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Our Land and Water
National Science Challenge:
Driving innovation and science to underpin
new mitigation measures in New Zealand
Ken Taylor
National Water Event 2019
Galway
29-30 May
Contents
• Some NZ context
• Why NSCs?
• Why OLW?
• Farming
• The environment
• Science delivery
• Research strategy
• Key questions
• How we are working
• Some things we are finding
out
“…for future generations”
Land area = 263,310 km2
Population = 4,787,430
51°26’ N
47°00’ S
Why do we have science
Challenges in NZ?
2012 – a fresh look at our science
The National Science Challenges
• Mission led - to address issues that matter to all
New Zealanders
• Impact - biggest science-based challenges New
Zealand has
• Science quality – using cross-disciplinary
approaches -
• Best teams - an opportunity for collaboration
• Coherence - sustainable and long-term research
investments
The National Science Challenges
“To enhance primary sector production and
productivity while maintaining and improving our
land and water quality for future generations”
• The Māori title is “Toitu te Whenua, Toiora te Wai”
• Let the permanence of land remain intact– let water abound.
• This is an adaption of the Māori proverb, “toitū te whenua, whatungarongaro te
tangata” – land is permanent while people come and go.
• Mission led - to address issues that matter to all
New Zealanders
• Impact - biggest science-based challenges New
Zealand has
• Science quality – using cross-disciplinary
approaches
• Best teams - an opportunity for collaboration
• Coherence - sustainable and long-term research
investments
• Mātauranga – harnessing the power of Māori
knowledge systems
The National Science Challenges
Research partnerships
Why do we have the Our Land and
Water National Science Challenge?
Because we are underperforming in three key areas:
1. Environmental quality
2. Value from primary production
3. Science delivery
NZ has >45000 km of rivers large enough for
swimming
• Currently 43% meet “swimmability” criteria
• Government target:
• 80% by 2030
• 90% by 2040
Environmental performance
OECD environmental performance review
“…New Zealand’s growth model is
approaching its environmental
limits…Pollution of freshwater is
spreading over a wider area. And
the country’s biodiversity is under
threat.”
“Nitrogen surplus has increased in
step with the growth of dairy herds.
Half of monitored river sites have
enough nitrogen to trigger algal
blooms”
Value from primary productionenges
Agrifood export $$:retail $$
= 1:7
http://uis.unesco.org/apps/visualisations/research-and-development-spending/
Science deliverys
Time to peak rate of
adoption = 16.5 years
The implementation lag
Science deliverys
The Challenge Objective
- as we choose to see it…
“To maintain and improve our land and water quality for future
generations, while enhancing the value of the primary sector to
New Zealand”
This framing:
1. implies “big” change
2. drives our theory of change…
Incentives:
Why do I
want/need to
change?
Options:
What choices do I have? (and
how does our understanding
help us recognise/ use new
opportunities?)
Enablers:
What processes and tools
do I need to make it happen?
Transformation: fundamentals
Faecal source
tracking
(AgR)
Indicators
(PwC)
Social
licence
(SCION)
Product foot-
printing
(AgR)
Credence
attributes
(AgR)
Inter-op
erable
Models
(NIWA)
Sources and
flows
(AgR)
Suitability
(NIWA)
Next
Generation
systems
(AgR)
Integrated
value chains
(LU)
Moving to a
bioeconomy
(SCION)
The Collab lab
(LCR)
Whenua,
life, values
(UoC)
Communicating
Kaitiakitanga:
(VUW)
Māori land
based
enterprise
(Massey)
• Measu
ring
• Denitri
ficatio
n
• (GNS)
Soil-plant-
animal
biomes
(AgR)
Soil erosion
(LCR)
PENZ
(LWSci)
Aim: In the future landscapes contain mosaics of
land use that are more resilient healthy and
prosperous than today.
Challenge Strategy 2019-2024
1. How might we envision our future opportunities, and realise the
benefits of multifunctional landscapes?
2. How can we better match land use to the landscape to maximise
well-beings?
3. What do we need to know about the transport and flow of
contaminants so that we can manage land and water quality better?
4. What can we gain by targeting our interventions, and adopting
precision technologies?
5. What are the next generation production systems that generate
high-value products with a low environmental footprint?
Outcomes:
We will have determined if a diverse mosaic of land
uses can deliver better economic, environmental,
social and cultural results than the current mix of
land uses.
Individuals and communities have the understanding
and tools they need to achieve good land and water
quality.
New Zealand farmers produce a diversity of food and
non-food products that they, their community and
consumers value.
Future landscapes
Challenge Strategy 2019-2024
How do we create and capture more of the value
consumers associate with our products ?
How do we increase and share the value associated with
sustainable methods of production so that producers are
rewarded accordingly?
How do we help our producer communities to identify and
adopt sustainable land use practices?
