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Global Trends in Payment Systems
Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
2




Global Payment
 Trends Survey
     Overview
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                    Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                      3




 For the 4th year running,   The questions asked revolved
                             around five main topics:
  Edgar, Dunn & Company
has conducted a survey of         Current & future importance of individual
                                  payment products
  payments professionals
  globally on key industry        Current & future importance of individual
                                  payment channels
dynamics in their markets
                                  Expected future importance of payment
                                  technologies

                                  Most influential market participants

                                  Key industry events that will shape
                                  payments markets
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                     Summary of 2011 Survey Findings   4




participated in the survey and
represented a total of 50 countries
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                             Summary of 2011 Survey Findings   5


Respondents to the survey covered a wide cross section of roles within
the industry, and generally had extensive cards / payments experience
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                      Summary of 2011 Survey Findings   6



  USA /   Overview of
          Findings
Canada                  Card based payments and electronic bill payments are
                        considered the most important payment methods, with
                        credit/charge and prepaid cards significantly higher than
                        other regions.


                        Cash is lower in importance as a method of payment than
                        in any other region, but has increased its score versus
                        2010.


                        There are high expectations for growth over the next 5
                        years in both mobile payments and mobile as a channel;
                        this is supported by the expected growth in the
                        importance of both mobile and, to a lesser extent,
                        contactless technologies.


                        Growth in the importance of Security/authentication and
                        Fraud technologies is the highest for any region, possibly
                        due to the fraud losses being incurred by the industry.


                        The USA / Canada continued to rate the consumer as the
                        most influential market participant.


                        In 2011, growth in mobile/NFC continues to be the event
                        expected to have the greatest impact in shaping the
                        payments market over the next 3 years.
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                     Summary of 2011 Survey Findings   7



Europe   Overview of
         Findings


                       Direct debit/giro/ACH is considered the most important
                       payment product, well ahead of its score in other
                       regions, and has grown significantly in importance
                       compared to 2010.


                       The importance of Mobile and Contactless products is
                       the lowest of any region, and has reduced compared to
                       2010; nonetheless, there are high expectations for
                       growth in both of these products over the next 5 years.


                       Mobile technologies are seen as growing most in
                       importance in the next 5 years, well ahead of contactless
                       and internet technologies.


                       In support of this, Telcos/MNOs are expected to be the
                       most influential participants in the market over the next
                       few years, and growth in mobile/NFC is the event
                       expected to have the greatest impact in shaping the
                       payments market.


                       Europe has the highest expected growth in virtual card
                       technologies of any region.
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                   Summary of 2011 Survey Findings   8



Asia   Overview of
       Findings      Despite the relative strength of the Asian economies, there
                     is an underlying theme of ‘back to the basics’ – to some
                     degree replacing the ‘leapfrog’ intentions in previous
                     surveys.


                     Unlike other regions, contactless and mobile payments did
                     not rank highly – possibly reflecting technical / acceptance
                     issues – although this may change as smart phones become
                     common.


                     Instead, there was a focus on developing out bill payment
                     and domestic debit card systems – with the latter preferred
                     by respondents over scheme debit.


                     Payment schemes were expected to play a lesser role into
                     the future than in other regions – perhaps reflecting the
                     greater role played by regulators, as well as convergence /
                     disintermediation.


                     And despite the generally low rating given to mobile, MNO’s
                     were ranked as the second most influential participant
                     moving forward.


                     Amongst new market entrants mentioned, MNO
                     consortiums, tech companies (Google, Apple, Paypal) and
                     major retailers (Carrefour, Amazon) were often mentioned.


                     Amongst new products / services, Internet-based
                     technology, mobile & contactless, payment hubs were also
                     frequently mentioned.
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                           Summary of 2011 Survey Findings   9



 Australia &   Overview of
               Findings
New Zealand
                             Cards, electronic bill payment and direct entry/ACH are all
                             scored as highly important payment products (perhaps
                             due to the ubiquity of BPAY and “pay anyone” on
                             internet banking).


