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A Constructivist
Approach to Rule-Bases
Giovanni Sileno (g.sileno@uva.nl),
Alexander Boer, Tom van Engers
Leibniz Center for Law
University of Amsterdam
11 January 2015 - ICAART @ Lisbon
●
Samuel lives in a sunny country. He
never checks the weather before
going out.
●
Samuel lives in a sunny country. He
never checks the weather before
going out.
●
Raphael lives in a rainy country. He
always checks the weather before
going out.
●
Samuel lives in a sunny country. He
never checks the weather before
going out.
●
Raphael lives in a rainy country. He
always checks the weather before
going out.
●
They both take the umbrella if it rains,
however.
●
Samuel lives in a sunny country. He
never checks the weather before
going out.
●
Raphael lives in a rainy country. He
always checks the weather before
going out.
●
They both take the umbrella if it rains,
however.
●
What do you expect if they switch
country of residence?
Deliberation and Performance
●
In everyday life, we do not deliberate at each
moment what to do next.
●
Our practical reasoning is mostly based on
applying already structured behavioural scripts.
●
Such scripts are constructed by education and
experience, and refined by some adaptation
process.
Deliberation and Performance
in the legal system
●
Structuration exemplified by
– Stare deciris (binding precedent) principle
– existence and maintenance of sources of law.
●
Sources of law are artifacts which describe and
prescribe the institutional powers and duties
of the social components, including institutional
agencies (e.g. public administrations)
Simplified target architecture
regulatory
system
regulated
system
environment
provides
rules to..
interacts, according
to the rules, with..
Simplified target architecture
regulatory
system
regulated
system
environment
●
Focus on rule bases
provides
rules to..
interacts, according
to the rules, with..
Consistency
First problem: Consistency
regulatory
system
regulated
system
environment
●
When a new rule is introduced what happens to
the rest of the rule base?
provides
rules to..
interacts, according
to the rules, with..
●
On Sunday we eat outdoor.
r1: sunday -> eat_outdoor
A simple* example
* We are neglecting predication, deontic characterizations,
intentionality, causation, etc..
●
On Sunday we eat outdoor.
r1: sunday -> eat_outdoor
●
If it is raining, we never eat outdoor.
r2: raining -> -eat_outdoor
A simple example
classic negation
●
On Sunday we eat outdoor.
r1: sunday -> eat_outdoor
●
If it is raining, we never eat outdoor.
r2: raining -> -eat_outdoor
●
What to do when it is Sunday and it is raining?
A simple example
●
On Sunday we eat outdoor.
r1: sunday -> eat_outdoor
●
If it is raining, we never eat outdoor.
r2: raining -> -eat_outdoor
●
A possible solution is defining the priority between
rules. e.g. r2 > r1
●
From a formal characterization, we are in the
domain of defeasible reasoning.
Priority-based representation
● lex posterior derogat priori
→ the most recent law is stronger
● lex specialis derogat generali
→ the law with lower abstraction is stronger
● lex superior derogat inferiori
→ the hierachical order in the legal system counts
r1: you have to pay taxes at the end of the year.
r2: if you are at loss with your activity, you don't
have to pay taxes.
Institutional mechanisms
“natural” meta-rules
defining priorities
●
Alternative solution: modify the premises of the
relevant rules with less priority.
Constraint-based representation
●
Alternative solution: modify the premises of the
relevant rules with less priority.
●
If it is raining, we never eat outdoor.
r2: rain -> -eat_outdoor
Constraint-based representation
●
Alternative solution: modify the premises of the
relevant rules with less priority.
●
On Sunday we eat outdoor, unless it is raining.
r1': sunday and -rain -> eat_outdoor
●
If it is raining, we never eat outdoor.
r2: rain -> -eat_outdoor
Constraint-based representation
●
Alternative solution: modify the premises of the
relevant rules with less priority.
●
On Sunday we eat outdoor, unless it is raining.
r1': sunday and -rain -> eat_outdoor
●
If it is raining, we never eat outdoor.
r2: rain -> -eat_outdoor
Constraint-based representation
→ cf. “distinguishing”
action in common law
●
Horty (2011) has analyzed the mechanisms of
precedential reasoning, proposing an algorithm of
conversion
- from priority-based to constraint-based
Conversion algorithms
Horty, J. F. (2011). Rules and Reasons in the Theory of
Precedent. Legal Theory, 17(01):1–33.
