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Pure Power
Wind energy targets for 2020 and 2030
EWEA High Scenario for the EU

                                                                        Finland
                                                  Sweden

                                                                            Estonia
                                                                                                 Average MW that need
                                                                               Latvia            to be installed per year
                                Denmark                                                          in high scenario:
                                                                        Lithuania

    Ireland                                                                                           2,000-3,000
                          Netherlands
                  U. K.                                        Poland                                 1,000-2,000
                                        Germany
                            Belgium
                                   Luxembourg        Czech                                            250-1,000
                                                     Republic
                                                                 Slovakia
                                                                                                      0-250
                                                     Austria
                                                                  Hungary
                          France
                                                          Slovenia             Romania


                                                  Italy                           Bulgaria


 Portugal     Spain                                                         Greece




                                                                                             Cyprus
wind power installed in Europe
by end 2010 (cumulative)
  Faroe Islands
        4
                                                                                               Finland
                                                                                                 197
                                                                     Sweden
                                                        Norway        2,163
                                                         441

                                                                                                     Estonia
                                                                                                       149
                                                                                                                         Russia              European Union:
                                                                                                        Latvia             9
                                              Denmark                                                    31                                  84,324 MW
                                               3,798                                               Lithuania
                                                                                                      154
                                       Netherlands                                                                                           Candidate countries:
                                         2,245
    Ireland                                                                                                                                  1,418 MW
      Ireland
     1,428                  U. K.
       1,428               5,204                                                      Poland
                                    Belgium
                                      911                  Germany                    1,107                                                  EFTA:
                                                           27,214
                                              Luxembourg
                                                                                                                                             478 MW
                                                  42                   Czech Republic                          Ukraine
                                                                            215                                  87
                                                                                        Slovakia                                             Total Europe:
                                                                            Austria        3
                                                                                                                                             86,321 MW
                                                                            1,011        Hungary
                                     France          Switzerland
                                                         42                               295
                                     5,660                              Slovenia                         Romania
                                                                           0     Croatia
                                                                                   89                      462


                                                                    Italy
                                                                   5,797                                    Bulgaria
                                                                                                              375
       Portugal
        3,898
                   Spain
                  20,676                                                                           Greece                           Turkey
                                                                                                   1,208                            1,329




                                                                            Malta
                                                                             0                                                    Cyprus
                                                                                                                                    82
Member State 2010 wind power capacity
and share of total EU capacity
            Greece 1,208 1%    Other 5,033 6%                    Other
            Ireland 1,428 2%                                     Poland       1,107
        Sweden 2,163 3%                                          Austria      1,011
       Netherlands 2,245
               3%                                                Belgium       911
   Denmark 3,798 4%                                              Romania       462
                                                                 Bulgaria      375
   Portugal 3,898 5%                                             Hungary       295
                                                Germany 27,214
                                                     32%         Czech Republic 215
                                                                 Finland       197
     UK 5,204 6%
                                                                 Lithuania     154
                                                                 Estonia       149
                                                                 Cyprus         82
     France 5,660 7%
                                        Spain 20,676 24%         Luxembourg     42
                                                                 Latvia         31
              Italy 5,797 7%                                     Slovakia        3
                                                                 Malta           0
                                   TOTAL: 84,324                 Slovenia        0
Germany, Spain and Denmark’s
share of the EU market (2002 – 2010)

   100%
          679
   90%            1,190
                          1,727
   80%                               2,609              3,357
                                               3,779
                                                                             5,764
   70%                                                               4,985
                                                                                     5,959

   60%

   50%
          5,234
   40%            4,272
                          4,112
   30%                               3,595              5,178
                                               3,840
                                                                             4,735
   20%                                                               3,277
                                                                                     3,373

   10%

    0%
          2002    2003    2004      2005      2006      2007         2008    2009    2010



                              Germany, Spain, Denmark   Rest of EU
Offshore wind power

                       Installed in 2010 (MW)   Total at end 2010 (MW)
      United Kingdom          458                      1,341
      Denmark                 207                        854
      Netherlands               0                        247
      Belgium                 165                        195
      Sweden                    0                        164
      Germany                  50                         92
      Finland                   2                         26
      Ireland                   0                         25
      Total EU                883                      2,944
      Norway                    0                        2.3
      China                   102                        102
      Total World             985                      3,048
Annual and cumulative installed
EU offshore capacity
   (MW)
   3,000                                                                                                                                                               2,944




   2,500


                                                                                                                                                             2,061
   2,000



                                                                                                                                                   1,479
   1,500


                                                                                                                                         1,106

   1,000                                                                                                                                                             883
                                                                                                                                 787
                                                                                                                      695
                                                                                                           605                                             582
                                                                                                515
     500                                                                                                                                         373
                                                                                                                                       318
                                                                                          256 259
                                                                                       170
                                                                                                      90         90         93
                                                                               51 86
           5 5   0 5   0 5   2 7   5 12   17 29   0 29   3 32   0 32   4 36
       0
           1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

                                                  Total annual                Total cumulative

  Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
Wind energy’s share of national electricity
demand at end 2010
         Denmark                                                                             25.6%
          Portugal                                                       15.5%
              Spain                                                    15.0%
            Ireland                                           12.9%
        Germany                                    8.0%
             EU-27                          5.3%
           Greece                        4.3%
      Netherlands                       4.1%
  United Kingdom                       3.7%                    EU average
           Estonia                    3.5%
          Sweden                    3.2%                         5.3%
               Italy                3.2%
            Austria                2.8%
         Lithuania                2.7%
          Belgium                2.3%
            France               2.3%
          Bulgaria              2.1%
         Romania              1.7%
            Poland            1.6%
          Hungary            1.5%
     Luxembourg             1.1%
             Latvia        0.9%
  Czech Republic          0.6%
           Finland        0.5%
         Slovakia       0.0%
         Slovenia       0.0%
              Malta     0.0%
           Cyprus       0.0%

                       0%              5%            10%             15%         20%   25%           30%

  Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
Global Cumulative Wind Power Capacity (1996-2010)
  (GW)
   200

   180

   160
                                                                                                                        84.3

   140

   120                                                                                                          75.1


   100
                                                                                                        64.7
    80

                                                                                                 56.5
    60
                                                                                                                        112.7
                                                                                           48
    40                                                                             40.5                         83.8
                                                                         34.4                           55.6
                                                                 28.5
    20                                                   23.1                                    37.3
                                                  17.3                                     26
                                  9.7     12.9                                     18.6
           3.5     4.8     6.5                            8      10.9    13.2
           2.6     2.8     3.7    3.9     4.5     6.6
     0
          1996    1997   1998    1999    2000    2001    2002    2003   2004       2005   2006   2007   2008    2009    2010
  Total    6.1    7.6     10.2    13.6   17.4    23.9    31.1    39.4    47.6      59.1   74.1   93.8   120.3   158.9   197.0


