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Kari	
  Palmer	
  
Clean	
  Air	
  Dialogues	
  WG2	
  
     May	
  11,	
  2012	
  
What	
  is	
  Ozone?	
  
•  A	
  naturally-­‐occurring	
  consAtuent	
  of	
  the	
  upper	
  
   atmosphere	
  protecAng	
  the	
  earth	
  from	
  UV	
  radiaAon	
  
•  When	
  formed	
  at	
  ground-­‐level	
  it	
  causes	
  human	
  
   health	
  and	
  environmental	
  problems	
  
Health	
  &	
  Environmental	
  Effects	
  of	
  
                   Ozone	
  
    •  High	
  levels	
  of	
  ozone	
  can	
  have	
  an	
  adverse	
  
       impact	
  on	
  the	
  lungs	
  
        •  Airway	
  inflammaAon,	
  shortness	
  of	
  breath,	
  
           coughing,	
  aggravaAon	
  of	
  asthma,	
  emphysema,	
  
           bronchiAs	
  
        •  Results	
  in	
  increased	
  medicine	
  use,	
  doctor	
  visits	
  
           and	
  hospital	
  admissions	
  
        •  ParAcularly	
  older	
  adults,	
  children,	
  people	
  who	
  
           exercise	
  outside	
  
    •  Damages	
  vegetaAon,	
  trees	
  and	
  crops	
  
Trends	
  in	
  Ozone:	
  	
  Twin	
  CiAes	
  Metro,	
  1999-­‐2011	
  
                             120%

                             100%                        Standard	
  
 Percent	
  of	
  standard




                             80%

                             60%

                             40%

                             20%

                              0%
MN	
  Ozone	
  ConcentraAons	
  (2009-­‐2011)	
  
                                      80
                                                     Standard	
  
                                      70                                                                                    65	
  
                                                                               62	
              63	
                                63	
     62	
                                62	
  
                                           60	
                                         61	
              60	
     60	
  
                                                    59	
     59	
     58	
                                                                             58	
  
                                      60
                                                                                                                                                                54	
  
 Ozone	
  ConcentraAon	
  (ppb)	
  




                                                                                                                                                                         49	
  
                                      50

                                      40

                                      30

                                      20

                                      10

                                       0
2011	
  Twin	
  CiAes	
  Air	
  Quality	
  Index	
  Days	
  
   Ozone	
  




  PM2.5	
  
Ozone	
  ConcentraAons	
  Across	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  2010	
  
Ground-­‐Level	
  Ozone	
  FormaAon	
  in	
  MN	
  
•  A	
  chemical	
  reacAon	
  between	
  nitrogen	
  oxides	
  (NO	
  
   and	
  NO2),	
  oxygen,	
  and	
  volaAle	
  organic	
  compounds	
  
   (VOCs)	
  
•  Sunlight	
  fuels	
  the	
  reacAon	
  -­‐	
  at	
  night	
  ozone	
  levels	
  
   decrease	
  
•  Hot	
  days	
  above	
  85˚F	
  


•  Winds	
  can	
  transport	
  ozone	
  and	
  precursors	
  
Ozone	
  
Ozone	
  Chemistry	
  
•  OH	
  radical	
  is	
  central	
  to	
  
   ozone	
  and	
  secondary	
  PM	
  
   chemistry	
  

•  OH	
  iniAates	
  reacAons	
  of	
  
   VOCs	
  (and	
  CO)	
  that	
  produce	
  
   radicals	
  

•  Radicals	
  interact	
  with	
  NOx	
  
     (NO	
  and	
  NO2)	
  in	
  sunlight	
  to	
  
     form	
  ozone	
  
	
  