●
Our work presents algorithms and a computational
implementation for the full cycle of conversions:
- from priority-based (PB) to constraint-based (CB)
- from CB to full-tabular CB
- from full-tabular CB to minimal CB
- from full-tabular CB to PB (given the priority)
http://justinian.leibnizcenter.org/rulebaseconverter
Conversion algorithms
a→ p
b→¬ p
priority
higher
lower
PB
a→ pa∧¬b→ p
PB(intermediate) CB
b→¬ pb→¬ p
remove the domain already
evaluated
priority
higher
lower
a→ pa∧¬b→ p
full-tabular CB PB(intermediate) CB
b→¬ pb→¬ p
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧¬b→?
expand the premises
to all relevant factors
a→ pa∧¬b→ p
full-tabular CB PB(intermediate) CB
b→¬ pb→¬ p
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧¬b→?
Apply Quine-McCluskey
to reduce to the minimal canonical form
minimal CB
a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a→ pa∧¬b→ p
full-tabular CB PB(intermediate) CB
b→¬ pb→¬ p
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧¬b→?
minimal CB
a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
Quine-McCluskey et
similar algorithms are
commonly used for logic
ports synthesis
Constraint-based
a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2
label the rules
with priority
a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
allocate
situations with
the relevant
factors
relevant situations
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
for each rule, check if it applies to
situations yet to be evaluated
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
for each rule, check if it applies to
situations yet to be evaluated
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
for each rule, check if it applies to
situations yet to be evaluated
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
apply Quine-McCluskey
on the remaining
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
apply Quine-McCluskey
on the remaining
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
Priority-based
b→¬ p
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
remove
evaluated
situations
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
For each rule, check if it applies to
situations yet to be evaluated
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
For each rule, check if it applies to
situations yet to be evaluated
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
apply Quine-McCluskey
on the remaining...
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
removing
estabilished
facts
apply Quine-McCluskey
on the remaining...
a∧b
a∧b
Constraint-basedpriority
1
2 a∧¬b→ p
b→¬ p
a∧b
a∧b
relevant situations
full-tabular CB
a∧¬b→ p
a∧b→¬ p
¬a∧b→¬ p
removing
estabilished
facts
apply Quine-McCluskey
on the remaining...
a→ p
Priority-based
a∧b
a∧b
Adaptation
Second problem: Adaptation
regulatory
system
regulated
system
environment
●
How an existing rule-base is “adapted” to a
certain environment?
provides
rules to..
interacts, according
to the rules, with..
Two perspectives on adaptation
top-down, design
optimization theory : adaptation comes from the
agent's efforts to obtain a better overall pay-off.
bottom-up, emergence
e.g. theory of predictable behaviour (Heiner 1983):
behavioural regularities arise in the presence of
uncertainty about the "right" course of action
Heiner, R. (1983). The origin of predictable behavior.
The American economic review, 73(4):560–595.
Payoff analysis
E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of success]
+ p( failure)⋅E[ payoff of failure]
Investigation payoff analysis
E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of concluding C]
+ p( failure)⋅E[ payoff of not concluding C]
Externalizing costs...
E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of concluding C]
+ p( failure)⋅E[ payoff of not concluding C]
−cost
Rule application payoff analysis
E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of concluding C]
+ p( failure)⋅E[ payoff of not concluding C]
r :c1∧c2∧...∧cn→C
p(success)= p(c1∧c2∧...∧cn)
●
A rule may be seen as an investigation about a
conclusion C.
−cost
Rule application payoff analysis
E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of concluding C]
+ p( failure)⋅E[ payoff of not concluding C]
●
Furthermore, we assume that the not-
applicability of a certain rule does not entail
other consequences beside the cost.
−cost
Optimization constraint
E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of concluding C]
●
The use of a rule is worth if
or, equivalently:
−cost
E[ payoff ]>0
E[ payoff of concluding C]>
cost
p(success)
=
cost
p(c1∧..∧cn)
p(c1∧..∧cn)>
cost
E[ payoff of concluding C]
Initial story
●
If it rains, take the umbrella.
r: rain -> umbrella
Initial story
●
If it rains, take the umbrella.
r: rain -> umbrella
E[ payoff ]=p(rain)⋅G−cost({rain}, K)
The payoff of applying r is :
– G is the payoff of deciding to take the
umbrella (indipendent from the rule used).