                                                 Rest of the world          EU



 Source: “Global wind report – annual market update 2010” – GWEC 2011; EWEA 2011
Global annual wind power capacity
(1996-2010)
     45


     40


     35
                                                                                                                10.5    9.3

     30


     25
                                                                                                          8.3
     20


     15                                                                                            8.5
                                                                                                                28.3   28.9

                                                                                            7.6
     10
                                                                                                         18.3
                                                                                     6.2

      5                                                            5.5     5.8                    11.3
                                                   4.4     5.9                              7.7
                                           3.2                                       5.3
                            1.7     3.2                            2.7     2.4
             1      1.3     0.8                    2.1     1.4
      0     0.3     0.3             0.2    0.6
           1996    1997    1998   1999    2000    2001    2002    2003   2004       2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010

   Total    1.3    1.6     2.5     3.4     3.8     6.5     7.3     8.2    8.2       11.5   15.3   19.8   26.6   38.8   38.2

                                             Rest of the world     EU



  Source: “Global wind report – annual market update 2010” – GWEC 2011; EWEA 2011                                             9
Global wind power development
compared to nuclear development
  250                                                                                                                       45

                      Global cumulative wind power                     Global cumulative nuclear power                      40
  200                 Global annual nuclear power                      Global annual wind power                             35

                                                                                                                            30
  150
                                                                                                                            25

                                                                                                                            20
  100
                                                                                                                            15

   50                                                                                                                       10

                                                                                                                            5

    0                                                                                                                       0
        1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980
        1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
            2   2.3    2.8   3.5   4.8   6.1   7.6 10.2 13.6 17.4 23.9 31.1 39.4 47.6 59.1 74.1 93.8 120.3 158.9     197
            1   2.1    2.5   3.5   5.7   7.3   9.4 10.4 14.1 17.6 24.3   33 43.7   61 70.4   84 96.4 111.9 117.8     133
          0.0   1.0    0.5   1.0   1.9   1.5   2.2   1.0   3.7   3.4     7.7   8.9 12.7 17.1 10.2 14.3 13.2 15.8 6.9 15.1
          0.3   0.3    0.5   0.7   1.3   1.3   1.5   2.5   3.4   3.8     6.5   7.3 8.1 8.2 11.5 15.2 19.9 26.6 38.8 38.3




 Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
New annual global wind power and
nuclear capacity (2001-2010)
      45
    (GW)


      40                                                                                                               38.8         38.3


      35


      30
                                                                                                          26.6

      25

                                                                                               19.9
      20

                                                                                  15.2
      15
                                                                  11.5
      10                                  8.1         8.2
                            7.3
                  6.5
                        5                       4.8
       5                                                    3.9                                                               3.7
            2.7
                                    1.7                                     1.4          1.8                     1.1
                                                                                                      0
       0
             2001       2002         2003        2004        2005            2006         2007        2008        2009         2010

                               New global Nuclear capacity               New global Wind power capacity

                                  TOTAL: 26.1 (GW)                          TOTAL: 180.4 (GW)


 Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
Power production from new global wind
power and nuclear capacity
      90
                                                                                                      83        82
      80


      70


      60                                                                                     57


      50
                                                                                    43
      40                36
                                               34                        33
      30                                                 28                                                27
                                                              25
             19                                     18
      20                     16          17
                  14                                                           13
                                   12
                                                                    10
      10                                                                                          8

                                                                                         0
       0
             2001       2002        2003       2004       2005      2006       2007      2008     2009     2010
                                        Power production of new nuclear capacity (TWh)
                                        Power production of new wind capacity (TWh)
                             TOTAL: 187 (TWh)                                 TOTAL: 388 (TWh)


 Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
Power production: global wind capacity
additions in nuclear reactor electricity equivalents
       16
                                                                  14.5   14.3
       14

       12
                                                   10
       10

        8                    7.4

                      5.7
        6

        4

        2

        0
                      2006   2007                 2008            2009   2010
                                    Equivalent nuclear reactors

                                         TOTAL: 51.9


  Source: EWEA 2011
Member States market shares for
new capacity (2010)
                             Other 800 9%                                Other
        Belgium 350 4%                                                   Bulgaria      198
                                                                         Greece        123
     Portugal 363 4%                                                     Ireland       118
                                                Germany 1,493
                                                                         Hungary        94
    Denmark 364 4%                                   16%
                                                                         Cyprus         82
                                                                         Lithuania      63
   Poland 382 4%
                                                                         Finland        52
                                                           Spain 1,516
                                                                         Netherlands    32
                                                             16%
  Romania 448 5%                                                         Czech Republic 23
                                                                         Austria        16
                                                                         Luxembourg      7
    Sweden 604 6%                                    France 1,086
                                                                         Estonia         7
                                                         12%
                                            UK 962                       Latvia          2
                                             10%
             Italy 948 10%                                               Malta           0
                                                                         Slovenia        0

                                  TOTAL: 9,332 (MW)                      Slovakia        0
kW of wind energy capacity
per 1,000 people at end 2010
         Denmark                                                                                          686
              Spain                                                                    450
          Portugal                                                              366
        Germany                                                           333
            Ireland                                                      320
          Sweden                                             232
             EU-27                                     168
      Netherlands                                135
            Austria                            121
           Estonia                           111                           EU average
           Greece                            107
           Cyprus                           102                             168 kW
               Italy                      96
            France                       87
     Luxembourg                          84
          Belgium                        84
  United Kingdom                         84
          Bulgaria                  50
         Lithuania                 46
           Finland                37
          Hungary                29
            Poland               29
         Romania                22
  Czech Republic                20
             Latvia            14
         Slovakia          1
         Slovenia          0
              Malta        0

                       0                 100           200         300           400         500   600   700    800




 Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
MW of wind power capacity
per 1,000 KM² at end 2010
       Denmark                                                                                               88.1
       Germany                                                                                        76.2
     Netherlands                                                                         54.1
        Portugal                                                             42.6
            Spain                                                           41.0
         Belgium                                                29.9
               UK                                       21.3
          Ireland                                      20.3
           EU-27                                     19.5
             Italy                                   19.2                    EU average
    Luxembourg                                    16.4
          Austria                          12.1                               19.5 MW
          France                         10.3
          Greece                       9.2
          Cyprus                       8.9
         Sweden                 4.8
          Poland              3.5
        Bulgaria              3.4
         Estonia             3.3
        Hungary              3.2
  Czech Republic            2.7
       Lithuania            2.4
        Romania            1.9
          Finland         0.6
           Latvia        0.5
        Slovakia         0.1
        Slovenia         0.0
            Malta        0.0

