SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 34
Baixar para ler offline
 	
  	
  How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web	
  
Presenta(on	
  to	
  Mashable	
  Connect	
  
Roger	
  McNamee	
  
Eleva(on	
  Partners	
  

	
  
Hypothesis	
  #1	
  

Investors	
  and	
  entrepreneurs	
  risk	
  missing	
  
a	
  huge	
  business	
  opportunity	
  because	
  
they	
  are	
  using	
  the	
  wrong	
  vocabulary	
  
1998-­‐2006:	
  Internet	
  +	
  Web	
  
World	
  Wide	
  Web	
  –	
  HTML	
  4	
  

Internet	
  
2007-­‐Present:	
  Two	
  Separate	
  Markets	
  
World	
  Wide	
  
Web	
  	
  
HTML	
  4	
  

Internet	
  

5/4/12	
  

App	
  Model	
  
	
  

	
  Carriers	
  +	
  WiFi	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

5	
  
2007-­‐Present:	
  Hypernet	
  +	
  Hyperweb	
  
World	
  Wide	
  
Web	
  	
  
HTML	
  4	
  

App	
  Model	
  
	
  

ßHyperwebà

Internet	
  

	
  Carriers	
  +	
  WiFi	
  

ßHypernetà
5/4/2012	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

6	
  
Hypothesis	
  #2	
  

Businesses	
  are	
  adop(ng	
  consumer	
  
technology	
  because	
  it	
  is	
  cheaper	
  to	
  buy,	
  
cheaper	
  to	
  support,	
  and	
  works	
  beLer.	
  
Web	
  =	
  Only	
  Half	
  of	
  Addressable	
  Market	
  
Units/$	
  ===>	
  

	
  HTML	
  4	
  
Windows/IE	
  
Mac/Safari	
  
Search:	
  Google	
  
	
  

App	
  Model	
  
+	
  Carriers	
  
iOS	
  
Android	
  
Search:	
  Apps	
  

Hypernet	
  

5/4/12	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

8	
  
Hypothesis	
  #3	
  

“Index	
  search”	
  s(ll	
  controls	
  wired	
  web;	
  in	
  
mobile,	
  use	
  cases	
  and	
  behaviors	
  are	
  
different,	
  resul(ng	
  in	
  different	
  winners	
  
Apps	
  Replace	
  Google	
  for	
  Mobile	
  Search	
  
Units/$	
  ===>	
  

	
  HTML	
  4	
  
100	
  searches	
  
	
  

App	
  Model	
  
+	
  Carriers	
  
iPad:	
  10	
  	
  
iPhone:	
  1	
  

Hypernet	
  

5/4/12	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

10	
  
Web	
  Winners	
  Have	
  Failed	
  to	
  Profit	
  From	
  Mobile	
  
Google	
  
MicrosoW	
  
Facebook	
  
Cisco	
  
Oracle/Sun	
  
SAP	
  

Apple	
  
Verizon	
  
ATT	
  
“Publishers”	
  
Amazon	
  
B&N	
  
	
  

Hypernet	
  

5/4/12	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

11	
  
Hypothesis	
  #4	
  

Apple	
  succeeded	
  by	
  hiding	
  technology	
  
wherever	
  possible	
  .	
  .	
  .	
  and	
  subs(tu(ng	
  
style.	
  
Customers	
  Don’t	
  Love	
  the	
  Web	
  
Units/$	
  ===>	
  

	
  HTML	
  4	
  
Open	
  source	
  
Long	
  tail	
  
Free	
  
Commodi(zed	
  
Wild	
  West	
  

App	
  Model	
  
+	
  Carriers	
  
iOS	
  
Branded	
  
Free	
  +	
  Paid	
  
Differen(ated	
  
Secure	
  
$400-­‐1,000	
  

Hypernet	
  

5/4/12	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  
Hypothesis	
  #5	
  

Next	
  genera(on	
  web	
  technology	
  will	
  
favor	
  publishers/consumers	
  over	
  middle	
  
men	
  
Tech	
  Pendulum	
  Enabling	
  More	
  Content	
  Differengagon	
  

Commodity	
  
Content	
  

Differen(ated	
  
Content	
  

HTML	
  4	
  Web	
  

5/4/2012	
  

App	
  Model	
  

Future:	
  HTML	
  5	
  à	
  	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

15	
  
Engagement:	
  Metric	
  of	
  Value	
  for	
  Content	
  

HTML	
  4	
  Web	
  

iOS	
  

HTML	
  5	
  Web	
  

2-­‐5	
  mins/	
  app	
  

????	
  