How do we restore the social licence to operate?
Aim: New Zealand’s primary producers are well-
rewarded for producing high-value products in
sustainable ways.
Outcomes:
New Zealand is producing high-value
products across all sectors that capture
and share more value from consumers to
producers
Agribusiness plays a key role in improving
New Zealand’s social, cultural and
environmental footprint
Sustainable practices are the norm in
primary production
Incentives for change
Aim: We understand what it will take, and have
the tools to help us, transition to resilient healthy
and prosperous futures.
Challenge Strategy 2019-2024
How do we Increase the primary sector’s social capital so that as
communities we can have well informed debate about alternative futures?
What is the role of collaboration in transforming land and water
management practice and impact?
How might kaitiaki concepts and practices promote collective
responsibility in responding to our challenges at enterprise, catchment
and wider scales?
How can we identify, understand, manage, and remove the barriers to
transition?
How might a Mātauranga centred framework aid land and water use &
community innovation? How are landuse choices influenced by cultural
and social imperatives?
Outcomes:
An increased number of urban and rural
people understand how land and water
issues can be addressed.
There is more evidence of kaitiakitanga
leading to improved outcomes.
New Zealand primary enterprises are able
to manage pressures collectively and better
than their international competitors.
Capacity for transition
The way we want to work
The Te Ao Māori “lens” - combines cultural and commercial imperatives
by acknowledging the intrinsic values of land, the interconnectedness of all living things
and the responsibilities we have for environment and community
Co-innovation - a systemic approach to helping to change practice when
addressing complex challenges, in which science is involved in multi-participant
partnerships
Transdisciplinary research – experts contribute their own specialised
knowledge but also work outside their discipline, striving to understand the
complexities of the whole project, rather than one part of it
Best teams – Each Challenge collaboration will bring together NZ’s best team to
address the Challenge
OLW leadership - a different approach to programme oversight, review &
“course corrections”
Land use suitability - the right enterprise in the right place
The Hinds
• Area = 1375 km2
• Rapid land use
change since mid-
1990s
Land use suitability - the right enterprise in the right place
The Hinds
• Area = 1375 km2
• Rapid land use
change since mid-
1990s
LUC v LUS
Pressure
potential contribution of contaminants to
downstream receiving environments.
Relative contribution
the potential of a land parcel to contribute
contaminants to downstream receiving
environments.
Productive Potential
the inherent productive and
economic potential of land
parcels
Land use suitability
The right enterprise in the right place…
AFn
Attenuation 29-75%.
Intensifying land use in 83,000ha of
high nitrate attenuation capacity
areas, while de-intensifying land use
over 10,000ha of low nitrate
attenuation capacity areas, could
decrease the nitrate load in the
Rangitikei river by 6%
Targeting our mitigations
Effectiveness (%)
Cost(%relativetomostexpensivestrategy)
Low (1) Medium (2) High (3)
Low(3)Medium(2)High(1)
Vegetated buffer strips
Sediment traps
Preventing fence-line pacing
Sorbents in-streamRestricted grazing off-paddock
Alum to cropland
Alum to pasture
Restricted grazing of forage crops
Dams and water recycling
Widening flood
irrigation bays
More effluent storage
Optimum soil Olsen P
Grass-clover monocultures
Stream fencing
Tile drain amendments
Low rate effluent to land
Low water soluble P fertiliser
Alternative wallowing
Bauxite
Cost(%)relativetomostexpensivestrategy
Effectiveness (%)
Low (1) Medium (2) High (3)
Low(3)Medium(2)High(1)
Except:
• Where there is need to
reduce loads or effects fast
• Where there is demand for
a specific strategy, you are
restricted by location or
cost.
Speed of treatment
Slow (1)
Mod (2)
Fast (3)
The receiving environment
Valueofaresponse
State of stressor (e.g. N loading)
Low,1High,3
High, 1Low, 3
Mod,2
Mod, 2
Objective
Example stressor-response curve for a class of receiving environment
Sensitivity
Avoid
degradation
Initiate
recovery
3
2
1
1
2
3
The Benefit Quotient
Score for management actions
Score for S-R curve in receiving environment
Aiming for as high a score
(max = 27) as possible
Informs land managers, investors, regulators of
the best actions to use to meet an objective
Initiate recovery
(best prospect = 1)
Avoid degradation
(best prospect = 27) 1 27
Conclusions
OLW is confronting issues of considerable technical and social complexity
Resolution requires new ways of working and thinking
And new ways of generating and sharing information
Transformational change will require resetting of institutional arrangements
Shifting the way we think about primary production – both the where and
the how – is essential
Targetting (and precision ag) is key to minimising the impact of current land
uses – but it won’t be enough in some places
Some of our agricultural landscapes will need to be reconfigured
Toitū te whenua toiora te wai
www.Ourlandandwater.nz
Whakawhetai koe!
