5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
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1. Positive responses in China and
Europe with ecosystem based
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
disaster reduction
Anton Imeson Foundation 3D – EC. NL
Artemi Cerda, University of Valencia, Spain
Pingchang Zhang, Changjiang (Yangtze) Water Resources Commission CWRC] China
Groot de, Rudolf , Ecosystem Services Partnership, NL
Jennifer Schulz , Inst. Fur Potsdam University, Germany
Honghu Liu , Scientific Research Unit
Hu Danwen , Soil Conservation Bureau CWRC China
Kosmas Costas , Agricultural University Athens, Greece
Agostino Ferrara Università degli Studi della Basilicata, Italy
Boris Schroder Tchnical Universitat Braunsschweig
P
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2. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
10 X More water in the soil
water reservoir
3. EU China Project
Restoring Forest Biome lost during
cultural revolution.
Natural capital
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
8/25/2014 Stichting 3D Environmenal
Change
3
4. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Response : community,
natural and economic
capital
1. Applied the Adaptive Management
and state and transition analysis at
field study sites in Spain (Cerda)
China (Honghu et al.) Integrated
single socio-ecological concept.
2. LEDDRA Land and ecosystem
degradation and desertification
assessment Response Assessment (
FP7 Briassoulis).
3. Soil and Water Conservation (EU
China Watershed Restauration
project to change and enhance land
use
4. Validated disaster reduction at field
sites in Spain an Europe
5. Similar conditions everywhere
because of erosion 2000 years ago in
Spain (Folster 1978), The
Mediterranean and China
5. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Response : community,
natural and economic
capital
1. Applied the Adaptive Management
and state and transition analysis at
field study sites in Spain (Cerda)
China (Honghu et al.) Integrated
single socio-ecological concept.
2. LEDDRA Land and ecosystem
degradation and desertification
assessment Response Assessment (
FP7 Briassoulis).
3. Soil and Water Conservation (EU
China Watershed Restauration
project to change and enhance land
use
4. Validated disaster reduction at field
sites in Spain an Europe
5. Similar conditions everywhere
because of erosion 2000 years ago in
Spain (Folster 1978), The
Mediterranean and China
6. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Davos
• Protection forests against rock falls.
• Detailed maps, geotechnical properties of soils.
• Competition between vegetation and erosion look at slope.
• Micro-climate around shrub.
• Lack of appropriate scientific information
• Collapse not likely except from taxation
• Value added snacks, addicted population
7. Enhanced land use: Rain, sun and soil are assets
1. A. Soil and water conservation with forests and on farmland to increase
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
the water regulation, productivity and production functions
2. Trees next to houses reduce energy costs (deciduous)
3. Increasing trees biomes and soil in restoring natural conditions in 30 to
40 per cent of the area. In China the implementation of EU, World Bank
and Government restoration has seemingly transformed areas into
economically functioning areas.
4. Promoting multi-functionality
5. Ecosystem services
8. Ecosystem based Disaster Reduction and climate
• The main risks are not from climate change or farmers
• In all biomes perhaps only 20 per cent of the former vegetation productivity
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
present. 1 to 2 metres of topsoil gone.
• The result is dust and sandstorms, transformation of land surface , runoff and
flooding .
9. Human capital and research: understanding
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
processes and change not data
10. The Yangtze River, China during rain
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Key Elements
Multifunctional Land Use
Ecosystem services
Human Behavior (Will) and Values
Preventing floods and landslides
and erosion
Agricultural terraces
Forest
11. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
12. Identifying suitable multifunctional forest restoration areas - Central
Chile Jennifer J. Schulz (Technische Universität München, Universität Potsdam) & Boris Schröder (Technische Universität Braunschweig)
Research questions
Where are areas suitable for forest restoration and and likely for natural
regeneration?
Where would forest restoration effectively enhance several functions
simultaneously?
Predicting suitable restoration and regeneration areas based on
recent historical land cover maps using remote sensing and
geostatistics
Predictions of restoration suitability and
regeneration potential
Forest
occurrence
Forest
regeneration
Habitat corridors
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
Land cover maps (1985, 1999, 2008) Schulz et al. 2010
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Identifying potential multifunctional hotspots using multi criteria
analysis
Modelled spatial distribution of potential forest functions
Multifunctional hotspots
Suitable multifunctional
restoration and regeneration
areas
using cross-tabulations / cross-maps
Erosion prevention
Carbon sequestration
13. Added value for the Post 2015 Framework for
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Disaster Risk Reduction
• How did your work support the implementation of the Hyogo Framework for Action:
– The nature of the soil conservation protection function and its benefits have been explained.
– Demonstrated that policies for preventing erosion and restoring ecosystem functions have worked in China and Spain.
– A comparison with Spain, Crete and Basilicata Italy revealed the reality of cultural lock-ins that hindered adadptation
– Site specific and generic measures can transform land into an area of no risk but of appropriate economic value .
– Multifunctional land use analysis was illustrated
– Ecosystem services were related to disaster risk
• From your perspective what are the main gaps, needs and further steps to be addressed in the Post 2015
Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction in
– Research:
An action plan to change and adapt the land cover and its ecosystems to ones that reduce disasters and restore productivity and
other benefits. Cultural evolution of society making people more aware of shared humanity.
A large scale pilot programme in areas subject to environmental degradation and increased risk with projects that would develop
disaster eradication action plans.
– Education & Training:
Films and videos. Developmen of a curricula for Bachelors and Masters . Organising 7 week training and demonstration courses.
Commission Books. Make use of existing information on the web.
– Implementation & Practice:
– Continue with the current ecosystem services partnership concept which is embedded in Biology . Alongside this develop
another action on the Soil and water protection function of the land , which is outside of the scientific domain of Biology but
more in that of Soil and water conservation from the domains of Geography and Geomorphology or the Earth Sciences. Just
as for the UNCCD there are NAPs. So here there can be NAPs but for Disaster Prevention by means of applying principles from
geomorphology, soil ecology , soil conservation and water. This could also be done in collaboration with the other conventions
– Policy:
– The status quo should be challenged regarding decision making over land use . Resources should become available for
adopting the kind of Governance developed in China or the Cape Verde Islands . A Ministry of Soil and Water should be above
the Ministry of Agriculture etc. Disaster Risk Reduction could be a Department Disaster Risk reduction would also mean that
there was no money needed for climate change because Disaster Risk reduction would stop it.