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Stock market special report by epic research 7th may 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
07th
MAY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
Asian shares dipped and Ukraine has so far experienced its
deadliest week since the separatist uprising began, leaving
less room for peace efforts. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-
Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.1 percent. Japan's Nikkei
lost 1.3 percent, tracking Tuesday's fall on Wall Street.
European stocks were flat on Tuesday as upbeat outlook
statements from chemical groups Solvay and DSM were
offset by sharp falls in Barclays and Aberdeen Asset Man-
agement after weak results. Shares in Solvay and DSM
both rose around 3 percent to be among top FTSEurofirst
300 risers as the former said it expects high single-digit
percentage growth in core profit this year and the latter
forecast higher earnings in the remainder of 2014. They
helped brighten the mood in a mixed earnings season so
far in Europe
Wall Street Update
US stocks fell broadly on Tuesday, closing at session lows,
with AIG pulling financial shares lower after disappointing
earnings and as a slide in Twitter took down other names
in the technology and internet space. Traders also kept an
eye on developments in Ukraine, where supporters of Rus-
sia and of a united Ukraine are accusing each other of tear-
ing the country apart. The former Soviet republic is sliding
toward war.
The Dow Jones industrial average fell 129.53 points or 0.78
percent, to 16,401.02, the S&P 500 lost 16.94 points or 0.9
percent, to 1,867.72 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped
57.30 points or 1.38 percent, to 4,080.76.
Previous day Roundup
The market consolidated but the Nifty ended above 6700.
The Nifty was up 15.95 points at 6715.30 while the Sensex
was up 63.30 points at 22508.42.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial
indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up
211.62pts], Capital Goods [up 118.40pts], PSU [up
1.26pts], FMCG [up 30.96pts], Realty [down 0.73 pts],
Power [down 5.71pts], Auto [up 11.98pts], Healthcare [up
13.06pts], IT [down 45.03pts], Metals [up 6.80pts], TECK
[down pts], Oil& Gas [up 106.87pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 16401.02 -0.78
S&P 500 1,867.72 -0.90
NASDAQ 4,080.76 -1.38
EURO STO 3149.79 -0.68
FTSE 100 6,798.56 -0.35
Nikkei 225 14,124.08 -2.31
Hong Kong 21,776.70 -0.91
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
INDUSINDBK 492.40 12.05 +2.51
ICICIBANK 1278.85 26.40 +2.11
RELIANCE 965.15 18.30 +1.93
LT 1303.00 19.05 +1.48
TATAMOTORS 419.95 5.15 +1.24
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
POWERGRID 102.15 2.95 -2.81
AMBUJACEM 198.80 3.75 -1.85
BHARTIARTL 314.50 5.80 -1.81
TATAPOWER 77.60 1.15 -1.46
WIPRO 513.90 6.85 -1.32
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ATUL LTD 740.00 89.45 +13.75
BAJAJHLDNG 1103.00 11.20 +1.03
DEEPAKFERT 142.00 3.30 +2.38
HINDPETRO 342.25 7.20 +2.15
RECLTD 251.00 5.70 +2.32
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 6,715.30 +15.95 +0.24
SENSEX 22,508.42 +63.30 +0.28
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABGSHIP 231.45 3.10 +1.36
2. DAILY REPORT
07th
MAY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. PFC [FUTURE]
PFC FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has
been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
195 levels. We advise buying around 193-195 levels with
strict stop loss 190 for the targets of 199-202.
2. BHARTAT FORGE[FUTURE]
BHARAT FORGE FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long
build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sus-
tains above 420 levels. We advise buying around 420-422
levels with strict stop loss 415 for the targets of 428-432.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. UNITED BREWERIES
UNITED BREWERIES is looking strong on charts. We advise
buying around 29-30 levels with strict stop loss of 26 for
the targets of 35-38 levels.
MACRO NEWS
Housing finance lender HDFC Ltd yesterday reported a
10.8 per cent jump in net profit at Rs 1,723.10 crore for
the fourth quarter ended March, 2014. The company had
a net profit of Rs 1,555.21 crore in the January-March
quarter of the previous fiscal,
Supreme Court rejects Subrata Roy's bail plea.
Vijaya Bank recorded 39.3 percent decline in net profit at
Rs 135.84 crore for the fourth quarter ended March,
2014. The bank had a net profit of Rs 224.15 crore in the
January-March quarter of 2012-13 fiscal.