– cost({rain}, K) is the cost of inferring the
fact rain, given the knowledge base K.
Initial story
●
If it rains, take the umbrella.
r: rain -> umbrella
E[ payoff ]=p(rain)⋅G−cost({rain}, K)
The payoff of applying r is :
●
Imagine the agent has no clue about rain
– Raphael (rainy country): p(rain) significant E > 0→
Initial story
●
If it rains, take the umbrella.
r: rain -> umbrella
E[ payoff ]=p(rain)⋅G−cost({rain}, K)
The payoff of applying r is :
●
Imagine the agent has no clue about rain
– Raphael (rainy country): p(rain) significant E > 0→
– Samuel (sunny country): p(rain) ~ 0 → E < 0!
Default assumptions (ASP syntax)
●
If it rains, take the umbrella.
rain -> umbrella
●
If you don't know if it rains, than it doesn't rain.
not rain -> -rain.
●
When the payoff may be negative (e.g. Samuel),
we may introduce a default rule which overrides
the investigation.
classic negationdefault negation
(negation as failure)
Better payoff higher priority→
●
The analysis of evaluation payoffs provides an
optimal order of investigation: choose the r which
maximises payoff!
●
To be used for CB to PB optimal conversions.
Construction and reconstruction
Events concerning rule-bases
●
incremental modifications, determining a
partial reconfiguration of the operational
knowledge used by the agent.
Events concerning rule-bases
●
incremental modifications, determining a
partial reconfiguration of the operational
knowledge used by the agent.
– because of distinguishing actions, the new rules brings
to the foreground factors left implicit in the previous rules.
Events concerning rule-bases
●
incremental modifications, determining a
partial reconfiguration of the operational
knowledge used by the agent.
– because of distinguishing actions, the new rules brings
to the foreground factors left implicit in the previous rules.
●
ad-hoc reorganizations, aiming for better
adaptation.
Events concerning rule-bases
●
incremental modifications, determining a
partial reconfiguration of the operational
knowledge used by the agent.
– because of distinguishing actions, the new rules brings
to the foreground factors left implicit in the previous rules.
●
ad-hoc reorganizations, aiming for better
adaptation.
– When a rule base is “compiled” to a more efficient
priority-based form, we lose the reasons motivating that
structure (e.g. probabilistic assumptions)
Reconstruction
●
To rewrite the rule base again, the agent has to
reflect over the rule base.
Reconstruction
●
To rewrite the rule base again, the agent has to
reflect over the rule base.
●
He has to unveil the underlying constraint-based
representation, removing all default assumptions
and recompute the priority indexes.
Reconstruction
●
To rewrite the rule base again, the agent has to
reflect over the rule base.
●
He has to unveil the underlying constraint-based
representation, removing all default assumptions
and recompute the priority indexes.
●
Why the agent should do that?
Reconstruction
●
To rewrite the rule base again, the agent has to
reflect over the rule base.
●
He has to unveil the underlying constraint-based
representation, removing all default assumptions
and recompute the priority indexes.
●
Why the agent should do that?
– e.g. because of a number of practical
failures exceeding a certain threshold.
Holistic view
regulatory
system
regulated
system
environment
practical
failures
statistical,
probabilistic
data
Conclusion
●
Our analysis has not targeted beliefs, as in belief
revision.
●
We have not used a model of theory revision
accounting both facts and rules, as in machine
learning.
●
Our work focuses “just” on rules, already
defined at symbolic level, and on rule-based
systems.
– affinity with expert systems literature
Conclusion
●
The paper started with the intention of completing
Horty's work on the conversion between CB and
PB representations.
●
The additional adaption analysis grew up from our
experience with default assumptions in ASP.
Conclusion
●
The paper started with the intention of completing
Horty's work on the conversion between CB and
PB representations.
●
The additional adaption analysis grew up from our
experience with default assumptions in ASP.