15-­‐20	
  secs/story	
  

4/4/2012	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

16	
  
$

Value	
  to	
  Publisher	
  
HTML	
  4	
  zone	
   	
  	
  	
  	
  iOS	
  zone	
  

Content	
  =	
  
Commodity	
  

HTML	
  5	
  zone	
  

Content	
  =	
  
Differen(ated	
  

You	
  are	
  here!	
  

Engagement	
  

Commodi(zed	
  content	
  favors	
  middle	
  
men;	
  differen(ated	
  content	
  favors	
  
publishers	
  and	
  consumers	
  
HTML	
  5	
  =	
  Higher	
  Producgon	
  Values,	
  Lower	
  Cost	
  

HTML	
  4	
  

Flash	
  

Flash	
  
HTML	
  4	
  
HTML	
  4	
  
HTML	
  4	
  
HTML	
  4	
  

HTML	
  4	
  -­‐	
  Today	
  
5/4/12	
  

HTML	
  5	
  

Flash	
  
Flash	
  

HTML	
  5	
  -­‐	
  2014	
  
”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

18	
  
HTML	
  5	
  =	
  Engagement	
  and	
  Monegzagon	
  

STORY	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Product	
  1	
  	
  
Product	
  2	
  
Product	
  3	
  

Adver(sement	
  

5/4/12	
  

Product	
  1	
  *	
  	
  
Product	
  2	
  *	
  
Product	
  3	
  *	
  

HTML	
  5	
  enables	
  
everything	
  to	
  be	
  an	
  
app,	
  including	
  ads	
  
	
  
Ads	
  can	
  be	
  @ed	
  
directly	
  to	
  content	
  
	
  
It	
  may	
  be	
  2-­‐3	
  years	
  
before	
  HTML	
  5	
  tools	
  
will	
  enable	
  this	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

19	
  
HTML	
  5	
  “Apps”	
  May	
  Have	
  Mulgple	
  Forms	
  

4	
  

3	
  
2	
  

1	
  

STORY	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Product	
  1	
  	
  
Product	
  2	
  
Product	
  3	
  

INFOGRAPHIC	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  

Stock	
  Trading	
  
App	
  

Ticker	
  1	
  *	
  	
  
Ticker	
  2	
  *	
  
Ticker	
  3	
  *	
  

1.  App:	
  func@ons	
  
like	
  a	
  na@ve	
  app	
  
2.  eBook:	
  something	
  
to	
  read	
  later	
  
	
  
3.  Bookmark+:	
  
content	
  available	
  
for	
  later	
  
reference	
  
4.  Layers	
  

5/4/12	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

20	
  
Mulgple	
  Forms	
  of	
  High	
  Value	
  Monegzagon	
  

4	
  

3	
  
2	
  

1	
  
5/4/12	
  

STORY	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Product	
  1	
  	
  
Product	
  2	
  
Product	
  3	
  

Stock	
  Trading	
  
App	
  

INFOGRAPHIC	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  

Ticker	
  1	
  *	
  	
  
Ticker	
  2	
  *	
  
Ticker	
  3	
  *	
  

1.  App	
  delivery	
  
2.  eBook:	
  atomiza@on	
  
of	
  content	
  enables	
  
incremental	
  revenue	
  
	
  
3.  Content	
  available	
  for	
  
later	
  reference	
  can	
  
include	
  mone@za@on	
  
	
  
4.  Layers	
  can	
  include	
  
mone@za@on	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

21	
  
HTML	
  5	
  =	
  Wide	
  Open	
  Opportunity	
  
Units/$	
  ===>	
  

World	
  
Wide	
  
Web	
  	
  
HTML	
  4	
  

App	
  Model	
  

Google	
  

Apple	
  

HTML	
  5	
  

???	
  

