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Public Opinion Survey
of Residents of Ukraine
April 21 – May 5, 2017
Methodology
2
• The survey was conducted by Rating Group Ukraine on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research.
• The survey was conducted throughout Ukraine (except for the occupied territories of Crimea and the Donbas) from
April 21 to May 5, 2017 through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.
• The sample consisted of 2,400 permanent residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is
representative of the general population by gender, age, region and the size of settlement. An additional 1,378
respondents were also surveyed in the Ukrainian-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts. A multi-stage
probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for respondent selection.
• Stage One: The territory of Ukraine was split into 25 administrative regions (24 regions of Ukraine and
Kyiv). The survey was conducted throughout all regions of Ukraine, with the exception of the occupied
territories of Crimea and the Donbas.
• Stage Two: The selection of settlements was based on towns and villages. Towns were grouped into
subtypes according to their size:
• Cities with a population of more than 1 million
• Cities with a population of between 500,000 and 999,000
• Cities with a population of between 100,000 and 499,000
• Cities with a population of between 50,000 and 99,000
• Cities with a population of up to 50,000
• Villages
• Cities and villages were selected at random. The number of selected cities/villages in each region was
proportional to the share of the population living in cities/villages of a certain type in each region.
• Stage Three: primary sampling points (PSP) were described.
• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2 percent.
• The average response rate was 64.2 percent.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• The survey was funded by the Government of Canada.
Methodology
3
Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts Oversample
• An oversample was conducted in the Ukrainian-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts from from April 21 to
May 5, 2017 through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.
• The sample consisted of 1,378 citizens of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. The sample is
representative in terms of gender, age, and size of settlement. A multi-stage probability sampling method was used with
the random route and next birthday methods for respondent selection.
• Stage One: The sample was proportionally split between Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, in the areas controlled
by the Government of Ukraine.
• Stage Two: The selection of settlements was based on towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes
according to their size:
• Cities with population of more than 1 million
• Cities with population of between 500,000 and 999,000
• Cities with population of between 100,000 and 499,000
• Cities with population of between 50,000 and 99,000
• Cities with population of up to 50,000
• Villages
• Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the
share of the population living in a particular type of settlement in each region.
• Stage Three: primary sampling points (PSP) were described.
• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.6 percent.
• The average response rate was 67.3 percent.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
4
Geographical Key
*Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents of Crimea
and the separatist-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts were not included in this poll.
Donbas
Region
Mood of the Country
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going
in the right direction or wrong direction?
6
13% 14% 15%
18%
34%
29%
15%
17%
15%
11%
13%
11%
13%
71%
66%
69%
64%
48%
51%
72%
68%
70%
76%
71% 72% 72%
16%
20%
16%
17% 18%
20%
13%
15% 15%
13% 15% 17%
15%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Nov.
2011
May
2012
May
2013
Feb.
2014
Apr.
2014
Sept.
2014
July
2015
Sept.
2015
Nov.
2015
Feb.
2016
June
2016
Sept.
2016
Apr.
2017
Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
3%
11%
8%
14%
14%
10%
15%
20%
20%
29%
28%
31%
37%
34%
33%
34%
36%
57%
60%
51%
44%
54%
45%
40%
37%
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%
4%
3%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened a lot Difficult to answer
<1%
Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in
Ukraine changed?
7
As far as you know, how has the GDP of Ukraine changed over the
last 12 months?
7%
19%
38%
36%
It has grown
It hasn’t changed
It has decreased
Difficult to answer
8
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
6%
6%
9%
14%
8%
9%
8%
3%
4%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
3%
37%
39%
45%
37%
46%
41%
44%
46%
37%
19%
14%
18%
20%
15%
18%
23%
23%
36%
34%
30%
27%
30%
30%
31%
29%
34%
37%
29%
34%
36%
36%
38%
37%
34%
18%
18%
13%
15%
14%
17%
14%
18%
22%
40%
55%
45%
40%
47%
40%
36%
37%
2%
3%
3%
5%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
September 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened a lot Difficult to answer
<1%
Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation of your
household changed?
9
Over the last 6 months, how has the economic situation of your
household changed?
4%
28%
34%
32%
2%
Improved a lot
Improved somewhat
Stayed the same
Worsened somewhat
Worsened a lot
Difficult to answer
<1%
10
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
7%
8%
13%
17%
8%
12%
9%
12%
10%
10%
9%
11%
7%
6%
8%
8%
9%
30%
32%
35%
31%
38%
27%
20%
16%
13%
14%
19%
25%
21%
21%
21%
24%
28%
32%
32%
26%
24%
29%
29%
31%
26%
26%
23%
24%
23%
32%
23%
25%
27%
25%
17%
15%
11%
11%
12%
17%
28%
35%
43%
35%
27%
27%
23%
31%
27%
27%
21%
13%
12%
14%
16%
12%
13%
12%
11%
8%
17%
20%
12%
16%
18%
19%
14%
16%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
September 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen a lot Difficult to answer
In the next 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation
in Ukraine to change?
