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                  Economic Value Management (EVM)

                  Teach-in

                  31 March 2008




                                                     ab
                Today’s agenda

                   Welcome and introduction     Susan Holliday

                   EVM methodology

                   EVM figures

                   From Embedded Value to EVM

                   Summary


                   Questions & answers

EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 2
ab
                Today’s agenda

                    Welcome and introduction

                    EVM methodology                                      George Quinn

                    EVM figures

                    From Embedded Value to EVM

                    Summary


                    Questions & answers

EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 3




                EVM methodology
                                                                               ab
                Economic steering at Swiss Re

                  Economic Value Management (EVM) is Swiss Re’s integrated economic
                  measurement and steering framework used for planning, pricing, reserving
                  and managing the business
                                                                Consistency throughout the
                                   Target                       performance cycle:
                                   setting



                  Strategy                        Planning         Target setting/planning/
                                                                   pricing/reserving
                           All measurements used                   Capital allocation/capital
                         throughout the performance                budgeting
                           cycle are based on EVM
                                methodology                        Performance
                Performance                                        measurement/
                                                      Pricing      compensation
                measurement


EVM Teach-in                      Tracking
31 March 2008                     renewals
Slide 4
EVM methodology

                EVM results are meant to respond
                                                                           ab
                to three basic questions:

                Are our underwriting activities creating economic value on a stand-
                alone basis?

                Are our investment activities creating economic value after risk
                adjustments?

                Can we assess different underwriting and investment opportunities on
                a like for like basis?



                  EVM profit is the common measure of economic value creation that
                                       guides steering decisions



EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 5




                EVM methodology

                To answer these three questions,
                                                                           ab
                the EVM framework…

                Splits performance of fund raising activities (underwriting) and fund
                investment activities (asset management)

                Recognises all profits on new business at inception, changes in
                estimates as they occur, and excludes future new business

                Values assets and liabilities on a market consistent basis


                Reflects best estimates


                Measures performance after capital costs (i.e. cost to shareholders of
                taking risk)


EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008                  The following slides illustrate how these
Slide 6                                principles apply in EVM ...
EVM methodology

                          Separation of underwriting and
                                                                                                                    ab
                          investment activities

Separation of
underwriting and           Splits performance of fund raising activities (underwriting) and fund
investment                 investment activities (asset management)
activities in line
with basic financial                                           Overall economic
economics                                                       balance sheet
principles
                                                                              Economic
                                                               Market         liabilities
                                                               value
                                                               assets
                                                                              Economic
                                Asset management                              net worth                   Underwriting
                                  balance sheet                                                           balance sheet

                                          Replicating                                                 Replicating   Economic
                                Market     portfolio           Asset management pays                   portfolio     liabilities
                                 value                           underwriting risk-free
                                assets                         returns for the funds that
                                              Economic                 are raised
                                              net worth
EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008                 - Investment decisions                                                 - Underwriting decisions
                                                                                                     - Management of
Slide 7                                                                                                existing business




                          EVM methodology
                                                                                                                    ab
                          Replicating reinsurance liabilities

 Replicating portfolios                                           Expenses, taxes, and                   Underlying business cash
                                                                  frictional costs                       flows
      The replicating portfolio provides the
      cash flows needed to meet expected
      future payments
                                                  Cash flow years         1                 2            3           4               5
      The choice of replicating instruments                                                                                        Discount
      depends on the financial market risk                                                                                         back at risk
      exposure embedded in the liabilities                                                                                         free rate


      A simple example:                                        Discounted economic cash flows
      Expected mortality claims payments                  (equals market value of replicating portfolio)
      in 5 years can be replicated by a 5
      year zero-coupon bond with the
      same maturity and payout
                                                                        Net                     Economic
         The market value of the bond today                          replicating      =          value of
         equals the economic value of the
EVM Teach-in                                                          portfolio                 liabilities
         expected claims payments
31 March 2008

Slide 8                                            Market value of replicating portfolio = Economic value of liabilities
EVM methodology
                                                                                                  ab
                      Measurement of underwriting activities
                      A standard replication example (I/III)

Example                Recognises all profits on new business at inception
EVM calculation                             Measurement          CHF thousands   Inception    Year 1   Year 2   Year 3
for a simple fire                           at inception
risk XL contract at                                              Premiums
inception
                                                                 Claims
                                                                 Expenses
                                New business value
                                                                 Taxes
                                 creation at day 1
                                                                 Capital costs
                                                  Undiscounted
                                                                 Expected
                                                                 cash flows       2 600       -1 000   -700     -700
                                     EVM profit
                                       300

                       Premium
                      received at
                                                                                             2%
                       inception     Production
                                                                                                  2.25%
                         2 600          cost
EVM Teach-in                           -2 300                                                                 2.5%
31 March 2008

Slide 9




                      EVM methodology
                                                                                                  ab
                      Measurement of underwriting activities
                      A standard replication example (II/III)

Example                Measurement is based on market prices and best estimates
EVM calculation                             Measurement          CHF thousands   Inception    Year 1   Year 2   Year 3
for a simple fire                           at inception
risk XL contract at                                              Premiums
inception
                                                                 Claims
                                                                 Expenses
                                New business value
                                                                 Taxes
                                 creation at day 1
                                                                 Capital costs
                                                  Undiscounted
                                                                 Expected
                                                                 cash flows       2 600       -1 000   -700     -700
                                     EVM profit
                                       300

                       Premium
                      received at
                                                                                             2%
                       inception     Production
                                                                                                  2.25%
                         2 600          cost
EVM Teach-in                           -2 300                                                                 2.5%
31 March 2008

Slide 10                                                Transfer price of funds (TPF) = risk free rates at inception
EVM methodology
                                                                                                                        ab
                                  Measurement of underwriting activities
                                  A standard replication example (III/III)

Example                            Measures performance after capital costs (includes a projection of capital costs)
EVM calculation                                           Measurement             CHF thousands    Inception     Year 1    Year 2    Year 3
for a simple fire                                         at inception
risk XL contract at                                                             Premiums
inception
                                                                                Claims
                                                                                Expenses
                                            New business value
                                                                                Taxes
                                             creation at day 1
                                                                                Capital costs
                                                                Undiscounted
                                                                                Expected
                                                                                cash flows         2 600        -1 000     -700      -700
                                                   EVM profit
                                                     300
                                                 Capital costs
                                   Premium           -90
                                  received at
                                                                                                               2%
                                   inception       Production
                                                                                                                      2.25%
                                     2 600            cost
EVM Teach-in                                         -2 300                                                                        2.5%
31 March 2008

Slide 11




                                  EVM methodology
                                                                                                                        ab
                                  Measurement of underwriting activities
                                  Insufficient premium income

Example                            A contract that generates an EVM loss at inception should be declined
EVM calculation                    EUR thousands       Inception      Year 1   Year 2     Year 3    Year 4     Year 5     Year 6     Year 7
for a Continental
European
                                   Premiums
proportional
motor contract at                  Claims
inception                          Expenses
                                   Taxes
         New
     business loss                 Capital costs
       at day 1                    Future exp.
                                   cash flows           1 870       -443       -482       -410      -349       -278       -214       -45

  EVM loss: -60
                                                                 4%
                                                                          4.25%
    Premium          Production                                                         4.5%
   received at          cost                                                                   4.75%
    inception          -1 930                                                                              4.9%
      1 870
EVM Teach-in                                                                                                            4.9%
31 March 2008                                                                                                                      5.1%
Slide 12
EVM methodology
                                                                                                   ab
                                Illustration
                                Did underwriting activities generate economic profit?

