Professori Jarmo Partasen esitys Lappeenrannan teknillisellä yliopistolla (LUT). 19.3.2015 Energiaa Ennakointiin seminaarissa.

1. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Prof. Jarmo Partanen
jarmo.partanen@lut.fi
+358 40 5066564
Energiamurros ja luova tuho
19.3.2015

2. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Electricity Market, targets
€
Competitive
ness
Sustainab
ility
Technical requirement; keep power balance in every second
Production = consumption

3. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Renewables, security of supply and efficiency
Electricity Market + CO2-price
Efficient operation of system Sustainability Security
Renewable based production
and subsidies
?
??

4. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Solar power in Germany
http://www.sma.de/en/news-information/pv-electricity-produced-in-germany.html
Installed capacity 37 760 MW (31.1.2015)
”Power to the people”
Feed-in tariff (nowadays reduced)
Price of PV-cells, more than 60 % reduction per 5 years
Wind power in Germany; 33 GW, 47 TWh/a (2013)

5. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Impact of subsidied renewables
on market price of electricity
5
price
Money
quantity
supply
demand
Real cost
RES is always first in the market
Lower market price,
problematic for many
producers
This price will be paid by ??

6. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Power Production in Germany, January 2014

7. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Power Production in Germany, May 2014

8. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Renewables, security of supply and efficiency
Electricity Market + CO2-price
Efficient operation of system Sustainability Security
Renewable based production
and subsidies
?
??

9. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Renewables, security of supply and efficiency
Electricity Market + CO2-price
Efficient operation of system Sustainability Security
Renewable based production
and subsidies
Shorter operation times,
different running ranking,
worse economics
More renewable based
production, excellent sustainability
More uncontrollable renewable
based production having high
output variation,
new challenges in intermittency,
lack of controllable production,
lack of inertia

10. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Renewables, security of supply and efficiency
Electricity Market + CO2-price
Efficient operation of system Sustainability Security of supply
Renewable based production
and subsidies
Storages Demand response
Controllable
production
New transmission lines
How to solve the problem ?
When ? How? Profitability? Acceptability?
X
Shorter operation times,
different running ranking,
worse economics
More uncontrollable renewable
based production having high
output variation, new challenges
in intermittency, lack of
controllable production, lack of
inertia
More renewable based
production, excellent sustainability
Low price of
electricity –
incentives for
investments ?
Capacity Market?
Payments of readiness to produce electricity or reduce consumption

11. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Energiavarastot
Akkujen hintakehitysarvio,
oppimiskäyrä; -20 % per kapasiteetin tuplaus
1 000 000 MWh on 500 milj. 20 kWh akkua a’ 2000 €

12. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Sustainable gas – power to gas ?
Electricity CH4, LNGH2Electrolysis
Water
O2
Methanation
CO2
Heat
Lähde: Neo-Carbon, Tutkimushanke, VTT, LUT, Turun yliopisto

13. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
E to gas, seasonal storage & clean fuel
System level view
Lähde: Neo-Carbon, Tutkimushanke, VTT, LUT, Turun yliopisto

14. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Renewables, security of supply and efficiency
Electricity Market + CO2-price
Efficient operation of system Sustainability Security
Renewable based production
and subsidies
Shorter operation times,
different running ranking,
worse economics
More renewable based
production, excellent sustainability
More uncontrollable renewable
based production having high
output variation,
new challenges in intermittency,
lack of controllable production,
lack of inertia
Liiketoiminnan haasteita uudessa energiajärjestelmässä ja
liiketoimintaympäristössä
• Perinteisen sähköntuotannon kannattamattomuus suuressa mittakaavassa,
alhainen hinta - alempi kuin muuttuvat kustannukset
• Kuluttajat vaativat sustainable tuotteita – myös tuotantoketjun osalta –
hiilisähkön tulevaisuus?
• Hiilikupla yhtiöiden pörssiarvossa?
-> Valtavia uusia globaaleja liiketoimintamahdollisuuksia

15. LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Smart Grid & Customer Gateway at
Lappeenranta University of Technology

16. Creating the future with green technology and business
Lappeenranta University of Technology (LUT)
Winner of the International Sustainable
Campus Network (ISCN) Excellence
Award, 2013