•  Ozone	
  requires	
  both	
  
   NOx	
  and	
  VOC	
  
   precursors	
  
Ozone	
  FormaAon	
  
          Normal	
  ozone	
  cycle	
  
          NO2	
  +	
  sunlight	
  =	
  NO	
  +	
  O	
  
          O	
  +	
  O2	
  =	
  O3	
  
          NO	
  +	
  O3	
  =	
  NO2	
  +	
  O2	
  

          Ozone	
  cycle	
  disrupted	
  
            by	
  VOCS	
  
          VOC	
  +	
  OH	
  =	
  RO2	
  +	
  H2O	
  
          RO2	
  +	
  NO	
  =	
  NO2	
  +	
  RO	
  	
  
June	
  6,	
  2011	
  Ozone	
  Exceedance	
  
June	
  6,	
  2011	
  Ozone	
  Event	
  Time	
  Lapse	
  
Hourly	
  Ozone	
  ConcentraAons	
  Across	
  Minnesota	
  
                     June	
  5-­‐June	
  7	
  
Locally	
  Influenced	
  Ozone	
  Event	
  
    6/25/2009-­‐6/27/2009	
  
2008	
  Emissions	
  of	
  Ozone	
  Precursors	
  
                    VOCs	
                              Other	
  fuel	
  
                                      Petroleum	
   combusAon	
  
                                     storage	
  and	
      2%	
   Other	
  
                                       tranport	
  
•  VegetaAon-­‐55%	
                      2%	
                            1%	
  



•  Miscellaneous-­‐17%	
                         Solvent	
  use	
  
                                                     7%	
  
•  Off-­‐highway-­‐8%	
                  Highway	
  
                                        vehicles	
  
    •  Snowmobiles,	
  boats,	
            8%	
  

       ATVs,	
  etc.	
              Off-­‐highway	
  
                                    equipment	
  
                                                                                             Natural	
  
                                          8%	
  
•  Highway	
  vehicles-­‐8%	
                                                               vegetaAon	
  
                                                                                               55%	
  

    •  Gasoline	
  vehicles	
                Miscellaneous	
  
                                                 17%	
  

•  Solvent	
  Use-­‐7%	
  

                                                               EPA	
  NaAonal	
  Emissions	
  Inventory,	
  2008	
  version	
  2	
  
2008	
  Emissions	
  of	
  Ozone	
  Precursors	
  
                  Nitrogen	
  Oxides	
                                           Fuel	
  
                                                                  Fuel	
      combusion	
   Other	
  

•  Highway	
  vehicles-­‐39%	
  
                                                              combusion	
   other	
  
                                                                                             3%	
  
                                                               industrial	
       3%	
  
                                                                   5%	
  
    •  Gasoline	
  vehicles	
  
•  Off-­‐highway-­‐23%	
                               Metals	
  
                                                    processing	
   VegetaAon	
  
                                                       6%	
           6%	
  
    •  Railroads,	
  agricultural,	
  
                                                                                                                      Highway	
  
       construcAon	
  and	
                                                                                           vehicles	
  
                                                                                                                        39%	
  
       recreaAonal	
  equipment	
                                          Fuel	
  

•  Electric	
  uAlity	
  fuel	
  
                                                                       combusAon	
  
                                                                     from	
  electrical	
  
                                                                         uAliAes	
  
   combusAon-­‐15%	
                                                       15%	
  
                                                                                                   Off-­‐highway	
  
                                                                                                   equipment	
  
                                                                                                        23%	
  




                                    EPA	
  NaAonal	
  Emissions	
  Inventory,	
  2008	
  version	
  2	
  
• Slide	
  #19.	
  	
  Very	
  Important!	
  	
  If	
  you	
  Atle	
  this	
  slide	
  “What	
  emissions	
  decreases	
  maoer”?	
  Include	
  the	
  wrioen	
  answer,	
  “We	
  don’t	
  know”.	
  	
  And	
  then	
  say,	
  the	
  Agency	
  

        Area	
  of	
  ozone	
  formaAon	
  that	
  is	
  VOC-­‐limited	
  shrinks	
  through	
  the	
  day	
  




                        10	
  am	
                                                                     12	
  pm	
                                                                 4	
  pm	
  




    July	
  14,	
  2005	
  
What	
  Emissions	
  Decreases	
  Maoer?	
  
