your family’s healthcare situation? Would it make things better, not make much difference, or would it make things worse? All Americans 24% 34% 38% Democrats 40% 43% 12% Independents 26% 33% 35% Republicans 3% 25% 68% Make Better Not Much Difference Make Worse 10 Note: Don’t know / Refused answers not shown. Source: USA Today/Gallup Poll, February 20-21, 2012
  • 12. MORE PERCEIVE NEGATIVE EFFECTS OF LAW THAN POSITIVE EFFECTS As of today, do you think the health care law has or has not done each of the following? YES, health care NO, health care law Don’t know/Refused law has done this has not done this Increased the federal budget deficit 54% 32% 15% Significantly increased the price of health insurance 49% 38% 12% Allowed many young adults under age 26 to obtain 47% 33% 19% health insurance coverage Caused many employers to drop health insurance coverage for their employees 44% 40% 16% Eliminated costs for preventive services such as blood 27% 51% 22% pressure screenings for people with health insurance Lowered prescription drug costs for seniors 26% 50% 24% 11 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
  • 13. Elements of the Law 12
  • 14. MOST ELEMENTS OF LAW VIEWED FAVORABLY BY MAJORITY OF PUBLIC Next, I’m going to read you several elements of the health reform law. As I read each one, please tell me whether you feel very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable about it. Very Somewhat Somewhat Very favorable favorable unfavorable unfavorable Require easy-to-understand plan summaries 50% 29% 7% 11% Guaranteed issue 45 24 11 17 Tax credits to small businesses 44 36 8 8 Subsidy assistance to individuals 43 28 10 15 No cost sharing for preventive services 42 27 15 13 Health plan decision appeals 37 34 12 12 Medicaid expansion 36 34 12 15 Medical loss ratio 32 25 16 19 Employer mandate/penalty for large employers 29 25 15 29 Increase Medicare payroll tax on upper income 26 27 17 24 Basic benefits package, defined by government 23 28 15 31 Individual mandate/penalty 15 17 12 54 Response wording abbreviated. Don’t know/Refused answers not shown. 13 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
  • 15. MOST POPULAR PROVISIONS AMONG LEAST WIDELY RECOGNIZED Percent who say they have a favorable opinion of each of the following and percent who say they are aware each is included in the health reform law: Percent with a favorable Percent who are aware view of provision provision is included in ACA 80% Tax credits to small businesses 49% 79% Require easy-to-understand plan summaries 49% 71% Health plan decision appeals 51% 69% No cost sharing for preventive services 37% 57% Medical loss ratio 35% 32% Individual mandate/penalty 64% 14 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
  • 16. AMERICANS OPPOSE THE INDIVIDUAL MANDATE Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose a law... …that would require every American to have health insurance, or pay money to the government as a penalty if they do not, unless the person is very poor? Jan, 2011 Feb, 2012 59% 58% Oppose Oppose 31% 7% 34% 6% Favor Neither Favor Neither 15 Note: Don’t know / Refused answers not shown. Source: AP-GfK Poll, February 16-20, 2012
  • 17. BUT FAVOR THE EMPLOYER MANDATE Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose a law... …requiring most medium-size and large companies to offer health insurance to their employees or pay money to the government as a penalty if they don’t? Jan, 2011 Feb, 2012 32% 32% Oppose Oppose 9% 60% 59% Neither Favor 6% Favor Neither 16 Note: Don’t know / Refused answers not shown. Source: AP-GfK Poll, February, 16-20, 2012
  • 19. PLURALITY OF AMERICANS THINK LAW MAY NEED SMALL TWEAKS BUT WANT TO SEE HOW IT WORKS; OVER A THIRD WANT IT REPEALED Turning to the health care law passed last year, what is your opinion of the law? It should be repealed. It may need small modifications, but we should see how it works. It should be left alone. 50% 46% 40% 37% 30% Should be repealed See how it works 20% Should be left alone 11% 10% 0% 18 Source: Bloomberg News Poll, March 8-11, 2012 Note: “Unsure” answers not shown.