                     0                10           20          30      40           50      60   70    80    90     100




 Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
Installed power capacity in the EU

         (GW)

        900

        800

        700

        600

        500

        400

        300

        200

        100

           0
                2000      2001      2002      2003      2004     2005   2006    2007     2008   2009    2010
                 Coal                  Gas                    Nuclear          Fuel oil         Peat
                 Large Hydro           Wind                   PV               Biomass          Small Hydro
                 Waste                 Geothermal             CSP              Tidal & Wave


  Source: EWEA, EPIA, Estela, EU-OEA and Platts Powervision
EU power capacity mix

                               2000                                          2010
                         TOTAL: 575.5 (GW)                             TOTAL: 877.9 (GW)
   100%                                         Other:                                     Other:
                                12,887                                       28,943
                                66,518          Small hydro:   4,514                       Small hydro: 4,843
    90%                                         Biomass:       2,790         84,324        Biomass:     5,851
    80%                                         Peat:          1,868         54,735        Peat:        2,030
                                89,801          Waste:         2,054                       Waste:       3,703
    70%                                         Geothermal:    1,360                       Geothermal: 1,466
                                                PV:              189        212,131        CSP:            635
    60%                        105,552                                                     Tidal and wave: 250

    50%                                                                     120,578
    40%                         128,471
    30%                                                                     127,383

    20%
                               159,482                                      231,050
    10%
      0%
                                 2000                                        2010



 Source: EWEA, EPIA, Estela, EU-OEA and Platts Powervision
Net increase/decrease in
power generating technologies

   140

         118.2
   120


   100


    80           75.7

    60


    40
                         28.8
    20
                                  3.1      2.9     1.7       0.6   0.3   0.2   0.1   0.2   Nuclear   Coal   Fuel Oil
     0

                                                                                           -7.6      -9.5 -13.2
   -20


                                          TOTAL INCREASE: 200,275 (GW)


 Source: EWEA, EPIA, Estela, EU-OEA and Platts Powervision
Latest wind energy scenarios for EU-27

   450
   (GW)

                                                                                                                      400
   400


   350
                                                                                                 324
                         (GW total installed
   300                      capacity)                                                                   280
                                                                                                                263
                                                                                  248
   250                                                                      230            235
                                                          222
                                                                213
                                                                      199
   200

                                   144 143 149 141
   150


   100      86   85        84


     50


      0
                  2010                    2015                   2020                   2025                  2030


                                EC 2009          NREAPs               IEA 2010          EWEA 2011



  Source: EWEA, European Commission, International Energy Agency, National Renewable Energy Action Plans.
Average annual increase in wind power
capacity in the EU-27
   20
  (GW)
                                                                                     18.7
                                                         17.8
   18

                                      15.7
   16                                                                                                              15.3
                                             14
   14

   12
                     10.5
               9.7                                 10
   10    9.5                9.5
                                                                                            2010 installations
    8                                                                         7.2
                                                                                                 6.3
    6                                                                                                        5.6
                                                                  5.2

    4

    2

    0
               2010-2015                     2016-2020                  2021-2025                      2026-2030


                            EC 2009           NREAPs            IEA 2010            EWEA 2011
Average annual new capacity Additions
EU 2000-2030 (EC Primes Model, 2009)
      (GW)
    200,000

    180,000
                                                           4,999
    160,000
                                                                                9,323
                                                          46,048                9,502                     43,289
    140,000
                                                                               14,218
                                                                                4,651
    120,000
                                                                                           17,628         27,009
                                                          27,407
    100,000                            53,284
                     4,832
                                                                                           27,274         17,485
     80,000                                                                    78,443
                    44,166              4,320                                              16,622
     60,000                                               57,238                            5,907         38,345
                     6,802             45,821
     40,000                                                                                32,096
                                                                               15,920                      8,344
                    27,791                                16,524
     20,000                             7,027                                               7,222
                                                                               28,052                     30,135
                     5,921             16,486             16,497                           16,318
             0       7,445
                  2000-2005     2006-2010     2011-2015                    2016-2020     2021-2025       2026-2030
                      Other RES    Biomass & Waste   Wind                  Oil   Coal   Gas    Nuclear


 *Biomass and Waste
  Source: “EU Energy trends to 2030 – update 2009”, European Commission 2010
Electricity production from onshore and
offshore wind energy (NREAPs)
   (TWh)
   900
     500                                                                                                   15%
   800                                                                                               4

     433                                                                                     3.4           13%
   700                                                                                2.9

     366                                                                        2.4                        11%
   600
                                                                         1.9
    299                                                           1.5                                      9%
   500                                                                                              10
                                                           1.2                               9.6
                                                                                      9.1
                                                    0.9                         8.6
   400
    233                                  0.6                             8.1                               7%
                                                                  7.6
                                0.4                        7
   300
    166                0.3                          6.5                                                    5%
                                         5.9
                                5.4
   200                 4.7
      99                                                                                                   3%
              0.1
   100
      33      2.2                                                                                          1%
      0
       0    2005     2010     2011      2012       2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020   0


                                                      Offshore      Onshore



  Source: National Renewable Energy Action Plans
                                                                                                               23
New annual EU wind power
capacity additions (1991-2020)
      30
    (GW)




         25




         20




         15




         10




          5




          0
                    1991

                             1992

                                     1993

                                             1994

                                                    1995

                                                           1996

                                                                  1997

                                                                         1998

                                                                                1999

                                                                                       2000

                                                                                              2001

                                                                                                     2002

                                                                                                            2003

                                                                                                                    2004

                                                                                                                             2005

                                                                                                                                      2006

                                                                                                                                               2007

                                                                                                                                                        2008

                                                                                                                                                                 2009

                                                                                                                                                                         2010

                                                                                                                                                                                 2011

                                                                                                                                                                                        2012

                                                                                                                                                                                               2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                      2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                             2015

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2016

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2017

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2019

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2020
 Total        0.2          0.4      0.5     0.8     1      1.3    1.7    3.2    3.2    4.4     5.9    5.5     5.9      6.2      7.6          8.6      8.3      8.7      9.3     9.5     10 12.3 13.5 14.5 15.8 17.9 20.3 23.4 24.8


