A brief understanding of the series of events that led to the downfall of Greece. From a self sufficient nation Greece is now 323 billion pounds in debt.
2. Table of Contents
• The basics.
• Before it actually happened.
• Contributing factors.
• What happened next?
• Help arrives, but at what cost?
• Stats speak.
• Government’s take.
• Another setback.
• This year.
• After effects.
3. The Basics…
• Also known as Greek depression.
• Started in late 2009.
• Some factors contributing to it are
• The Great Recession.
• Structural weaknesses in the Greek economy.
• Sudden confidence drop among viable lenders.
• False disclosures by the then government.
• By 2012 Greece had the largest sovereign debt in history.
• By June 30th, 2015 Greece became the first developed country to
fail in repaying the IMF, the amount being 323 billion euros.
4. Before it actually happened.
• With a 4.2% growth in GDP, Greece was among the fastest growing
economies.
5. Contributing factors
• Ill-planned government spending.
• Balance of payments problem.
• Loopholes in tax collection.
• False disclosures.
6. What happened next?
• Investigations conducted by Troika- European commission, IMF,
ECB.
• Real figures revealed. Greek deficit stood at 15.7% of GDP from
previously believed 6%-8%.
• Greek debt revised from earlier calculated 269.3 billion euros to
299 billion euros.
• Bonds were sold but at a heavy price.
• Private capital marketing crashed completely.
• In 2010, up to 70% of Greek government bonds were held by
foreign investors.
7. Help arrives but at what cost?
• 110 billion euro bailout amount launched by troika, 2010.
• Conditions imposed on Greece:
• Austerity measures.
• Structural reforms.
• Privatization of government assets.
• Second bailout required by Greece, 2011.
• Bailout amount set to 130 billion euros.
• Total bailout generated- 240 billion euros.
8. Stats speak.
• Left hand side: GDP of
Greece in Billions.
• Peak in 2008 after which
steep decline till 2014.
_______________________
• Right hand side:
Unemployment percentage in
Greece as compared to other
countries.
• Highest unemployment rate
in Greece.
9. Governments take
• Low GDP growth rates.
• Government deficit issues.
• Budget compliance plan.
• Statistical credibility.
10. Another setback
• Greek economy was on the path to recovery.
• In Q4-2014 a 4th recession took place.
• Snap parliamentary election, election of SYRIZA led government.
• All remaining aid to Greece suspended by Troika.
• Political problems caused severe liquidity crisis.
• Interest rates for the government at private lending markets
spiked, private markets inaccessible to Greece once again.
11. This year…
• 4 month technical extension granted to Greece for the bailout program.
• New negotiation deal still pending at the end of May.
• Package of austerity measures and economic changes approved.
• Loan of 98 billion euros released hence.
• Economic changes covered in the legislation include:
• Raising retirement age.
• Cutting pensions.
• Liberalizing the energy market.
• Opening up cosseted professions.
• Expanding property tax.
• Privatization of state assets.
12.
13. After effects.
• Greek economy has shrunk by a quarter since 2010.
• Bailout money used for repaying loans rather than building the
economy.
• Debt load of government can’t possibly be repaid unless the
economy begins to recover.
• Greece’s relation with Europe in a delicate state.
• Current bailout terms require Greece to pass more than a dozen
laws.