Content	
  =	
  
Commodity	
  

Content	
  =	
  
Unlimited	
  
Differengagon	
  

Desktops	
  
5/4/12	
  

Content	
  =	
  
Limited	
  
Differengagon	
  
Smart	
  Phones	
  

Future	
  	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

22	
  
HTML	
  5	
  vs	
  Nagve	
  Apps	
  
Advantage	
  
	
  
Scale	
  
	
  
Open	
  Source	
  
	
  
Cost	
  
	
  
Control	
  
	
  
Economics	
  
	
  
Funcgonality	
  

5/4/12	
  

iOS	
  
	
  
√	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
???	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

HTML	
  5	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
√	
  
	
  
√	
  
	
  
√	
  
	
  
√	
  
	
  
???	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  

23	
  
HTML	
  5	
  =	
  Wide	
  Open	
  Opportunity	
  
Units/$	
  ===>	
  

World	
  
Wide	
  
Web	
  	
  
HTML	
  4	
  

App	
  Model	
  

Google	
  

Apple	
  

HTML	
  5	
  

???	
  

Content	
  =	
  
Commodity	
  

Content	
  =	
  
Unlimited	
  
Differengagon	
  

Desktops	
  
5/4/12	
  

Content	
  =	
  
Limited	
  
Differengagon	
  
Smart	
  Phones	
  

Future	
  	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

24	
  
Hypothesis	
  #6	
  

Children	
  under	
  the	
  age	
  of	
  8	
  may	
  never	
  
use	
  a	
  PC	
  the	
  way	
  you	
  do.	
  
An	
  Eight-­‐Year	
  Old’s	
  Idea	
  of	
  a	
  Computer	
  

5/4/12	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

26	
  
Hypothesis	
  #7	
  

Android	
  has	
  a	
  broken	
  economic	
  model;	
  
cannot	
  compete	
  with	
  Apple	
  in	
  the	
  long	
  
term	
  
Brand	
  is	
  a	
  HUGE	
  Advantage	
  

COGS	
  

Apple’s	
  gross	
  margin	
  is	
  roughly	
  equal	
  to	
  gross	
  
revenues	
  for	
  a	
  comparable	
  Android	
  

COGS	
  

Apple	
  
5/4/12	
  

Android	
  
”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

28	
  
Android	
  =	
  Entropy	
  at	
  High	
  Velocity	
  

Amazon	
  

Verizon	
  
Original	
  Android	
  
Standard	
  

5/4/12	
  

Samsung	
  

Barnes	
  &	
  Noble	
  
”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

29	
  
Smart	
  Phone	
  Purchase	
  Drivers	
  

Android	
  

Apple	
  
•  Content	
  
•  Cool	
  factor	
  

5/4/12	
  

•  Tech	
  heat	
  
seeker	
  
•  Inexpensive	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

30	
  
Hypothesis	
  #8	
  

“Social”	
  and	
  “Mobile”	
  are	
  now	
  a	
  cost,	
  not	
  
a	
  compe((ve	
  advantage	
  
Hypothesis	
  #9	
  

U.S.	
  economic	
  compe((veness	
  at	
  risk	
  
unless	
  we	
  invest	
  far	
  more	
  in	
  post-­‐cellular	
  
wireless	
  technology	
  
Hypothesis	
  #10	
  

Disrup(on	
  of	
  cable,	
  satellite,	
  and	
  even	
  
NetFlix	
  is	
  beginning.	
  
Economic	
  &	
  Market	
  Environment	
  
•  US	
  economy	
  is	
  beginning	
  to	
  improve,	
  despite	
  efforts	
  in	
  
Washington	
  to	
  reduce	
  deficit	
  
–  DJIA,	
  S&P,	
  Nasdaq	
  reflect	
  rising	
  op(mism	
  
–  Unemployment	
  remains	
  high;	
  possibly	
  structural	
  
•  Excessive	
  consumer	
  indebtedness	
  acts	
  as	
  a	
  drag	
  on	
  growth	
  
•  Government	
  deficits	
  act	
  as	
  a	
  drag	
  on	
  future	
  growth	
  
–  Wars	
  compete	
  for	
  resources	
  with	
  private	
  economy	
  
–  Is	
  Iran	
  next?	
  
•  Investor	
  challenge:	
  what	
  is	
  the	
  happy	
  ending?	
  

3/19/12	
  

"Ten	
  Hypotheses"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

34	
  
Onward!!	
  