                             Contactless and Mobile payments still rank low in
                             importance, although the highest of any region, but with
                             high expectations for growth over the next 5 years;
                             interestingly, mobile as a channel for payments already
                             scores highly.


                             The internet channel is expected to show the strongest
                             growth in the next 5 years (the highest for any region),
                             just ahead of the mobile channel.


                             Consumers and Issuers are expected to be the most
                             influential participants in the payments market over the
                             next few years, just ahead of Payment Schemes.


                             As in a number of other regions, growth in mobile/NFC is
                             the event expected to have the greatest impact in
                             shaping the payments market.
10




Detailed Survey
       Findings
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                        Summary of 2011 Survey Findings   11



  Current relative
   importance of
payment products
    Globally, credit and charge
cards continue to be perceived
        as the most important
 payment products – with little
                                  Please score the current relative importance of these payment products in your country?
             change from 2010
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                         Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                           12


The current importance of individual payment                                                 ‘Notably’ higher than global average

products continues to vary significantly by region                                           ‘Notably’ lower than global average


Please score the current relative importance of these payment products in your country?

                                                 % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’
Product
                                              Global            Europe        USA / Canada           Asia              Australia / NZ
Credit / charge cards                           84%               75%              95%                78%                     89%

Direct debit / credit / giro / ACH              75%               84%              69%                63%                     80%

International scheme debit cards                73%               71%               71%               60%                     88%

Electronic bill payments                        70%               49%               83%               55%                     91%

Cash                                            67%               64%               57%               84%                     65%

Domestic debit cards                            66%               58%               82%               49%                     72%

Internet based payments                         63%               57%              68%                51%                     75%

Remittances                                     39%               31%               39%               63%                     34%

Prepaid cards                                   33%               18%               52%               31%                     34%

Mobile payments (remote)                        25%               19%               21%               24%                     36%

Contactless cards                               24%               15%               22%               26%                     35%

Cheques                                         23%               20%               30%               41%                      8%

Mobile transfers                                21%               9%                24%               24%                     30%

Mobile NFC payments                             19%               13%               20%               13%                     29%
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                         Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                           13


Cash appears to be increasing in                                                             ‘Notably’ higher than global average

importance in all regions except Europe                                                       ‘Notably’ lower than global average


Difference in % of respondents answering ‘important’ or ‘very important’ between 2011 and 2010 surveys

Product                                                   Global   Europe     USA / Canada           Asia              Australia / NZ
Cash                                                        7%       0%             11%               14%                      9%

Mobile payments (remote / to merchants)                     1%       -3%            -3%               -10%                    18%

Direct debit / direct credit / Giro / ACH                   1%       11%            -4%               -14%                     4%

International scheme (Visa & MasterCard) debit cards        1%       -4%            1%                -2%                      5%

Credit / charge cards                                       -1%      -3%            3%                -5%                      -3%

Domestic debit cards (e.g. PIN debit in USA)                -1%      -3%            1%                   0%                    -6%

Electronic bill payments                                    -3%      -2%            -2%               -30%                     7%

Cheques                                                     -5%      -2%            -3%               -4%                      -8%

Contactless cards (e.g. PayPass, PayWave, transit)         -8%      -16%            -3%               -14%                     -5%

Mobile NFC payments                                        -8%      -12%            -11%              -21%                     8%

Mobile transfers (P2P, remittances)                        -10%     -13%           -12%               -24%                     5%
Internet based payment products (incl. P2P / excl. bill
                                                           -10%      -9%            -5%               -25%                     -8%
payments)
Remittances (excluding Mobile)                             -11%      -8%           -10%               -19%                     -7%

Prepaid / stored value cards                               -13%     -18%           -12%               -16%                     -8%
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                     Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                       14



   Over the
next 5 years,
the greatest growth continues
    to be expected to occur in
  Mobile payments – both NFC
    and Remote – followed by     What are the 3 payment products which will experience the greatest growth in importance in
                                 your country over the next 5 years?
             Contactless Cards
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                                   Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                                     15

Expected growth in importance of Mobile and                                                            ‘Notably’ higher than global average
Contactless Card payments is significantly
                                                                                                       ‘Notably’ lower than global average
lower in Asia than in the other regions
What are the 3 payment products which will experience the greatest growth in importance in your country over the next 5 years?