                                            Total                         Offshore repowering                                                Onshore repowering                                              New offshore
Wind energy in 2020 – EWEA targets



                              Onshore Offshore   Total

  Installed capacity (GW)       190      40      230

  Annual installations (GW)     17.8    6.9      24.8

  Annual investments (bn€)      16.2    10.4     26.6

  Electricity production
                                433     148      581
  (TWh)
EU power capacity mix (2010)
                                                                                                   Others
                                                                                           Increase in wind   % of EU-27
                   Greece 5,292
                                                                                           power capacity     increase in wind
                       4%          Ireland 4,572
                                                                                           2011-2020          power capacity
                                        3%                                                 (MW)               2011-2020
           Sweden 6,837                                                        Portugal    3,602              2,5%
               5%
                                                                               Belgium     2,986              2,1%
  Netherlands
     7,255                                          Others 23,377              Bulgaria    2,625              1,8%
      5%                                                16%                    Romania     2,538              1,7%
                                                                               Austria     2,489              1,7%
                                                                               Denmark     2,202              1,5%
                Poland 9,393                                                   Finland     1,703              1,2%
                    6%                                                         Czech
                                                                     Germany               1,385              1%
                                                                      21,786   Republic
            Italy 9,703                                                15%     Lithuania   846                0,6%
                 7%
                                                                               Slovakia    797                0,5%
                                                                               Hungary     605                0,4%
                                                                               Slovenia    500                0,3%
                  France 17,360
                      12%                                                      Estonia     351                0,2%
                                                           UK 20,796           Luxembourg 258                 0,2%
                                                             14%
                                                                               Cyprus      218                0,1%

                                   Spain 19,324                                Latvia      169                0,1%
                                       13%                                     Malta       100                0,1%


         Source: EWEA, EPIA, Estela, EU-OEA and Platts Powervision
Onshore historical growth 1994-2004
compared to EWEA’s offshore projection 2010-2020
  8000
  (MW)


                                                                                                                                                                 6,902
  7000
                                                                                                                                                     6,419

  6000                                                                                                                               5,743                   5,749

                                                                                                                                         5,115   5,203
  5000
                                                                                                                         4,377
                                                                                                                             4,145
  4000
                                                                                                                 3,433
                                                                                                 3,225       3,205
                                                                                                     3,053
                                                                             2,767       2,859
  3000


  2000                                                                               1,697
                                                                 1,370   1,277
                                       883         1,000   962
  1000                                       809
                           584   470
               374   367
         215
     0
         1992        1993        1994        1995          1996          1997        1998        1999        2000        2001        2002        2003        2004
         2008        2009        2010        2011          2012          2013        2014        2015        2016        2017        2018        2019        2020


                                             Onshore (1992-2004)                             Offshore (2008 -2020)
Wind energy in 2020

• Meeting 15.7% to 16.5% of EU electricity
  demand depending on total demand
• Producing 22.9% of total electricity
  generating capacity in the EU
• Equivalent to the consumption of
  140 million average EU households
• Avoiding 341.6 Mt CO2 annually
• Avoiding fuel costs of bn€ 23.9*
• Avoiding bn€ 8.5 of CO2 cost**

* Assuming IEA forecast, fuel cost equivalent to $97.4/bbl of oil, real 2010 value)
** Assuming €25/t CO2
Total installed wind power capacity
EWEA, BTM, and EER scenarios compared

  600
                                                                      509
  500
                                                                400
  400
                                                 312
  300
                                          230           223
  200                     179
                 141                148
  100

      0
                         2015                    2020                 2030
                                  EWEA          BTM           EER

 Source: EWEA 2011, BTM 2010, EER 2010
New wind capacity and growth rates
     New wind
     capacity
                      Onshore   Offshore   Total
      1991-2000       12,413    35         12,448
      2001-2010       69,157    2,908      72,065
      2011-2020       124,850   37,067     161,916
      2021-2030       132,352   109,083    241,435


     Annual growth rates
                      Onshore   Offshore   Total
      1991-2000       33%       -2.60%     32.70%
      2001-2010       6.80%     33.10%     7.70%
      2011-2020       7.70%     21.30%     10%
      2021-2030       -5.20%    5.80%      -0.50%
New wind capacity (1991-2030)

                   New wind capacity                Annual growth rates

              Onshore    Offshore    Total      Onshore    Offshore   Total

  1991-2000     12,413          35     12,448       33%      -2.60%   32.70%

  2001-2010     69,157       2,908     72,065      6.80%     33.10%       7.70%

  2011-2020    124,850     37,067    161,916       7.70%     21.30%         10%

  2021-2030    132,352    109,083    241,435      -5.20%      5.80%       -0.50%
Wind energy in 2030 – EWEA targets



                              Onshore Offshore   Total

  Installed capacity (GW)       250     150      400

  Annual installations (GW)     10      13.7     23.7

  Annual investments (bn€)      8.2     17.1     25.3

  Electricity production
                                591     562      1,154
  (TWh)
Wind energy in 2030

• Meeting 28.5% of EU electricity demand
  depending on total demand
• Producing 36% of total electricity
  generating capacity in the EU
• Equivalent to the consumption of
  252 million average EU households
• Avoiding 646 Mt CO2 annually
• Avoiding fuel costs of bn€ 51*
• Avoiding bn€ 26 of CO2 cost**

* Assuming IEA forecast, fuel cost equivalent to $108.2/bbl of oil
** Assuming €40/t CO2
Wind energy share of EU electricity demand


   6,000
                                                                       4,051
   5,000                                                      3,910
                                                      3,690
                                             3,524
   4,000                             3,307
                             3,320
                  2,994
   3,000

   2,000
                                                                       1,154
   1,000                                                       873
                                                       581
                                     182     330
                    23        83
          0
                  2000     2005     2010     2015     2020      2025    2030
                  Wind energy production (TWh)       EU reference (TWh)


  Source: EWEA and EC 2010
Wind power share of installed capacity




                          1995   2000   2005   2010   2015    2020    2025    2030

  Total installed
                          532    575    627    878     920    1,003   1,041   1,111
  capacity (GW)
  Total installed wind
                          2.5     13     41     84     141     230     324     400
  capacity (GW)
  Wind power's share
                          0.5%   2.25   6.5%   9.6%   15.3%   22.9%   31.1%   36.0%
  of installed capacity
Wind and CO2
CO2 avoided annually                             Annual CO2 cost
by wind energy                             avoided by wind energy
    bn €                                                  Mt of CO2
                                                          avoided
     30                Cost avoided                        700
                       (40€/tCO2)
                       Cost avoided
                       (25€/tCO2)                          600
     25                Cost avoided
                       (10€/tCO2)
                       Mt of CO2 avoided                   500
     20

