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Social TV, Forecasting and Innovation Why didn’t we foresee the rise of social TV? Colin Donald Director www.futurescape.tv
Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Social TV – transforming the medium of television
The social TV revolution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is social TV? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Broadcasters embrace it ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
Broadcasters embrace it ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
Connected TVs enable social TV ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
Social TV in EPGs ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
Social TV and online TV ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
Social TV via pay-TV platforms ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
Social TV via consoles ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
How big is social TV? ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two-screen usage ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2. Social TV – a radical shift in power for the TV industry
Two-screen viewing and Internet TVs give social activity considerable influence over the television industry
Social activity gives more power to the companies facilitating it
 
Facebook and Twitter are now major players in global television
Without making a single programme
Without broadcasting a single TV channel
 
3. How does social TV power manifest itself?
Impact on ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact on ,[object Object]
Impact on ,[object Object],[object Object]
Impact on ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact on ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Viewing: The Game ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Distribution: movies via Facebook ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Production: Goa Hippy Tribe ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Revenue: X Factor voting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Television can benefit from social networks
However…
Facebook CTO predicts Social networks will disrupt media – just like gaming
 
Facebook CTO predicts “ We haven't seen tons of other industries as impacted as games by Facebook, and we think that the next big change is seeing the next few industries being disrupted by social platforms in the same way gaming has been.” “ It's probably going to be orientated around media or news, because they are so social. When you watch a television show with your friend, it's such an engaging social activity.” BBC interview with Facebook CTO Bret Taylor, 10 February 2011
Facebook and Twitter can compete for ad revenue, too
With socially-targeted  advertising
Adidas World Cup video ad
Why did we not foresee this  social TV revolution in television?
And what does this mean for forecasting and innovation?
Forecasting and Innovation
4. The future of TV as seen from 1995
1995 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the future seen from1995? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Television at the Crossroads ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Television at the Crossroads ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Four accurate predictions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The TV is a “telecomputer” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
VOD and networked multimedia ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Cheap video tools democratise production ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
5. What we didn’t foresee in 1995 – social TV
What we didn’t foresee in 1995  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
What we didn’t foresee in 1995  ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
What we didn’t foresee in 1995  ,[object Object]
What we didn’t foresee in 1995   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
6. Why didn’t we anticipate it?
The blind spot ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
People’s social needs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
People’s social needs ,[object Object]
 
People’s social needs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Money ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
 
Data ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
The future of social TV from 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
7. Implications for forecasting and innovation
How can we generalise from the experience of forecasting the future of TV?
Forecasting and blind spots ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Remedies for blind spots ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The future of television ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[email_address] www.futurescape.tv

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Social TV, Forecasting and Innovation