●
Obviously, many research directions remain:
– formal analysis, computational complexity
– bottom-up adaptation
– interactions with other theoretical frameworks
– considering “real” rule-bases

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A Constructivist Approach to Rule Bases

  • 1. A Constructivist Approach to Rule-Bases Giovanni Sileno (g.sileno@uva.nl), Alexander Boer, Tom van Engers Leibniz Center for Law University of Amsterdam 11 January 2015 - ICAART @ Lisbon
  • 2. ● Samuel lives in a sunny country. He never checks the weather before going out.
  • 3. ● Samuel lives in a sunny country. He never checks the weather before going out. ● Raphael lives in a rainy country. He always checks the weather before going out.
  • 4. ● Samuel lives in a sunny country. He never checks the weather before going out. ● Raphael lives in a rainy country. He always checks the weather before going out. ● They both take the umbrella if it rains, however.
  • 5. ● Samuel lives in a sunny country. He never checks the weather before going out. ● Raphael lives in a rainy country. He always checks the weather before going out. ● They both take the umbrella if it rains, however. ● What do you expect if they switch country of residence?
  • 6. Deliberation and Performance ● In everyday life, we do not deliberate at each moment what to do next. ● Our practical reasoning is mostly based on applying already structured behavioural scripts. ● Such scripts are constructed by education and experience, and refined by some adaptation process.
  • 7. Deliberation and Performance in the legal system ● Structuration exemplified by – Stare deciris (binding precedent) principle – existence and maintenance of sources of law. ● Sources of law are artifacts which describe and prescribe the institutional powers and duties of the social components, including institutional agencies (e.g. public administrations)
  • 9. Simplified target architecture regulatory system regulated system environment ● Focus on rule bases provides rules to.. interacts, according to the rules, with..
  • 11. First problem: Consistency regulatory system regulated system environment ● When a new rule is introduced what happens to the rest of the rule base? provides rules to.. interacts, according to the rules, with..
  • 12. ● On Sunday we eat outdoor. r1: sunday -> eat_outdoor A simple* example * We are neglecting predication, deontic characterizations, intentionality, causation, etc..
  • 13. ● On Sunday we eat outdoor. r1: sunday -> eat_outdoor ● If it is raining, we never eat outdoor. r2: raining -> -eat_outdoor A simple example classic negation
  • 14. ● On Sunday we eat outdoor. r1: sunday -> eat_outdoor ● If it is raining, we never eat outdoor. r2: raining -> -eat_outdoor ● What to do when it is Sunday and it is raining? A simple example
  • 15. ● On Sunday we eat outdoor. r1: sunday -> eat_outdoor ● If it is raining, we never eat outdoor. r2: raining -> -eat_outdoor ● A possible solution is defining the priority between rules. e.g. r2 > r1 ● From a formal characterization, we are in the domain of defeasible reasoning. Priority-based representation
  • 16. ● lex posterior derogat priori → the most recent law is stronger ● lex specialis derogat generali → the law with lower abstraction is stronger ● lex superior derogat inferiori → the hierachical order in the legal system counts r1: you have to pay taxes at the end of the year. r2: if you are at loss with your activity, you don't have to pay taxes. Institutional mechanisms “natural” meta-rules defining priorities
  • 17. ● Alternative solution: modify the premises of the relevant rules with less priority. Constraint-based representation
  • 18. ● Alternative solution: modify the premises of the relevant rules with less priority. ● If it is raining, we never eat outdoor. r2: rain -> -eat_outdoor Constraint-based representation
  • 19. ● Alternative solution: modify the premises of the relevant rules with less priority. ● On Sunday we eat outdoor, unless it is raining. r1': sunday and -rain -> eat_outdoor ● If it is raining, we never eat outdoor. r2: rain -> -eat_outdoor Constraint-based representation
  • 20. ● Alternative solution: modify the premises of the relevant rules with less priority. ● On Sunday we eat outdoor, unless it is raining. r1': sunday and -rain -> eat_outdoor ● If it is raining, we never eat outdoor. r2: rain -> -eat_outdoor Constraint-based representation → cf. “distinguishing” action in common law
  • 21. ● Horty (2011) has analyzed the mechanisms of precedential reasoning, proposing an algorithm of conversion - from priority-based to constraint-based Conversion algorithms Horty, J. F. (2011). Rules and Reasons in the Theory of Precedent. Legal Theory, 17(01):1–33.