                                                            % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’
Product
                                                         Global           Europe        USA / Canada           Asia              Australia / NZ
Mobile NFC payments                                       47%               52%              50%                24%                     58%

Mobile payments (remote / to merchants)                   46%               49%              54%                35%                     42%

Contactless cards (e.g. PayPass, PayWave, transit)        44%               53%              32%                21%                     63%

Mobile transfers (P2P, remittances)                       34%               25%              35%                39%                     38%
Internet based payment products (incl.P2P / excl. bill
                                                          31%               35%              29%                34%                     28%
payments)
Prepaid / stored value cards                              22%               22%              33%                23%                     14%

Electronic bill payments                                  18%               15%              17%                32%                      11%

International scheme (Visa & MasterCard) debit cards      12%               15%               2%                12%                      17%

Domestic debit cards (e.g. PIN debit in USA)              12%               6%               16%                16%                      11%

Credit / charge cards                                      11%              8%                11%               24%                      5%

Direct debit / direct credit / Giro / ACH                  9%               8%               10%                14%                      2%

Remittances (excluding Mobile)                             4%               2%                4%                10%                      1%

Cash                                                       3%               1%                2%                11%                      2%

Cheques                                                    0%               1%                0%                1%                       0%
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                   Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                      Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                       Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                         16



As a payment channel the Internet is perceived to be as
important as the ‘traditional’ Point of Sale terminal
with overall results very similar to 2010

Please score the current relative importance of these payment channels in your country?
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                               Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                                 17


    Bank branch and ATM
       retain significantly
   higher importance as a
  payment channel in Asia
 than in the other regions
                 surveyed
                ‘Notably’ higher than global average

                ‘Notably’ lower than global average


Please score the current relative importance of these payment channels in your country?

                                                          % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’
Channel
                                                       Global          Europe         USA / Canada          Asia             Australia / NZ
Point of sale (e.g. purchases, prepaid top-up)          89%              89%               93%              84%                     89%

Online / internet                                       86%              84%               92%              75%                     94%

ATMs & self service devices (e.g. kiosks)               76%              72%               73%              86%                     75%

Mobile                                                  43%              34%               49%              39%                     55%

Bank branch                                             33%              27%               20%              56%                      31%

Telephone (IVR, customer service officer)               20%              15%               18%              21%                     25%

Agencies (e.g. post office)                             15%              14%               5%               28%                     14%
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                           Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                             18



    The Mobile and
  Internet channels
    are expected to
continue to grow in
  importance in the   What are the 3 payment channels which will experience the greatest growth in importance in
                      your country over the next 5 years?
     coming 5 years
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                                Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                                  19


             The growth in
         importance of the
       Mobile channel was
  significant in all regions,
      and highest in USA /
                      Canada
                ‘Notably’ higher than global average

                ‘Notably’ lower than global average

What are the 3 payment channels which will experience the greatest growth in importance in your country over the next 5 years?

                                                          % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’
Channel
                                                       Global           Europe        USA / Canada          Asia              Australia / NZ
Mobile                                                  92%               94%              100%              82%                     94%

Online / Internet                                       89%               92%              87%               83%                     95%

Point of Sale                                           57%               58%              55%               60%                     54%

ATMs & self service                                     32%               22%              31%               56%                     25%

Telephone                                                6%               6%                5%               3%                       9%

Agencies (e.g. Post office)                              4%               6%                1%               5%                       4%

Bank branch                                              2%               2%                0%               5%                       1%
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                      Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                        20



Globally, smart phones will drive the     What are the mobile channels which will
   growth in mobile, however basic        experience the greatest growth in importance
                                          in your country over the next 5 years?
   phones will still play a key role in
    ‘developing’ payments markets
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                 Summary of 2011 Survey Findings   21



     Given the expected
future growth of Mobile
and Contactless, it is not
  surprising that related
   technologies are also     Which 3 payment technologies will experience the greatest growth in importance in your
                             country over the next 5 years?
        often mentioned
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                                 Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                                   22

Reflecting the expected trends in payment products, the                                              ‘Notably’ higher than global average
growth in importance of payment technologies also
                                                                                                     ‘Notably’ lower than global average
tends to vary significantly by region
Which 3 payment technologies will experience the greatest growth in importance in your country over the next 5 years?