“Transformational” change
• Innovation science
• Pre-conditions for
transformation
• Major shifts in multiple
parts of the system
• Fundamentally different
approaches to the way
knowledge is generated
and shared
• The 3 fundamentals…

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2. The Land and Water Challenge Driving Innovation and science to underpin new mitigation measures in New Zealand - Ken Taylor - Water Event 2019

  • 1. Our Land and Water National Science Challenge: Driving innovation and science to underpin new mitigation measures in New Zealand Ken Taylor National Water Event 2019 Galway 29-30 May
  • 2. Contents • Some NZ context • Why NSCs? • Why OLW? • Farming • The environment • Science delivery • Research strategy • Key questions • How we are working • Some things we are finding out
  • 4. Land area = 263,310 km2 Population = 4,787,430 51°26’ N 47°00’ S
  • 5. Why do we have science Challenges in NZ?
  • 6. 2012 – a fresh look at our science
  • 7. The National Science Challenges
  • 8. • Mission led - to address issues that matter to all New Zealanders • Impact - biggest science-based challenges New Zealand has • Science quality – using cross-disciplinary approaches - • Best teams - an opportunity for collaboration • Coherence - sustainable and long-term research investments The National Science Challenges
  • 9. “To enhance primary sector production and productivity while maintaining and improving our land and water quality for future generations” • The Māori title is “Toitu te Whenua, Toiora te Wai” • Let the permanence of land remain intact– let water abound. • This is an adaption of the Māori proverb, “toitū te whenua, whatungarongaro te tangata” – land is permanent while people come and go.
  • 10. • Mission led - to address issues that matter to all New Zealanders • Impact - biggest science-based challenges New Zealand has • Science quality – using cross-disciplinary approaches • Best teams - an opportunity for collaboration • Coherence - sustainable and long-term research investments • Mātauranga – harnessing the power of Māori knowledge systems The National Science Challenges
  • 12. Why do we have the Our Land and Water National Science Challenge? Because we are underperforming in three key areas: 1. Environmental quality 2. Value from primary production 3. Science delivery
  • 13. NZ has >45000 km of rivers large enough for swimming • Currently 43% meet “swimmability” criteria • Government target: • 80% by 2030 • 90% by 2040 Environmental performance
  • 14. OECD environmental performance review “…New Zealand’s growth model is approaching its environmental limits…Pollution of freshwater is spreading over a wider area. And the country’s biodiversity is under threat.” “Nitrogen surplus has increased in step with the growth of dairy herds. Half of monitored river sites have enough nitrogen to trigger algal blooms”
  • 15. Value from primary productionenges
  • 19. The Challenge Objective - as we choose to see it… “To maintain and improve our land and water quality for future generations, while enhancing the value of the primary sector to New Zealand” This framing: 1. implies “big” change 2. drives our theory of change…
  • 20. Incentives: Why do I want/need to change? Options: What choices do I have? (and how does our understanding help us recognise/ use new opportunities?) Enablers: What processes and tools do I need to make it happen? Transformation: fundamentals
  • 21. Faecal source tracking (AgR) Indicators (PwC) Social licence (SCION) Product foot- printing (AgR) Credence attributes (AgR) Inter-op erable Models (NIWA) Sources and flows (AgR) Suitability (NIWA) Next Generation systems (AgR) Integrated value chains (LU) Moving to a bioeconomy (SCION) The Collab lab (LCR) Whenua, life, values (UoC) Communicating Kaitiakitanga: (VUW) Māori land based enterprise (Massey) • Measu ring • Denitri ficatio n • (GNS) Soil-plant- animal biomes (AgR) Soil erosion (LCR) PENZ (LWSci)
  • 22. Aim: In the future landscapes contain mosaics of land use that are more resilient healthy and prosperous than today. Challenge Strategy 2019-2024 1. How might we envision our future opportunities, and realise the benefits of multifunctional landscapes? 2. How can we better match land use to the landscape to maximise well-beings? 3. What do we need to know about the transport and flow of contaminants so that we can manage land and water quality better? 4. What can we gain by targeting our interventions, and adopting precision technologies? 5. What are the next generation production systems that generate high-value products with a low environmental footprint? Outcomes: We will have determined if a diverse mosaic of land uses can deliver better economic, environmental, social and cultural results than the current mix of land uses. Individuals and communities have the understanding and tools they need to achieve good land and water quality. New Zealand farmers produce a diversity of food and non-food products that they, their community and consumers value. Future landscapes
  • 23. Challenge Strategy 2019-2024 How do we create and capture more of the value consumers associate with our products ? How do we increase and share the value associated with sustainable methods of production so that producers are rewarded accordingly? How do we help our producer communities to identify and adopt sustainable land use practices? How do we restore the social licence to operate? Aim: New Zealand’s primary producers are well- rewarded for producing high-value products in sustainable ways. Outcomes: New Zealand is producing high-value products across all sectors that capture and share more value from consumers to producers Agribusiness plays a key role in improving New Zealand’s social, cultural and environmental footprint Sustainable practices are the norm in primary production Incentives for change