  • 22. ● Our work presents algorithms and a computational implementation for the full cycle of conversions: - from priority-based (PB) to constraint-based (CB) - from CB to full-tabular CB - from full-tabular CB to minimal CB - from full-tabular CB to PB (given the priority) http://justinian.leibnizcenter.org/rulebaseconverter Conversion algorithms
  • 24. a→ pa∧b→ p PB(intermediate) CB b→¬ pb→¬ p remove the domain already evaluated priority higher lower
  • 25. a→ pa∧b→ p full-tabular CB PB(intermediate) CB b→¬ pb→¬ p a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→? expand the premises to all relevant factors
  • 26. a→ pa∧b→ p full-tabular CB PB(intermediate) CB b→¬ pb→¬ p a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→? Apply Quine-McCluskey to reduce to the minimal canonical form minimal CB a∧b→ p b→¬ p
  • 27. a→ pa∧b→ p full-tabular CB PB(intermediate) CB b→¬ pb→¬ p a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→? minimal CB a∧b→ p b→¬ p Quine-McCluskey et similar algorithms are commonly used for logic ports synthesis
  • 29. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 label the rules with priority a∧b→ p b→¬ p
  • 30. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b allocate situations with the relevant factors relevant situations
  • 31. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p
  • 32. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations for each rule, check if it applies to situations yet to be evaluated full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p
  • 33. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations for each rule, check if it applies to situations yet to be evaluated full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p
  • 34. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations for each rule, check if it applies to situations yet to be evaluated full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p
  • 35. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations apply Quine-McCluskey on the remaining full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p
  • 36. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations apply Quine-McCluskey on the remaining full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p Priority-based b→¬ p
  • 37. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations remove evaluated situations full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p
  • 38. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p For each rule, check if it applies to situations yet to be evaluated
  • 39. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p For each rule, check if it applies to situations yet to be evaluated
  • 40. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b a∧b ÂŹa∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p apply Quine-McCluskey on the remaining...
  • 41. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p removing estabilished facts apply Quine-McCluskey on the remaining... a∧b ÂŹa∧b
  • 42. Constraint-basedpriority 1 2 a∧b→ p b→¬ p a∧b ÂŹa∧b relevant situations full-tabular CB a∧b→ p a∧b→¬ p ÂŹa∧b→¬ p removing estabilished facts apply Quine-McCluskey on the remaining... a→ p Priority-based a∧b ÂŹa∧b
  • 44. Second problem: Adaptation regulatory system regulated system environment ● How an existing rule-base is “adapted” to a certain environment? provides rules to.. interacts, according to the rules, with..
  • 45. Two perspectives on adaptation top-down, design optimization theory : adaptation comes from the agent's efforts to obtain a better overall pay-off. bottom-up, emergence e.g. theory of predictable behaviour (Heiner 1983): behavioural regularities arise in the presence of uncertainty about the "right" course of action Heiner, R. (1983). The origin of predictable behavior. The American economic review, 73(4):560–595.
  • 46. Payoff analysis E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of success] + p( failure)⋅E[ payoff of failure]
  • 47. Investigation payoff analysis E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of concluding C] + p( failure)⋅E[ payoff of not concluding C]
  • 48. Externalizing costs... E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of concluding C] + p( failure)⋅E[ payoff of not concluding C] −cost
  • 49. Rule application payoff analysis E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of concluding C] + p( failure)⋅E[ payoff of not concluding C] r :c1∧c2∧...∧cn→C p(success)= p(c1∧c2∧...∧cn) ● A rule may be seen as an investigation about a conclusion C. −cost
  • 50. Rule application payoff analysis E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of concluding C] + p( failure)⋅E[ payoff of not concluding C] ● Furthermore, we assume that the not- applicability of a certain rule does not entail other consequences beside the cost. −cost
  • 51. Optimization constraint E[ payoff ]=p(success)⋅E[ payoff of concluding C] ● The use of a rule is worth if or, equivalently: −cost E[ payoff ]>0 E[ payoff of concluding C]> cost p(success) = cost p(c1∧..∧cn) p(c1∧..∧cn)> cost E[ payoff of concluding C]
  • 52. Initial story ● If it rains, take the umbrella. r: rain -> umbrella
  • 53. Initial story ● If it rains, take the umbrella. r: rain -> umbrella E[ payoff ]=p(rain)⋅G−cost({rain}, K) The payoff of applying r is : – G is the payoff of deciding to take the umbrella (indipendent from the rule used). – cost({rain}, K) is the cost of inferring the fact rain, given the knowledge base K.