                                                          % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’
Product
                                                       Global           Europe        USA / Canada           Asia              Australia / NZ
Mobile based technology (excluding NFC)                 64%               76%              60%                42%                     72%

Contactless / NFC technology                            64%               56%              62%                60%                     75%

Internet based technology                               48%               54%              36%                63%                     41%

Security / authentication technology                    33%               32%              39%                37%                     27%

Payment hubs (shared payment infrastructure)            22%               16%              17%                38%                     20%

Fraud detection technology                              20%               20%              23%                17%                     19%

Contact chip technology (including display, key pad)    19%               14%              24%                18%                     19%

Virtual Cards                                           17%               21%              20%                11%                     18%

Credit evaluation / risk assessment technology           8%               4%                11%               11%                      6%
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                        Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                          23


The role of Central Banks /
 Regulators is seen as less
  significant this year (32%
    of respondents versus
          44% in 2010), with
     Consumers and Telcos      In 5 years time, who do you believe will be the 3 most influential market participants in your
                               country?
      coming to the fore…
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                                  Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                                    24

…although 62% of Asian respondents believe                                                            ‘Notably’ higher than global average
that Central Banks / Regulators will have a
                                                                                                      ‘Notably’ lower than global average
major influence over the next five years
In 5 years time, who do you believe will be the 3 most influential market participants in your country?

                                                           % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’
Market Participant
                                                        Global           Europe        USA / Canada           Asia              Australia / NZ
Consumers                                                38%               32%              49%                35%                     40%

Telecommunications / mobile network operators            37%               42%              33%                43%                     30%

Card issuers                                             32%               29%              30%                29%                     40%

Payment associations / schemes                           32%               34%              37%                17%                     38%

Central banks / regulators                               32%               25%              18%                62%                     26%

Merchants                                                24%               29%              32%                15%                     18%

Financial institutions - other than issuer / acquirer    23%               21%              16%                37%                     20%

Payment processors / networks                            19%               18%              22%                21%                      17%

Mobile handset manufacturers                             18%               17%              18%                9%                      27%

Merchant acquirers                                       12%               12%               9%                9%                      15%

System vendors / service providers                       12%               14%              12%                11%                      11%

Other government agencies                                 2%               2%                1%                6%                       1%
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                   Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                     25


  Payments professionals
believe that the growth of
  Mobile / NFC is going to
       be the key driver in
    shaping the immediate
       future of payments     Which of the following events will have the greatest impact in shaping the payments market
                              within your country over the next 3 years?
                   markets
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                                   Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                                     26

Growth of Mobile / NFC is considered to be the key                                                     ‘Notably’ higher than global average
driver in shaping the immediate future of
                                                                                                        ‘Notably’ lower than global average
payments markets across all regions surveyed
Which of the following events will have the greatest impact in shaping the payments market within your country over the next 3 years?


                                                            % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’
Event
                                                         Global           Europe        USA / Canada           Asia              Australia / NZ
Growth of Mobile / NFC                                     77%              76%               76%                65%                     89%

Technology advancements                                    47%              40%               53%                41%                     56%