                                                           400

     15

                                                           300

     10
                                                           200


      5
                                                           100



      0                                                    0
Avoided fuel costs from wind

               European Commission                                  International Energy Agency                              Historical price 11/07/2008
                    fuel prices                                                                                                      ($148/barrel)
  60                                                        60

                                                                                                                      50
                                                    10.29
  50                                                        50                                                                                                          10.25

                                                                                                              10.25
                                                                                                                      40
  40                                        7.06            40
                                                                                                                                                                7.04
                                                    28.43                                             7.06
                                                                                                                      30
  30                                                        30                                                                                                          26.88
                                                                                                              26.88
                                            21.22
                                     4.6                                                                                                                4.59
                                                                                              4.59                    20                                        19.64
  20                                                        20                                        19.64
                                                    2.98
                                    11.66                                                                                                               12.22
                                            2.48                                              12.22                                            1.59                     3.09
                                                                                     1.59                     3.09
                           1.6                                                                                        10
  10                                                        10                                        2.56                                                      2.56
                           5.56     1.42                                             6.68                                                      6.68
                                                                                              1.58                                                      1.58
                                                                        0.62                                                      0.62
              2.94                                                      2.76         1.17                                         2.76         1.17
                           3.97     7.62    12.54   16.25               0.46
                                                                        1.87         3.26     5.49    8.17    10.71               0.46
                                                                                                                                  1.87         3.26     5.49    8.17    10.71
   0                                                        0                                                          0
          2010             2015     2020    2025    2030            2010             2015     2020    2025    2030            2010             2015     2020    2025    2030

       Coal          Oil      Gas      Biomass and waste         Coal          Oil      Gas      Biomass and waste         Coal          Oil      Gas      Biomass and waste
Capital cost of onshore and offshore wind

  3500



  3000



  2500



  2000



  1500



  1000



   500



    0
         2000   2005          2010         2015   2020   2025   2030

                                     Onshore
                       Onshore EC    EWEA
                                     Offshore
                       Offshore EC   EWEA
Wind power investments

    30
  (€bn)




   25



   20



   15



   10



     5



     0
          2000   2002    2004   2006   2008   2010   2012   2014   2016   2018   2020   2022   2024   2026   2028   2030
                        Onshore Investments (€2010 bn)             Offshore Investments (€2010 bn)
Wind energy sector employment
   (People)
  500,000                                                                             246,175   296,548
                                                                           169,550
  450,000

  400,000

  350,000

  300,000                                                      86,731
                                                                           293,306
  250,000

                                         22,458     34,945                            231,198
  200,000
                                                               202,694
                6,374         13,931                                                            183,373
  150,000                               174,174
               147,419                              154,151
                             140,544
  100,000

    50,000

          0
                2007          2008       2009        2010       2015       2020       2025       2030

                                           Total               Offshore
 Total        153,793       154,476    196,632     189,096    289,425     462,856    477,373    479,921




 Source: EWEA and EC 2010
Installed capacity, electricity production,
and share of EU demand
   Contribution of electricity from RES and wind energy 1970-2010 + expected contribution 2011-
   2050 (% of consumption)
   120

   100

    80

    60

    40

    20

     0
            1971        1980        1990          2000            2010          2020          2030       2040        2050
                                              All RES (%)                       Wind (%)

                                  Total                                                                   EU-27       Wind
                                   wind    Average    Average                                              gross     power’s
         Onshore    Offshore     energy    capacity   capacity                                           electricity share of
           wind       wind      capacity    factor     factor             TWh        TWh        TWh     consumptio electricity
          (GW)       (GW)         (GW)     onshore    offshore           onshore   offshore     total        n       demand

  2020      190         40        230        26%       42.30%             433        148        581       3,690        16%

  2030      250        150        400        27%       42.80%             591        562       1,154      4,051        29%

  2050      275        460        735        29%            45%           699       1,813      2,512      5,000        50%


  Sources: 1971-1989 3E/EWEA assumption: 1990-2008 Eurostat: 2009
  EWEA assumption: 2010-2020 NREAPs: 2020-2030 EWEA (based on PRIMES consumption 2030: 2031-2050 EWEA).
About the European Wind Energy Association
  EWEA is the voice of the wind industry, actively
  promoting wind power in Europe and worldwide. It has
  over 700 members from almost 60 countries making
  EWEA the world's largest and most powerful wind energy
  network.

  Rue d'Arlon 80
  B-1040 Brussels
  Belgium
  www.ewea.org
To download the pdf version click here

If you want to see more statistics, reports, news and
information about wind energy event please visit EWEA’s
website www.ewea.org or contact us at
communication@ewea.org

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Pure Power - Wind Energy Targets from 2020 and 2030

