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Indian & Global GDP Growth Projections 2019 & 2020
1. Growth Projections
GDP growth projections by various agencies......
Compiled by
The SurgeRS
(SURGE Research Support)
http://www.ecofin-surge.co.in/
Updated 30 June, 2020
2. -4.00
0.00
-6.40
0.60
-5.00
6.25
5.50
-5.00
1.60
-7.20
-6.50
-4.50
1.90
3.00
-3.00
1.30
-0.40
-3.70
-5.20
2.60
-5.00
-0.40
1.20
2020-21
ADB*
Barclays
BofA-ML
CARE*
CII
CitiGroup
CMIE
Credit Suisse
CRISIL*
DBS
Economic Survey
EIU The Economist
Ernst&Young
FICCI
Fitch*
GoldmanSachs
HSBC*
ICRA*
IMF*
Ind-Ratings
JPMorgan
KPMG
MoodysAnalytics*/**
MorganStanley**
NCAER*
NITI Ayog
Nomura
OECD*
PWC
RBI
Reuters Poll (Q1)*
SBI Research
S&P*
UBS
UN**
India:Growth Projections
FY2020-21
Note: Growth rate of GDP (%, per year); Forecasts as of June 30, 2020;
*Projected within the last three months , **Calendar year 2019 & 2020.
4.20
3.10
4.00
5.80
7.40
8.30
6.90
6.20
7.00
7.20
6.90
5.50
6.00
5.00
4.20
6.10
5.40
6.20
4.90
6.50
4.90
5.90
5.00
5.00
6.30
7.50
6.00
2019-20 PE
2019-20 Q4
ADB
Bloomberg Survey
BofA-ML
CARE
CII
CitiGroup
CMIE
Credit Suisse
CRISIL
DBS
Economic Survey
EIU The Economist
Ernst&Young
Ficci Poll
Fitch
GoldmanSachs
HDFC
IHS Markit
IMF**
Ind-Ratings
JPMorgan
MoodysAnalytics*
MorganStanley*
NCAER
NITI Ayog
Nomura
OECD**
PWC
RBI**
Reuters Poll (Q1)
SBI Research
S&P
UBS
UNCTAD*
India:Growth Projections
FY2019-20
3. Global Growth Projections
Growth rate of GDP (% per year)
-7.0
5.5
-5.3
3.8
-4.9
5.4
-10.2
6.0
-8.0
4.5
-6.0
5.2
-9.1
6.5
-7.3
4.1
-3.2
4.2
-5.8
2.9
-4.8
3.9
-5.2
4.2
-9.1
4.5
-6.1
4.0
-12.0 -10.0 -8.0 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0
2020
2021
2020
2021
2020
2021
WorldEuroAreaUS
WB—GEP June 2020
UN—WESP May 2020
OECD—EO June 2020
IMF—WEO June 2020
4. India & China
Growth rate of GDP (% per year)
-4.0
5.0
1.8
7.4
-4.5
6.0
1.0
8.2
-3.7
7.9
-2.6
6.8
1.2
5.5
1.7
7.6
-3.2
3.1
1.0
6.9
-6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0
2020
2021
2020
2021
India*China
WB—GEP June 2020
UN—WESP May
2020
OECD—EO June
2020
IMF—WEO June
2020
ADB—ADO June
2020
*Fiscal year starting April.
5. for Global growth projections
More resources on Indian & Global growth, inflation & trade & financial
markets………..
EUpDates—A Monthly e-Bulletin of Economic/Financial Market
Indicators
https://www.yumpu.com/en/document/view/62916575/eupdates-a-monthly-statistical-bulletin-of-
economic-indicators
http://www.ecofin-surge.co.in/
ADB: Asian Development Outlook
IMF: World Economic Outlook
OECD: Economic Outlook
United Nations: World Economic Situation and Prospects
World Bank: Global Economic Prospects