                                CHF thousands
                                New business profit after capital costs           300
                                  PV of premiums                                2 600
                                  PV of claims                                 -1 840
                                  PV of commissions                              -110    EVM value of new business
                                  PV of expenses                                 -110
                                  PV of taxes                                    -150
                                  PV of capital costs                              -90

                                Previous business profit after capital costs       59
                                   Change in premiums                              60
                                   Change in claims                                20
                                                                                         Change in EVM value of
                                   Change in commissions                           -5
                                   Change in expenses                              -4
                                                                                         previous years business
                                   Change in taxes                                 -8
                                   Change in capital costs                         -4
                                Total profit                                     359     Release of capital costs and
                                Release of capital costs                         100     risk-free return on
                                                                                         shareholders’ funds
                                Income before capital costs                      459


 EVM Teach-in
                                       EVM profit is defined as total return generated for shareholders after
 31 March 2008                         allowing for capital costs. An EVM profit of zero means that all production
 Slide 13
                                       costs including the cost of capital are covered




                                EVM methodology
                                                                                                   ab
                                Measurement of underwriting activities
                                Focus on profit recognition in EVM

    EVM B/S TPF at T0               EVM recognises all profits at inception based on the present value
                                    of all future expected cash flows
   Market
  value of       Economic
    repl.         liabilities
                                    Subsequent experience variances are recognised as previous years
  portfolio                         development

                                    EVM previous years results are calculated as the present value of
An upward shift of the yield
curve has a symmetrical             the difference between previous and revised cash flow estimates
impact on both sides of the
underwriting balance
sheet:
                                    Total EVM profit is the sum of new business and previous years
                                    profit
    EVM B/S TPF at T1
   Market                           Changes in interest rates do not affect the underwriting result on
  value of    Economic
    repl.      liabilities          the in-force book, as the projected cash flows are matched by the
  portfolio                         risk free replicating portfolio
 EVM Teach-in
 31 March 2008

 Slide 14
EVM methodology
                                                                                              ab
                           Investment performance in EVM

     Interest rates affect EVM                                 Overall economic
     investment results only if                                 balance sheet
     the actual investment
     portfolio does not fully                                            Economic
                                                               Market    liabilities
     match the replicating
                                                               value
     portfolio and economic net                                assets
     worth                                                               Economic
                                      Asset management                   net worth           Underwriting
     In case of a full asset            balance sheet                                        balance sheet
     liability match, changes in
     interest rates have                        Replicating                              Replicating   Economic
                                      Market     portfolio                                portfolio     liabilities
     symmetrical effects on both       value
     sides of the balance sheet       assets
                                                Economic
           no change in economic                net worth
           net worth

     The EVM investment result depends on the actual investment mix compared with the benchmark
EVM Teach-in
    portfolio
31 March 2008

Slide 15




                           EVM methodology
                                                                                              ab
                           Investment activities
                           Performance calculation in EVM




                               Mark-to-   Cost of        Tax, fx,    EVM income        Capital      EVM profit
                               market      funds        expenses    before capital      costs      after capital
                             investment                                 costs                          costs
                                return

                                     Benchmark return
EVM Teach-in                        (return on minimum
31 March 2008
                                        risk portfolio)
Slide 16
EVM methodology
                                                                              ab
                Example 1
                Full ALM match and interest rates go down


                    Assumption: Actual investment portfolio (consisting of risk-free
                    bonds) matches benchmark in terms of currency structure and
                    duration
                    Scenario: Parallel decrease of global interest rates of 100bps
                    Balance sheet is largely immunised against changes in interest
                    rates
                CHF bn




                     4.0        -4.0          0            0            0            0
                   Mark-to-    Cost of     Tax, fx,   EVM income      Capital    EVM profit
                   market       funds     expenses       before        costs    after capital
                 investment                           capital costs                 costs
EVM Teach-in        return
31 March 2008

Slide 17




                EVM methodology
                                                                              ab
                Example 2
                Long duration position and interest rates go down


                    Assumption: Actual investment portfolio (consisting of risk free
                    bonds) has a longer duration than the benchmark. The balance
                    sheet is exposed to interest rate risk
                    Scenario: Parallel decrease of global interest rates of 100bps
                    Swiss Re’s actual investment portfolio outperforms the benchmark

                CHF bn



                                -4.0         -0.2
                     5.0                                  0.8          -0.1         0.7

                   Mark-to-    Cost of     Tax, fx,   EVM income      Capital    EVM profit
                   market       funds     expenses       before        costs    after capital
                 investment                           capital costs                 costs
EVM Teach-in        return
31 March 2008

Slide 18
EVM methodology
                                                                                 ab
                Example 3
                Investment in corporate bonds and spreads widen


                    Assumption: Actual investment portfolio (consisting US AAA-rated
                    corporate bonds) underperforms the benchmark (credit spreads
                    widen). The balance sheet is exposed to credit risk
                    Scenario: Total return of corporate bond portfolio: 1.3%


                CHF bn




                     1.8

                                -4.0          0.3
                                                            -1.9          -0.2         -2.1

EVM Teach-in
                   Mark-to-    Cost of   Tax credit, fx, EVM income      Capital    EVM loss
31 March 2008      market       funds      expenses         before        costs    after capital
Slide 19
                 investment                              capital costs                 costs
                    return




                EVM methodology
                                                                                 ab
                Example 4
                Assets partially invested in equities


                    Assumption: Actual investment portfolio consists of 8% equities
                    (S&P 500 index) and 92% risk-free bonds. The balance sheet is
                    exposed to equity risk
                    Scenario: S&P 500 annual total index return: 15.8%
                    Swiss Re’s actual investment portfolio outperforms the benchmark

                CHF bn

                                -4.0          -0.4
                     5.4                                     1.0          -0.5         0.5

                   Mark-to-    Cost of      Tax, fx,    EVM income       Capital    EVM profit
                   market       funds      expenses    before capital     costs    after capital
                 investment                                costs                       costs
EVM Teach-in        return
31 March 2008

Slide 20
EVM methodology
                                                                        ab
                Capital costs in EVM

                EVM capital costs consist of:

                1. Risk free return on capital representing
                   shareholders base cost of capital

                2. Market risk premium (MRP) representing
                   the shareholders’ expected excess returns
                   on market risk exposure, applicable to all
                   business activities that generate systematic    Total required
                   market risk                                    return on capital