11
12
Do you think it is acceptable for groups of people to use each of
the following methods of protests?
4%
4%
5%
6%
10%
13%
27%
28%
35%
52%
7%
9%
8%
13%
20%
23%
34%
36%
39%
34%
22%
24%
23%
23%
31%
32%
16%
13%
10%
5%
58%
55%
55%
50%
29%
23%
13%
15%
9%
6%
9%
8%
8%
8%
10%
9%
9%
8%
6%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Blocking airports
Occupation of buildings or
enterprises
Blocking railway lines
Blocking major roads
Strikes without permission
Demonstrations without
permission
Boycott
Legal strikes
Legal demonstrations
Collecting signatures for
petitions, letters
Fully acceptable More acceptable than not More unacceptable than acceptable
Not at all acceptable Difficult to answer
Assessment of Ukrainian
Authorities’ Performance
Who bears primary responsibility for today’s situation in Ukraine?
14
5%
1%
1%
1%
2%
4%
9%
14%
22%
39%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Difficult to answer
Other
The local authorities of Ukraine
The West
The people of Ukraine
The Russian Federation
Ukrainian oligarchs
The Parliament of Ukraine
The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine
The President of Ukraine
9%
11%
15%
3%
4%
3%
2%
3%
3%
1%
33%
36%
40%
21%
20%
22%
15%
16%
17%
16%
20%
19%
22%
34%
29%
28%
32%
36%
30%
33%
27%
24%
13%
33%
40%
42%
43%
37%
44%
43%
11%
11%
10%
8%
6%
6%
8%
9%
7%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the President of
Ukraine Petro Poroshenko?
15
12%
16%
13%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
34%
36%
35%
10%
11%
11%
6%
19%
12%
14%
17%
16%
27%
32%
29%
25%
25%
30%
28%
30%
27%
24%
15%
52%
54%
57%
64%
29%
51%
49%
9%
8%
10%
6%
5%
5%
4%
21%
8%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the Cabinet of
Ministers under the leadership of Volodymyr Hroisman?
16* Volodymyr Hroisman was appointed Prime Minister of Ukraine in April 2016.
2%
6%
6%
3%
1%
11%
32%
33%
14%
9%
10%
10%
5%
9%
7%
7%
30%
24%
24%
36%
35%
35%
31%
29%
35%
29%
28%
50%
26%
26%
37%
49%
48%
52%
59%
46%
58%
60%
8%
11%
11%
9%
6%
6%
7%
6%
9%
5%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer
1%
Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the Parliament of
Ukraine?
17
What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians
or members of the Ukrainian government?
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
4%
3%
2%
2%
3%
5%
2%
7%
6%
3%
6%
6%
7%
8%
10%
11%
13%
14%
13%
12%
15%
16%
16%
15%
15%
20%
15%
18%
21%
25%
19%
17%
18%
28%
23%
25%
26%
23%
19%
21%
28%
25%
27%
21%
26%
26%
26%
24%
21%
45%
69%
48%
50%
53%
50%
49%
51%
53%
32%
47%
44%
49%
40%
39%
46%
45%
35%
26%
16%
9%
2%
<1%
3%
2%
2%
5%
12%
1%
2%
8%
<1%
5%
8%
13%
4%
14%
9%
10%
8%
8%
7%
7%
17%
7%
11%
6%
11%
12%
6%
6%
12%
14%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
One of the leaders of the “UKROP” party, Hennadiy Korban
Former Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk
Mayor of Kharkiv Hennadiy Kernes
Minister of Internal Affairs Arsen Avakov
MP Nadia Savchenko
Head of the Parliament Andriy Parubiy
Prosecutor General Yuriy Lutsenko
Leader of the political party “Svoboda,” Oleh Tyahnybok
MP, leader of Opposition Bloc, Yuriy Boyko
Former head of SBU Valentyn Nalyvaychenko
Prime Minister Volodymyr Hroisman
Former Governor of Odesa Oblast, Mikheil Saakashvili
President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko
MP, leader of the political party “Za Zhyttia,” Vadym Rabinovych
Mayor of Kyiv Vitaliy Klitschko
MP, leader of the political party “Fatherland,” Yulia Tymoshenko
MP, leader of Radical Party, Oleh Lyashko
Mayor of Lviv Andriy Sadovyi
Head of the political party “Civic Position,” Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Very favorable Somewhat favorable
Very unfavorable Have not heard the name Difficult to answer
1%
1%
1%
18
What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians
or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued)
19
29%
43%
63%
57%
27% 27% 27%
19% 20% 20% 18%
55%
41%
30%
34%
63%
68% 66%
73% 71% 73% 76%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
Favorable Unfavorable
32% 34%
53% 54%
10% 13% 12%
7% 6% 5% 9%
60% 59%
40% 39%
83%
82% 83%
89% 87% 89% 86%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
19%