     •  We	
  aren’t	
  sure	
  
     •  Photochemical	
  modeling	
  can	
  help	
  
     Area	
  of	
  ozone	
  formaAon	
  that	
  is	
  VOC-­‐limited	
  shrinks	
  through	
  the	
  day	
  
        10	
  am	
                        12	
  pm	
                         4	
  pm	
  




July	
  14,	
  2005	
  
MN	
  Point	
  Source	
  NOX	
  Emission	
  Trends	
  
  150,000


  125,000


  100,000
Tons




       75,000


       50,000


       25,000


           0
                   2006            2007          2008          2009             2010
           Other    Pulp & paper    Refineries   Mining   Electric utilities   Manufacturing
Take	
  Away	
  Messages	
  
•  Ozone	
  causes	
  serious	
  health	
  and	
  environmental	
  damage	
  
•  ConcentraAons	
  are	
  currently	
  below	
  standards	
  and	
  have	
  been	
  
   decreasing.	
  
•  Ozone	
  chemistry	
  is	
  complex	
  
    •  Non-­‐linear	
  reacAons	
  of	
  NOx	
  and	
  VOCs	
  
•  Main	
  sources	
  are	
  fuel	
  combusAon	
  
    •  On	
  and	
  off-­‐highway	
  equipment,	
  	
  
    •  Electric	
  uAliAes	
  
    •  Natural	
  sources	
  are	
  important	
  
•  NOx	
  and	
  VOC	
  reducAons	
  may	
  be	
  important	
  
Thanks	
  to	
  
•  Cassie	
  McMahon	
  
•  Margaret	
  McCourtney	
  
•  Catherine	
  Neuschler	
  

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Ozone in Minnesota

  • 1. Kari  Palmer   Clean  Air  Dialogues  WG2   May  11,  2012  
  • 2. What  is  Ozone?   •  A  naturally-­‐occurring  consAtuent  of  the  upper   atmosphere  protecAng  the  earth  from  UV  radiaAon   •  When  formed  at  ground-­‐level  it  causes  human   health  and  environmental  problems  
  • 3. Health  &  Environmental  Effects  of   Ozone   •  High  levels  of  ozone  can  have  an  adverse   impact  on  the  lungs   •  Airway  inflammaAon,  shortness  of  breath,   coughing,  aggravaAon  of  asthma,  emphysema,   bronchiAs   •  Results  in  increased  medicine  use,  doctor  visits   and  hospital  admissions   •  ParAcularly  older  adults,  children,  people  who   exercise  outside   •  Damages  vegetaAon,  trees  and  crops  
  • 4. Trends  in  Ozone:    Twin  CiAes  Metro,  1999-­‐2011   120% 100% Standard   Percent  of  standard 80% 60% 40% 20% 0%
  • 5. MN  Ozone  ConcentraAons  (2009-­‐2011)   80 Standard   70 65   62   63   63   62   62   60   61   60   60   59   59   58   58   60 54   Ozone  ConcentraAon  (ppb)   49   50 40 30 20 10 0
  • 6.
  • 7. 2011  Twin  CiAes  Air  Quality  Index  Days   Ozone   PM2.5  
  • 8. Ozone  ConcentraAons  Across  the  U.S.,  2010  
  • 9. Ground-­‐Level  Ozone  FormaAon  in  MN   •  A  chemical  reacAon  between  nitrogen  oxides  (NO   and  NO2),  oxygen,  and  volaAle  organic  compounds   (VOCs)   •  Sunlight  fuels  the  reacAon  -­‐  at  night  ozone  levels   decrease   •  Hot  days  above  85˚F   •  Winds  can  transport  ozone  and  precursors  
