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RAINMAKER
THE FUTURE OF WEARABLES
THE DANGERS OF TWITTER
• 152 Musical Selections
• 2,559 Instigators
• 51,406 Winners
• 1 Sexy Loser
A BIT ABOUT THE SITE
• Started in Sept 2007 as a personal blog
• All about in-depth technology reviews…but
also first looks and previews
• Reviews are the primary initial driver of traffic
• Over 4 Million page views/month, 3 Million
uniques/month
• 80K on Facebook, 50K on Twitter, ~70K on
YouTube
• Revenue based primarily on affiliate links
• No advertising from product segment I review
WHAT IS A WEARABLE?
• Wrist based devices
• Activity Tracker Bands
• Watches with a watch face
• Small motion/HR sensors
• Upper arm devices
• Largely heart rate sensors
• Also muscle oxygen devices
• Chest devices
• Heart Rate sensors (clothing and separate)
• Motion capture sensors
• Lower body devices
• Muscle Oxygen
• Motion capture (running efficiency)
WEARABLE NORMS IN 2018
• Activity tracking is now baseline
• Sleep tracking is now baseline
• Optical HR is now baseline
• Smartphone notifications are now baseline
• Smartphone apps connected to your platform
are now baseline
• Basic platform interoperability is now baseline
• Exporting of data is now baseline (thanks
GDPR!)
EARLY 2018 WEARABLE TRENDS
• Music is a must for wearables above
$200-$250
• Contactless payments a must above
$250
• GPS oddly not a given at $200
• New entrants in $300+ watch range
• Leveraging HR data for better analytics
• Devices edging closer to medical status
MUSIC SERVICES ARE THE NEW
API’S• Music is a potential gateway drug for
better workouts
• Music providers have to be where the users
are, or they’ll get left behind
• The single biggest reason for Strava’s
success is it’s API.
• Music providers need to be like social
networks – easily accessible from any
device no matter where a user is
• Wearable devices should be as music
provider agnostic as possible
WEARABLE PLAYER
EXPANSION
• Last year was mostly quiet for new players
• 2018 is shaping up to see significant new
entrant expansion: Coros, Amazfit, and
others
• Many driven heavily by Asian low-cost
entrants targeting traditionally high-end
markets
• And as always, startups attempting to shake
the market
• But…these entrants must follow the rules.
BUT LOW COST DOESN’T MEAN
BAD
• A number of low-cost brands are now
leveraging licensed metrics/analytics
• Same goes for non-traditional sports
companies
• Sony
• Samsung
• Huawei
• This immediately puts these entities on par
with metric-wise established players:
Garmin/TomTom/Polar/Suunto
THE SPLITTING OF PLATFORMS
• The wearable operating system
• Apple: WatchOS
• Fitbit: Fitbit OS
• Garmin: Connect IQ
• Samsung: Tizen
• Everyone else: Wear OS
Suunto & Polar: Self
• Separation of the watch from the data
• Apple has really accelerated this
• Some users never use stock workout apps
• Data no longer residing within Apple Ecosystem
WHAT ARE THE APP TRENDS
TODAY?
• Useful device and platform
integration
• No longer about beer counters
• Actually about leveraging a business
opportunity
• Almost everyone here is aiming to
promote something else they’re
doing (again, not beer apps)
USERS ARE ADAPTING WHERE
PLATFORMS FAIL
• Users are willing to use 3rd party apps to a
point
• Apple Watch Triathlete
• But ultimately, people want cohesive
experiences
• Having to manage weight in one platform and
steps in another and workouts in another just isn’t
logical
• They don’t want data spread everywhere,
especially as concerns around privacy rise
WEARABLE ISSUES IN 2018
• Data is still too confusing
• So much data being collected, but
very little is actually leveraged
• GDPR Implementation
• Failures of fitness platforms to
protect data
• Misunderstandings by users on how
their data is visible
THE CHALLENGES OF BAD STUDIES –
PART 1
• Major studies get mainstream media
attention – scares people away
• A prestigious institution can still
screw up a basic study
• Placed watches next to each other
• Impacts steps (which impacts distance)
• Impacts heart rate (which impacts
calories, stress, and many other metrics)
THE CHALLENGES OF BAD STUDIES
– PART 2
• Use proper data methods to get data
• When looking at HR/Step/Etc data, all data must
be used, not a portion of it
• “…consequently, in the 5 minute protocol for each
activity, we used the energy expenditure and heart
rate for the final minute of the protocol (to ensure
that a “steady state” rather than transient
measurement was obtained).”