25%
20% 23%
15% 15%
23%
15% 18%
21%
33%
62% 62%
68% 70%
63%
77% 75%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
Petro Poroshenko Arseniy Yatsenyuk
Volodymyr Hroisman Andriy Parubiy
14%
20%
16% 15%
64% 63%
71% 75%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians
or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued)
20
32% 31% 33% 34%
22% 25% 25%
20% 23% 23% 22%
58% 61% 58% 59%
68% 68% 68%
72% 68% 69% 71%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
May 13 Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
Favorable Unfavorable
Yulia Tymoshenko
43%
34% 34%
26%
22%
18%
42%
51% 50%
61% 64%
69%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
28%
24%
28% 29%
19% 16% 18% 15% 15% 14% 16%
63% 66%
62% 65%
69%
74% 73% 76% 75% 77% 75%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
May 13 Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
Mikheil Saakashvili
Oleh Tyahnybok
18% 17% 16% 17%
52%
58% 56% 53%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Nov.15 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
Valentyn Nalyvaychenko
What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians
or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued)
21
46%
24%
13%
34%
62%
76%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
Favorable Unfavorable
13% 13% 12% 13%
17% 15% 16%
70% 72% 72% 70% 67% 71% 71%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
Nadia Savchenko Yuriy Boyko
36%
38%
41%
36%
33%
25% 24%
41%
43%
40%
42%
48%
55%
59%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
25%
21% 23% 23% 22% 23% 23%
65%
74% 71% 69% 70% 69% 71%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
Andriy Sadovyi Oleh Lyashko
What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians
or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued)
22
11%
9% 7% 7% 7%
66% 66%
70% 67% 64%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Nov.15 Mar. 16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
Hennadiy Korban
54%
48% 46%
50%
24% 25% 27%
19%
23% 21% 22%
37%
42%
47% 45%
63% 63%
60%
66% 65% 68% 65%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
May 13 Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
Favorable Unfavorable
Vitaliy Klitschko
25% 26%
31%
53% 50% 48%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Jun. 16 Sep. 16 Apr.17
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Energy and Utility Consumption
Did you consume less energy or invest in energy efficiency
measures for your household during this winter?
24
49%
6%
9%
28%
8%
I consumed less energy
I invested in energy efficiency measures
I did not use less energy and did not invest
in energy efficiency
Difficult to answer
*Historically, the Ukrainian government has subsidized the price of utilities for households. In 2016, the International
Monetary Fund required that Ukraine decrease its subsidies, increasing the prices of utilities for families during a period
of ongoing economic hardship.
25
Did your household participate in the state program for “heating
loans” aimed at improving the energy efficiency of your
household?
5%
92%
3%
Yes
No
Difficult to answer
42%
51%
7%
Yes
No
Difficult to answer
26
Have you heard of the state program for “heating loans” aimed at
improving the energy efficiency of your household?
(Respondents who did not participate in the “heating loans” program and those who had difficulty
answering; n=2,289)
Electoral Mood
Do you support the idea of holding early parliamentary elections
in Ukraine?
28
15%
18%
20%
17%
18%
23%
27%
23%
25%
21%
24%
26%
22%
20%
19%
22%
19%
17%
23%
23%
22%
25%
21%
20%
14%
17%
14%
16%
18%
14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer
34%
40%
39%
46%
34%
34%
41%
42%
49%
42%
29%
34%
28%
28%
26%
31%
34%
33%
33%
32%
33%
36%
34%
35%
33%
32%
32%
35%
40%
33%
34%
30%
33%
33%
7%
9%
8%
5%
8%
7%
8%
5%
4%
7%
9%
4%
10%
9%
10%
9%
8%
13%
11%
14%
11%
19%
20%
10%
12%
11%
15%
20%
16%
20%
21%
22%
19%
19%
12%
8%
8%
5%
4%
5%
6%
8%
3%
5%
8%
6%
9%
7%
11%
8%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
September 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer
If early parliamentary elections were held next Sunday,
would you vote?
