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Healthy animals
    as an essential concept
in sustainable food production
           Dr. Ulrich Sperling
            The TAFS Forum

        GRF One Health Summit
        Davos, February 21, 2012
Drugs,
 vaccines,
diagnostics

 Veterinary
  services

Safe water
  & feed
              One Health

   Clean         Human
environment      Health

  Healthy        Animal    Food
  wildlife       Health    Safety
68% of emerging human
pathogens are zoonotic.


They are mostly transmitted through food.
   Transmission route            Emerging
   Food-borne                    55
   Direct contact                40
   Faecal-oral                   37
   Water-borne                   36
   Vector-borne (dipteran)       36
   Aerosol (inhalation)          34
   Soil and/or vegetation        27
   (and others)
                             0        10    20   30   40   50   60
700‘000 livestock units lost
                                 every year
                  1,000,000
                   900,000                                           Zoonoses
                                                                     Non-zoonoses
                   800,000
                   700,000
 Losses in LSUs




                   600,000
                   500,000
                   400,000
                   300,000
                   200,000
                   100,000
                         0
                              2006              2007   2008   2009       2010

OIE data; SAFOSO World Animal Health Analysis
2006 - 2010
5
Animal health issues
          will increase. Probably.
                              Production
             Demand for        animals
               animal
               protein         Intensifi-
                                 cation
 Wealth
                 International trade        Animal
                                            health
                 International travel       issues

                  Climate change
Population         Infrastructure
 growth
                    Urbanization
Trade grows faster than production
                                                                Production
[CAGR 1999 – 2009;                                              Trade
worldwide]
                           6.9%                                           7.0%


                                         5.5%


                                  4.0%

                                                       2.9%
                                                                  2.4%
                                                2.2%
                    1.7%
 1.0% 1.1%



  Beef                 Pork       Chicken       Milk               Eggs
                                                (whole dried)      (whole + dried)

  Source: FAO, SAFOSO analysis
Growth in meat production vs. veterinary capacity
                                 100'000




                                  10'000
   LSUs per vet




                                   1'000




                                    100

 -10.0%             -5.0%                  0.0%             5.0%         10.0%   15.0%

                                CAGR total meat production 1999 - 2009

Source: FAOSTAT, OIE WAHID, SAFOSO analysis
Growth in meat production vs. veterinary capacity
                               100'000




                                10'000
  LSUs per vet




                                 1'000


                                                      CHINA
                                                      (78 Mio to; 2.7%)


                                  100

-10.0%           -5.0%                   0.0%        5.0%                10.0%   15.0%

                         CAGR total meat production 1999 - 2009
Growth in meat production vs. veterinary capacity
                               100'000




                                10'000
  LSUs per vet




                                                            BRAZIL
                                                            (23 Mio to; 4.4%)
                                 1'000




                                  100

-10.0%           -5.0%                   0.0%        5.0%                10.0%   15.0%

                         CAGR total meat production 1999 - 2009
Growth in meat production vs. veterinary capacity
                               100'000




                                10'000
  LSUs per vet




                                 1'000




                                                                             VIET NAM
                                                                             (4 Mio to; 7.8%)

                                  100

-10.0%           -5.0%                   0.0%                      5.0%        10.0%            15.0%
                                    CAGR total meat production 1999 - 2009
Growth in meat production vs. veterinary capacity
                               100'000




                                                                             PERU
                                                                             (1 Mio to; 5.5%)


                                10'000
  LSUs per vet




                                 1'000




                                  100

-10.0%           -5.0%                   0.0%                      5.0%                10.0%    15.0%
                                    CAGR total meat production 1999 - 2009
Interesting!
 Scientists       How did this
                   get here?
                                 Industry
                                      Will it disrupt
                                       our supply
                                         chain?

