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FTTH Council Europe, February 2016
New Zealand’s Ultra-Fast Broadband project
Marlies Van der Wee
James Wheatley
Jeroen Vanhaverbeke
3 Sessions
13:00 – 14:45 Eir’s experiences
Key Learnings from FTTH deployment in Ireland
15:00 – 16:30 New Zealand’s UFB deployment
Answers to important FTTH deployment barriers
16:45 – 17:30 Handling Business case uncertainties
Exploring ways to improve your business case
2
Speakers
3
Marlies Van Der Wee
iMinds
James Wheatley
GE
Jeroen Vanhaverbeke
FiberPlanIT
A short introduction to New Zealand
Marlies Van der Wee
4
New-Zealand
5
km2 260,000
millions 4.4
per km2 16
ratio 7
# 2
Some facts about New Zealand
6
<1 person per km2
:
Some history
7
2009 National party
OK, but how?
Cover an entire nation on a limited budget
Jeroen Vanhaverbeke
9
In a perfect world…
100% FTTH coverage
But…
Limited budget
10
Impact most expensive homes
11
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
50%60%70%80%90%100%
Investment
Coverage
Exclude most expensive homes
 Maximum Cost/HP?
Big impact on total investment
2 programs
 UFB
 RBI
Case study: cost per home
12
Case study: cost per home
13
Case study: cost per home
14
Where is the cut-off?
Methods
 Current connection speed
 Population density
 …
 Cost-coverage analysis
15
Generate deployment cost heat map
Budget estimation
How to calculate needed investment
 Tendering
 Funding
Required Accuracy?
Time constraint?
16
Total cost of ownership
 OPEX vs CAPEX
 OPEX often overlooked
 Active equipment in the field
 Power, maintenance, …
 Leasing
 Dark fibre, ducts, exchange, poles
from utilities, …
17
Broadband via two separate projects!
Marlies Van der Wee
18
UFB, New-Zealand
19
• Public-Private Partnership based on tender
• NZD1.5 billion public investment
• GPON
• Only a wholesale bitstream offer
• no retail services!
The Rural Broadband Initiative (RBI)
 Areas not covered by UFB deployment
 speeds of at least 5 Mbps
 90% of rural homes and businesses, all public schools and hospitals
 Procurement of NZD $350 million
20
further deployment of VDSL and ADSL2+
Fixed-wireless broadband by upgrading existing and
deploying new base stations
UFB progress so far
December 2015
21
UFB
Priority users
Schools in UFB, RBI and remote areas
Business model: bitstream open access
22
…
Business model: bitstream open access
23
…
Competition local and nationwide
87 in total, typically 10 per area
Own geographical coverage area
BITSTREAM ACCESS
Bitstream open access on GPON
24
CO
Point of
Interconnect
ICAB
ONT
1 GB or 10GB
L2 access network
30/10 or 100/50
CO
ONT
Funding schemes
25
Funds-recycling
model
Investment
model
Funds-Recycling model
26
Start planning and deploying!
Jeroen Vanhaverbeke
27
Rollout order: based on priority users
28
 Schools and universities
 Hospitals
 Businesses
Alternatives: phased rollout
 Take the cheapest option for every
incremental step?
OR
 Plan the entire network upfront and already
take trenching, duct capacity… of future
rollouts into account in the first phase?
29
Case Study: How to do a Phased Rollout?
Source: Municipal driven fiber access network rollout (Van Ooteghem, Casier, De Heyn, et al.)
30
Case Study: Results
 Optimizing the network for different phases can lead to significant
differences in CAPEX.
 Results depend on:
 Technological choices
 Labour and material cost
 Size of the phases
 Cost of Capital, estimated time between phases, expected adoption…
play an important role when making a decision.
 Every rollout is different. Planning needs to be done case by case.
31
Deployment to non-FTTH areas
Backhaul upgrades
 Cabinet
 Antenna
Connect passed homes
 Low additional cost
 Future proof
32
Project cost calculation
Easy!
 ∑ (Equipment x (material cost + labour cost))
But…
All unit costs known?
Equipment volume correctly estimated?
Unforeseen costs?
33
Shared
driveways
Project cost calculation
Easy!
 ∑ (Equipment x (material cost + labour cost))
But…
All unit costs known?
Equipment volume correctly estimated?
Unforeseen costs?
34
Shared
driveways
Increased complexity
35
Depending on regional legislation
Frequently with subcontractors
How to tackle increased complexity
Chorus
 Started rolling out in 2011
 Now in year 6 of the 9-year build plan
 Phased approach per year
 Roll-out rules and techniques are reviewed and improved
 Design rules per year
 Chorus developed a "ruggidised" cable that can be either surface
mounted (e.g. on fences) or shallow buried
37
Costs at customer activation
 Design decision!