29
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the
following political parties participated, for which party would you
vote?
30
19%
22%
5%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
5%
5%
6%
6%
9%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answer
I would not vote
Other
Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia)
Left Opposition
Strong Ukraine
People's Front
Agrarian Party of Ukraine
People’s Control
Social Democratic Party
Nash Krai Party
National Movement of D.Yarosh
UKROP
Movement of New Forces
Svoboda
Civic Position
Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)
For Life Party (Za Zhyttia)
Radical Party
Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist"
Opposition Bloc
Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna)
(All respondents)
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the
following political parties participated, for which party would you
vote? (continued)
31
(Likely voters, n=1,585)
20%
6%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
6%
6%
7%
8%
8%
9%
12%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answer
Other
Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia)
Left Opposition
People's Front
Strong Ukraine
Agrarian Party of Ukraine
People’s Control
Social Democratic Party
Nash Krai Party
National Movement of D.Yarosh
UKROP
Movement of New Forces
Svoboda
Civic Position
Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)
For Life Party (Za Zhyttia)
Radical Party
Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist"
Opposition Bloc
Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna)
32
(All respondents)
Jul.15 Sep. 15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr. 17
Fatherland (Batkivshchyna) 6% 9% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9%
Bloc Petro Poroshenko “Solidarnist” 8% 10% 11% 7% 7% 8% 6%
Opposition Bloc 6% 8% 8% 8% 10% 6% 6%
Radical Party 5% 5% 3% 5% 5% 6% 5%
Self-Reliance (Samopomich) 7% 9% 7% 8% 5% 5% 5%
Civic Position 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 4% 4%
For Life Party (Za Zhyttia) - - - - - 3% 5%
Svoboda 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3%
Strong Ukraine 1% 1% - 1% - 2% 1%
Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia) - 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1%
Movement of New Forces - - - - 2% 1% 2%
UKROP 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Other party 13% 12% 10% 9% 9% 10% 11%
I would not vote 24% 16% 25% 27% 26% 21% 22%
Difficult to answer 20% 19% 17% 16% 19% 18% 19%
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the
following political parties participated, for which party would you
vote? (continued)
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, for which other
political party would you vote if the party that you previously
selected did not participate in the elections?
33
34%
24%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
4%
4%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Difficult to answer
I would not vote
Other
People’s Control
Left Opposition
Strong Ukraine
Agrarian Party of Ukraine
Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia)
Democratic Alliance
Justice
UKROP
Right Sector
National Movement of D.Yarosh
Nash Krai Party
People's Front
Social Democratic Party
Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist"
Movement of New Forces
Opposition Bloc
Svoboda
Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna)
Civic Position
Radical Party
For Life Party (Za Zhyttia)
Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)
(All respondents)
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, for which other
political party would you vote if the party that you previously
selected did not participate in the elections?
34
(Likely voters, n=1,551)
40%
5%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
4%
4%
4%
5%
5%
6%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Difficult to answer
Other
People’s Control
Left Opposition
Agrarian Party of Ukraine
Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia)
Strong Ukraine
Justice
UKROP
Democratic Alliance
National Movement of D.Yarosh
Nash Krai Party
Right Sector
People's Front
Social Democratic Party
Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist"
Movement of New Forces
Opposition Bloc
Svoboda
Fatherland (Batkivshchyna)
Civic Position
Radical Party
For Life Party (Za Zhyttia)
Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)
Why would you vote for this party?
35
4%
3%
9%
10%
10%
10%
13%
15%
17%
20%
22%
22%
25%
33%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Difficult to answer
Other
This party understands the problems of my region
Other parties are even worse
This party will secure stability in the country
This party fulfills its promises
This party can restore peace in the country
This party has demonstrated consistent policies
I like their decisiveness
This party defends the interests of people like me
They tell the truth
This party can realize reforms and positive changes in Ukraine
The ideology of this party is very close to mine
The leadership of this party includes people whom I respect
(Respondents who selected a party; n=1,415)
36
When electing a political party, which priority is closest to yours?
51%
17%
32%
The party's priority is Ukraine's membership in
the EU
The party's priority is Ukraine's membership in
the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus, and
Kazakhstan
Difficult to answer
37
38%
40%
10%
21%
59%
64%
69%
74%
80%
82%
84%
89%
18%
18%
58%
44%
7%
7%
7%
7%
3%
1%
3%
2%
44%
42%
32%
36%
34%
28%
24%
19%
17%
17%
13%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Would not vote
Undecided
Opposition Bloc
For Life (Za Zhyttia)
UKROP
Radical Party
Civic Position
Fatherland (Batkivshchyna)
Self-Reliance (Samopomich)
Movement of New Forces
Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist"
Svoboda
The party's priority is Ukraine's membership in the EU
The party's priority is Ukraine's membership in the Customs Union
Difficult to answer
When electing a political party, which priority is closest to yours?