              Schmallenberg
                  Virus



Regulators                       Consumers
          You cannot
         test for it, so               Is the
            it‘s not                  virus in
          reportable!                  beef?
Scientists   Industry
                • Common
                  understanding and
                  views
                • Radar screening
                  and early warning
                • Joint position papers
                • Risk assessment
                  and early response
                • Risk management
                  plans
                • Justified trust in food
                  safety
Regulators    Consumers
Conclusions/Recommendations

• Food safety, managed upstream, supports ‚One Health‘
• We need better data collection, monitoring, transparency
• Veterinary services must be kept ‚fit for purpose‘
• Informal coordination platforms such as the TAFS forum
 are essential for achieving ‚One Health‘
Gains by One Health Approach

Food safety is a useful motivation and framework to
strive for environmental, animal and human
health, i.e. One Health.

In turn, the One Health approach makes our striving
for food safety more efficient and effective.




                                                      16
Thank you




www.tafsforum.org

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Healthy Animals as an Essential Concept in Sustainable Food Production

  • 1. Healthy animals as an essential concept in sustainable food production Dr. Ulrich Sperling The TAFS Forum GRF One Health Summit Davos, February 21, 2012
  • 2. Drugs, vaccines, diagnostics Veterinary services Safe water & feed One Health Clean Human environment Health Healthy Animal Food wildlife Health Safety
  • 3. 68% of emerging human pathogens are zoonotic. They are mostly transmitted through food. Transmission route Emerging Food-borne 55 Direct contact 40 Faecal-oral 37 Water-borne 36 Vector-borne (dipteran) 36 Aerosol (inhalation) 34 Soil and/or vegetation 27 (and others) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
  • 4. 700‘000 livestock units lost every year 1,000,000 900,000 Zoonoses Non-zoonoses 800,000 700,000 Losses in LSUs 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 OIE data; SAFOSO World Animal Health Analysis 2006 - 2010
  • 5. 5
  • 6. Animal health issues will increase. Probably. Production Demand for animals animal protein Intensifi- cation Wealth International trade Animal health International travel issues Climate change Population Infrastructure growth Urbanization
  • 7. Trade grows faster than production Production [CAGR 1999 – 2009; Trade worldwide] 6.9% 7.0% 5.5% 4.0% 2.9% 2.4% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.1% Beef Pork Chicken Milk Eggs (whole dried) (whole + dried) Source: FAO, SAFOSO analysis
  • 8. Growth in meat production vs. veterinary capacity 100'000 10'000 LSUs per vet 1'000 100 -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% CAGR total meat production 1999 - 2009 Source: FAOSTAT, OIE WAHID, SAFOSO analysis
  • 9. Growth in meat production vs. veterinary capacity 100'000 10'000 LSUs per vet 1'000 CHINA (78 Mio to; 2.7%) 100 -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% CAGR total meat production 1999 - 2009
  • 10. Growth in meat production vs. veterinary capacity 100'000 10'000 LSUs per vet BRAZIL (23 Mio to; 4.4%) 1'000 100 -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% CAGR total meat production 1999 - 2009
  • 11. Growth in meat production vs. veterinary capacity 100'000 10'000 LSUs per vet 1'000 VIET NAM (4 Mio to; 7.8%) 100 -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% CAGR total meat production 1999 - 2009
  • 12. Growth in meat production vs. veterinary capacity 100'000 PERU (1 Mio to; 5.5%) 10'000 LSUs per vet 1'000 100 -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% CAGR total meat production 1999 - 2009
  • 13. Interesting! Scientists How did this get here? Industry Will it disrupt our supply chain? Schmallenberg Virus Regulators Consumers You cannot test for it, so Is the it‘s not virus in reportable! beef?
  • 14. Scientists Industry • Common understanding and views • Radar screening and early warning • Joint position papers • Risk assessment and early response • Risk management plans • Justified trust in food safety Regulators Consumers
  • 15. Conclusions/Recommendations • Food safety, managed upstream, supports ‚One Health‘ • We need better data collection, monitoring, transparency • Veterinary services must be kept ‚fit for purpose‘ • Informal coordination platforms such as the TAFS forum are essential for achieving ‚One Health‘
  • 16. Gains by One Health Approach Food safety is a useful motivation and framework to strive for environmental, animal and human health, i.e. One Health. In turn, the One Health approach makes our striving for food safety more efficient and effective. 16

Notas do Editor

  1. Equals livestock population of Bosnia and Herzegowina.Estimates of how much of an underestimation this figure is range from 3 to 1000!