                3. Frictional capital costs (FCC) representing
                   shareholders required compensation for
                   agency costs, cost of potential financial
                   distress and regulatory/illiquidity costs
EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 21




                EVM methodology
                                                                        ab
                EVM and market consistent embedded
                value (MCEV) have significant commonalities

                                                         EV       EVM      MCEV
                Market consistent                        ✘         ✔        ✔
                Separate presentation of assets and
                liabilities                              ✘        ✔           ✘
                Explicit charges for capital costs and
                credit risk                              ✘        ✔           ✔
                Applicable to all products               ✘        ✔           ✔




EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 22
ab
                           Today’s agenda

                                   Welcome and introduction

                                   EVM methodology

                                   EVM figures                                  George Quinn

                                   From Embedded Value to EVM

                                   Summary


                                   Questions & answers

EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 23




                           EVM figures
                                                                                     ab
                           EVM 2006 income statement by business unit

                                                  Property &    Life &   Financial   Group
CHF m                                               Casualty   Health     Markets    items     Total
Profit

New business profit                                  1 695      391         995      -71     3 010
Previous years business profit                         137      328           0      225       690
Total profit after capital costs                     1 832      719         995      154     3 700



Release of capital costs                             1 578     1 007        857        99    3 541
Income before capital costs                          3 410     1 726      1 852      253     7 241


      EVM 2006 is unaudited
      The EVM production process is not subject to the same control environment as annual
EVM Teach-in
      and quarterly US GAAP reporting
31 March 2008

Slide 24
EVM figures
                                                                                      ab
                Drivers of 2006 EVM results

                  Property & Casualty
                  – New business profit CHF 1 695m, driven by low natural catastrophe losses and
                     improving pricing, terms and conditions
                  – Previous years business profit CHF 137m, reflecting moderate net positive claims
                     development
                  Life & Health
                  – New business profit CHF 391m, driven by GE Life UK transaction and improved
                     margins on traditional
                  – Previous years business profit of CHF 328m reflecting positive experience variances
                     and claims projections due to favourable mortality and morbidity developments
                  Financial Markets
                  – Total EVM profit CHF 995m, driven by strong returns in fixed income, equities and
                     alternative investments
                  Group items
                  – Total EVM profit CHF 154m, mainly driven by favourable pension fund performance
                    and improved diversification leading to lower frictional capital costs
                  Insurance Solutions
EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008     – The Insurance Solutions acquisition was accounted for as a 2006 balance sheet
                     transaction that added CHF 1.9bn to economic net worth
Slide 25




                EVM figures
                                                                                      ab
                EVM 2006 investment result

                EVM 2006 investment result of Financial Markets



                CHF bn


                                   -4.0           -0.4
                     6.2                                         1.8           -0.8           1.0

                   Mark-to-      Cost of       Tax, fx,     EVM income        Capital     EVM profit
                   market         funds       expenses         before          costs     after capital
                 investment                                 capital costs                    costs
                    return



EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 26
EVM figures
                                                                                                         ab
                          2006 Group economic net worth

                             Group economic net worth (ENW) is the difference between the
 Overall economic            market value of assets and the economic value of liabilities
  balance sheet
                             ENW is the EVM estimate of shareholders’ funds
            Economic
 Market     liabilities      At 31 December 2006, ENW was CHF 39.2 billion
 value
 assets
            Economic
            net worth                   CHF bn

                                                                                      39.2

                                                     30.9




EVM Teach-in                             US GAAP shareholders' equity       EVM economic net worth
31 March 2008

Slide 27




                          EVM figures
                                                                                                         ab
                          EVM 2006 capital by business unit

                                                        Property &           Life &     Financial        Group
                          CHF m                           Casualty          Health       Markets         items           Total


                          EVM capital (average)           18 104         12 183           4 381            219      34 887


                             EVM capital is the measure of capital that is required to support the
                             business
                             EVM capital is projected until the business runs off, and serves as
                             the basis for the allocation of capital costs
                             EVM capital takes internal risk, regulatory and rating agency capital
                             requirements into consideration



EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 28                                          Figures reflect the new reporting structure introduced for 2007 GAAP reporting
ab
                               Today’s agenda

                                      Welcome and introduction

                                      EVM methodology

                                      EVM figures

                                      From Embedded Value to EVM                            George Quinn

                                      Summary


                                      Questions & answers

EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 29




                               From Embedded Value to EVM
                                                                                                    ab
                               EV to EVM – different presentation & terminology

                               EV                      EV - alternative presentation               EVM

                   Assets                                                  Embedded
                                                                              Value                      Economic
 Marked to        backing           Statutory
                                                                            liabilities                  liabilities
 market          statutory          liabilities             Market                        Market
                 liabilities                                value                         value
                EV required            CoC                  assets         Embedded       assets         Economic
    Market        capital                                                    Value                       net worth
    value       Excess NW           Embedded
                                      Value
                    VIF


     Consider these                                               Re-present
     components separately


                                                                           Embedded
                                    Statutory                                 Value
                                    liabilities                             liabilities
                                                  Net these components
EVM Teach-in        VIF                           off against each other
31 March 2008                          CoC

Slide 30
From Embedded Value to EVM
                                                                                                              ab
                                EV to EVM – “Balance Sheet walk” (I/III)

      Swiss Re’s Life & Health portfolio under EV and EVM is compared below (values as at 31 December
      2006)

      Step 1: Re-present EV results in EVM format (per before)
             No change in value from this step

                                EV                                        EV - alternative presentation

                    Assets                                                                     Embedded
                   backing           Statutory                                                    Value
 Marked-          statutory          liabilities                                  Market        liabilities
 to-market        liabilities                                                     value
                                                                                  assets       Embedded
                 EV required            CoC                                                                   CHF 22.6bn
                   capital                                                                       Value
                 Excess NW           Embedded
                                       Value
                     VIF                           CHF 22.6bn

EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 31




                                From Embedded Value to EVM
                                                                                                              ab
                                EV to EVM – “Balance Sheet walk” (II/III)

      Step 2: Adjust assets and capital allocated under EV to be consistent with the allocation of assets
      and capital to the insurance operation under EVM (= replicating portfolio + EVM capital)
           This step only represents a change in notionally allocated assets, i.e. no “real” value
           created/destroyed in this step



                EV (EV asset allocation)                                      EV ’ (EVM asset allocation)

                                 Embedded                                                     Embedded
                                                                                 Market          Value
                                    Value
                   Market                                                         value        liabilities
                                  liabilities
                   value                                                         assets
                   assets                                                      (EVM basis)   Adj Embedded
                                                                                                 Value        CHF 12.2bn
                 (EV basis)      Embedded
                                   Value           CHF 22.6bn



EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008
                                        Change in notional asset allocation
Slide 32
From Embedded Value to EVM
                                                                                                           ab
                             EV to EVM – “Balance Sheet walk” (III/III)

      Step 3: Remaining measurement differences reflect the aggregate impact of the different EV &
      EVM methodologies across the total Life & Health portfolio (as at 31 December 2006)