(continued)
38
When selecting a political party, which priority is closest to
yours? (continued)
53%
19%
28%
The priority of this political party is to deepen
economic cooperation between Ukraine and the
countries of the EU
The priority of this political party is to deepen
economic cooperation between Ukraine and post-
Soviet countries
Difficult to answer
39
40%
42%
11%
23%
64%
66%
72%
75%
80%
80%
84%
90%
19%
19%
62%
46%
9%
9%
9%
9%
4%
4%
3%
2%
42%
39%
27%
31%
27%
25%
19%
17%
17%
16%
13%
8%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Would not vote
Undecided
Opposition Bloc
For Life (Za Zhyttia)
UKROP
Radical Party
Civic Position
Fatherland (Batkivshchyna)
Self-Reliance (Samopomich)
Movement of New Forces
Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist"
Svoboda
The party's priority is to deepen economic cooperation between Ukraine and the countries of the EU
The party's priority is to deepen economic cooperation between Ukraine and post-Soviet countries
Difficult to answer
When selecting a political party, which priority is closest to yours?
(continued)
When selecting a political party during elections, which is most
important to you?
40
6%
3%
<1%
1%
2%
3%
4%
6%
6%
34%
35%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Difficult to answer
I don’t pay attention to any of the aforementioned positions
when electing political party
What it suggests in environmental policy
How it supports language and culture
What it proposes for education and science
How it strengthens the position of Ukraine in the world
What it proposes for healthcare
How it defends our rights and freedoms
What it proposes for national security and defense
What it proposes for the economy
What it proposes for social policy (salaries, pensions,
employment, etc.)
What is another area you consider when selecting a political
party?
41
18%
3%
2%
2%
2%
5%
7%
9%
12%
18%
22%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Difficult to answer
I don’t pay attention to any of the aforementioned positions
when selecting political party
How it supports language and culture
What it proposes for environmental policy
What it proposes for education and science
How it strengthens the position of Ukraine in the world
What it proposes for national security and defense
What it proposes for healthcare
How it defends your rights and freedoms
What it proposes for the economy
What it proposes for social policy (salaries, pensions,
employment, etc.)
Views on Issues
43
If you could have only one or the other, which is more important
to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous
economy?
13%
17%
16%
14%
14%
20%
19%
20%
20%
20%
34%
30%
29%
28%
27%
18%
20%
22%
21%
27%
15%
14%
12%
16%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
July 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
April 2017
Democracy is definitely more important to me Democracy is somewhat more important to me
Prosperity is definitely more important to me
Difficult to answer
Which of the following are the three most important issues for
Ukraine?
44
1%
1%
1%
3%
4%
4%
7%
9%
10%
13%
17%
17%
23%
24%
26%
30%
52%
54%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Difficult to answer
Other
Russian language status
Lack/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
Rights to land ownership
Delays in salary/pension payments
Russian presence in the Crimea
Crime
Relations with Russia
Hryvnia devaluation
Political instability
Social protection for the poor
Government incompetence
Inflation
Unemployment
Low industry production
Corruption within state bodies
Military conflict in Donbas
Which three of the following issues are the most important for you
personally?
45
1%
4%
1%
2%
6%
6%
6%
9%
10%
11%
14%
18%
26%
26%
32%
32%
33%
53%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Difficult to answer
Other
Russian language status
Russian presence in the Crimea
Lack/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
Rights to land ownership
Relations with Russia
Crime
Delays in salary/pension payments
Political instability
Government incompetence
Low industry production
Hryvnia devaluation
Corruption within state bodies
Social protection for the poor
Military conflict in Donbas
Unemployment
Inflation
46
3%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
5%
10%
12%
13%
22%
26%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Difficult to answer
Other
Secure the country’s defense capability
Secure the unity of Ukraine
Make our cities and villages more comfortable for life
Achieve developed democracy so that citizens have more power
in decision-making processes
Make our country fairer and just
Restore the territorial integrity of Ukraine
Join the EU and NATO
Get rid of corruption
Secure a high level of economic development
Improve the quality of life of citizens
In your opinion, what should be the most important priority for
Ukraine’s development in the next 10 years?
47
How would you characterize the detention of Roman Nasirov, the
former Head of the State Fiscal Service of Ukraine?