New market entrants                                        43%              54%               41%                31%                     43%
Regulator changes to pricing (e.g. interchange,
                                                           41%              43%               51%                32%                     37%
surcharging)
Regulator changes to industry practices (e.g. consumer
                                                           32%              27%               35%                50%                     21%
lending, levying of fees)
Regulator changes to processing (e.g. domestic, scheme
                                                           21%              16%               13%                42%                     18%
separation)
Industry mergers / acquisitions                            18%              25%               12%                21%                     11%
Global Trends in Payment Systems
                                                                                                                              Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
                                                                                                                                                                 27
Pascal Burg
Director | Edgar, Dunn & Company
Immeuble Elysées La Défense
42 rue Vignon, 5th Floor, 75009, Paris
Phone: +33 1 4007 9224 | Mb +33 6 79 37 55 47
pascal.burg@edgardunn.com


David Dee
Director | Edgar, Dunn & Company
Suite 501, 45 Lime Street
Sydney NSW 2000 Australia
Ph +61 2 9279 2442 | Mb +61 411 112 220
david.dee@edgardunn.com


John Bresnahan
Director | Edgar, Dunn & Company
817 West Peachtree Street NW
Suite 310, Atlanta, GA 30308
Phone: +1 404 879 0710 | Mb +1 678 644 0585
john.bresnahan@edgardunn.com



                                          This presentation was prepared based on 2011 Global Payments Trends Survey conducted in September 2011. © 2011
                                          Edgar, Dunn & Company. This work is copyright. Apart from any use as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part
                                          may be reproduced by any process without the prior written permission of the authors. Requests and inquiries
                                          concerning reproduction and rights should be addressed to the undersigned.

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EDC Global Payment Trends Survey 2011