•  Tech	
  heat	
  
•  Content	
  
seeker	
  
hLp://www.moonalice.com	
  
•  Cool	
  factor	
  
•  Inexpensive	
  

hLp://www.eleva(on.com	
  

5/4/12	
  

”How	
  to	
  Revive	
  the	
  Web"	
  by	
  Roger	
  McNamee	
  

35	
  

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Destaque

History of good service-3
History of good service-3History of good service-3
History of good service-3Jeff Gentry
 
Lineas nnancy rosero
Lineas nnancy roseroLineas nnancy rosero
Lineas nnancy roseronancyRN
 
Practica bebida refrescante
Practica bebida refrescantePractica bebida refrescante
Practica bebida refrescanteFran Kaulitz
 
fashion attraction
fashion attraction fashion attraction
fashion attraction aksara111
 
2013年 re:Invent報告会
2013年 re:Invent報告会2013年 re:Invent報告会
2013年 re:Invent報告会Aya Komuro
 

Destaque (6)

History of good service-3
History of good service-3History of good service-3
History of good service-3
 
Lineas nnancy rosero
Lineas nnancy roseroLineas nnancy rosero
Lineas nnancy rosero
 
Economia en 3 d
Economia en 3 dEconomia en 3 d
Economia en 3 d
 
Practica bebida refrescante
Practica bebida refrescantePractica bebida refrescante
Practica bebida refrescante
 
fashion attraction
fashion attraction fashion attraction
fashion attraction
 
2013年 re:Invent報告会
2013年 re:Invent報告会2013年 re:Invent報告会
2013年 re:Invent報告会
 

Semelhante a Roger McNamee - How To Revive The Web. 10 Hypotheses For Tech. Investing

SDVG's Venture Summit 2012 - McNamee Presentation
SDVG's Venture Summit 2012 - McNamee PresentationSDVG's Venture Summit 2012 - McNamee Presentation
SDVG's Venture Summit 2012 - McNamee PresentationSan Diego Venture Group
 
Convergence of mobility, analytics, social and cloud to drive innovation
Convergence of mobility, analytics, social and cloud to drive innovationConvergence of mobility, analytics, social and cloud to drive innovation
Convergence of mobility, analytics, social and cloud to drive innovationKerrie Holley
 
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 Structured Data
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009  Structured DataTop 5 Web Trends Of 2009  Structured Data
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 Structured Datachmingl
 
Fifth Edition Architecture Week @Gothenburg 141009
Fifth Edition Architecture Week @Gothenburg 141009Fifth Edition Architecture Week @Gothenburg 141009
Fifth Edition Architecture Week @Gothenburg 141009Capgemini
 
Devcon 5 html vs native
Devcon 5 html vs nativeDevcon 5 html vs native
Devcon 5 html vs nativePlayScreen
 
How to Hybrid : Effective Tactics in HTML5-Native App Development
How to Hybrid : Effective Tactics in HTML5-Native App DevelopmentHow to Hybrid : Effective Tactics in HTML5-Native App Development
How to Hybrid : Effective Tactics in HTML5-Native App DevelopmentDroidConTLV
 
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 Internet Of Things
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009  Internet Of ThingsTop 5 Web Trends Of 2009  Internet Of Things
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 Internet Of Thingschmingl
 
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 The Real Time Web
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009  The Real Time WebTop 5 Web Trends Of 2009  The Real Time Web
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 The Real Time Webchmingl
 
Print Money Like Mark Zuckerberg: Understanding Platform Economics
Print Money Like Mark Zuckerberg: Understanding Platform EconomicsPrint Money Like Mark Zuckerberg: Understanding Platform Economics
Print Money Like Mark Zuckerberg: Understanding Platform EconomicsAndreas Goeldi
 
The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business
The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for BusinessThe Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business
The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for BusinessMarshall Van Alstyne
 
Creating Android Apps with PhoneGap
Creating Android Apps with PhoneGapCreating Android Apps with PhoneGap
Creating Android Apps with PhoneGapDean Peters
 
I Like iPhone & Android But I am .NET Developer
I Like iPhone & Android But I am .NET DeveloperI Like iPhone & Android But I am .NET Developer
I Like iPhone & Android But I am .NET DeveloperTellago
 
Truth About HTML5
Truth About HTML5Truth About HTML5
Truth About HTML5Jos Dirksen
 
Improve your Tech Quotient
Improve your Tech QuotientImprove your Tech Quotient
Improve your Tech QuotientTarence DSouza
 
AJAX for Mobile Devices - 04/2009
AJAX for Mobile Devices - 04/2009AJAX for Mobile Devices - 04/2009
AJAX for Mobile Devices - 04/2009Roland Tritsch
 
Cloud Computing Report For Print
Cloud Computing Report For PrintCloud Computing Report For Print
Cloud Computing Report For Printjimeyren
 