30%
32%
38%
It represents political persecution and
selective justice
It demonstrates a real fight against
corruption
Difficult to answer
*Roman Nasirov headed the State Fiscal Service of Ukraine until his suspension in March 2017. He is being investigated by
the National Anti-Corruption Bureau (NABU) for alleged corruption worth up to two billion Ukrainian hryvnias ($74
million) in one of the highest-profile corruption cases ever in Ukraine.
Do you feel secure walking home alone in your neighborhood at
night?
48
19%
39%
23%
14%
6%
Yes, I feel completely safe
Yes, I feel safe most of the time
No, I never feel safe
Difficult to answer
Foreign Policy
50
If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union,
which of the following should it be?
42%
36%
37%
32%
40%
42%
41%
52%
53%
59%
55%
57%
57%
55%
54%
51%
53%
40%
43%
41%
42%
37%
37%
36%
27%
24%
17%
14%
17%
15%
15%
15%
19%
18%
3%
4%
5%
6%
5%
5%
9%
6%
10%
9%
12%
12%
12%
14%
12%
14%
14%
15%
17%
17%
20%
18%
17%
14%
14%
13%
15%
20%
14%
16%
15%
19%
17%
15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
September 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
European Union Customs Union Other Difficult to answer
51
If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union,
which of the following should it be? (continued)
27%
38%
59%
83%
29%
31%
12%
2%
19%
20%
11%
8%
25%
11%
18%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
East
South
Center
West
European Union Customs Union Other Difficult to answer
52
1%
4%
9%
13%
34%
38%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Difficult to answer
Security guarantees
Guarantees that rules and standards will be observed
Greater ability to determine one's destiny
A better economic situation in Ukraine
Better living conditions for ordinary people
What do you expect from this international union first and foremost?
(Respondents who chose either the EU or Customs Union, n=1,687)
If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how
would you vote?
34%
38%
43%
41%
48%
48%
45%
39%
43%
46%
43%
40%
31%
30%
28%
30%
30%
32%
29%
27%
9%
7%
17%
14%
8%
10%
10%
12%
11%
12%
13%
15%
8%
15%
17%
13%
16%
17%
17%
14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
Would vote to join NATO Would vote against joining NATO
Would not vote Difficult to answer
53
21%
33%
54%
71%
41%
42%
20%
10%
20%
14%
11%
7%
18%
10%
16%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
East
South
Center
West
Would vote to join NATO Would vote against joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer
If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how
would you vote? (continued)
54
55
2%
6%
41%
51%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Difficult to answer
NATO does not provide any benefits, but we need it for
international prestige
NATO will defend Ukraine
NATO will help Ukraine to increase its defense system
standards
In your opinion, what benefits does NATO provide to Ukraine?
(Respondents who believe Ukraine should join NATO, n=1,108)
3%
3%
3%
6%
5%
7%
7%
9%
7%
9%
11%
14%
25%
32%
36%
38%
39%
39%
38%
42%
47%
47%
23%
60%
57%
43%
49%
45%
48%
47%
41%
38%
36%
30%
6%
4%
11%
6%
5%
3%
3%
7%
3%
4%
27%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
3%
6%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Russia
Turkey
Moldova
United States
Germany
Lithuania
Georgia
Canada
European Union
Belarus
Poland
Very warm Warm Neutral Very cold Difficult to answer
1%
How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following
countries?
56
Issues Affecting the Donbas
Do you support the economic blockade of the so-called Donetsk
and Luhansk People’s Republics?
58
17%
20%
19%
27%
3%
14%
Fully support
Somewhat support
Definitely do not support
Haven’t heard anything about this
Difficult to answer
In your opinion, are the national authorities of Ukraine doing
enough to keep the liberated areas of the Donbas under Ukrainian
authority?
59
1%
12%
31%
41%
15%
Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Definitely no
Difficult to answer
60
11%
3%
3%
3%
10%
15%
55%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Difficult to answer
Other
Become part of Russia
Become an independent country
Part of Ukraine but with special status
Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as a result of
decentralization reform
Part of Ukraine as before
In your opinion, what status should the Donbas territories under
the control of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s
Republics have?
Support
Ukrainian Unity
61
In your opinion, what status should the Donbas territories under
the control of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s
Republics have? (continued)
November 2015 April 2017
Part of Ukraine as before 53% 55%
Part of Ukraine but with extended
authorities as a result of decentralization
reform
18% 15%
Part of Ukraine but with special status 9% 10%
Become part of Russia 4% 3%
Become an independent country 3% 3%
Other 1% 3%
Difficult to answer 12% 11%
62
In your opinion, what status should the entire Donbas region have
(i.e., the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts)?