CERC seeks details of IPO benefits from RPower.
Despite the Indian equity market soaring to new highs,
retail investors and high net worth individuals (HNI) con-
tinue to exit equity mutual funds. According to the data
released by AMFI, mutual funds lost 16 lakh retail folios
over the past six months ended March 2014.
India's economy is expected to gather momentum as in-
vestments pick up owing to the combined impact of push
by the Cabinet Committee on Investment (CCI) and end of
political uncertainty after the ongoing general elections,
the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Develop-
ment (OECD) said on Tuesday.
3. DAILY REPORT
07th
MAY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts
)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 6,500 139 40,291 43,33,500
NIFTY PE 6,300 79.8 36,801 25,88,050
NIFTY PE 6,200 59.25 32,527 26,10,150
BANKNIFTY PE 11,500 144 2,791 1,04,525
MCDOWELL-N PE 2,700 13.5 1,674 3,96,375
HDFC PE 900 40 1,114 2,06,000
RELIANCE PE 900 17.6 764 2,13,000
AXISBANK PE 1,500 72 697 1,10,500
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 7,000 134.25 58,315 38,47,300
NIFTY CE 7,200 75.8 54,955 24,19,800
NIFTY CE 6,800 217 46,523 29,47,250
BANKNIFTY CE 13,500 446.9 4,260 2,30,400
MCDOWELL-N CE 2,800 32.5 6,136 4,61,000
RELIANCE CE 1,000 27.25 2,346 9,07,250
HDFC CE 900 23.5 1,954 3,40,500
SBIN CE 2,240 53.7 1,637 2,34,625
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 23539 788.94 36678 1233.37 259298 8700.26 -444.43
INDEX OPTIONS 139789 4809.54 161258 5444.89 1476825 49523.21 -635.35
STOCK FUTURES 59444 1824.72 65669 2019.25 1247201 38171.02 -194.53
STOCK OPTIONS 19205 598.06 18266 573.01 49629 1518.09 25.04
TOTAL -312.32
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 6,761.77 6,738.53 6,720.22 6,696.98 6,678.67
BANK NIFTY 13,060.65 13,013.35 12,965.25 12,917.95 12,869.85
STOCKS IN NEWS
Suzlon bags Rs 720-crore PowerWorks order.
Jindal Steel to acquire iron ore mine in W. Africa
CIL modifies fuel supply agreement model for new
power plants
Indian pharma companies face problems in US due to
documentation.
Opto Circuits to raise up to USD 250 million.
Tech M & Infosys eye Bharti Airtel's IT deals worth
$1.5bn.
Titan reported 11.6% increase in net profit at Rs 206.44
cr for Q4. The company had reported net profit of Rs
184.97 cr in the corresponding quarter a year ago.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session.
We advise buying around 6700-6720 levels with strict
stop loss of 6650 for the targets of 6780-6800.
4. DAILY REPORT
07th
MAY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER(JULY) ABOVE 42950 TGTS 43150/43450 SL
42600
SELL SILVER(JULY) BELOW 42400 TGTS 42200/41900 SL
42700
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD(JUN) ABOVE 29060 TGTS 29140/29240 SL 28950
SELL GOLD(JUN) BELOW 28770 TGTS 28690/28590 SL 28890
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
MCX Gold futures witnessed some buying support but
stayed under stress as the global prices failed to extend
their latest rise. COMEX Gold futures had surged to their
three-week high earlier in the week amid intense fighting in
Ukraine, which boosted the yellow metal's safe-haven de-
mand. However, calm trades were seen today and the
metal is quoting at $1307.40 per ounce, down $1.90 per
ounce on the day. The MCX Gold futures are trading at Rs
28866 per 10 grams, down Rs 69 per 10 grams or 0.24% on
the day with 7.21% increase in the open interest.
Copper prices were remaining silent both in international
and Indian exchanges. The prices of MCX Copper were trad-
ing at Rs 410.4 per kg, up 0.13%. The prices have been stuck
in a thick band of Rs 3. The highs for the contract of Copper
have so far been at Rs 411.3 per kg, and a low is at Rs 409.6
per kg. Meanwhile, COMEX Copper was trading at $ 3.063
per pound.