  • 11. Ozone  Chemistry   •  OH  radical  is  central  to   ozone  and  secondary  PM   chemistry   •  OH  iniAates  reacAons  of   VOCs  (and  CO)  that  produce   radicals   •  Radicals  interact  with  NOx   (NO  and  NO2)  in  sunlight  to   form  ozone     •  Ozone  requires  both   NOx  and  VOC   precursors  
  • 12. Ozone  FormaAon   Normal  ozone  cycle   NO2  +  sunlight  =  NO  +  O   O  +  O2  =  O3   NO  +  O3  =  NO2  +  O2   Ozone  cycle  disrupted   by  VOCS   VOC  +  OH  =  RO2  +  H2O   RO2  +  NO  =  NO2  +  RO    
  • 13. June  6,  2011  Ozone  Exceedance  
  • 14. June  6,  2011  Ozone  Event  Time  Lapse  
  • 15. Hourly  Ozone  ConcentraAons  Across  Minnesota   June  5-­‐June  7  
  • 16. Locally  Influenced  Ozone  Event   6/25/2009-­‐6/27/2009  
  • 17. 2008  Emissions  of  Ozone  Precursors   VOCs   Other  fuel   Petroleum   combusAon   storage  and   2%   Other   tranport   •  VegetaAon-­‐55%   2%   1%   •  Miscellaneous-­‐17%   Solvent  use   7%   •  Off-­‐highway-­‐8%   Highway   vehicles   •  Snowmobiles,  boats,   8%   ATVs,  etc.   Off-­‐highway   equipment   Natural   8%   •  Highway  vehicles-­‐8%   vegetaAon   55%   •  Gasoline  vehicles   Miscellaneous   17%   •  Solvent  Use-­‐7%   EPA  NaAonal  Emissions  Inventory,  2008  version  2  
  • 18. 2008  Emissions  of  Ozone  Precursors   Nitrogen  Oxides   Fuel   Fuel   combusion   Other   •  Highway  vehicles-­‐39%   combusion   other   3%   industrial   3%   5%   •  Gasoline  vehicles   •  Off-­‐highway-­‐23%   Metals   processing   VegetaAon   6%   6%   •  Railroads,  agricultural,   Highway   construcAon  and   vehicles   39%   recreaAonal  equipment   Fuel   •  Electric  uAlity  fuel   combusAon   from  electrical   uAliAes   combusAon-­‐15%   15%   Off-­‐highway   equipment   23%   EPA  NaAonal  Emissions  Inventory,  2008  version  2  
  • 19. • Slide  #19.    Very  Important!    If  you  Atle  this  slide  “What  emissions  decreases  maoer”?  Include  the  wrioen  answer,  “We  don’t  know”.    And  then  say,  the  Agency   Area  of  ozone  formaAon  that  is  VOC-­‐limited  shrinks  through  the  day   10  am   12  pm   4  pm   July  14,  2005  
  • 20. What  Emissions  Decreases  Maoer?   •  We  aren’t  sure   •  Photochemical  modeling  can  help   Area  of  ozone  formaAon  that  is  VOC-­‐limited  shrinks  through  the  day   10  am   12  pm   4  pm   July  14,  2005  
  • 21. MN  Point  Source  NOX  Emission  Trends   150,000 125,000 100,000 Tons 75,000 50,000 25,000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Other Pulp & paper Refineries Mining Electric utilities Manufacturing
  • 22. Take  Away  Messages   •  Ozone  causes  serious  health  and  environmental  damage   •  ConcentraAons  are  currently  below  standards  and  have  been   decreasing.   •  Ozone  chemistry  is  complex   •  Non-­‐linear  reacAons  of  NOx  and  VOCs   •  Main  sources  are  fuel  combusAon   •  On  and  off-­‐highway  equipment,     •  Electric  uAliAes   •  Natural  sources  are  important   •  NOx  and  VOC  reducAons  may  be  important  
  • 23. Thanks  to   •  Cassie  McMahon   •  Margaret  McCourtney   •  Catherine  Neuschler