 Impact on time to activate
 Skills
 Unexpected problems?
 Cost per Home Passed vs Home Activated
 Adoption rate?
 Design rules/Architecture impact
38
Managing the network build
James Wheatley
39
Managing the build
 FTTH deployments are big construction projects
 Hundreds of tasks to be completed by many crews
 How to efficiently manage all this work?
 How to report out to senior management on progress?
 How to manage multiple sub-contractors?
 How to identify tasks that are held up?
 How to assign tasks to the right resources?
 How to keep track of status of each task?
 Use a work management solution to manage it all
40
41
Reduce average Cost per Premise Passed (CPPP)
from NZ$3,500 to less than NZ$1,500
The original challenge for Chorus
Field Engineer
Designer
Coordinator
Resource Pool
Design
Civil Works
Connection
Feasibility
Jobs & Tasks
Manager
Standardised
Processes &
Data Structure
… etc.… etc.
How work management solutions can help
42
Processes & procedures define how things need
to be done and by whom
What needs to be done gets loaded & organised in work management solution
Work management then helps assign,
schedule, manage & report on these items
Work management done right
43
Benefits of work management solutions
44
Enables process
optimisation, eliminates
waste, automates manual
tasks and removes
bottlenecks
Removes the barriers to effective contractor management by providing a
collaborative operating model between the operator and its contractors
Provides real-time
strategic business
intelligence and detailed
reporting
Deploys operational
controls to ensure work is
completed on time, in full
and to specification
Reduces project management
& administration costs –
including analysis, reporting,
document management &
communication
Current situation at Chorus
45
Cost Per Premise Passed:
Projected to be NZ$2,134
Now: within range of NZ$1,700 to NZ$1,770
Session wrap-up
Marlies Van der Wee
46
Something to remember?
 Clear government role in fiber deployment
 Significant control in return for direct investment
 Cost-coverage trade-off in design decision
 Led to two separate projects: UFB and RBI
 Phased approach: learning as-you-go
 Supported by work management solution
47
Next steps for New Zealand?
 Reducing uncertainty in regulation
 Revision of the Telecommunications Act of 2001
 Different proposals…
 Extension to both projects
 FTTH to at least 80% of homes
 Mobile Black Spot Fund
-> coverage to highways and key tourist areas
48
?
FTTH Council Europe, February 2016
Thank you for your attention!
Any questions?
www.technoeconomics.ugent.be

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New Zealand's Ultra-Fast Broadband project (workshop FTTH EU Conference 2016)

  • 1. FTTH Council Europe, February 2016 New Zealand’s Ultra-Fast Broadband project Marlies Van der Wee James Wheatley Jeroen Vanhaverbeke
  • 2. 3 Sessions 13:00 – 14:45 Eir’s experiences Key Learnings from FTTH deployment in Ireland 15:00 – 16:30 New Zealand’s UFB deployment Answers to important FTTH deployment barriers 16:45 – 17:30 Handling Business case uncertainties Exploring ways to improve your business case 2
  • 3. Speakers 3 Marlies Van Der Wee iMinds James Wheatley GE Jeroen Vanhaverbeke FiberPlanIT
  • 4. A short introduction to New Zealand Marlies Van der Wee 4
  • 6. km2 260,000 millions 4.4 per km2 16 ratio 7 # 2 Some facts about New Zealand 6 <1 person per km2 :
  • 9. Cover an entire nation on a limited budget Jeroen Vanhaverbeke 9
  • 10. In a perfect world… 100% FTTH coverage But… Limited budget 10
  • 11. Impact most expensive homes 11 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 50%60%70%80%90%100% Investment Coverage Exclude most expensive homes  Maximum Cost/HP? Big impact on total investment 2 programs  UFB  RBI
  • 12. Case study: cost per home 12
  • 13. Case study: cost per home 13
  • 14. Case study: cost per home 14
  • 15. Where is the cut-off? Methods  Current connection speed  Population density  …  Cost-coverage analysis 15 Generate deployment cost heat map
  • 16. Budget estimation How to calculate needed investment  Tendering  Funding Required Accuracy? Time constraint? 16
  • 17. Total cost of ownership  OPEX vs CAPEX  OPEX often overlooked  Active equipment in the field  Power, maintenance, …  Leasing  Dark fibre, ducts, exchange, poles from utilities, … 17
  • 18. Broadband via two separate projects! Marlies Van der Wee 18
  • 19. UFB, New-Zealand 19 • Public-Private Partnership based on tender • NZD1.5 billion public investment • GPON • Only a wholesale bitstream offer • no retail services!
