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Lecture 23
Macroeconomics
Opening
Prayer
Quiz Master
The 4 Cases for Trade
Theoretical Case
Moral Case
Political Case
Empirical Case
Theoretical Case
Trade and Specialization
Adam Smith
Comparative Advantage
David Ricardo
Moral Case
Natural Rights
Human Freedom to create
value relationships
Political Case
Cooperation promotes
peace
Bastiat
Empirical Case
Evidence and Experience
Support
The 14 Arguments for
Protection
1 National Defense
2 Infant Industries
3 Debt
4 Jobs
5 Subsidy
6 Environmental Standards
7 Labor Standards
8 Negotiating Strategy
9 Retaliation
10 Dumping
11 Culture
12 Self-Reliance Independence
13 Tari
ff
Tax Revenue
14 Supply Chain
Arguments for Protectionism
National Defense
Save Domestic Jobs
Infant Industries
Competitor Enjoys
Subsidies
Lower Environmental
Standards
Lower Labor
Standards
Retaliation
Foreigner is dumping
at below cost
Culture
Self-Reliance
Independence
Autarky
Government Tax
Revenue
Supply Chain
Chapter 20
International Finance
100+ Currencies
https://www.tradingview.com/markets/currencies/cross-rates-overview-prices/
one
unit
of
this
will buy ___ units of that
https://www.tradingview.com/markets/currencies/cross-rates-overview-prices/
Why buy Dollars?
Buy American Stuff
Invest in America
Trade for other currencies
Hold and Hope
Demand
Dollars
Yuan
Per Dollar
Supply
Higher U.S.
Interest
Rate
6.44
6.50
Depreciating
Cost more to
buy a dollar
Losing
Value
Demand
Dollars
Yuan
Per Dollar
Supply
Lower U.S.
Interest
Rate
6.44
6.25
Appreciating
Cost Less to
buy a Dollar
Gaining
Value
Big Mac Index
Big Mac Index
Country Currency Price Rate Dollars
Phillipines Peso 140 0.019 $2.66
Vietnam Dong 65,000 0.000043 $2.80
China Yuan 20.50 0.15 $3.08
Saudi Arabia Riyal 12 0.265 $3.18
Switzerland Franc 6.5 1.0 $6.50
Arbitrage
Buy low and sell high
Buy here and sell there
Buy today and sell tomorrow
Arbitrage
Are the price differences
different than the exchange
rate?
If so, buy low and sell high
The Law of One
Price
Arbitrage closes price gaps
Bid up the low price - Demand
Bid down the high price -
Supply
1.00 Dollar to 6.92 Yuan
USD to CNY
$ to ¥
$ 5.00
x
6.92
=
¥ 34.60
¥ 30.00
÷
6.92
=
$ 4.34
$ 5.00
$ 4.34 increase demand
increase supply
$ 4.67 one price
Price Arbitrage
Arbitragers
Arbitraging
1. Pick a product and review the prices in both countries
2. Are the prices different than the exchange rates?
3. Buy currency in the low priced country
4. Buy the product in the low priced country
5. Move to the high priced country
6. Sell in the high priced country
1.00 Dollar to 51.91 Peso
USD to PHP
$ to ₱
$ 50.00
x
51.91
=
₱ 2,595
₱ 1,973
÷
51.91
=
$ 38.00
$38
$40 $40
Supply
More Supply
Demand
More
Demand
Price
Quantity
Price
Quantity
Demand
Supply
$50
₱ 1,973
Cost?
Arbitraging
1. Traded $38 for ₱ 1,973
2. Bought shoes for ₱ 1,973
3. Shipped to U.S.
4. Sold in U.S. for $50
5. Traded $38 for $50
6. Made $12 on $38
7. Made 31 percent profit
8. Repeat
1. Dollar to Won (KRW) rate is 1 to 1,176
2. Cell Phone in U.S. is $600
3. Same Cell Phone in South Korea is 600,000
4. Cost to ship is $5
5. What should you do and how much will you
make? Dollars and percent?

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