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Growth & Development
     Trends of Automotive
          Aluminum

                 Randall Scheps
Chairman, The Aluminum Association’s Transportation Group
             Marketing Director – Automotive



                          1
Who We Are




    2
        AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum Builds a Better Vehicle
        Mass                             Better Fuel
    Reduction                            Economy




            Infinitely
            Recyclable        Reduced
                             Emissions




                                          Improved
     Enhanced                             Safety
  Performance



                         3
                             AluminumInTransportation.org
OEMs Weigh in on Weight
                                      Plans to use more aluminum
                                          to cut vehicle weight.
                                             BMW, Reuters



 Audi relies on aluminum… to
   achieve benefits of down
 weighting as seen in the 2011
 A8, such as a 25% increase in                    “Based on our current
 body stiffness, while reducing              understanding, we believe we’re
     weight by up to 20%.                   approaching the practical limits of
Audi/ATG, Joint press release                the application of high-strength
                                            steels,” says Frank Paluch, senior
                                             vice president at Honda R&D
                                             Americas at the International
                                               Automotive Body Congress.



                                  4
                                              AluminumInTransportation.org
North American
      Aluminum Use Survey
           Conducted by Ducker Worldwide


   Primary Objective
Accurate estimate of 2012 light
  vehicle aluminum content

                           Secondary Objective
                       Estimate “most likely” material mix
                                 through 2025




                         5
                                  AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum Content in 2012
                  Wheels                                                                    790
          Transmissions                                                                     785
         Cylinder Blocks                                                           636
          Cylinder Heads                                                     588
           Heat Transfer                                              516
            Other Engine                                  371
              Brake Parts                   130
                 Closures                  126
      Steering Knuckles                   115
        Intake Manifolds                  112
   Control Arms & Links                 89
          Transfer Cases                88
                Bumpers               70
    Differential Carriers             69
          Other Steering             60
          Engine Mounts             49
Cradles & Crossmembers           24
             IP Structure        23
    Drive Shafts & Yokes        14
   All Other Compnents                     125

                            0        100      200   300   400   500         600      700   800    900


                                  Millions of Pounds
                                                      6
                                                                  AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum Share
                                 Expected to Double
                          100%
                                  8%    11%
                          90%                     16%
Percent of Material Mix




                          80%
                          70%                                     Aluminum
                          60%    58%    54%       46%
                          50%                                     Steel
                          40%
                          30%                                     All Other
                          20%    34%    35%       38%             Materials
                           10%
                           0%
                                 2008   2015     2025     Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011




                                         7
                                               AluminumInTransportation.org
40 Years of Uninterrupted
                     600
                                            Growth
                                      The trend line
Pounds per Vehicle




                                        continues
                     500
                                    to be supported by                                 2012: 343 lbs
                                      new aluminum
                     400               applications


                     300          Average increase of 7 lbs
                                   per year for 35 years
                     200



                     100



                      0
                           1975




                                      1980




                                             1985




                                                    1990




                                                              1995




                                                                         2000




                                                                                2005




                                                                                           2010




                                                                                                  2015




                                                                                                         2020




                                                                                                                2025
                                                                     8
                                                                                       AluminumInTransportation.org
Content Growth 2009-2012
                                                                   (over 50%
Body, Bumper & Closure                                       58%   from closures)
         Crossmembers                      19%
             Suspension                   16%
                Steering             10%
       Average Increase         5%
        Wheels & Brakes         3%
Transmission & Driveline        3%
                 Engine         3%
          Heat Transfer     1%

                           0%   10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

                       Total Pounds
                                      9
                                                 AluminumInTransportation.org
Growth: Hoods, Trunks,
                                  Doors & Bumpers
                     25
Pounds per Vehicle




                     20
                                 Pounds per Vehicle         New Applications                            11
                                                                (Primarily body, bumper
                                                                & closure components)             8
                     15

                                                                                            4
                     10
                          12                                                         1                  12
                                                                                           10    11
                                 10
                      5                6                                             8
                                                                            5
                                              3       2            3
                     0
                      2005     2006   2007   2008   2009         2010     2011    2012    2013   2014    2015



                                                           10
                                                                            AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum is a
         Cost Effective Solution

Increased use of aluminum
    is necessary and cost
effective in achieving 400 lb         Average Cost of Direct
 weight reduction by 2025                Weight Savings
                                     Cost         Dollar/Pound
                                                      Saved
                                     Primary          $2.00
                                     Secondary       ($1.82)
                                     Net Cost         $0.18



                                11
                                            AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum is a Safe Solution

  Downweighting is               Pound for pound
  necessary to meet           aluminum can absorb
 demands without                  two times the
sacrificing safety or           energy in a crash
    functionality.              compared to steel.

           Aluminum provides                According to a study
            benefits that span             conducted by the Univ.
          many aspects of design,          of Aachen, aluminum
           including providing              has a ~40% weight
            stronger, safer,               reduction potential.
             more durable                      Steel has ~11%.
                vehicles.