  • 54. Initial story ● If it rains, take the umbrella. r: rain -> umbrella E[ payoff ]=p(rain)⋅G−cost({rain}, K) The payoff of applying r is : ● Imagine the agent has no clue about rain – Raphael (rainy country): p(rain) significant E > 0→
  • 55. Initial story ● If it rains, take the umbrella. r: rain -> umbrella E[ payoff ]=p(rain)⋅G−cost({rain}, K) The payoff of applying r is : ● Imagine the agent has no clue about rain – Raphael (rainy country): p(rain) significant E > 0→ – Samuel (sunny country): p(rain) ~ 0 → E < 0!
  • 56. Default assumptions (ASP syntax) ● If it rains, take the umbrella. rain -> umbrella ● If you don't know if it rains, than it doesn't rain. not rain -> -rain. ● When the payoff may be negative (e.g. Samuel), we may introduce a default rule which overrides the investigation. classic negationdefault negation (negation as failure)
  • 57. Better payoff higher priority→ ● The analysis of evaluation payoffs provides an optimal order of investigation: choose the r which maximises payoff! ● To be used for CB to PB optimal conversions.
  • 59. Events concerning rule-bases ● incremental modifications, determining a partial reconfiguration of the operational knowledge used by the agent.
  • 60. Events concerning rule-bases ● incremental modifications, determining a partial reconfiguration of the operational knowledge used by the agent. – because of distinguishing actions, the new rules brings to the foreground factors left implicit in the previous rules.
  • 61. Events concerning rule-bases ● incremental modifications, determining a partial reconfiguration of the operational knowledge used by the agent. – because of distinguishing actions, the new rules brings to the foreground factors left implicit in the previous rules. ● ad-hoc reorganizations, aiming for better adaptation.
  • 62. Events concerning rule-bases ● incremental modifications, determining a partial reconfiguration of the operational knowledge used by the agent. – because of distinguishing actions, the new rules brings to the foreground factors left implicit in the previous rules. ● ad-hoc reorganizations, aiming for better adaptation. – When a rule base is “compiled” to a more efficient priority-based form, we lose the reasons motivating that structure (e.g. probabilistic assumptions)
  • 63. Reconstruction ● To rewrite the rule base again, the agent has to reflect over the rule base.
  • 64. Reconstruction ● To rewrite the rule base again, the agent has to reflect over the rule base. ● He has to unveil the underlying constraint-based representation, removing all default assumptions and recompute the priority indexes.
  • 65. Reconstruction ● To rewrite the rule base again, the agent has to reflect over the rule base. ● He has to unveil the underlying constraint-based representation, removing all default assumptions and recompute the priority indexes. ● Why the agent should do that?
  • 66. Reconstruction ● To rewrite the rule base again, the agent has to reflect over the rule base. ● He has to unveil the underlying constraint-based representation, removing all default assumptions and recompute the priority indexes. ● Why the agent should do that? – e.g. because of a number of practical failures exceeding a certain threshold.
  • 68. Conclusion ● Our analysis has not targeted beliefs, as in belief revision. ● We have not used a model of theory revision accounting both facts and rules, as in machine learning. ● Our work focuses “just” on rules, already defined at symbolic level, and on rule-based systems. – affinity with expert systems literature
  • 69. Conclusion ● The paper started with the intention of completing Horty's work on the conversion between CB and PB representations. ● The additional adaption analysis grew up from our experience with default assumptions in ASP.
  • 70. Conclusion ● The paper started with the intention of completing Horty's work on the conversion between CB and PB representations. ● The additional adaption analysis grew up from our experience with default assumptions in ASP. ● Obviously, many research directions remain: – formal analysis, computational complexity – bottom-up adaptation – interactions with other theoretical frameworks – considering “real” rule-bases