• Use the end user data, not ‘behind the scenes’
methods
• PulseOn data libraries skipped the FirstBeat
processed calorie data
FITNESS PLATFORM
SECURITY
• Acquisitions/Integrations are really
really tough
• Under Armour is likely the start of
media-worthy issues
• Strava also fell into data privacy trap
• Security in platforms is hardly new, but
the implications of the data is different
here
• Various international laws will make this
more prevalent sooner
GOING FORWARD:
WEARABLES• More acceptance of contactless payments: Australia
vs France vs USA
• These matter to increase adoption – increase reasons for a
device means increased activity tracking
• Optical HR has become dial-tone for anything over
$100 these days
• [Android] Wear OS continues to struggle to find a
place to thrive
• Re-focusing on getting value from HR driven metrics
• Consistency across a platform:
• We’ll see the rise (and fall) of connected GPS
devices
• A temporary step backwards
GOING FORWARD: ALL ABOUT
THE LABS
• Platforms are starting to put the puzzle pieces
together
• Too many silos of information:
• Heart rate silo
• Stress silo
• Sleep silo
• Workout silo
• Seeing companies like Fitbit and FirstBeat begin to
integrate these slightly
• Why doesn’t my watch offer soft piano music yet?
GOING FORWARD: MEDICAL
MAYBE
• Fitbit dances around with medical
plans with Ionic/Versa
• Apple pokes via 3rd party apps at
medical use cases
• Garmin Connect IQ 3.0 expanded
level of heart rate data access
GOING FORWARD:
PLATFORMS
• Platform consolidation has essentially
stopped
• Coaching, coaching, coach. Everyone,
wants to coach everyone.
• Now it’s about adaptive aspects. How can
you make your offering truly respond to
the individual?
• Xert has really been leading in this space
for serious athletes, but Fitbit is starting to
make a run for the general consumer.
THE BIGGEST
OPPORTUNITIES
• Not just actionable data, but immediate next
steps
• Actionable data still offloads too big of
decision tree to user
• Couch to 5K are no different than
Olympians: They both want specifics
• The source of the advice merely differs
• Just make cool shit – it appeals to everyone
HOW I DO REVIEWS
TYPES OF POSTS
• ‘First Look’ posts:
• Typically trade-show driven posts (not reviews)
• Where I can’t take the product ‘outside’ or otherwise
use it meaningfully
• Initial ‘Hands-On’ posts
• Last-minute posts, 1-3 days pre-launch (not reviews)
• Designed to explain product, usually based on pre-
release hardware/software
• In-Depth Reviews
• Full in-depth review with final hardware/software
WAYS TO ENGAGE WITH ME
• Method 1: NDA discussions/product
access, far in advance of product
release, private beta feedback.
• Method 2: Product launch timed review.
Pre-availability product usually under
NDA until public announcement.
• Method 3: Post-release review (already
in market product). Usually less time
sensitive.
Thanks!
(I’m here till 5PM)
Contact info:
Ray@dcrainmaker.com
www.dcrainmaker.com
The Twitter: @dcrainmakerblog

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Future of Wearables - Ray "DC Rainmaker" Maker

  • 1.
  • 3. THE DANGERS OF TWITTER • 152 Musical Selections • 2,559 Instigators • 51,406 Winners • 1 Sexy Loser
  • 4. A BIT ABOUT THE SITE • Started in Sept 2007 as a personal blog • All about in-depth technology reviews…but also first looks and previews • Reviews are the primary initial driver of traffic • Over 4 Million page views/month, 3 Million uniques/month • 80K on Facebook, 50K on Twitter, ~70K on YouTube • Revenue based primarily on affiliate links • No advertising from product segment I review
  • 5. WHAT IS A WEARABLE? • Wrist based devices • Activity Tracker Bands • Watches with a watch face • Small motion/HR sensors • Upper arm devices • Largely heart rate sensors • Also muscle oxygen devices • Chest devices • Heart Rate sensors (clothing and separate) • Motion capture sensors • Lower body devices • Muscle Oxygen • Motion capture (running efficiency)
  • 6. WEARABLE NORMS IN 2018 • Activity tracking is now baseline • Sleep tracking is now baseline • Optical HR is now baseline • Smartphone notifications are now baseline • Smartphone apps connected to your platform are now baseline • Basic platform interoperability is now baseline • Exporting of data is now baseline (thanks GDPR!)
  • 7. EARLY 2018 WEARABLE TRENDS • Music is a must for wearables above $200-$250 • Contactless payments a must above $250 • GPS oddly not a given at $200 • New entrants in $300+ watch range • Leveraging HR data for better analytics • Devices edging closer to medical status
  • 8. MUSIC SERVICES ARE THE NEW API’S• Music is a potential gateway drug for better workouts • Music providers have to be where the users are, or they’ll get left behind • The single biggest reason for Strava’s success is it’s API. • Music providers need to be like social networks – easily accessible from any device no matter where a user is • Wearable devices should be as music provider agnostic as possible
  • 9. WEARABLE PLAYER EXPANSION • Last year was mostly quiet for new players • 2018 is shaping up to see significant new entrant expansion: Coros, Amazfit, and others • Many driven heavily by Asian low-cost entrants targeting traditionally high-end markets • And as always, startups attempting to shake the market • But…these entrants must follow the rules.