  • 1. 1 Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings
  • 2. 2 Global Payment Trends Survey Overview
  • 3. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 3 For the 4th year running, The questions asked revolved around five main topics: Edgar, Dunn & Company has conducted a survey of Current & future importance of individual payment products payments professionals globally on key industry Current & future importance of individual payment channels dynamics in their markets Expected future importance of payment technologies Most influential market participants Key industry events that will shape payments markets
  • 4. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 4 participated in the survey and represented a total of 50 countries
  • 5. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 5 Respondents to the survey covered a wide cross section of roles within the industry, and generally had extensive cards / payments experience
  • 6. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 6 USA / Overview of Findings Canada Card based payments and electronic bill payments are considered the most important payment methods, with credit/charge and prepaid cards significantly higher than other regions. Cash is lower in importance as a method of payment than in any other region, but has increased its score versus 2010. There are high expectations for growth over the next 5 years in both mobile payments and mobile as a channel; this is supported by the expected growth in the importance of both mobile and, to a lesser extent, contactless technologies. Growth in the importance of Security/authentication and Fraud technologies is the highest for any region, possibly due to the fraud losses being incurred by the industry. The USA / Canada continued to rate the consumer as the most influential market participant. In 2011, growth in mobile/NFC continues to be the event expected to have the greatest impact in shaping the payments market over the next 3 years.
  • 7. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 7 Europe Overview of Findings Direct debit/giro/ACH is considered the most important payment product, well ahead of its score in other regions, and has grown significantly in importance compared to 2010. The importance of Mobile and Contactless products is the lowest of any region, and has reduced compared to 2010; nonetheless, there are high expectations for growth in both of these products over the next 5 years. Mobile technologies are seen as growing most in importance in the next 5 years, well ahead of contactless and internet technologies. In support of this, Telcos/MNOs are expected to be the most influential participants in the market over the next few years, and growth in mobile/NFC is the event expected to have the greatest impact in shaping the payments market. Europe has the highest expected growth in virtual card technologies of any region.
  • 8. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 8 Asia Overview of Findings Despite the relative strength of the Asian economies, there is an underlying theme of ‘back to the basics’ – to some degree replacing the ‘leapfrog’ intentions in previous surveys. Unlike other regions, contactless and mobile payments did not rank highly – possibly reflecting technical / acceptance issues – although this may change as smart phones become common. Instead, there was a focus on developing out bill payment and domestic debit card systems – with the latter preferred by respondents over scheme debit. Payment schemes were expected to play a lesser role into the future than in other regions – perhaps reflecting the greater role played by regulators, as well as convergence / disintermediation. And despite the generally low rating given to mobile, MNO’s were ranked as the second most influential participant moving forward. Amongst new market entrants mentioned, MNO consortiums, tech companies (Google, Apple, Paypal) and major retailers (Carrefour, Amazon) were often mentioned. Amongst new products / services, Internet-based technology, mobile & contactless, payment hubs were also frequently mentioned.
  • 9. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 9 Australia & Overview of Findings New Zealand Cards, electronic bill payment and direct entry/ACH are all scored as highly important payment products (perhaps due to the ubiquity of BPAY and “pay anyone” on internet banking). Contactless and Mobile payments still rank low in importance, although the highest of any region, but with high expectations for growth over the next 5 years; interestingly, mobile as a channel for payments already scores highly. The internet channel is expected to show the strongest growth in the next 5 years (the highest for any region), just ahead of the mobile channel. Consumers and Issuers are expected to be the most influential participants in the payments market over the next few years, just ahead of Payment Schemes. As in a number of other regions, growth in mobile/NFC is the event expected to have the greatest impact in shaping the payments market.
  • 10. 10 Detailed Survey Findings
  • 11. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 11 Current relative importance of payment products Globally, credit and charge cards continue to be perceived as the most important payment products – with little Please score the current relative importance of these payment products in your country? change from 2010