Crude futures rose on Tuesday after skirmishes between
Ukraine and separatists escalated and stoked fears of an
outright civil war, which could affect oil shipments from
neighboring Russia, the world's second-largest exporter af-
ter Saudi Arabia. On the New York Mercantile Exchange,
West Texas Intermediate crude oil for delivery in June
traded at $100.03 a barrel during U.S. trading, up 0.55%.
New York-traded oil futures hit a session low of $99.33 a
barrel and a high of $100.42 a barrel. The June contract set-
tled down 0.28% at $99.48 a barrel on Monday. Nymex oil
futures were likely to find support at $98.75 a barrel, Thurs-
day's low, and resistance at $100.59 a barrel, the high from
April 30.
MCX SILVER July contract was trading at Rs 42614 up Rs 5,
or 0.01 percent. The SILVER rate touched an intraday high
of Rs 42818 and an intraday low of Rs 42489. So far 7004
contracts have been traded. SILVER prices have moved
down Rs 10809, or 20.23 percent in the July series so far.
MCX GOLDPETAL May contract was unchanged at Rs 3062.
The GOLDPETAL rate touched an intraday high of Rs 3064
and an intraday low of Rs 3059. So far 1088 contracts have
been traded. GOLDPETAL prices have moved up Rs 38, or
1.26 percent in the May series so far.
COMMODITY MCX
5. DAILY REPORT
07th
MAY 2014
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RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA MAY ABOVE 9530 TGTS 9560,9610 SL 9480
SELL DHANIYA MAY BELOW 9460 TGTS 9430,9380 SL 9510
GUARSEED
BUY GUARSEED MAY ABOVE 5375 TGTS 5405,5455 SL 5325
SELL GUARSEED MAY BELOW 5280 TGTS 5250,5200 SL 5330
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Castor Seed 3952 -1.50
Chana 2982 -1.16
Coriander 9513 -0.20
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1567 +0.13
Jeera 5390 -1.82
Maize– Feed/Industrial
Grade
10630 -0.65
Mustard seed 3446 -0.83
Soy Bean 4725 -0.90
Turmeric 6544 -1.89
NCDEX ROUNDUP
According to a statement issued by Indian Sugar Mills Asso-
ciation (ISMA), the biggest association of mills, there is re-
mote possibility of the sugarcane arrears being wiped off as
sugar prices have again started falling since the last fort-
night. Export contracts finalised on the expectation of Rs
3,300 per ton as incentive are not being executed, burden-
ing the domestic market with extra sugar.
Potato prices fell by 1.21% to Rs 1,433 per quintal in futures
trading yesterday as speculators offloaded their positions,
triggered by higher supplies from producing regions. At the
MCX, potato for delivery in June fell by Rs 17.60, or 1.21%
to Rs 1,433 per quintal in business turnover of 164 lots.
Similarly, the potato for delivery in May lost Rs 15.10, or
1.11% to Rs 1,351 per quintal in 119 lots. Fall in potato
prices was mostly due to offloading of positions by specula-
tors, triggered by higher supplies from producing region
against lower demand in the spot markets.
Cardamom ended the day lower as recent rains triggered
short selling in the counter. The MCX Cardamom June deliv-
ery ended the day at Rs 958, down Rs 25.10 or 2.55% from
last close. Weather worries in the cardamom belts and ex-
port enquiries aided upside in the cardamom futures prices
in the previous months. Rainfall had witnessed during the
last few days and it triggered some profit taking in the
counter.
6. DAILY REPORT
07th
MAY 2014
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JPY/INR
BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 59.37 TGTS 59.51, 59.66 SL 59.16.
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 59.03 TGTS 58.89, 58.74 SL 59.24.
GBP/INR
BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 102.40 TGTS 102.54, 102.69 SL 102.19.
SELL GBP/INR BELOW 101.90 TGTS 101.76, 101.61 SL 102.11.
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The Indian rupee gained on Tuesday for its fourth session in
five, aided by corporate dollar sales and stronger domestic
shares, although continued caution ahead of the outcome
of general elections next week limited sharper gains. The
partially convertible rupee closed at 60.11/12 per dollar
compared to its previous close of 60.21/22. The currency
rose to as high as 60 to the dollar on Monday, which was its
highest since April 9.
Some dollar selling by a large Indian corporate was seen in
the second half of the trading session, helping the local unit
recover from the session low of 60.23.