                                12
                                          AluminumInTransportation.org
Conclusions
                 OEMs efforts to meet 35.5 mpg by 2016 coupled with the
                 uncertainty surrounding the fuel economy standards beyond
2016 has caused a flurry of down weighting activity in the last two years.

OEMs don’t want expensive alternative powertrains to be forced on consumers,
but they see the commercial and political value of saving weight.

2025 – Average vehicle will get lighter by 400 lbs
- Aluminum: sheet & extrusions/closures, body-in-white, bumper & suspension
- AHSS

Aluminum will grow to 16% of curb weight
- 2012 – 343 lbs / 2025 – 550 lbs
- Industry added 200 lbs per vehicle from 1990 to 2012
- Increase of 207 lbs in 13 years

The aluminum industry has the capacity to support an aluminum intensive fleet
in 2017-2025.

                                 13
                                            AluminumInTransportation.org
Thank You


Questions

 www.AluminumInTransportation.org



                14

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2012 apr saewc_pres

  • 1. Growth & Development Trends of Automotive Aluminum Randall Scheps Chairman, The Aluminum Association’s Transportation Group Marketing Director – Automotive 1
  • 2. Who We Are 2 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 3. Aluminum Builds a Better Vehicle Mass Better Fuel Reduction Economy Infinitely Recyclable Reduced Emissions Improved Enhanced Safety Performance 3 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 4. OEMs Weigh in on Weight Plans to use more aluminum to cut vehicle weight. BMW, Reuters Audi relies on aluminum… to achieve benefits of down weighting as seen in the 2011 A8, such as a 25% increase in “Based on our current body stiffness, while reducing understanding, we believe we’re weight by up to 20%. approaching the practical limits of Audi/ATG, Joint press release the application of high-strength steels,” says Frank Paluch, senior vice president at Honda R&D Americas at the International Automotive Body Congress. 4 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 5. North American Aluminum Use Survey Conducted by Ducker Worldwide Primary Objective Accurate estimate of 2012 light vehicle aluminum content Secondary Objective Estimate “most likely” material mix through 2025 5 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 6. Aluminum Content in 2012 Wheels 790 Transmissions 785 Cylinder Blocks 636 Cylinder Heads 588 Heat Transfer 516 Other Engine 371 Brake Parts 130 Closures 126 Steering Knuckles 115 Intake Manifolds 112 Control Arms & Links 89 Transfer Cases 88 Bumpers 70 Differential Carriers 69 Other Steering 60 Engine Mounts 49 Cradles & Crossmembers 24 IP Structure 23 Drive Shafts & Yokes 14 All Other Compnents 125 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Millions of Pounds 6 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 7. Aluminum Share Expected to Double 100% 8% 11% 90% 16% Percent of Material Mix 80% 70% Aluminum 60% 58% 54% 46% 50% Steel 40% 30% All Other 20% 34% 35% 38% Materials 10% 0% 2008 2015 2025 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011 7 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 8. 40 Years of Uninterrupted 600 Growth The trend line Pounds per Vehicle continues 500 to be supported by 2012: 343 lbs new aluminum 400 applications 300 Average increase of 7 lbs per year for 35 years 200 100 0 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 8 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 9. Content Growth 2009-2012 (over 50% Body, Bumper & Closure 58% from closures) Crossmembers 19% Suspension 16% Steering 10% Average Increase 5% Wheels & Brakes 3% Transmission & Driveline 3% Engine 3% Heat Transfer 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Total Pounds 9 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 10. Growth: Hoods, Trunks, Doors & Bumpers 25 Pounds per Vehicle 20 Pounds per Vehicle New Applications 11 (Primarily body, bumper & closure components) 8 15 4 10 12 1 12 10 11 10 5 6 8 5 3 2 3 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 10 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 11. Aluminum is a Cost Effective Solution Increased use of aluminum is necessary and cost effective in achieving 400 lb Average Cost of Direct weight reduction by 2025 Weight Savings Cost Dollar/Pound Saved Primary $2.00 Secondary ($1.82) Net Cost $0.18 11 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 12. Aluminum is a Safe Solution Downweighting is Pound for pound necessary to meet aluminum can absorb demands without two times the sacrificing safety or energy in a crash functionality. compared to steel. Aluminum provides According to a study benefits that span conducted by the Univ. many aspects of design, of Aachen, aluminum including providing has a ~40% weight stronger, safer, reduction potential. more durable Steel has ~11%. vehicles. 12 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 13. Conclusions OEMs efforts to meet 35.5 mpg by 2016 coupled with the uncertainty surrounding the fuel economy standards beyond 2016 has caused a flurry of down weighting activity in the last two years. OEMs don’t want expensive alternative powertrains to be forced on consumers, but they see the commercial and political value of saving weight. 2025 – Average vehicle will get lighter by 400 lbs - Aluminum: sheet & extrusions/closures, body-in-white, bumper & suspension - AHSS Aluminum will grow to 16% of curb weight - 2012 – 343 lbs / 2025 – 550 lbs - Industry added 200 lbs per vehicle from 1990 to 2012 - Increase of 207 lbs in 13 years The aluminum industry has the capacity to support an aluminum intensive fleet in 2017-2025. 13 AluminumInTransportation.org