  • 24. Aim: We understand what it will take, and have the tools to help us, transition to resilient healthy and prosperous futures. Challenge Strategy 2019-2024 How do we Increase the primary sector’s social capital so that as communities we can have well informed debate about alternative futures? What is the role of collaboration in transforming land and water management practice and impact? How might kaitiaki concepts and practices promote collective responsibility in responding to our challenges at enterprise, catchment and wider scales? How can we identify, understand, manage, and remove the barriers to transition? How might a Mātauranga centred framework aid land and water use & community innovation? How are landuse choices influenced by cultural and social imperatives? Outcomes: An increased number of urban and rural people understand how land and water issues can be addressed. There is more evidence of kaitiakitanga leading to improved outcomes. New Zealand primary enterprises are able to manage pressures collectively and better than their international competitors. Capacity for transition
  • 25. The way we want to work The Te Ao Māori “lens” - combines cultural and commercial imperatives by acknowledging the intrinsic values of land, the interconnectedness of all living things and the responsibilities we have for environment and community Co-innovation - a systemic approach to helping to change practice when addressing complex challenges, in which science is involved in multi-participant partnerships Transdisciplinary research – experts contribute their own specialised knowledge but also work outside their discipline, striving to understand the complexities of the whole project, rather than one part of it Best teams – Each Challenge collaboration will bring together NZ’s best team to address the Challenge OLW leadership - a different approach to programme oversight, review & “course corrections”
  • 26. Land use suitability - the right enterprise in the right place The Hinds • Area = 1375 km2 • Rapid land use change since mid- 1990s
  • 27. Land use suitability - the right enterprise in the right place The Hinds • Area = 1375 km2 • Rapid land use change since mid- 1990s
  • 29. Pressure potential contribution of contaminants to downstream receiving environments. Relative contribution the potential of a land parcel to contribute contaminants to downstream receiving environments. Productive Potential the inherent productive and economic potential of land parcels Land use suitability
  • 30. The right enterprise in the right place… AFn Attenuation 29-75%. Intensifying land use in 83,000ha of high nitrate attenuation capacity areas, while de-intensifying land use over 10,000ha of low nitrate attenuation capacity areas, could decrease the nitrate load in the Rangitikei river by 6%
  • 31. Targeting our mitigations Effectiveness (%) Cost(%relativetomostexpensivestrategy) Low (1) Medium (2) High (3) Low(3)Medium(2)High(1) Vegetated buffer strips Sediment traps Preventing fence-line pacing Sorbents in-streamRestricted grazing off-paddock Alum to cropland Alum to pasture Restricted grazing of forage crops Dams and water recycling Widening flood irrigation bays More effluent storage Optimum soil Olsen P Grass-clover monocultures Stream fencing Tile drain amendments Low rate effluent to land Low water soluble P fertiliser Alternative wallowing Bauxite Cost(%)relativetomostexpensivestrategy Effectiveness (%) Low (1) Medium (2) High (3) Low(3)Medium(2)High(1) Except: • Where there is need to reduce loads or effects fast • Where there is demand for a specific strategy, you are restricted by location or cost. Speed of treatment Slow (1) Mod (2) Fast (3)
  • 32. The receiving environment Valueofaresponse State of stressor (e.g. N loading) Low,1High,3 High, 1Low, 3 Mod,2 Mod, 2 Objective Example stressor-response curve for a class of receiving environment Sensitivity Avoid degradation Initiate recovery 3 2 1 1 2 3
  • 33. The Benefit Quotient Score for management actions Score for S-R curve in receiving environment Aiming for as high a score (max = 27) as possible Informs land managers, investors, regulators of the best actions to use to meet an objective Initiate recovery (best prospect = 1) Avoid degradation (best prospect = 27) 1 27
  • 34. Conclusions OLW is confronting issues of considerable technical and social complexity Resolution requires new ways of working and thinking And new ways of generating and sharing information Transformational change will require resetting of institutional arrangements Shifting the way we think about primary production – both the where and the how – is essential Targetting (and precision ag) is key to minimising the impact of current land uses – but it won’t be enough in some places Some of our agricultural landscapes will need to be reconfigured
  • 35. Toitū te whenua toiora te wai www.Ourlandandwater.nz Whakawhetai koe!
  • 36.
  • 37. “Transformational” change • Innovation science • Pre-conditions for transformation • Major shifts in multiple parts of the system • Fundamentally different approaches to the way knowledge is generated and shared • The 3 fundamentals…