  • 1. Pure Power Wind energy targets for 2020 and 2030
  • 2. EWEA High Scenario for the EU Finland Sweden Estonia Average MW that need Latvia to be installed per year Denmark in high scenario: Lithuania Ireland 2,000-3,000 Netherlands U. K. Poland 1,000-2,000 Germany Belgium Luxembourg Czech 250-1,000 Republic Slovakia 0-250 Austria Hungary France Slovenia Romania Italy Bulgaria Portugal Spain Greece Cyprus
  • 3. wind power installed in Europe by end 2010 (cumulative) Faroe Islands 4 Finland 197 Sweden Norway 2,163 441 Estonia 149 Russia European Union: Latvia 9 Denmark 31 84,324 MW 3,798 Lithuania 154 Netherlands Candidate countries: 2,245 Ireland 1,418 MW Ireland 1,428 U. K. 1,428 5,204 Poland Belgium 911 Germany 1,107 EFTA: 27,214 Luxembourg 478 MW 42 Czech Republic Ukraine 215 87 Slovakia Total Europe: Austria 3 86,321 MW 1,011 Hungary France Switzerland 42 295 5,660 Slovenia Romania 0 Croatia 89 462 Italy 5,797 Bulgaria 375 Portugal 3,898 Spain 20,676 Greece Turkey 1,208 1,329 Malta 0 Cyprus 82
  • 4. Member State 2010 wind power capacity and share of total EU capacity Greece 1,208 1% Other 5,033 6% Other Ireland 1,428 2% Poland 1,107 Sweden 2,163 3% Austria 1,011 Netherlands 2,245 3% Belgium 911 Denmark 3,798 4% Romania 462 Bulgaria 375 Portugal 3,898 5% Hungary 295 Germany 27,214 32% Czech Republic 215 Finland 197 UK 5,204 6% Lithuania 154 Estonia 149 Cyprus 82 France 5,660 7% Spain 20,676 24% Luxembourg 42 Latvia 31 Italy 5,797 7% Slovakia 3 Malta 0 TOTAL: 84,324 Slovenia 0
  • 5. Germany, Spain and Denmark’s share of the EU market (2002 – 2010) 100% 679 90% 1,190 1,727 80% 2,609 3,357 3,779 5,764 70% 4,985 5,959 60% 50% 5,234 40% 4,272 4,112 30% 3,595 5,178 3,840 4,735 20% 3,277 3,373 10% 0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Germany, Spain, Denmark Rest of EU
  • 6. Offshore wind power Installed in 2010 (MW) Total at end 2010 (MW) United Kingdom 458 1,341 Denmark 207 854 Netherlands 0 247 Belgium 165 195 Sweden 0 164 Germany 50 92 Finland 2 26 Ireland 0 25 Total EU 883 2,944 Norway 0 2.3 China 102 102 Total World 985 3,048
  • 7. Annual and cumulative installed EU offshore capacity (MW) 3,000 2,944 2,500 2,061 2,000 1,479 1,500 1,106 1,000 883 787 695 605 582 515 500 373 318 256 259 170 90 90 93 51 86 5 5 0 5 0 5 2 7 5 12 17 29 0 29 3 32 0 32 4 36 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total annual Total cumulative Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
  • 8. Wind energy’s share of national electricity demand at end 2010 Denmark 25.6% Portugal 15.5% Spain 15.0% Ireland 12.9% Germany 8.0% EU-27 5.3% Greece 4.3% Netherlands 4.1% United Kingdom 3.7% EU average Estonia 3.5% Sweden 3.2% 5.3% Italy 3.2% Austria 2.8% Lithuania 2.7% Belgium 2.3% France 2.3% Bulgaria 2.1% Romania 1.7% Poland 1.6% Hungary 1.5% Luxembourg 1.1% Latvia 0.9% Czech Republic 0.6% Finland 0.5% Slovakia 0.0% Slovenia 0.0% Malta 0.0% Cyprus 0.0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
  • 9. Global Cumulative Wind Power Capacity (1996-2010) (GW) 200 180 160 84.3 140 120 75.1 100 64.7 80 56.5 60 112.7 48 40 40.5 83.8 34.4 55.6 28.5 20 23.1 37.3 17.3 26 9.7 12.9 18.6 3.5 4.8 6.5 8 10.9 13.2 2.6 2.8 3.7 3.9 4.5 6.6 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total 6.1 7.6 10.2 13.6 17.4 23.9 31.1 39.4 47.6 59.1 74.1 93.8 120.3 158.9 197.0 Rest of the world EU Source: “Global wind report – annual market update 2010” – GWEC 2011; EWEA 2011
  • 10. Global annual wind power capacity (1996-2010) 45 40 35 10.5 9.3 30 25 8.3 20 15 8.5 28.3 28.9 7.6 10 18.3 6.2 5 5.5 5.8 11.3 4.4 5.9 7.7 3.2 5.3 1.7 3.2 2.7 2.4 1 1.3 0.8 2.1 1.4 0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total 1.3 1.6 2.5 3.4 3.8 6.5 7.3 8.2 8.2 11.5 15.3 19.8 26.6 38.8 38.2 Rest of the world EU Source: “Global wind report – annual market update 2010” – GWEC 2011; EWEA 2011 9
  • 11. Global wind power development compared to nuclear development 250 45 Global cumulative wind power Global cumulative nuclear power 40 200 Global annual nuclear power Global annual wind power 35 30 150 25 20 100 15 50 10 5 0 0 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2 2.3 2.8 3.5 4.8 6.1 7.6 10.2 13.6 17.4 23.9 31.1 39.4 47.6 59.1 74.1 93.8 120.3 158.9 197 1 2.1 2.5 3.5 5.7 7.3 9.4 10.4 14.1 17.6 24.3 33 43.7 61 70.4 84 96.4 111.9 117.8 133 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 1.9 1.5 2.2 1.0 3.7 3.4 7.7 8.9 12.7 17.1 10.2 14.3 13.2 15.8 6.9 15.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.5 2.5 3.4 3.8 6.5 7.3 8.1 8.2 11.5 15.2 19.9 26.6 38.8 38.3 Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
  • 12. New annual global wind power and nuclear capacity (2001-2010) 45 (GW) 40 38.8 38.3 35 30 26.6 25 19.9 20 15.2 15 11.5 10 8.1 8.2 7.3 6.5 5 4.8 5 3.9 3.7 2.7 1.7 1.4 1.8 1.1 0 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 New global Nuclear capacity New global Wind power capacity TOTAL: 26.1 (GW) TOTAL: 180.4 (GW) Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
  • 13. Power production from new global wind power and nuclear capacity 90 83 82 80 70 60 57 50 43 40 36 34 33 30 28 27 25 19 18 20 16 17 14 13 12 10 10 8 0 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Power production of new nuclear capacity (TWh) Power production of new wind capacity (TWh) TOTAL: 187 (TWh) TOTAL: 388 (TWh) Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
  • 14. Power production: global wind capacity additions in nuclear reactor electricity equivalents 16 14.5 14.3 14 12 10 10 8 7.4 5.7 6 4 2 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Equivalent nuclear reactors TOTAL: 51.9 Source: EWEA 2011