  • 12. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 12 The current importance of individual payment ‘Notably’ higher than global average products continues to vary significantly by region ‘Notably’ lower than global average Please score the current relative importance of these payment products in your country? % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’ Product Global Europe USA / Canada Asia Australia / NZ Credit / charge cards 84% 75% 95% 78% 89% Direct debit / credit / giro / ACH 75% 84% 69% 63% 80% International scheme debit cards 73% 71% 71% 60% 88% Electronic bill payments 70% 49% 83% 55% 91% Cash 67% 64% 57% 84% 65% Domestic debit cards 66% 58% 82% 49% 72% Internet based payments 63% 57% 68% 51% 75% Remittances 39% 31% 39% 63% 34% Prepaid cards 33% 18% 52% 31% 34% Mobile payments (remote) 25% 19% 21% 24% 36% Contactless cards 24% 15% 22% 26% 35% Cheques 23% 20% 30% 41% 8% Mobile transfers 21% 9% 24% 24% 30% Mobile NFC payments 19% 13% 20% 13% 29%
  • 13. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 13 Cash appears to be increasing in ‘Notably’ higher than global average importance in all regions except Europe ‘Notably’ lower than global average Difference in % of respondents answering ‘important’ or ‘very important’ between 2011 and 2010 surveys Product Global Europe USA / Canada Asia Australia / NZ Cash 7% 0% 11% 14% 9% Mobile payments (remote / to merchants) 1% -3% -3% -10% 18% Direct debit / direct credit / Giro / ACH 1% 11% -4% -14% 4% International scheme (Visa & MasterCard) debit cards 1% -4% 1% -2% 5% Credit / charge cards -1% -3% 3% -5% -3% Domestic debit cards (e.g. PIN debit in USA) -1% -3% 1% 0% -6% Electronic bill payments -3% -2% -2% -30% 7% Cheques -5% -2% -3% -4% -8% Contactless cards (e.g. PayPass, PayWave, transit) -8% -16% -3% -14% -5% Mobile NFC payments -8% -12% -11% -21% 8% Mobile transfers (P2P, remittances) -10% -13% -12% -24% 5% Internet based payment products (incl. P2P / excl. bill -10% -9% -5% -25% -8% payments) Remittances (excluding Mobile) -11% -8% -10% -19% -7% Prepaid / stored value cards -13% -18% -12% -16% -8%
  • 14. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 14 Over the next 5 years, the greatest growth continues to be expected to occur in Mobile payments – both NFC and Remote – followed by What are the 3 payment products which will experience the greatest growth in importance in your country over the next 5 years? Contactless Cards
  • 15. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 15 Expected growth in importance of Mobile and ‘Notably’ higher than global average Contactless Card payments is significantly ‘Notably’ lower than global average lower in Asia than in the other regions What are the 3 payment products which will experience the greatest growth in importance in your country over the next 5 years? % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’ Product Global Europe USA / Canada Asia Australia / NZ Mobile NFC payments 47% 52% 50% 24% 58% Mobile payments (remote / to merchants) 46% 49% 54% 35% 42% Contactless cards (e.g. PayPass, PayWave, transit) 44% 53% 32% 21% 63% Mobile transfers (P2P, remittances) 34% 25% 35% 39% 38% Internet based payment products (incl.P2P / excl. bill 31% 35% 29% 34% 28% payments) Prepaid / stored value cards 22% 22% 33% 23% 14% Electronic bill payments 18% 15% 17% 32% 11% International scheme (Visa & MasterCard) debit cards 12% 15% 2% 12% 17% Domestic debit cards (e.g. PIN debit in USA) 12% 6% 16% 16% 11% Credit / charge cards 11% 8% 11% 24% 5% Direct debit / direct credit / Giro / ACH 9% 8% 10% 14% 2% Remittances (excluding Mobile) 4% 2% 4% 10% 1% Cash 3% 1% 2% 11% 2% Cheques 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%
  • 16. Global Trends in Payment Systems Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 16 As a payment channel the Internet is perceived to be as important as the ‘traditional’ Point of Sale terminal with overall results very similar to 2010 Please score the current relative importance of these payment channels in your country?
  • 17. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 17 Bank branch and ATM retain significantly higher importance as a payment channel in Asia than in the other regions surveyed ‘Notably’ higher than global average ‘Notably’ lower than global average Please score the current relative importance of these payment channels in your country? % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’ Channel Global Europe USA / Canada Asia Australia / NZ Point of sale (e.g. purchases, prepaid top-up) 89% 89% 93% 84% 89% Online / internet 86% 84% 92% 75% 94% ATMs & self service devices (e.g. kiosks) 76% 72% 73% 86% 75% Mobile 43% 34% 49% 39% 55% Bank branch 33% 27% 20% 56% 31% Telephone (IVR, customer service officer) 20% 15% 18% 21% 25% Agencies (e.g. post office) 15% 14% 5% 28% 14%
  • 18. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 18 The Mobile and Internet channels are expected to continue to grow in importance in the What are the 3 payment channels which will experience the greatest growth in importance in your country over the next 5 years? coming 5 years
  • 19. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 19 The growth in importance of the Mobile channel was significant in all regions, and highest in USA / Canada ‘Notably’ higher than global average ‘Notably’ lower than global average What are the 3 payment channels which will experience the greatest growth in importance in your country over the next 5 years? % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’ Channel Global Europe USA / Canada Asia Australia / NZ Mobile 92% 94% 100% 82% 94% Online / Internet 89% 92% 87% 83% 95% Point of Sale 57% 58% 55% 60% 54% ATMs & self service 32% 22% 31% 56% 25% Telephone 6% 6% 5% 3% 9% Agencies (e.g. Post office) 4% 6% 1% 5% 4% Bank branch 2% 2% 0% 5% 1%
