Presentation made by Keith Cressman at the 40th session of the FAO Desert Locust Control Committee (DLCC) on the Desert Locust outlook for 2012 (19 June 2012)

1. DANGER
the Desert Locust outlook for the Sahel this summer is ALARMING

2. CENTRAL REGION
early summer rains
summer breeding (July onwards)
locust numbers increase (Aug-Sep)
winter breeding depends on rainfall (Red Sea)
CAUTION

3. SAUDI
ARABIA
EGYPT
WINTER BREEDING
(NOV-MAY)
POTENTIAL
OMAN
THREAT SUDAN
(JUNE)
YEMEN
SUMMER BREEDING
(JULY-OCTOBER)
N SOMALIA
CALM

4. SW ASIA REGION
1 generation monsoon breeding
locust numbers increase slightly
decline after October
CALM

5. SUMMER BREEDING
PAKISTAN (JULY-OCTOBER)
SPRING BREEDING
(MAR-MAY) INDIA
SUMMER ADULT
MIGRATION
(OCT-DEC)
MONSOON RAINS
CALM

6. WESTERN REGION
ALARMING
2 generations of breeding (June-October)
dramatic increase in locust numbers
threat to crops & food security
swarm invasion of NW Africa (Oct-Nov)

7. EGG-LAYING
HOPPERS & BANDS
ADULTS & SWARMS
EGG-LAYING
HOPPER BANDS
SWARMS
JUNE JULY AUG SEP OCT 2012

8. MOROCCO
ALGERIA
LIBYA
INSECURE
MAURITANIA
MALI
SUDAN
CHAD
NIGER
CROPS
CROPS
CROPS
JUNE 2012 THREAT

9. MOROCCO
ALGERIA
LIBYA
MAURITANIA
MALI
SUDAN
CHAD
NIGER
OCTOBER - NOVEMBER 2012 DANGER

10. ACT NOW !
mobilize survey & control teams (Niger, Mali)
start summer surveys (Chad, Mauritania)
initiate public awareness campaigns
pesticide deployment
plan for 2 generations of control ops (June-Oct)
plan for swarm invasion of NW Africa (Oct-Nov)
UN emergency funds & external assistance