           EV ’ (EVM asset allocation)                                               EVM

                           Embedded
                                                                                           Economic
              Market          Value                                      Market            liabilities
               value        liabilities                                   value
              assets                                                     assets
                          Adj Embedded                                                  Allocated
            (EVM basis)                                                (EVM basis)
                              Value       CHF 12.2bn                                    economic
                                                                                                             CHF 12.2bn
                                                                                       net worth 1)



      Although the overall adjusted EV and EVM are similar, there may be substantial differences between
      sublines and territories
EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 33                                                                                           1)    Equal to L&H EVM capital




                             From Embedded Value to EVM
                                                                                                           ab
                             Life & Health EV to EVM – 2006 earnings

New business profit          2006 (CHF m)                                                                 EV               EVM
is higher under EV           New business profit                                                         664               478
due to projection of
                             Previous business profit
investment income
                                Operating assumption changes                                             409               377
on higher yielding
assets                          Experience variances                                                      -35               -40
                             Profit after capital costs                                             1 038                  815


                             Expected return on in-force                                            1 116
                             Expected return on ANW                                                      336
                             Investment variances                                                         -35
                             Economic assumption changes                                                  -88
                             EVM capital costs                                                                             995
                             Corporate centre expense allocations in EVM but not EV                                         -84
                             EV earnings/EVM income before capital costs                            2 367                1 726


EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008                      Main differences are capital allocation, capital costs, and assumed
Slide 34
                                   investment returns (details see appendix)
ab
                Today’s agenda

                      Welcome and introduction

                      EVM methodology

                      EVM figures

                      From Embedded Value to EVM

                      Summary                                             George Quinn


                      Questions & answers

EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 35




                Summary
                                                                                 ab
                Summary and outlook

                  EVM is Swiss Re’s internal economic framework for performance
                  measurement and steering
                  EVM allows comparison of performance across all lines of business
                  EVM framework:
                  –    Splits performance of investment and underwriting activities
                  –    Recognises all closed book profits at inception (excludes franchise
                       value)
                  –    Values all assets and liabilities in a market consistent way
                  –    Reflects current best estimates
                  –    Measures performance after allowing for capital costs

                  2006 Group economic net worth CHF 39.2 billion, 2006 EVM
                  income before capital costs CHF 7.2 billion, EVM profit after capital
                  costs CHF 3.7 billion
EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008     2007 EVM figures will be disclosed with Q1 2008 results on
Slide 36          6 May 2008
ab
                Today’s agenda

                  Welcome and introduction

                  EVM methodology

                  EVM figures

                  From Embedded Value to EVM

                  Summary


                  Questions & answers        George Quinn/John Baxter

EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 37




                                                            ab
                Appendix




EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 38
EVM methodology
                                                                                     ab
                EVM definition of new business

                   General principle
                    EVM recognises all expected cash flows from contractual obligations at inception.
                    Deferral and fund methods of accounting are not used. In any calendar year, new
                    business is defined as business with an inception date within the calendar year

                   P&C
                    Insurance or reinsurance contracts written or renewed within the calendar year are
                    recognised as new business. This also applies to multi-year transactions. Future
                    renewals are not included in the valuation

                   Life & Health
                    New business includes: new individual business cessions in the year, renewals of
                    existing group schemes, increments to existing group schemes, new group
                    schemes, new blocks of Admin Re business and new cessions in the year on any
                    Admin Re blocks still open to new business, and renewals of business that is
                    subject to active annual renewal

EVM Teach-in       Financial Markets
31 March 2008
                    All investment and trading activities are marked-to-market and recognised as new
Slide 39            business




                EVM figures
                                                                                     ab
                US GAAP vs. economic balance sheet

                 Group GAAP balance sheet                        Group economic balance sheet



                                   Business
                  Investment       liabilities
                    assets                                           Investment
                                                                                      Business
                                                    Value              assets
                                                                                      liabilities
                                                  above B/S
                                     Other
                   Business        liabilities
                    assets
                                 GAAP equity
                  Other assets                                        Business
                                                                                    Other liabilities
                                                                       assets

                                                                                         ENW
                                                                     Other assets


EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 40
EVM figures
                                                                                                ab
                       EVM discount rates

                          The risk-free discount rates that are used to value insurance
                          contracts are called transfer price of funds (TPF) rates

                          TPF rates are based on Libor swap spot rates, reported for 25
                          currencies and 50 years on a monthly basis

                          A charge is deducted from Libor swap spot rates for all currencies
                          and durations, to reflect credit risk in Libor swap markets




EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 41




                       From Embedded Value to EVM
                                                                                                ab
                       EV & EVM

                Balance sheet item             EV                                EVM
Assets          Investment assets covering     Marked-to-market allowance as Market value
                statutory liabilities          part of VIF-calculation
                Investment assets covering net Market value                      Market value
                worth
                Premiums and fees receivable   Discounted at risk discount rate Discounted at risk free rate
                                               (RDR)
                Retrocession assets            Discounted at RDR (allowance      Discounted at risk free rate,
                                               for credit risk implied in RDR)   with explicit allowance for
                                                                                 counterparty credit risk (CDS
                                                                                 spreads)
Liabilities     Claims and benefits payable    Discounted at RDR                 Discounted at risk free rate
                Future maintenance expenses Discounted at RDR                    Discounted at risk free rate
                Future tax payments            Discounted at RDR                 Discounted at risk free rate
                Options and guarantees         Stochastic models                 Stochastic models


EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 42
From Embedded Value to EVM
                                                                                                ab
                         EV & EVM

                 Balance sheet item             EV                                EVM
Capital cost     Financial market risk premiums Implied in RDR                    Explicit market risk premiums
charges                                                                           reflecting financial market risk
                 Risk capital costs              Implied in RDR                   Explicit charge of 4% on ENW
                 Costs associated with           PV of spread between RDR and     for frictions related to the cost
                 conservatism in regulatory      investment yield on assets       of financial distress, agency
                 reserves                        supporting margins in            costs and liquidity costs from
                                                 regulatory reserves              regulatory requirements
                 Cost of holding additional      PV of spread between RDR and
                 capital required to meet        investment yield on assets
                 regulatory/rating agency        supporting required capital
                 requirements
Tax on                                           Allowed for implicitly           The tax on the investment
investment                                                                        income on economic net worth
income on                                                                         is an explicit charge in the EVM
capital                                                                           profit calculation.
 Embedded value Shareholders funds (Net Worth) Required capital less Cost of      Group economic net worth is
 (EV) or economic                              Capital plus valuation             market value of assets less
EVM Teach-in
 net worth (EVM)
31 March 2008                                  differences between regulatory     market value of liabilities and
                                               and EV values (VIF) plus surplus   capital cost provisions
Slide 43                                       capital in L&H entities




                         From Embedded Value to EVM
                                                                                                ab
                         EV & EVM – comparison of terminology used