9%
2%
2%
2%
6%
8%
16%
56%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Difficult to answer
Other
Become an independent country
Become part of Russia
The territories controlled today by the so-called Donetsk and
Luhansk People’s Republics should be separated from Ukraine
and the rest of the territory should stay within Ukraine
Part of Ukraine but with a special status
Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as a result of
decentralization reform
Part of Ukraine as before
Support
Ukrainian Unity
63
November 2015 April 2017
Part of Ukraine as before 53% 56%
Part of Ukraine but with extended
competences resulting from the
decentralization reform
20% 16%
Part of Ukraine but with a special status 6% 8%
Become part of Russia 2% 2%
Become an independent country 1% 2%
The territories controlled today by the so-
called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s
Republics should be separated from
Ukraine and the rest of the territory should
stay within Ukraine
7% 6%
Other 1% 2%
Difficult to answer 9% 9%
In you opinion, what status should the entire Donbas region have
(i.e., the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts)? (continued)
Oversample:
Ukrainian-Controlled Territories
of the Donbas Region (n=1,378)
April 21 – May 5, 2017
65
21%
2%
2%
2%
11%
17%
45%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Difficult to answer
Other
Become an independent country
Become part of Russia
Part of Ukraine but with a special status
Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as a result of
decentralization reform
Part of Ukraine as before
In your opinion, what status should the Donbas territories under
the control of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s
Republics have?
Support
Ukrainian Unity
66
In your opinion, what status should the Donbas territories under
the control of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s
Republics have? (continued)
November 2015 April 2017
Part of Ukraine as before 31% 45%
Part of Ukraine but with extended
competences resulting from the
decentralization reform
28% 17%
Part of Ukraine but with special status 13% 11%
Become an independent country 4% 2%
Become part of Russia 8% 2%
Other 1% 2%
Difficult to answer 15% 21%
67
In your opinion, what status should the entire Donbas region have
(i.e. the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts)?
17%
1%
1%
1%
2%
9%
22%
47%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Difficult to answer
Other
The territories controlled today by the so-called Donetsk and
Luhansk People’s Republics should be separated from Ukraine
and the rest of the territory should stay within Ukraine
Become an independent country
Become part of Russia
Part of Ukraine but with a special status
Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as a result of
decentralization reform
Part of Ukraine as before
Support
Ukrainian Unity
68
November 2015 April 2017
Part of Ukraine as before 32% 47%
Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as
a result of decentralization reform
35% 22%
Part of Ukraine but with a special status 8% 9%
Become part of Russia 7% 2%
Become an independent country 1% 1%
The territories controlled today by the so-called
Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics should
be separated from Ukraine and the rest of the
territory should stay within Ukraine
3% 1%
Other 1% 1%
Difficult to answer 14% 17%
In your opinion, which status should the entire Donbas region have
(i.e. the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts)? (continued)
In your opinion, are the national authorities of Ukraine doing
enough to keep the liberated areas of the Donbas within Ukrainian
territory?
69
6%
2%
18%
8%
23%
24%
29%
36%
25%
30%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2015
April 2017
Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Difficult to answer
70
In your opinion, which areas should the Ukrainian authorities
prioritize in order to keep the Donbas part of Ukraine?
(Three answers possible)
9%
3%
4%
24%
36%
42%
72%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Difficult to answer
Other
Focus on closer relations with the West (EU and NATO)
Focus on the status of the Donbas region and improve
relations with Russia
Improve basic services (health, education and
infrastructure)
Fight crime, corruption and reform the judiciary
Improve the economy and create jobs
71
In your opinion, which areas should the Ukrainian authorities
prioritize in order to keep the Donbas part of Ukraine? (continued)
November 2015 April 2017
Improve the economy and create jobs 62% 72%
Fight crime, corruption and reform the judiciary 46% 42%
Improve basic services (health, education and
infrastructure)
46% 36%
Focus on the status of the Donbas region and
improve relations with Russia
19% 24%
Focus on closer relations with the West (EU and
NATO)
9% 4%
Other 2% 3%
Difficult to answer 12% 9%
72
In your opinion, which issues should be the top priority for your
local authorities?