Tek13 - Creating Mobile Apps with PHP and Symfony
Tek13 - Creating Mobile Apps with PHP and SymfonyTek13 - Creating Mobile Apps with PHP and Symfony
Tek13 - Creating Mobile Apps with PHP and SymfonyPablo Godel
 
The challenges of building mobile HTML5 applications - FEEC Brazil 2012 - Recife
The challenges of building mobile HTML5 applications - FEEC Brazil 2012 - RecifeThe challenges of building mobile HTML5 applications - FEEC Brazil 2012 - Recife
The challenges of building mobile HTML5 applications - FEEC Brazil 2012 - RecifeCaridy Patino
 

Semelhante a Roger McNamee - How To Revive The Web. 10 Hypotheses For Tech. Investing (20)

SDVG's Venture Summit 2012 - McNamee Presentation
SDVG's Venture Summit 2012 - McNamee PresentationSDVG's Venture Summit 2012 - McNamee Presentation
SDVG's Venture Summit 2012 - McNamee Presentation
 
Convergence of mobility, analytics, social and cloud to drive innovation
Convergence of mobility, analytics, social and cloud to drive innovationConvergence of mobility, analytics, social and cloud to drive innovation
Convergence of mobility, analytics, social and cloud to drive innovation
 
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 Structured Data
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009  Structured DataTop 5 Web Trends Of 2009  Structured Data
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 Structured Data
 
Fifth Edition Architecture Week @Gothenburg 141009
Fifth Edition Architecture Week @Gothenburg 141009Fifth Edition Architecture Week @Gothenburg 141009
Fifth Edition Architecture Week @Gothenburg 141009
 
Devcon 5 html vs native
Devcon 5 html vs nativeDevcon 5 html vs native
Devcon 5 html vs native
 
How to Hybrid : Effective Tactics in HTML5-Native App Development
How to Hybrid : Effective Tactics in HTML5-Native App DevelopmentHow to Hybrid : Effective Tactics in HTML5-Native App Development
How to Hybrid : Effective Tactics in HTML5-Native App Development
 
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 Internet Of Things
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009  Internet Of ThingsTop 5 Web Trends Of 2009  Internet Of Things
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 Internet Of Things
 
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 The Real Time Web
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009  The Real Time WebTop 5 Web Trends Of 2009  The Real Time Web
Top 5 Web Trends Of 2009 The Real Time Web
 
Print Money Like Mark Zuckerberg: Understanding Platform Economics
Print Money Like Mark Zuckerberg: Understanding Platform EconomicsPrint Money Like Mark Zuckerberg: Understanding Platform Economics
Print Money Like Mark Zuckerberg: Understanding Platform Economics
 
The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business
The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for BusinessThe Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business
The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business
 
Creating Android Apps with PhoneGap
Creating Android Apps with PhoneGapCreating Android Apps with PhoneGap
Creating Android Apps with PhoneGap
 
I Like iPhone & Android But I am .NET Developer
I Like iPhone & Android But I am .NET DeveloperI Like iPhone & Android But I am .NET Developer
I Like iPhone & Android But I am .NET Developer
 
From Microdata & Schema to rich snippets - SMX Munich - #SMX by @jbobbink
From Microdata & Schema to rich snippets - SMX Munich - #SMX by @jbobbinkFrom Microdata & Schema to rich snippets - SMX Munich - #SMX by @jbobbink
From Microdata & Schema to rich snippets - SMX Munich - #SMX by @jbobbink
 
Truth About HTML5
Truth About HTML5Truth About HTML5
Truth About HTML5
 
Improve your Tech Quotient
Improve your Tech QuotientImprove your Tech Quotient
Improve your Tech Quotient
 
AJAX for Mobile Devices - 04/2009
AJAX for Mobile Devices - 04/2009AJAX for Mobile Devices - 04/2009
AJAX for Mobile Devices - 04/2009
 
Cloud Computing Report For Print
Cloud Computing Report For PrintCloud Computing Report For Print
Cloud Computing Report For Print
 
Tek13 - Creating Mobile Apps with PHP and Symfony
Tek13 - Creating Mobile Apps with PHP and SymfonyTek13 - Creating Mobile Apps with PHP and Symfony
Tek13 - Creating Mobile Apps with PHP and Symfony
 
The Trend is your frend!
The Trend is your frend!The Trend is your frend!
The Trend is your frend!
 