The rupee was also aided by Indian shares that rose for a
second consecutive session after overseas investors bought
index futures worth 860 million rupees ($14.29 million) on
Monday, snapping five days of selling in index futures. Mar-
ket volumes remain thin and beholden largely to foreign
fund flows or to large corporate flows in the run-up to the
result of the general elections on May 16.
The dollar, which has lost about 0.5 percent against the yen
so far this week, traded at 101.70 yen. A break below
101.32 would take the dollar to its lowest since Mar. 19.
The Dollar was also on the back foot against the euro, which
was boosted on Tuesday by upbeat PMI readings in Spain
and Italy. The euro was at $1.3927, hovering within distance
of an eight-week high of $1.3952 hit on Tuesday. The U.S.
dollar index, which measures the greenback against six ma-
jor currencies, stood at 79.13 after falling on Tuesday to
79.06, its lowest in more than six months. Immediate focus
for the dollar was on U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet
Yellen's congressional testimony later in the session. Yellen
is widely expected to maintain a dovish policy stance, doing
little to arrest the recent fall of the dollar, which has shown
little reaction to positive economic data.
The safe-haven yen hovered just above a multi-month high
against the dollar in early trade on Wednesday as the
heightened possibility of Ukraine slipping into civil war
dampened risk sentiment.
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 60.2020 Yen-100 59.0000
Euro 83.5532 GBP 101.6752
7. DAILY REPORT
07th
MAY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
06/05/14 MCX GOLD JUNE BUY 29060 29140-29240 28950 NOT EXECUTED
06/05/14 MCX GOLD JUNE SELL 28770 28690-28590 28890 NOT EXECUTED
06/05/14 MCX SILVER JULY BUY 42950 43150-43450 42600 NOT EXECUTED
06/05/14 MCX SILVER JULY SELL 423600 42100-41800 42630 NOT EXECUTED
06/05/14 NCDEX GUARSEED MAY BUY 5530 5560-5610 5480 NOT EXECUTED
06/05/14 NCDEX GUARSEED MAY SELL 5460 5430-5380 5500 BOOKED PROFIT
06/05/14 NCDEX DHANIYA MAY BUY 9555 9585-9635 9515
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
06/05/14 NCDEX DHANIYA MAY SELL 9490 9470-9410 9530 BOOKED PROFIT
06/05/14 USD/INR MAY BUY 60.55 60.69-60.85 60.34 NOT EXECUTED
06/05/14 USD/INR MAY SELL 60.17 60.03-59.88 60.38 NOT EXECUTED
06/05/14 EUR/INR MAY SELL 83.55 83.41-83.26 83.76 NOT EXECUTED
06/05/14 EUR/INR MAY BUY 83.96 84.10-84.25 83.75 BOOKED PROFIT
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
06/05/14 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 6700-6720 6780-6800 6650 NOT EXECUTED
06/05/14 CANARA BANK FUTURE BUY 300-305 315-325 290 SL TRIGGERED
06/05/14 RCOM FUTURE SELL 120 118-115 122 BOOKED PROFIT
06/05/14 JINWORLD CASH BUY 115-118 125-135 108 NOT EXECUTED
05/05/14 BATA INDIA FUTURE SELL 1000-1020 980-960 1040 CALL OPEN
05/05/14 APOLLO TYRE FUTURE BUY 165 169-174 160 BOOKED PROFIT
30/04/14 HEXAWARE FUTURE SELL 150-155 145-140 160 BOOKED PROFIT
16/04/14 TCS FUTURE BUY 2200-2240 2280-2300 2160 CALL OPEN
8. DAILY REPORT
07th
MAY 2014
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NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, MAY 05
10 AM ISM NONMANUFACTURING APRIL 54.3% 53.1%
TUESDAY, MAY 06
8:30 AM TRADE DEFICIT MARCH -$39.8 BLN -$42.3 BLN
WEDNESDAY, MAY 07
8:30 AM PRODUCTIVITY 1Q -1.1% 1.8%
8:30 AM UNIT LABOR COSTS 1Q -- -0.1%
10 AM JANET YELLEN TESTIMONY
3 PM CONSUMER CREDIT MARCH -- $16.5 BLN
THURSDAY, MAY 08
8:30 AM JOBLESS CLAIMS 5/3 330,000 344,000
FRIDAY, MAY 09
10 AM JOB OPENINGS MARCH -- 4.2 MLN
10 AM WHOLESALE INVENTORIES MARCH -- 0.5%