  • 20. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 20 Globally, smart phones will drive the What are the mobile channels which will growth in mobile, however basic experience the greatest growth in importance in your country over the next 5 years? phones will still play a key role in ‘developing’ payments markets
  • 21. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 21 Given the expected future growth of Mobile and Contactless, it is not surprising that related technologies are also Which 3 payment technologies will experience the greatest growth in importance in your country over the next 5 years? often mentioned
  • 22. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 22 Reflecting the expected trends in payment products, the ‘Notably’ higher than global average growth in importance of payment technologies also ‘Notably’ lower than global average tends to vary significantly by region Which 3 payment technologies will experience the greatest growth in importance in your country over the next 5 years? % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’ Product Global Europe USA / Canada Asia Australia / NZ Mobile based technology (excluding NFC) 64% 76% 60% 42% 72% Contactless / NFC technology 64% 56% 62% 60% 75% Internet based technology 48% 54% 36% 63% 41% Security / authentication technology 33% 32% 39% 37% 27% Payment hubs (shared payment infrastructure) 22% 16% 17% 38% 20% Fraud detection technology 20% 20% 23% 17% 19% Contact chip technology (including display, key pad) 19% 14% 24% 18% 19% Virtual Cards 17% 21% 20% 11% 18% Credit evaluation / risk assessment technology 8% 4% 11% 11% 6%
  • 23. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 23 The role of Central Banks / Regulators is seen as less significant this year (32% of respondents versus 44% in 2010), with Consumers and Telcos In 5 years time, who do you believe will be the 3 most influential market participants in your country? coming to the fore…
  • 24. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 24 …although 62% of Asian respondents believe ‘Notably’ higher than global average that Central Banks / Regulators will have a ‘Notably’ lower than global average major influence over the next five years In 5 years time, who do you believe will be the 3 most influential market participants in your country? % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’ Market Participant Global Europe USA / Canada Asia Australia / NZ Consumers 38% 32% 49% 35% 40% Telecommunications / mobile network operators 37% 42% 33% 43% 30% Card issuers 32% 29% 30% 29% 40% Payment associations / schemes 32% 34% 37% 17% 38% Central banks / regulators 32% 25% 18% 62% 26% Merchants 24% 29% 32% 15% 18% Financial institutions - other than issuer / acquirer 23% 21% 16% 37% 20% Payment processors / networks 19% 18% 22% 21% 17% Mobile handset manufacturers 18% 17% 18% 9% 27% Merchant acquirers 12% 12% 9% 9% 15% System vendors / service providers 12% 14% 12% 11% 11% Other government agencies 2% 2% 1% 6% 1%
  • 25. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 25 Payments professionals believe that the growth of Mobile / NFC is going to be the key driver in shaping the immediate future of payments Which of the following events will have the greatest impact in shaping the payments market within your country over the next 3 years? markets
  • 26. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 26 Growth of Mobile / NFC is considered to be the key ‘Notably’ higher than global average driver in shaping the immediate future of ‘Notably’ lower than global average payments markets across all regions surveyed Which of the following events will have the greatest impact in shaping the payments market within your country over the next 3 years? % Respondents who rated the product as ‘important’ or ‘very important’ Event Global Europe USA / Canada Asia Australia / NZ Growth of Mobile / NFC 77% 76% 76% 65% 89% Technology advancements 47% 40% 53% 41% 56% New market entrants 43% 54% 41% 31% 43% Regulator changes to pricing (e.g. interchange, 41% 43% 51% 32% 37% surcharging) Regulator changes to industry practices (e.g. consumer 32% 27% 35% 50% 21% lending, levying of fees) Regulator changes to processing (e.g. domestic, scheme 21% 16% 13% 42% 18% separation) Industry mergers / acquisitions 18% 25% 12% 21% 11%
  • 27. Global Trends in Payment Systems Summary of 2011 Survey Findings 27 Pascal Burg Director | Edgar, Dunn & Company Immeuble Elysées La Défense 42 rue Vignon, 5th Floor, 75009, Paris Phone: +33 1 4007 9224 | Mb +33 6 79 37 55 47 pascal.burg@edgardunn.com David Dee Director | Edgar, Dunn & Company Suite 501, 45 Lime Street Sydney NSW 2000 Australia Ph +61 2 9279 2442 | Mb +61 411 112 220 david.dee@edgardunn.com John Bresnahan Director | Edgar, Dunn & Company 817 West Peachtree Street NW Suite 310, Atlanta, GA 30308 Phone: +1 404 879 0710 | Mb +1 678 644 0585 john.bresnahan@edgardunn.com This presentation was prepared based on 2011 Global Payments Trends Survey conducted in September 2011. © 2011 Edgar, Dunn & Company. This work is copyright. Apart from any use as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part may be reproduced by any process without the prior written permission of the authors. Requests and inquiries concerning reproduction and rights should be addressed to the undersigned.