The challenges of building mobile HTML5 applications - FEEC Brazil 2012 - Recife
The challenges of building mobile HTML5 applications - FEEC Brazil 2012 - RecifeThe challenges of building mobile HTML5 applications - FEEC Brazil 2012 - Recife
The challenges of building mobile HTML5 applications - FEEC Brazil 2012 - Recife
 

Último

A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)Gabriella Davis
 
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 Presentation
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 PresentationMy Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 Presentation
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 PresentationRidwan Fadjar
 
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organizationScaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organizationRadu Cotescu
 
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)Allon Mureinik
 
04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx
04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx
04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptxHampshireHUG
 
How to Remove Document Management Hurdles with X-Docs?
How to Remove Document Management Hurdles with X-Docs?How to Remove Document Management Hurdles with X-Docs?
How to Remove Document Management Hurdles with X-Docs?XfilesPro
 
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024Rafal Los
 
Key Features Of Token Development (1).pptx
Key  Features Of Token  Development (1).pptxKey  Features Of Token  Development (1).pptx
Key Features Of Token Development (1).pptxLBM Solutions
 
AI as an Interface for Commercial Buildings
AI as an Interface for Commercial BuildingsAI as an Interface for Commercial Buildings
AI as an Interface for Commercial BuildingsMemoori
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking MenDelhi Call girls
 
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...Neo4j
 
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day PresentationGenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day PresentationMichael W. Hawkins
 
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other Frameworks
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other FrameworksBenefits Of Flutter Compared To Other Frameworks
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other FrameworksSoftradix Technologies
 
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure serviceWhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure servicePooja Nehwal
 
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machine
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machineInstall Stable Diffusion in windows machine
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machinePadma Pradeep
 
Pigging Solutions Piggable Sweeping Elbows
Pigging Solutions Piggable Sweeping ElbowsPigging Solutions Piggable Sweeping Elbows
Pigging Solutions Piggable Sweeping ElbowsPigging Solutions
 
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxThe Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxMalak Abu Hammad
 
Automating Business Process via MuleSoft Composer | Bangalore MuleSoft Meetup...
Automating Business Process via MuleSoft Composer | Bangalore MuleSoft Meetup...Automating Business Process via MuleSoft Composer | Bangalore MuleSoft Meetup...
Automating Business Process via MuleSoft Composer | Bangalore MuleSoft Meetup...shyamraj55
 
Beyond Boundaries: Leveraging No-Code Solutions for Industry Innovation
Beyond Boundaries: Leveraging No-Code Solutions for Industry InnovationBeyond Boundaries: Leveraging No-Code Solutions for Industry Innovation
Beyond Boundaries: Leveraging No-Code Solutions for Industry InnovationSafe Software
 
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food Manufacturing
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food ManufacturingPigging Solutions in Pet Food Manufacturing
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food ManufacturingPigging Solutions
 

Último (20)

A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
 
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 Presentation
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 PresentationMy Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 Presentation
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 Presentation
 
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organizationScaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
 
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)
 
04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx
04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx
04-2024-HHUG-Sales-and-Marketing-Alignment.pptx
 
How to Remove Document Management Hurdles with X-Docs?
How to Remove Document Management Hurdles with X-Docs?How to Remove Document Management Hurdles with X-Docs?
How to Remove Document Management Hurdles with X-Docs?
 
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
 
Key Features Of Token Development (1).pptx
Key  Features Of Token  Development (1).pptxKey  Features Of Token  Development (1).pptx
Key Features Of Token Development (1).pptx
 
AI as an Interface for Commercial Buildings
AI as an Interface for Commercial BuildingsAI as an Interface for Commercial Buildings
AI as an Interface for Commercial Buildings
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
 
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...
 
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day PresentationGenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
 
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other Frameworks
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other FrameworksBenefits Of Flutter Compared To Other Frameworks
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other Frameworks
 
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure serviceWhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure service
 
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machine
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machineInstall Stable Diffusion in windows machine
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machine
 
Pigging Solutions Piggable Sweeping Elbows
Pigging Solutions Piggable Sweeping ElbowsPigging Solutions Piggable Sweeping Elbows
Pigging Solutions Piggable Sweeping Elbows
 
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxThe Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
 
Automating Business Process via MuleSoft Composer | Bangalore MuleSoft Meetup...
Automating Business Process via MuleSoft Composer | Bangalore MuleSoft Meetup...Automating Business Process via MuleSoft Composer | Bangalore MuleSoft Meetup...
Automating Business Process via MuleSoft Composer | Bangalore MuleSoft Meetup...
 