                          Key measures          EV                                EVM
                          Return-on-capital      Internal rate of return (IRR)    Economic return on capital
                                                                                  (EROC) = EVM net income /
                                                                                  economic net worth
                          Shareholder net worth Embedded Value (EV)               Economic net worth
                          Value added by new     Value added by new business      EVM profit on new business
                          business
                          Value added by inforce Operating assumption changes EVM profit on previous years’
                          business                                            business
                                                 Experience variances




EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008

Slide 44
ab
                                         Corporate calendar & contacts

                                         Corporate calendar

                                         18 April 2008                            144th Ordinary Annual General Meeting (Zurich)
                                         06 May 2008                              First Quarter 2008 Results and 2007 EVM (Conf. Call)
                                         05 August 2008                           Second Quarter 2008 Results (Conference Call)
                                         08 September 2008                        Investors’ meeting (Monte Carlo)
                                         25 September 2008                        Investors’ day (Zurich)
                                         06 November 2008                         Third Quarter 2008 Results (Conference Call)


                                         Investor Relations contact

                                         Hotline                                   +41 43 285 4444
                                         Susan Holliday                            +44 20 7933 3890
                                         Andreas Leu                               +41 43 285 5603
                                         Marc Habermacher                          +41 43 285 2637
                                         Chris Menth                               +41 43 285 3878
EVM Teach-in
31 March 2008                            E-mail                                    Investor_Relations@swissre.com
Slide 45




                                         Cautionary note on
                                                                                                                                                 ab
                                         forward-looking statements

Certain statements and illustrations contained herein are forward-looking. These statements and illustrations provide current expectations of future events based on
certain assumptions and include any statement that does not directly relate to a historical fact or current fact. Forward-looking statements typically are identified by
words or phrases such as "anticipate", "assume", "believe", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "foresee", "intend", "may increase" and "may fluctuate" and similar
expressions or by future or conditional verbs such as "will", "should", "would" and "could". These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other factors, which may cause Swiss Re's actual results, performance, achievements or prospects to be materially different from any future results,
performance, achievements or prospects expressed or implied by such statements. Such factors include, among others:
    changes in global economic conditions and the risk of a global economic                mortality and morbidity experience;
    downturn;                                                                              policy renewal and lapse rates;
    direct and indirect impact of continuing deterioration in the credit markets, and      changes in rating agency policies or practices;
    further adverse rating actions by credit rating agencies in respect of structured
                                                                                           the lowering or loss of one of the financial or claims-paying ratings of one or
    credit products or other credit-related exposures and of monoline insurance
                                                                                           more of our subsidiaries;
    companies;
                                                                                           political risks in the countries in which we operate or in which we insure risks;
    the occurrence of other unanticipated market developments or trends;
                                                                                           extraordinary events affecting our clients and other counterparties, such as
    the ability to maintain sufficient liquidity and access to capital markets;
                                                                                           bankruptcies, liquidations and other credit-related events;
    the cyclicality of the reinsurance industry;
                                                                                           risks associated with implementing our business strategies;
    uncertainties in estimating reserves;
                                                                                           the impact of current, pending and future legislation, regulation and regulatory
    the effect of market conditions, including the global equity and credit markets,       and legal actions;
    and the level and volatility of equity prices, interest rates, currency values and
                                                                                           the impact of significant investments, acquisitions or dispositions, and any
    other market indices ;
                                                                                           delays, unexpected costs or other issues experienced in connection with any
    expected changes in our investment results as a result of the changed                  such transactions, including, in the case of acquisitions, issues arising in
    composition of our investment assets or changes in our investment policy;              connection with integrating acquired operations;
    the frequency, severity and development of insured claim events;                       changing levels of competition; and
    acts of terrorism and acts of war;                                                     operational factors, including the efficacy of risk management and other
                                                                                           internal procedures in managing the foregoing risks.


EVM Teach-in not exhaustive. We operate in a continually changing environment and new risks emerge continually. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance
These factors are
on forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future
31 March 2008
events or otherwise.

Slide 46

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Swiss Re - EVM - slides 2006