  • 20. The Rural Broadband Initiative (RBI)  Areas not covered by UFB deployment  speeds of at least 5 Mbps  90% of rural homes and businesses, all public schools and hospitals  Procurement of NZD $350 million 20 further deployment of VDSL and ADSL2+ Fixed-wireless broadband by upgrading existing and deploying new base stations
  • 21. UFB progress so far December 2015 21 UFB Priority users Schools in UFB, RBI and remote areas
  • 22. Business model: bitstream open access 22 …
  • 23. Business model: bitstream open access 23 … Competition local and nationwide 87 in total, typically 10 per area Own geographical coverage area BITSTREAM ACCESS
  • 24. Bitstream open access on GPON 24 CO Point of Interconnect ICAB ONT 1 GB or 10GB L2 access network 30/10 or 100/50 CO ONT
  • 27. Start planning and deploying! Jeroen Vanhaverbeke 27
  • 28. Rollout order: based on priority users 28  Schools and universities  Hospitals  Businesses
  • 29. Alternatives: phased rollout  Take the cheapest option for every incremental step? OR  Plan the entire network upfront and already take trenching, duct capacity… of future rollouts into account in the first phase? 29
  • 30. Case Study: How to do a Phased Rollout? Source: Municipal driven fiber access network rollout (Van Ooteghem, Casier, De Heyn, et al.) 30
  • 31. Case Study: Results  Optimizing the network for different phases can lead to significant differences in CAPEX.  Results depend on:  Technological choices  Labour and material cost  Size of the phases  Cost of Capital, estimated time between phases, expected adoption… play an important role when making a decision.  Every rollout is different. Planning needs to be done case by case. 31
  • 32. Deployment to non-FTTH areas Backhaul upgrades  Cabinet  Antenna Connect passed homes  Low additional cost  Future proof 32
  • 33. Project cost calculation Easy!  ∑ (Equipment x (material cost + labour cost)) But… All unit costs known? Equipment volume correctly estimated? Unforeseen costs? 33 Shared driveways
  • 34. Project cost calculation Easy!  ∑ (Equipment x (material cost + labour cost)) But… All unit costs known? Equipment volume correctly estimated? Unforeseen costs? 34 Shared driveways
  • 35. Increased complexity 35 Depending on regional legislation Frequently with subcontractors
  • 36. How to tackle increased complexity Chorus  Started rolling out in 2011  Now in year 6 of the 9-year build plan  Phased approach per year  Roll-out rules and techniques are reviewed and improved  Design rules per year  Chorus developed a "ruggidised" cable that can be either surface mounted (e.g. on fences) or shallow buried 37
  • 37. Costs at customer activation  Design decision!  Impact on time to activate  Skills  Unexpected problems?  Cost per Home Passed vs Home Activated  Adoption rate?  Design rules/Architecture impact 38
  • 38. Managing the network build James Wheatley 39
  • 39. Managing the build  FTTH deployments are big construction projects  Hundreds of tasks to be completed by many crews  How to efficiently manage all this work?  How to report out to senior management on progress?  How to manage multiple sub-contractors?  How to identify tasks that are held up?  How to assign tasks to the right resources?  How to keep track of status of each task?  Use a work management solution to manage it all 40
  • 40. 41 Reduce average Cost per Premise Passed (CPPP) from NZ$3,500 to less than NZ$1,500 The original challenge for Chorus
  • 41. Field Engineer Designer Coordinator Resource Pool Design Civil Works Connection Feasibility Jobs & Tasks Manager Standardised Processes & Data Structure … etc.… etc. How work management solutions can help 42
  • 42. Processes & procedures define how things need to be done and by whom What needs to be done gets loaded & organised in work management solution Work management then helps assign, schedule, manage & report on these items Work management done right 43
  • 43. Benefits of work management solutions 44 Enables process optimisation, eliminates waste, automates manual tasks and removes bottlenecks Removes the barriers to effective contractor management by providing a collaborative operating model between the operator and its contractors Provides real-time strategic business intelligence and detailed reporting Deploys operational controls to ensure work is completed on time, in full and to specification Reduces project management & administration costs – including analysis, reporting, document management & communication
  • 44. Current situation at Chorus 45 Cost Per Premise Passed: Projected to be NZ$2,134 Now: within range of NZ$1,700 to NZ$1,770
  • 46. Something to remember?  Clear government role in fiber deployment  Significant control in return for direct investment  Cost-coverage trade-off in design decision  Led to two separate projects: UFB and RBI  Phased approach: learning as-you-go  Supported by work management solution 47
  • 47. Next steps for New Zealand?  Reducing uncertainty in regulation  Revision of the Telecommunications Act of 2001  Different proposals…  Extension to both projects  FTTH to at least 80% of homes  Mobile Black Spot Fund -> coverage to highways and key tourist areas 48 ?
  • 48. FTTH Council Europe, February 2016 Thank you for your attention! Any questions? www.technoeconomics.ugent.be