  • 10. BUT LOW COST DOESN’T MEAN BAD • A number of low-cost brands are now leveraging licensed metrics/analytics • Same goes for non-traditional sports companies • Sony • Samsung • Huawei • This immediately puts these entities on par with metric-wise established players: Garmin/TomTom/Polar/Suunto
  • 11. THE SPLITTING OF PLATFORMS • The wearable operating system • Apple: WatchOS • Fitbit: Fitbit OS • Garmin: Connect IQ • Samsung: Tizen • Everyone else: Wear OS Suunto & Polar: Self • Separation of the watch from the data • Apple has really accelerated this • Some users never use stock workout apps • Data no longer residing within Apple Ecosystem
  • 12. WHAT ARE THE APP TRENDS TODAY? • Useful device and platform integration • No longer about beer counters • Actually about leveraging a business opportunity • Almost everyone here is aiming to promote something else they’re doing (again, not beer apps)
  • 13. USERS ARE ADAPTING WHERE PLATFORMS FAIL • Users are willing to use 3rd party apps to a point • Apple Watch Triathlete • But ultimately, people want cohesive experiences • Having to manage weight in one platform and steps in another and workouts in another just isn’t logical • They don’t want data spread everywhere, especially as concerns around privacy rise
  • 14. WEARABLE ISSUES IN 2018 • Data is still too confusing • So much data being collected, but very little is actually leveraged • GDPR Implementation • Failures of fitness platforms to protect data • Misunderstandings by users on how their data is visible
  • 15. THE CHALLENGES OF BAD STUDIES – PART 1 • Major studies get mainstream media attention – scares people away • A prestigious institution can still screw up a basic study • Placed watches next to each other • Impacts steps (which impacts distance) • Impacts heart rate (which impacts calories, stress, and many other metrics)
  • 16. THE CHALLENGES OF BAD STUDIES – PART 2 • Use proper data methods to get data • When looking at HR/Step/Etc data, all data must be used, not a portion of it • “…consequently, in the 5 minute protocol for each activity, we used the energy expenditure and heart rate for the final minute of the protocol (to ensure that a “steady state” rather than transient measurement was obtained).” • Use the end user data, not ‘behind the scenes’ methods • PulseOn data libraries skipped the FirstBeat processed calorie data
  • 17. FITNESS PLATFORM SECURITY • Acquisitions/Integrations are really really tough • Under Armour is likely the start of media-worthy issues • Strava also fell into data privacy trap • Security in platforms is hardly new, but the implications of the data is different here • Various international laws will make this more prevalent sooner
  • 18. GOING FORWARD: WEARABLES• More acceptance of contactless payments: Australia vs France vs USA • These matter to increase adoption – increase reasons for a device means increased activity tracking • Optical HR has become dial-tone for anything over $100 these days • [Android] Wear OS continues to struggle to find a place to thrive • Re-focusing on getting value from HR driven metrics • Consistency across a platform: • We’ll see the rise (and fall) of connected GPS devices • A temporary step backwards
  • 19. GOING FORWARD: ALL ABOUT THE LABS • Platforms are starting to put the puzzle pieces together • Too many silos of information: • Heart rate silo • Stress silo • Sleep silo • Workout silo • Seeing companies like Fitbit and FirstBeat begin to integrate these slightly • Why doesn’t my watch offer soft piano music yet?
  • 20. GOING FORWARD: MEDICAL MAYBE • Fitbit dances around with medical plans with Ionic/Versa • Apple pokes via 3rd party apps at medical use cases • Garmin Connect IQ 3.0 expanded level of heart rate data access
  • 21. GOING FORWARD: PLATFORMS • Platform consolidation has essentially stopped • Coaching, coaching, coach. Everyone, wants to coach everyone. • Now it’s about adaptive aspects. How can you make your offering truly respond to the individual? • Xert has really been leading in this space for serious athletes, but Fitbit is starting to make a run for the general consumer.
  • 22. THE BIGGEST OPPORTUNITIES • Not just actionable data, but immediate next steps • Actionable data still offloads too big of decision tree to user • Couch to 5K are no different than Olympians: They both want specifics • The source of the advice merely differs • Just make cool shit – it appeals to everyone
  • 23. HOW I DO REVIEWS
  • 24. TYPES OF POSTS • ‘First Look’ posts: • Typically trade-show driven posts (not reviews) • Where I can’t take the product ‘outside’ or otherwise use it meaningfully • Initial ‘Hands-On’ posts • Last-minute posts, 1-3 days pre-launch (not reviews) • Designed to explain product, usually based on pre- release hardware/software • In-Depth Reviews • Full in-depth review with final hardware/software
  • 25. WAYS TO ENGAGE WITH ME • Method 1: NDA discussions/product access, far in advance of product release, private beta feedback. • Method 2: Product launch timed review. Pre-availability product usually under NDA until public announcement. • Method 3: Post-release review (already in market product). Usually less time sensitive.
  • 26. Thanks! (I’m here till 5PM) Contact info: Ray@dcrainmaker.com www.dcrainmaker.com The Twitter: @dcrainmakerblog