  • 1. ab Economic Value Management (EVM) Teach-in 31 March 2008 ab Today’s agenda Welcome and introduction Susan Holliday EVM methodology EVM figures From Embedded Value to EVM Summary Questions & answers EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 2
  • 2. ab Today’s agenda Welcome and introduction EVM methodology George Quinn EVM figures From Embedded Value to EVM Summary Questions & answers EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 3 EVM methodology ab Economic steering at Swiss Re Economic Value Management (EVM) is Swiss Re’s integrated economic measurement and steering framework used for planning, pricing, reserving and managing the business Consistency throughout the Target performance cycle: setting Strategy Planning Target setting/planning/ pricing/reserving All measurements used Capital allocation/capital throughout the performance budgeting cycle are based on EVM methodology Performance Performance measurement/ Pricing compensation measurement EVM Teach-in Tracking 31 March 2008 renewals Slide 4
  • 3. EVM methodology EVM results are meant to respond ab to three basic questions: Are our underwriting activities creating economic value on a stand- alone basis? Are our investment activities creating economic value after risk adjustments? Can we assess different underwriting and investment opportunities on a like for like basis? EVM profit is the common measure of economic value creation that guides steering decisions EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 5 EVM methodology To answer these three questions, ab the EVM framework… Splits performance of fund raising activities (underwriting) and fund investment activities (asset management) Recognises all profits on new business at inception, changes in estimates as they occur, and excludes future new business Values assets and liabilities on a market consistent basis Reflects best estimates Measures performance after capital costs (i.e. cost to shareholders of taking risk) EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 The following slides illustrate how these Slide 6 principles apply in EVM ...
  • 4. EVM methodology Separation of underwriting and ab investment activities Separation of underwriting and Splits performance of fund raising activities (underwriting) and fund investment investment activities (asset management) activities in line with basic financial Overall economic economics balance sheet principles Economic Market liabilities value assets Economic Asset management net worth Underwriting balance sheet balance sheet Replicating Replicating Economic Market portfolio Asset management pays portfolio liabilities value underwriting risk-free assets returns for the funds that Economic are raised net worth EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 - Investment decisions - Underwriting decisions - Management of Slide 7 existing business EVM methodology ab Replicating reinsurance liabilities Replicating portfolios Expenses, taxes, and Underlying business cash frictional costs flows The replicating portfolio provides the cash flows needed to meet expected future payments Cash flow years 1 2 3 4 5 The choice of replicating instruments Discount depends on the financial market risk back at risk exposure embedded in the liabilities free rate A simple example: Discounted economic cash flows Expected mortality claims payments (equals market value of replicating portfolio) in 5 years can be replicated by a 5 year zero-coupon bond with the same maturity and payout Net Economic The market value of the bond today replicating = value of equals the economic value of the EVM Teach-in portfolio liabilities expected claims payments 31 March 2008 Slide 8 Market value of replicating portfolio = Economic value of liabilities
  • 5. EVM methodology ab Measurement of underwriting activities A standard replication example (I/III) Example Recognises all profits on new business at inception EVM calculation Measurement CHF thousands Inception Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 for a simple fire at inception risk XL contract at Premiums inception Claims Expenses New business value Taxes creation at day 1 Capital costs Undiscounted Expected cash flows 2 600 -1 000 -700 -700 EVM profit 300 Premium received at 2% inception Production 2.25% 2 600 cost EVM Teach-in -2 300 2.5% 31 March 2008 Slide 9 EVM methodology ab Measurement of underwriting activities A standard replication example (II/III) Example Measurement is based on market prices and best estimates EVM calculation Measurement CHF thousands Inception Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 for a simple fire at inception risk XL contract at Premiums inception Claims Expenses New business value Taxes creation at day 1 Capital costs Undiscounted Expected cash flows 2 600 -1 000 -700 -700 EVM profit 300 Premium received at 2% inception Production 2.25% 2 600 cost EVM Teach-in -2 300 2.5% 31 March 2008 Slide 10 Transfer price of funds (TPF) = risk free rates at inception
  • 6. EVM methodology ab Measurement of underwriting activities A standard replication example (III/III) Example Measures performance after capital costs (includes a projection of capital costs) EVM calculation Measurement CHF thousands Inception Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 for a simple fire at inception risk XL contract at Premiums inception Claims Expenses New business value Taxes creation at day 1 Capital costs Undiscounted Expected cash flows 2 600 -1 000 -700 -700 EVM profit 300 Capital costs Premium -90 received at 2% inception Production 2.25% 2 600 cost EVM Teach-in -2 300 2.5% 31 March 2008 Slide 11 EVM methodology ab Measurement of underwriting activities Insufficient premium income Example A contract that generates an EVM loss at inception should be declined EVM calculation EUR thousands Inception Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 for a Continental European Premiums proportional motor contract at Claims inception Expenses Taxes New business loss Capital costs at day 1 Future exp. cash flows 1 870 -443 -482 -410 -349 -278 -214 -45 EVM loss: -60 4% 4.25% Premium Production 4.5% received at cost 4.75% inception -1 930 4.9% 1 870 EVM Teach-in 4.9% 31 March 2008 5.1% Slide 12
  • 7. EVM methodology ab Illustration Did underwriting activities generate economic profit? CHF thousands New business profit after capital costs 300 PV of premiums 2 600 PV of claims -1 840 PV of commissions -110 EVM value of new business PV of expenses -110 PV of taxes -150 PV of capital costs -90 Previous business profit after capital costs 59 Change in premiums 60 Change in claims 20 Change in EVM value of Change in commissions -5 Change in expenses -4 previous years business Change in taxes -8 Change in capital costs -4 Total profit 359 Release of capital costs and Release of capital costs 100 risk-free return on shareholders’ funds Income before capital costs 459 EVM Teach-in EVM profit is defined as total return generated for shareholders after 31 March 2008 allowing for capital costs. An EVM profit of zero means that all production Slide 13 costs including the cost of capital are covered EVM methodology ab Measurement of underwriting activities Focus on profit recognition in EVM EVM B/S TPF at T0 EVM recognises all profits at inception based on the present value of all future expected cash flows Market value of Economic repl. liabilities Subsequent experience variances are recognised as previous years portfolio development EVM previous years results are calculated as the present value of An upward shift of the yield curve has a symmetrical the difference between previous and revised cash flow estimates impact on both sides of the underwriting balance sheet: Total EVM profit is the sum of new business and previous years profit EVM B/S TPF at T1 Market Changes in interest rates do not affect the underwriting result on value of Economic repl. liabilities the in-force book, as the projected cash flows are matched by the portfolio risk free replicating portfolio EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 14
  • 8. EVM methodology ab Investment performance in EVM Interest rates affect EVM Overall economic investment results only if balance sheet the actual investment portfolio does not fully Economic Market liabilities match the replicating value portfolio and economic net assets worth Economic Asset management net worth Underwriting In case of a full asset balance sheet balance sheet liability match, changes in interest rates have Replicating Replicating Economic Market portfolio portfolio liabilities symmetrical effects on both value sides of the balance sheet assets Economic no change in economic net worth net worth The EVM investment result depends on the actual investment mix compared with the benchmark EVM Teach-in portfolio 31 March 2008 Slide 15 EVM methodology ab Investment activities Performance calculation in EVM Mark-to- Cost of Tax, fx, EVM income Capital EVM profit market funds expenses before capital costs after capital investment costs costs return Benchmark return EVM Teach-in (return on minimum 31 March 2008 risk portfolio) Slide 16