Beyond Boundaries: Leveraging No-Code Solutions for Industry Innovation
Beyond Boundaries: Leveraging No-Code Solutions for Industry InnovationBeyond Boundaries: Leveraging No-Code Solutions for Industry Innovation
Beyond Boundaries: Leveraging No-Code Solutions for Industry Innovation
 
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food Manufacturing
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food ManufacturingPigging Solutions in Pet Food Manufacturing
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food Manufacturing
 

Roger McNamee - How To Revive The Web. 10 Hypotheses For Tech. Investing

  • 1.      How  to  Revive  the  Web   Presenta(on  to  Mashable  Connect   Roger  McNamee   Eleva(on  Partners    
  • 2. Hypothesis  #1   Investors  and  entrepreneurs  risk  missing   a  huge  business  opportunity  because   they  are  using  the  wrong  vocabulary  
  • 3. 1998-­‐2006:  Internet  +  Web   World  Wide  Web  –  HTML  4   Internet  
  • 4. 2007-­‐Present:  Two  Separate  Markets   World  Wide   Web     HTML  4   Internet   5/4/12   App  Model      Carriers  +  WiFi   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   5  
  • 5. 2007-­‐Present:  Hypernet  +  Hyperweb   World  Wide   Web     HTML  4   App  Model     ßHyperwebà Internet    Carriers  +  WiFi   ßHypernetà 5/4/2012   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   6  
  • 6. Hypothesis  #2   Businesses  are  adop(ng  consumer   technology  because  it  is  cheaper  to  buy,   cheaper  to  support,  and  works  beLer.  
  • 7. Web  =  Only  Half  of  Addressable  Market   Units/$  ===>    HTML  4   Windows/IE   Mac/Safari   Search:  Google     App  Model   +  Carriers   iOS   Android   Search:  Apps   Hypernet   5/4/12   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   8  
  • 8. Hypothesis  #3   “Index  search”  s(ll  controls  wired  web;  in   mobile,  use  cases  and  behaviors  are   different,  resul(ng  in  different  winners  
  • 9. Apps  Replace  Google  for  Mobile  Search   Units/$  ===>    HTML  4   100  searches     App  Model   +  Carriers   iPad:  10     iPhone:  1   Hypernet   5/4/12   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   10  
  • 10. Web  Winners  Have  Failed  to  Profit  From  Mobile   Google   MicrosoW   Facebook   Cisco   Oracle/Sun   SAP   Apple   Verizon   ATT   “Publishers”   Amazon   B&N     Hypernet   5/4/12   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   11  
  • 11. Hypothesis  #4   Apple  succeeded  by  hiding  technology   wherever  possible  .  .  .  and  subs(tu(ng   style.  
  • 12. Customers  Don’t  Love  the  Web   Units/$  ===>    HTML  4   Open  source   Long  tail   Free   Commodi(zed   Wild  West   App  Model   +  Carriers   iOS   Branded   Free  +  Paid   Differen(ated   Secure   $400-­‐1,000   Hypernet   5/4/12   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee  
  • 13. Hypothesis  #5   Next  genera(on  web  technology  will   favor  publishers/consumers  over  middle   men  
  • 14. Tech  Pendulum  Enabling  More  Content  Differengagon   Commodity   Content   Differen(ated   Content   HTML  4  Web   5/4/2012   App  Model   Future:  HTML  5  à     ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   15  
  • 15. Engagement:  Metric  of  Value  for  Content   HTML  4  Web   iOS   HTML  5  Web   2-­‐5  mins/  app   ????   15-­‐20  secs/story   4/4/2012   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   16  
  • 16. $ Value  to  Publisher   HTML  4  zone          iOS  zone   Content  =   Commodity   HTML  5  zone   Content  =   Differen(ated   You  are  here!   Engagement   Commodi(zed  content  favors  middle   men;  differen(ated  content  favors   publishers  and  consumers  
  • 17. HTML  5  =  Higher  Producgon  Values,  Lower  Cost   HTML  4   Flash   Flash   HTML  4   HTML  4   HTML  4   HTML  4   HTML  4  -­‐  Today   5/4/12   HTML  5   Flash   Flash   HTML  5  -­‐  2014   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   18  
  • 18. HTML  5  =  Engagement  and  Monegzagon   STORY         Product  1     Product  2   Product  3   Adver(sement   5/4/12   Product  1  *     Product  2  *   Product  3  *   HTML  5  enables   everything  to  be  an   app,  including  ads     Ads  can  be  @ed   directly  to  content     It  may  be  2-­‐3  years   before  HTML  5  tools   will  enable  this   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   19  