  • 21. FOUR IN TEN ARE UNSURE WHETHER THE LAW HAS BEEN OVERTURNED BY THE SUPREME COURT OR MISTAKENLY BELIEVE IT HAS BEEN OVERTURNED As far as you know, which comes It has been overturned closest to describing by the Supreme Court 14% the current status of and is no longer law the health reform law that was passed in 58% 2010? 28% It is still the Don’t law of the know/ Refused land 20 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
  • 22. MOST AMERICANS BELIEVE THE INDIVIDUAL MANDATE IS UNCONSTITUTIONAL As you may know, the Supreme Court will hear arguments next month concerning a requirement in the healthcare law that every American must buy health insurance or pay a fine. Regardless of whether you favor or oppose the law, do you think this requirement is constitutional or unconstitutional? All Americans 20% 72% Democrats 37% 56% Independents 21% 70% Republicans 6% 94% Think healthcare law is a good thing 38% 54% Think healthcare law is a bad thing 4% 94% Constitutional Unconstitutional 21 Source: USA Today/Gallup Poll, February 20-21, 2012 Note: Don’t know / Refused answers not shown.
  • 23. AS HEALTH CARE LAW’S TRIAL APPROACHES, PLURALITY OF AMERICANS SAY DITCH ENTIRE LAW The U.S. Supreme Court will hear arguments about the health care law later this month. Of these three options, which would you prefer to have the Supreme Court do: 1) uphold the entire law, 2) throw out the part of the law that requires individuals to have coverage and keep the rest of the law, or 3) throw out the entire law? 42% 26% 25% 7% Uphold the law Throw out the Throw out the whole No opinion mandate law 22 Source: ABC News/Washington Post Poll, March 7-10, 2012
  • 24. IF SUPREME COURT RULES AGAINST ACA, SIX IN TEN WANT LAWMAKERS TO KEEP WORKING ON PROPOSALS If the Supreme Court rules that the health care law is unconstitutional, do you think lawmakers should focus on developing new proposals to improve Americans’ access to affordable health care, or should they stop talking about health care and focus on other national problems? All Americans 60% 34% Democrats 72% 25% Independents 57% 35% Republicans 52% 43% Focus on developing new proposals to improve Stop talking about health care and focus on Americans’ access to affordable health care other national problems 23 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls, February 29 – March 5, 2012
  • 26. MAJORITY CONTINUE TO DISAPPROVE OF OBAMA’S HANDLING OF HEALTH CARE Obama Job Approval – Health Care As of March 24 OPPOSE: 50% FAVOR: 42% President Obama signs health care reform bill into law on March 23, 2010 Source: Pollster.com Aggregate Data, as of March 24, 2012
  • 27. DEMOCRATS SEEN AS BETTER ON HEALTHCARE THAN REPUBLICANS And which party could Both do a better job of Republican Democratic Neither DK/Ref Equally [DEALING WITH Party Party (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) HEALTHCARE]? Mar 7-11, 2012 35% 49% 1% 7% 8% Sep 22-Oct 4, 2011 38% 49% 3% 4% 6% Mar 30-Apr 3, 2011 40% 42% 6% 5% 7% Oct 13-18, 2010 32% 39% 5% 11% 13% Aug 25-Sep 6, 2010 36% 45% 5% 7% 6% 26 Source: Pew Research Center For The People & The Press, March 7-11, 2012
  • 28. GPG Research GPG has a full-scale internal research team offering the full complement of qualitative and quantitative public opinion research services. We use research to inform message development and communication strategy, as well as to help clients assess and monitor critical issues and track the effectiveness of strategic communication campaigns. GPG has a deep experience conducting research about complex health care topics with diverse audiences. We go beyond the standard Q&A, using innovative, projective techniques to uncover key insights. The result is actionable research that helps shape our clients’ messaging and strategy. For more information about this presentation or to find out more about GPG’s research capabilities contact: Susan Kannel (skannel@gpgdc.com) I Chris Gallup (cgallup@gpgdc.com) 27