  • 9. EVM methodology ab Example 1 Full ALM match and interest rates go down Assumption: Actual investment portfolio (consisting of risk-free bonds) matches benchmark in terms of currency structure and duration Scenario: Parallel decrease of global interest rates of 100bps Balance sheet is largely immunised against changes in interest rates CHF bn 4.0 -4.0 0 0 0 0 Mark-to- Cost of Tax, fx, EVM income Capital EVM profit market funds expenses before costs after capital investment capital costs costs EVM Teach-in return 31 March 2008 Slide 17 EVM methodology ab Example 2 Long duration position and interest rates go down Assumption: Actual investment portfolio (consisting of risk free bonds) has a longer duration than the benchmark. The balance sheet is exposed to interest rate risk Scenario: Parallel decrease of global interest rates of 100bps Swiss Re’s actual investment portfolio outperforms the benchmark CHF bn -4.0 -0.2 5.0 0.8 -0.1 0.7 Mark-to- Cost of Tax, fx, EVM income Capital EVM profit market funds expenses before costs after capital investment capital costs costs EVM Teach-in return 31 March 2008 Slide 18
  • 10. EVM methodology ab Example 3 Investment in corporate bonds and spreads widen Assumption: Actual investment portfolio (consisting US AAA-rated corporate bonds) underperforms the benchmark (credit spreads widen). The balance sheet is exposed to credit risk Scenario: Total return of corporate bond portfolio: 1.3% CHF bn 1.8 -4.0 0.3 -1.9 -0.2 -2.1 EVM Teach-in Mark-to- Cost of Tax credit, fx, EVM income Capital EVM loss 31 March 2008 market funds expenses before costs after capital Slide 19 investment capital costs costs return EVM methodology ab Example 4 Assets partially invested in equities Assumption: Actual investment portfolio consists of 8% equities (S&P 500 index) and 92% risk-free bonds. The balance sheet is exposed to equity risk Scenario: S&P 500 annual total index return: 15.8% Swiss Re’s actual investment portfolio outperforms the benchmark CHF bn -4.0 -0.4 5.4 1.0 -0.5 0.5 Mark-to- Cost of Tax, fx, EVM income Capital EVM profit market funds expenses before capital costs after capital investment costs costs EVM Teach-in return 31 March 2008 Slide 20
  • 11. EVM methodology ab Capital costs in EVM EVM capital costs consist of: 1. Risk free return on capital representing shareholders base cost of capital 2. Market risk premium (MRP) representing the shareholders’ expected excess returns on market risk exposure, applicable to all business activities that generate systematic Total required market risk return on capital 3. Frictional capital costs (FCC) representing shareholders required compensation for agency costs, cost of potential financial distress and regulatory/illiquidity costs EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 21 EVM methodology ab EVM and market consistent embedded value (MCEV) have significant commonalities EV EVM MCEV Market consistent ✘ ✔ ✔ Separate presentation of assets and liabilities ✘ ✔ ✘ Explicit charges for capital costs and credit risk ✘ ✔ ✔ Applicable to all products ✘ ✔ ✔ EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 22
  • 12. ab Today’s agenda Welcome and introduction EVM methodology EVM figures George Quinn From Embedded Value to EVM Summary Questions & answers EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 23 EVM figures ab EVM 2006 income statement by business unit Property & Life & Financial Group CHF m Casualty Health Markets items Total Profit New business profit 1 695 391 995 -71 3 010 Previous years business profit 137 328 0 225 690 Total profit after capital costs 1 832 719 995 154 3 700 Release of capital costs 1 578 1 007 857 99 3 541 Income before capital costs 3 410 1 726 1 852 253 7 241 EVM 2006 is unaudited The EVM production process is not subject to the same control environment as annual EVM Teach-in and quarterly US GAAP reporting 31 March 2008 Slide 24
  • 13. EVM figures ab Drivers of 2006 EVM results Property & Casualty – New business profit CHF 1 695m, driven by low natural catastrophe losses and improving pricing, terms and conditions – Previous years business profit CHF 137m, reflecting moderate net positive claims development Life & Health – New business profit CHF 391m, driven by GE Life UK transaction and improved margins on traditional – Previous years business profit of CHF 328m reflecting positive experience variances and claims projections due to favourable mortality and morbidity developments Financial Markets – Total EVM profit CHF 995m, driven by strong returns in fixed income, equities and alternative investments Group items – Total EVM profit CHF 154m, mainly driven by favourable pension fund performance and improved diversification leading to lower frictional capital costs Insurance Solutions EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 – The Insurance Solutions acquisition was accounted for as a 2006 balance sheet transaction that added CHF 1.9bn to economic net worth Slide 25 EVM figures ab EVM 2006 investment result EVM 2006 investment result of Financial Markets CHF bn -4.0 -0.4 6.2 1.8 -0.8 1.0 Mark-to- Cost of Tax, fx, EVM income Capital EVM profit market funds expenses before costs after capital investment capital costs costs return EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 26
  • 14. EVM figures ab 2006 Group economic net worth Group economic net worth (ENW) is the difference between the Overall economic market value of assets and the economic value of liabilities balance sheet ENW is the EVM estimate of shareholders’ funds Economic Market liabilities At 31 December 2006, ENW was CHF 39.2 billion value assets Economic net worth CHF bn 39.2 30.9 EVM Teach-in US GAAP shareholders' equity EVM economic net worth 31 March 2008 Slide 27 EVM figures ab EVM 2006 capital by business unit Property & Life & Financial Group CHF m Casualty Health Markets items Total EVM capital (average) 18 104 12 183 4 381 219 34 887 EVM capital is the measure of capital that is required to support the business EVM capital is projected until the business runs off, and serves as the basis for the allocation of capital costs EVM capital takes internal risk, regulatory and rating agency capital requirements into consideration EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 28 Figures reflect the new reporting structure introduced for 2007 GAAP reporting
  • 15. ab Today’s agenda Welcome and introduction EVM methodology EVM figures From Embedded Value to EVM George Quinn Summary Questions & answers EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 29 From Embedded Value to EVM ab EV to EVM – different presentation & terminology EV EV - alternative presentation EVM Assets Embedded Value Economic Marked to backing Statutory liabilities liabilities market statutory liabilities Market Market liabilities value value EV required CoC assets Embedded assets Economic Market capital Value net worth value Excess NW Embedded Value VIF Consider these Re-present components separately Embedded Statutory Value liabilities liabilities Net these components EVM Teach-in VIF off against each other 31 March 2008 CoC Slide 30
  • 16. From Embedded Value to EVM ab EV to EVM – “Balance Sheet walk” (I/III) Swiss Re’s Life & Health portfolio under EV and EVM is compared below (values as at 31 December 2006) Step 1: Re-present EV results in EVM format (per before) No change in value from this step EV EV - alternative presentation Assets Embedded backing Statutory Value Marked- statutory liabilities Market liabilities to-market liabilities value assets Embedded EV required CoC CHF 22.6bn capital Value Excess NW Embedded Value VIF CHF 22.6bn EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 31 From Embedded Value to EVM ab EV to EVM – “Balance Sheet walk” (II/III) Step 2: Adjust assets and capital allocated under EV to be consistent with the allocation of assets and capital to the insurance operation under EVM (= replicating portfolio + EVM capital) This step only represents a change in notionally allocated assets, i.e. no “real” value created/destroyed in this step EV (EV asset allocation) EV ’ (EVM asset allocation) Embedded Embedded Market Value Value Market value liabilities liabilities value assets assets (EVM basis) Adj Embedded Value CHF 12.2bn (EV basis) Embedded Value CHF 22.6bn EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Change in notional asset allocation Slide 32
  • 17. From Embedded Value to EVM ab EV to EVM – “Balance Sheet walk” (III/III) Step 3: Remaining measurement differences reflect the aggregate impact of the different EV & EVM methodologies across the total Life & Health portfolio (as at 31 December 2006) EV ’ (EVM asset allocation) EVM Embedded Economic Market Value Market liabilities value liabilities value assets assets Adj Embedded Allocated (EVM basis) (EVM basis) Value CHF 12.2bn economic CHF 12.2bn net worth 1) Although the overall adjusted EV and EVM are similar, there may be substantial differences between sublines and territories EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 33 1) Equal to L&H EVM capital From Embedded Value to EVM ab Life & Health EV to EVM – 2006 earnings New business profit 2006 (CHF m) EV EVM is higher under EV New business profit 664 478 due to projection of Previous business profit investment income Operating assumption changes 409 377 on higher yielding assets Experience variances -35 -40 Profit after capital costs 1 038 815 Expected return on in-force 1 116 Expected return on ANW 336 Investment variances -35 Economic assumption changes -88 EVM capital costs 995 Corporate centre expense allocations in EVM but not EV -84 EV earnings/EVM income before capital costs 2 367 1 726 EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Main differences are capital allocation, capital costs, and assumed Slide 34 investment returns (details see appendix)