  • 19. HTML  5  “Apps”  May  Have  Mulgple  Forms   4   3   2   1   STORY           Product  1     Product  2   Product  3   INFOGRAPHIC         Stock  Trading   App   Ticker  1  *     Ticker  2  *   Ticker  3  *   1.  App:  func@ons   like  a  na@ve  app   2.  eBook:  something   to  read  later     3.  Bookmark+:   content  available   for  later   reference   4.  Layers   5/4/12   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   20  
  • 20. Mulgple  Forms  of  High  Value  Monegzagon   4   3   2   1   5/4/12   STORY           Product  1     Product  2   Product  3   Stock  Trading   App   INFOGRAPHIC         Ticker  1  *     Ticker  2  *   Ticker  3  *   1.  App  delivery   2.  eBook:  atomiza@on   of  content  enables   incremental  revenue     3.  Content  available  for   later  reference  can   include  mone@za@on     4.  Layers  can  include   mone@za@on   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   21  
  • 21. HTML  5  =  Wide  Open  Opportunity   Units/$  ===>   World   Wide   Web     HTML  4   App  Model   Google   Apple   HTML  5   ???   Content  =   Commodity   Content  =   Unlimited   Differengagon   Desktops   5/4/12   Content  =   Limited   Differengagon   Smart  Phones   Future     ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   22  
  • 22. HTML  5  vs  Nagve  Apps   Advantage     Scale     Open  Source     Cost     Control     Economics     Funcgonality   5/4/12   iOS     √                     ???   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   HTML  5         √     √     √     √     ???           23  
  • 23. HTML  5  =  Wide  Open  Opportunity   Units/$  ===>   World   Wide   Web     HTML  4   App  Model   Google   Apple   HTML  5   ???   Content  =   Commodity   Content  =   Unlimited   Differengagon   Desktops   5/4/12   Content  =   Limited   Differengagon   Smart  Phones   Future     ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   24  
  • 24. Hypothesis  #6   Children  under  the  age  of  8  may  never   use  a  PC  the  way  you  do.  
  • 25. An  Eight-­‐Year  Old’s  Idea  of  a  Computer   5/4/12   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   26  
  • 26. Hypothesis  #7   Android  has  a  broken  economic  model;   cannot  compete  with  Apple  in  the  long   term  
  • 27. Brand  is  a  HUGE  Advantage   COGS   Apple’s  gross  margin  is  roughly  equal  to  gross   revenues  for  a  comparable  Android   COGS   Apple   5/4/12   Android   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   28  
  • 28. Android  =  Entropy  at  High  Velocity   Amazon   Verizon   Original  Android   Standard   5/4/12   Samsung   Barnes  &  Noble   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   29  
  • 29. Smart  Phone  Purchase  Drivers   Android   Apple   •  Content   •  Cool  factor   5/4/12   •  Tech  heat   seeker   •  Inexpensive   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   30  
  • 30. Hypothesis  #8   “Social”  and  “Mobile”  are  now  a  cost,  not   a  compe((ve  advantage  
  • 31. Hypothesis  #9   U.S.  economic  compe((veness  at  risk   unless  we  invest  far  more  in  post-­‐cellular   wireless  technology  
  • 32. Hypothesis  #10   Disrup(on  of  cable,  satellite,  and  even   NetFlix  is  beginning.  
  • 33. Economic  &  Market  Environment   •  US  economy  is  beginning  to  improve,  despite  efforts  in   Washington  to  reduce  deficit   –  DJIA,  S&P,  Nasdaq  reflect  rising  op(mism   –  Unemployment  remains  high;  possibly  structural   •  Excessive  consumer  indebtedness  acts  as  a  drag  on  growth   •  Government  deficits  act  as  a  drag  on  future  growth   –  Wars  compete  for  resources  with  private  economy   –  Is  Iran  next?   •  Investor  challenge:  what  is  the  happy  ending?   3/19/12   "Ten  Hypotheses"  by  Roger  McNamee   34  
  • 34. Onward!!   •  Tech  heat   •  Content   seeker   hLp://www.moonalice.com   •  Cool  factor   •  Inexpensive   hLp://www.eleva(on.com   5/4/12   ”How  to  Revive  the  Web"  by  Roger  McNamee   35