5. Which sectors do they represent? 21 20 15 14 14 13 12 11 11 10 10 10 7 7 4 4 4 2 2 1 1
6. The World in Transition to Sustainability . Society Economy Environment
7. The Future Society: A Growth Story Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. World population (in Billions): 1950-2050 85% 15 % Population in less developed countries Population in more developed countries
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9. The Future Society: Urban Billions of inhabitants Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2007 Revision Source: Citymayors statistics, 2008 Growth of mega-cities 70% urban in 2050 1900 2020 47% urban 60% urban 1970 2000 2030 36% urban urban rural 70% urban 3.2 3.3 2.9 5.0 1.3 2.4 2.8 6.4 2050
10. The Future Society: Shifting Fortunes Emerging economies > 50% of global GDP and trend will continue Source: Angus Maddison, OECD; IMF From The Economist print edition. “ Wrestling for influence.” July 3rd 2008. % Share of GDP * At purchasing-power parity
11. The World in Transition to Sustainability Society Economy Environment Efficiency Business Governments Implementation Local Regional National Global Solutions Markets Regulations Infrastructure Technology Institutions Financing Mindsets Priorities Equity Shared vision Values
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13. Vision 2050 30 members rethinking the roles that companies must play over the next few decades to enable the world to move towards being sustainable as well as thrive themselves Vision 2050
14. Living well, within the limits of the planet WBCSD 2009 Council & Liaison Delegate Meeting - Washington D.C. Human Development Index (HDI) Ecological Footprint (Global Hectares per Person) Source: WWF / GFN / UNDP
20. Reductions in energy-related CO 2 emissions in the climate policy scenarios Source: IEA. WEO 2008. Presentation by Dr. Fatih Birol
21. Climate Landscape 6 ％ Russia 4 ％ Japan 12 ％ EU (15) 8 ％ 20 ％ USA 20% 51% 20 ％ China India 4 ％ Other developing countries 27 ％ Emissions from countries subject to reduction obligations under the Kyoto Protocol: 30% Emissions from countries without reduction obligations: 70% Other developed countries SOURCE: METI, Japan, 2009
22. Climate Scorecard SOURCE: Allianz SE & WWF, 2009 Countries outside the Kyoto Protocol Emission trend 1990-2007 USA + 16% Mexico + 42% Brazil + 47% India + 78% China + 116% Countries within the Kyoto Protocol Kyoto target Emission trend 1990-2007 Russia 0% - 33% Germany - 15% - 21% UK - 15% - 17% France - 15% - 5% Italy - 15% + 7% Japan - 6% + 8% Canada - 6% + 26%
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24. Mid-term targets (2020) in various countries and regions Target Base year Purchases of emissions credits from other countries Comparison with emissions from 1990 2005 Japan (old) (new) -15% -25% 2005 1990 No ? -4% -25% -15% -30% EU (27) -20% 1990 Yes -20% -13% USA -14% 2005 ? +2.5% -14%
The BULK OF THE POPULATION and tomorrow’s consumers are also living in developing countries
Development is largely associated with the concept of “poverty” – this is subjective and defined in many ways, but access to basic services remains a critical component. Investments in these basic services are believed to help countries reach their millennium development goals.
These CONSUMERS are increasingly URBAN, and the move from RURAL to URBAN living results in INCREASE IN RESOURCE USE (in developing countries – the reverse is true in developed countries). As we have learned in the Mobility for Development study, these growing cities are not keeping pace with their infrastructure investments creating urgent demand for solutions around transport, energy, water and communications.
Development is in the first case an OPPORTUNITY STORY for business as GLOBAL GDP SHIFTS to “Emerging and DEVELOPING countries”
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