  • 15. Member States market shares for new capacity (2010) Other 800 9% Other Belgium 350 4% Bulgaria 198 Greece 123 Portugal 363 4% Ireland 118 Germany 1,493 Hungary 94 Denmark 364 4% 16% Cyprus 82 Lithuania 63 Poland 382 4% Finland 52 Spain 1,516 Netherlands 32 16% Romania 448 5% Czech Republic 23 Austria 16 Luxembourg 7 Sweden 604 6% France 1,086 Estonia 7 12% UK 962 Latvia 2 10% Italy 948 10% Malta 0 Slovenia 0 TOTAL: 9,332 (MW) Slovakia 0
  • 16. kW of wind energy capacity per 1,000 people at end 2010 Denmark 686 Spain 450 Portugal 366 Germany 333 Ireland 320 Sweden 232 EU-27 168 Netherlands 135 Austria 121 Estonia 111 EU average Greece 107 Cyprus 102 168 kW Italy 96 France 87 Luxembourg 84 Belgium 84 United Kingdom 84 Bulgaria 50 Lithuania 46 Finland 37 Hungary 29 Poland 29 Romania 22 Czech Republic 20 Latvia 14 Slovakia 1 Slovenia 0 Malta 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
  • 17. MW of wind power capacity per 1,000 KM² at end 2010 Denmark 88.1 Germany 76.2 Netherlands 54.1 Portugal 42.6 Spain 41.0 Belgium 29.9 UK 21.3 Ireland 20.3 EU-27 19.5 Italy 19.2 EU average Luxembourg 16.4 Austria 12.1 19.5 MW France 10.3 Greece 9.2 Cyprus 8.9 Sweden 4.8 Poland 3.5 Bulgaria 3.4 Estonia 3.3 Hungary 3.2 Czech Republic 2.7 Lithuania 2.4 Romania 1.9 Finland 0.6 Latvia 0.5 Slovakia 0.1 Slovenia 0.0 Malta 0.0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Source: EWEA, GWEC and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
  • 18. Installed power capacity in the EU (GW) 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Coal Gas Nuclear Fuel oil Peat Large Hydro Wind PV Biomass Small Hydro Waste Geothermal CSP Tidal & Wave Source: EWEA, EPIA, Estela, EU-OEA and Platts Powervision
  • 19. EU power capacity mix 2000 2010 TOTAL: 575.5 (GW) TOTAL: 877.9 (GW) 100% Other: Other: 12,887 28,943 66,518 Small hydro: 4,514 Small hydro: 4,843 90% Biomass: 2,790 84,324 Biomass: 5,851 80% Peat: 1,868 54,735 Peat: 2,030 89,801 Waste: 2,054 Waste: 3,703 70% Geothermal: 1,360 Geothermal: 1,466 PV: 189 212,131 CSP: 635 60% 105,552 Tidal and wave: 250 50% 120,578 40% 128,471 30% 127,383 20% 159,482 231,050 10% 0% 2000 2010 Source: EWEA, EPIA, Estela, EU-OEA and Platts Powervision
  • 20. Net increase/decrease in power generating technologies 140 118.2 120 100 80 75.7 60 40 28.8 20 3.1 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 Nuclear Coal Fuel Oil 0 -7.6 -9.5 -13.2 -20 TOTAL INCREASE: 200,275 (GW) Source: EWEA, EPIA, Estela, EU-OEA and Platts Powervision
  • 21. Latest wind energy scenarios for EU-27 450 (GW) 400 400 350 324 (GW total installed 300 capacity) 280 263 248 250 230 235 222 213 199 200 144 143 149 141 150 100 86 85 84 50 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 EC 2009 NREAPs IEA 2010 EWEA 2011 Source: EWEA, European Commission, International Energy Agency, National Renewable Energy Action Plans.
  • 22. Average annual increase in wind power capacity in the EU-27 20 (GW) 18.7 17.8 18 15.7 16 15.3 14 14 12 10.5 9.7 10 10 9.5 9.5 2010 installations 8 7.2 6.3 6 5.6 5.2 4 2 0 2010-2015 2016-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030 EC 2009 NREAPs IEA 2010 EWEA 2011
  • 23. Average annual new capacity Additions EU 2000-2030 (EC Primes Model, 2009) (GW) 200,000 180,000 4,999 160,000 9,323 46,048 9,502 43,289 140,000 14,218 4,651 120,000 17,628 27,009 27,407 100,000 53,284 4,832 27,274 17,485 80,000 78,443 44,166 4,320 16,622 60,000 57,238 5,907 38,345 6,802 45,821 40,000 32,096 15,920 8,344 27,791 16,524 20,000 7,027 7,222 28,052 30,135 5,921 16,486 16,497 16,318 0 7,445 2000-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030 Other RES Biomass & Waste Wind Oil Coal Gas Nuclear *Biomass and Waste Source: “EU Energy trends to 2030 – update 2009”, European Commission 2010
  • 24. Electricity production from onshore and offshore wind energy (NREAPs) (TWh) 900 500 15% 800 4 433 3.4 13% 700 2.9 366 2.4 11% 600 1.9 299 1.5 9% 500 10 1.2 9.6 9.1 0.9 8.6 400 233 0.6 8.1 7% 7.6 0.4 7 300 166 0.3 6.5 5% 5.9 5.4 200 4.7 99 3% 0.1 100 33 2.2 1% 0 0 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0 Offshore Onshore Source: National Renewable Energy Action Plans 23
  • 25. New annual EU wind power capacity additions (1991-2020) 30 (GW) 25 20 15 10 5 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1 1.3 1.7 3.2 3.2 4.4 5.9 5.5 5.9 6.2 7.6 8.6 8.3 8.7 9.3 9.5 10 12.3 13.5 14.5 15.8 17.9 20.3 23.4 24.8 Total Offshore repowering Onshore repowering New offshore
  • 26. Wind energy in 2020 – EWEA targets Onshore Offshore Total Installed capacity (GW) 190 40 230 Annual installations (GW) 17.8 6.9 24.8 Annual investments (bn€) 16.2 10.4 26.6 Electricity production 433 148 581 (TWh)
  • 27. EU power capacity mix (2010) Others Increase in wind % of EU-27 Greece 5,292 power capacity increase in wind 4% Ireland 4,572 2011-2020 power capacity 3% (MW) 2011-2020 Sweden 6,837 Portugal 3,602 2,5% 5% Belgium 2,986 2,1% Netherlands 7,255 Others 23,377 Bulgaria 2,625 1,8% 5% 16% Romania 2,538 1,7% Austria 2,489 1,7% Denmark 2,202 1,5% Poland 9,393 Finland 1,703 1,2% 6% Czech Germany 1,385 1% 21,786 Republic Italy 9,703 15% Lithuania 846 0,6% 7% Slovakia 797 0,5% Hungary 605 0,4% Slovenia 500 0,3% France 17,360 12% Estonia 351 0,2% UK 20,796 Luxembourg 258 0,2% 14% Cyprus 218 0,1% Spain 19,324 Latvia 169 0,1% 13% Malta 100 0,1% Source: EWEA, EPIA, Estela, EU-OEA and Platts Powervision
  • 28. Onshore historical growth 1994-2004 compared to EWEA’s offshore projection 2010-2020 8000 (MW) 6,902 7000 6,419 6000 5,743 5,749 5,115 5,203 5000 4,377 4,145 4000 3,433 3,225 3,205 3,053 2,767 2,859 3000 2000 1,697 1,370 1,277 883 1,000 962 1000 809 584 470 374 367 215 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Onshore (1992-2004) Offshore (2008 -2020)