  • 18. ab Today’s agenda Welcome and introduction EVM methodology EVM figures From Embedded Value to EVM Summary George Quinn Questions & answers EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 35 Summary ab Summary and outlook EVM is Swiss Re’s internal economic framework for performance measurement and steering EVM allows comparison of performance across all lines of business EVM framework: – Splits performance of investment and underwriting activities – Recognises all closed book profits at inception (excludes franchise value) – Values all assets and liabilities in a market consistent way – Reflects current best estimates – Measures performance after allowing for capital costs 2006 Group economic net worth CHF 39.2 billion, 2006 EVM income before capital costs CHF 7.2 billion, EVM profit after capital costs CHF 3.7 billion EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 2007 EVM figures will be disclosed with Q1 2008 results on Slide 36 6 May 2008
  • 19. ab Today’s agenda Welcome and introduction EVM methodology EVM figures From Embedded Value to EVM Summary Questions & answers George Quinn/John Baxter EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 37 ab Appendix EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 38
  • 20. EVM methodology ab EVM definition of new business General principle EVM recognises all expected cash flows from contractual obligations at inception. Deferral and fund methods of accounting are not used. In any calendar year, new business is defined as business with an inception date within the calendar year P&C Insurance or reinsurance contracts written or renewed within the calendar year are recognised as new business. This also applies to multi-year transactions. Future renewals are not included in the valuation Life & Health New business includes: new individual business cessions in the year, renewals of existing group schemes, increments to existing group schemes, new group schemes, new blocks of Admin Re business and new cessions in the year on any Admin Re blocks still open to new business, and renewals of business that is subject to active annual renewal EVM Teach-in Financial Markets 31 March 2008 All investment and trading activities are marked-to-market and recognised as new Slide 39 business EVM figures ab US GAAP vs. economic balance sheet Group GAAP balance sheet Group economic balance sheet Business Investment liabilities assets Investment Business Value assets liabilities above B/S Other Business liabilities assets GAAP equity Other assets Business Other liabilities assets ENW Other assets EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 40
  • 21. EVM figures ab EVM discount rates The risk-free discount rates that are used to value insurance contracts are called transfer price of funds (TPF) rates TPF rates are based on Libor swap spot rates, reported for 25 currencies and 50 years on a monthly basis A charge is deducted from Libor swap spot rates for all currencies and durations, to reflect credit risk in Libor swap markets EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 41 From Embedded Value to EVM ab EV & EVM Balance sheet item EV EVM Assets Investment assets covering Marked-to-market allowance as Market value statutory liabilities part of VIF-calculation Investment assets covering net Market value Market value worth Premiums and fees receivable Discounted at risk discount rate Discounted at risk free rate (RDR) Retrocession assets Discounted at RDR (allowance Discounted at risk free rate, for credit risk implied in RDR) with explicit allowance for counterparty credit risk (CDS spreads) Liabilities Claims and benefits payable Discounted at RDR Discounted at risk free rate Future maintenance expenses Discounted at RDR Discounted at risk free rate Future tax payments Discounted at RDR Discounted at risk free rate Options and guarantees Stochastic models Stochastic models EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 42
  • 22. From Embedded Value to EVM ab EV & EVM Balance sheet item EV EVM Capital cost Financial market risk premiums Implied in RDR Explicit market risk premiums charges reflecting financial market risk Risk capital costs Implied in RDR Explicit charge of 4% on ENW Costs associated with PV of spread between RDR and for frictions related to the cost conservatism in regulatory investment yield on assets of financial distress, agency reserves supporting margins in costs and liquidity costs from regulatory reserves regulatory requirements Cost of holding additional PV of spread between RDR and capital required to meet investment yield on assets regulatory/rating agency supporting required capital requirements Tax on Allowed for implicitly The tax on the investment investment income on economic net worth income on is an explicit charge in the EVM capital profit calculation. Embedded value Shareholders funds (Net Worth) Required capital less Cost of Group economic net worth is (EV) or economic Capital plus valuation market value of assets less EVM Teach-in net worth (EVM) 31 March 2008 differences between regulatory market value of liabilities and and EV values (VIF) plus surplus capital cost provisions Slide 43 capital in L&H entities From Embedded Value to EVM ab EV & EVM – comparison of terminology used Key measures EV EVM Return-on-capital Internal rate of return (IRR) Economic return on capital (EROC) = EVM net income / economic net worth Shareholder net worth Embedded Value (EV) Economic net worth Value added by new Value added by new business EVM profit on new business business Value added by inforce Operating assumption changes EVM profit on previous years’ business business Experience variances EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 Slide 44
  • 23. ab Corporate calendar & contacts Corporate calendar 18 April 2008 144th Ordinary Annual General Meeting (Zurich) 06 May 2008 First Quarter 2008 Results and 2007 EVM (Conf. Call) 05 August 2008 Second Quarter 2008 Results (Conference Call) 08 September 2008 Investors’ meeting (Monte Carlo) 25 September 2008 Investors’ day (Zurich) 06 November 2008 Third Quarter 2008 Results (Conference Call) Investor Relations contact Hotline +41 43 285 4444 Susan Holliday +44 20 7933 3890 Andreas Leu +41 43 285 5603 Marc Habermacher +41 43 285 2637 Chris Menth +41 43 285 3878 EVM Teach-in 31 March 2008 E-mail Investor_Relations@swissre.com Slide 45 Cautionary note on ab forward-looking statements Certain statements and illustrations contained herein are forward-looking. These statements and illustrations provide current expectations of future events based on certain assumptions and include any statement that does not directly relate to a historical fact or current fact. Forward-looking statements typically are identified by words or phrases such as "anticipate", "assume", "believe", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "foresee", "intend", "may increase" and "may fluctuate" and similar expressions or by future or conditional verbs such as "will", "should", "would" and "could". These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause Swiss Re's actual results, performance, achievements or prospects to be materially different from any future results, performance, achievements or prospects expressed or implied by such statements. Such factors include, among others: changes in global economic conditions and the risk of a global economic mortality and morbidity experience; downturn; policy renewal and lapse rates; direct and indirect impact of continuing deterioration in the credit markets, and changes in rating agency policies or practices; further adverse rating actions by credit rating agencies in respect of structured the lowering or loss of one of the financial or claims-paying ratings of one or credit products or other credit-related exposures and of monoline insurance more of our subsidiaries; companies; political risks in the countries in which we operate or in which we insure risks; the occurrence of other unanticipated market developments or trends; extraordinary events affecting our clients and other counterparties, such as the ability to maintain sufficient liquidity and access to capital markets; bankruptcies, liquidations and other credit-related events; the cyclicality of the reinsurance industry; risks associated with implementing our business strategies; uncertainties in estimating reserves; the impact of current, pending and future legislation, regulation and regulatory the effect of market conditions, including the global equity and credit markets, and legal actions; and the level and volatility of equity prices, interest rates, currency values and the impact of significant investments, acquisitions or dispositions, and any other market indices ; delays, unexpected costs or other issues experienced in connection with any expected changes in our investment results as a result of the changed such transactions, including, in the case of acquisitions, issues arising in composition of our investment assets or changes in our investment policy; connection with integrating acquired operations; the frequency, severity and development of insured claim events; changing levels of competition; and acts of terrorism and acts of war; operational factors, including the efficacy of risk management and other internal procedures in managing the foregoing risks. EVM Teach-in not exhaustive. We operate in a continually changing environment and new risks emerge continually. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance These factors are on forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future 31 March 2008 events or otherwise. Slide 46