  • 29. Wind energy in 2020 • Meeting 15.7% to 16.5% of EU electricity demand depending on total demand • Producing 22.9% of total electricity generating capacity in the EU • Equivalent to the consumption of 140 million average EU households • Avoiding 341.6 Mt CO2 annually • Avoiding fuel costs of bn€ 23.9* • Avoiding bn€ 8.5 of CO2 cost** * Assuming IEA forecast, fuel cost equivalent to $97.4/bbl of oil, real 2010 value) ** Assuming €25/t CO2
  • 30. Total installed wind power capacity EWEA, BTM, and EER scenarios compared 600 509 500 400 400 312 300 230 223 200 179 141 148 100 0 2015 2020 2030 EWEA BTM EER Source: EWEA 2011, BTM 2010, EER 2010
  • 31. New wind capacity and growth rates New wind capacity Onshore Offshore Total 1991-2000 12,413 35 12,448 2001-2010 69,157 2,908 72,065 2011-2020 124,850 37,067 161,916 2021-2030 132,352 109,083 241,435 Annual growth rates Onshore Offshore Total 1991-2000 33% -2.60% 32.70% 2001-2010 6.80% 33.10% 7.70% 2011-2020 7.70% 21.30% 10% 2021-2030 -5.20% 5.80% -0.50%
  • 32. New wind capacity (1991-2030) New wind capacity Annual growth rates Onshore Offshore Total Onshore Offshore Total 1991-2000 12,413 35 12,448 33% -2.60% 32.70% 2001-2010 69,157 2,908 72,065 6.80% 33.10% 7.70% 2011-2020 124,850 37,067 161,916 7.70% 21.30% 10% 2021-2030 132,352 109,083 241,435 -5.20% 5.80% -0.50%
  • 33. Wind energy in 2030 – EWEA targets Onshore Offshore Total Installed capacity (GW) 250 150 400 Annual installations (GW) 10 13.7 23.7 Annual investments (bn€) 8.2 17.1 25.3 Electricity production 591 562 1,154 (TWh)
  • 34. Wind energy in 2030 • Meeting 28.5% of EU electricity demand depending on total demand • Producing 36% of total electricity generating capacity in the EU • Equivalent to the consumption of 252 million average EU households • Avoiding 646 Mt CO2 annually • Avoiding fuel costs of bn€ 51* • Avoiding bn€ 26 of CO2 cost** * Assuming IEA forecast, fuel cost equivalent to $108.2/bbl of oil ** Assuming €40/t CO2
  • 35. Wind energy share of EU electricity demand 6,000 4,051 5,000 3,910 3,690 3,524 4,000 3,307 3,320 2,994 3,000 2,000 1,154 1,000 873 581 182 330 23 83 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Wind energy production (TWh) EU reference (TWh) Source: EWEA and EC 2010
  • 36. Wind power share of installed capacity 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Total installed 532 575 627 878 920 1,003 1,041 1,111 capacity (GW) Total installed wind 2.5 13 41 84 141 230 324 400 capacity (GW) Wind power's share 0.5% 2.25 6.5% 9.6% 15.3% 22.9% 31.1% 36.0% of installed capacity
  • 37. Wind and CO2 CO2 avoided annually Annual CO2 cost by wind energy avoided by wind energy bn € Mt of CO2 avoided 30 Cost avoided 700 (40€/tCO2) Cost avoided (25€/tCO2) 600 25 Cost avoided (10€/tCO2) Mt of CO2 avoided 500 20 400 15 300 10 200 5 100 0 0
  • 38. Avoided fuel costs from wind European Commission International Energy Agency Historical price 11/07/2008 fuel prices ($148/barrel) 60 60 50 10.29 50 50 10.25 10.25 40 40 7.06 40 7.04 28.43 7.06 30 30 30 26.88 26.88 21.22 4.6 4.59 4.59 20 19.64 20 20 19.64 2.98 11.66 12.22 2.48 12.22 1.59 3.09 1.59 3.09 1.6 10 10 10 2.56 2.56 5.56 1.42 6.68 6.68 1.58 1.58 0.62 0.62 2.94 2.76 1.17 2.76 1.17 3.97 7.62 12.54 16.25 0.46 1.87 3.26 5.49 8.17 10.71 0.46 1.87 3.26 5.49 8.17 10.71 0 0 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Coal Oil Gas Biomass and waste Coal Oil Gas Biomass and waste Coal Oil Gas Biomass and waste
  • 39. Capital cost of onshore and offshore wind 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Onshore Onshore EC EWEA Offshore Offshore EC EWEA
  • 40. Wind power investments 30 (€bn) 25 20 15 10 5 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Onshore Investments (€2010 bn) Offshore Investments (€2010 bn)
  • 41. Wind energy sector employment (People) 500,000 246,175 296,548 169,550 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 86,731 293,306 250,000 22,458 34,945 231,198 200,000 202,694 6,374 13,931 183,373 150,000 174,174 147,419 154,151 140,544 100,000 50,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Total Offshore Total 153,793 154,476 196,632 189,096 289,425 462,856 477,373 479,921 Source: EWEA and EC 2010
  • 42. Installed capacity, electricity production, and share of EU demand Contribution of electricity from RES and wind energy 1970-2010 + expected contribution 2011- 2050 (% of consumption) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1971 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 All RES (%) Wind (%) Total EU-27 Wind wind Average Average gross power’s Onshore Offshore energy capacity capacity electricity share of wind wind capacity factor factor TWh TWh TWh consumptio electricity (GW) (GW) (GW) onshore offshore onshore offshore total n demand 2020 190 40 230 26% 42.30% 433 148 581 3,690 16% 2030 250 150 400 27% 42.80% 591 562 1,154 4,051 29% 2050 275 460 735 29% 45% 699 1,813 2,512 5,000 50% Sources: 1971-1989 3E/EWEA assumption: 1990-2008 Eurostat: 2009 EWEA assumption: 2010-2020 NREAPs: 2020-2030 EWEA (based on PRIMES consumption 2030: 2031-2050 EWEA).
  • 43. About the European Wind Energy Association EWEA is the voice of the wind industry, actively promoting wind power in Europe and worldwide. It has over 700 members from almost 60 countries making EWEA the world's largest and most powerful wind energy network. Rue d'Arlon 80 B-1040 Brussels Belgium www.ewea.org
  • 44. To download the pdf version click here If you want to see more statistics, reports, news and information about wind energy event please visit EWEA’s website www.ewea.org or contact us at communication@ewea.org