(Three answers possible)
3%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
4%
4%
5%
6%
7%
7%
7%
8%
8%
9%
11%
14%
15%
26%
44%
48%
49%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Difficult to answer
Other
Land issues
Garbage collection
Cultural institutions
Sporting establishments
Pavements
Sewage
Kindergartens
Water supply
Public parks and squares
Heating
Yards and territories around houses
Street lightning
Schools
Environment
Transportation
Security
Industrial areas
Social assistance
Housing and communal areas
Medical institutions
Roads
In your opinion, which issues should be the top priority for your
local authorities? (continued)
(Three answers possible)
73
November 2015 April 2017
Roads 50% 49%
Medical institutions 37% 48%
Housing and communal areas 43% 44%
Social assistance 38% 26%
Industrial areas 14% 15%
Security 26% 14%
Transportation 25% 11%
Environment 21% 9%
Street lightning 34% 8%
Schools 22% 8%
Public parks and squares 15% 7%
Heating 25% 7%
Yards and territories around houses 25% 7%
Water supply 23% 6%
Kindergartens 19% 5%
Pavements 18% 4%
Sewage 16% 4%
Garbage collection 16% 3%
Cultural institutions 13% 3%
Sport establishments 11% 3%
Land issues 17% 2%
Other 10% 2%
Difficult to answer 10% 3%
Which of the following are the three most important issues for
Ukraine?
74
2%
3%
1%
2%
2%
4%
5%
7%
7%
8%
15%
16%
19%
23%
33%
35%
46%
63%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Difficult to answer
Other
Russian language status
Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
Rights to land ownership
Delays in salary/pension payments
Russian presence in the Crimea
Hryvnia devaluation
Crime
Relations with Russia
Political instability
Social protection for the poor
Government incompetence
Inflation
Low industry production
Unemployment
Corruption within state bodies
Military conflict in the Donbas
Which three of the following are the most important issues for
Ukraine? (continued)
75
November 2015 April 2017
Military conflict in the Donbas 50% 63%
Corruption within state bodies 40% 46%
Unemployment 34% 35%
Low industry production 24% 33%
Inflation 23% 23%
Government incompetence 26% 19%
Social protection for the poor 22% 16%
Political instability 18% 15%
Relations with Russia 12% 8%
Crime 5% 7%
Hryvnia devaluation 14% 7%
Russian presence in the Crimea 3% 5%
Delays in salary/pension payments 6% 4%
Rights to land ownership 3% 2%
Possibility of cutting off gas,
electricity, water
7% 2%
Russian language status 1% 1%
Other 1% 3%
Difficult to answer 2% 2%
Which of the following issues are the three most important for you
personally?
76
6%
10%
2%
3%
3%
5%
6%
7%
9%
9%
11%
14%
14%
18%
21%
31%
50%
60%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Difficult to answer
Other
Russian language status
Rights to land ownership
Russian presence in Crimea
Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
Crime
Relations with Russia
Delays in salary/pension payments
Political instability
Government incompetence
Hryvnia devaluation
Low industry production
Corruption within state bodies
Social protection for the poor
Unemployment
Inflation
Military conflict in the Donbas
Which of the following issues are the three most important for you
personally? (continued)
77
November 2015 April 2017
Military conflict in the Donbas 50% 60%
Inflation 43% 50%
Unemployment 29% 31%
Social protection for the poor 26% 21%
Corruption within state bodies 26% 18%
Low industry production 17% 14%
Hryvnia devaluation 21% 14%
Government incompetence 21% 11%
Delays in salary/pension payments 7% 9%
Political instability 11% 9%
Relations with Russia 8% 7%
Crime 3% 6%
Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water 10% 5%
Russian presence in the Crimea 3% 3%
Rights to land ownership 4% 3%
Russian language status 2% 2%
Other 6% 10%
Difficult to answer 2% 6%
What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians
or members of the Ukrainian government?
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
3%
5%
5%
10%
10%
20%
2%
3%
3%
3%
5%
5%
6%
5%
6%
7%
7%
7%
7%
7%
8%
8%
11%
12%
11%
12%
15%
16%
29%
14%
11%
16%
15%
18%
19%
22%
16%
15%
21%
15%
16%
18%
20%
19%
23%
20%
13%
11%
11%
19%
20%
14%
45%
75%
66%
66%
61%
48%
50%
51%
42%
51%
37%
57%
37%
56%
59%
53%
52%
16%
36%
30%
36%
28%
17%
14%
4%
8%
5%
9%
15%
6%
6%
2%
2%
24%
10%
12%
15%
14%
26%
20%
23%
28%
19%
35%
18%
26%
15%
12%
15%
15%
41%
31%
36%
17%
24%
21%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
One of the leaders of UKROP Party, Hennadiy Korban
Former Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk
Head of Parliament Andriy Parubiy
Leader of the political party “Svoboda,” Oleh Tyahnybok
Prosecutor General Yuriy Lutsenko
Mayor of Kyiv Vitaliy Klitschko
Minister of Internal Affairs Arsen Avakov
Mayor of Lviv Andriy Sadovyi
Former head of SBU Valentyn Nalyvaychenko
MP Nadia Savchenko
Mayor of Kharkiv Hennadiy Kernes
Former Governor of Odesa Oblast, Mikheil Saakashvili
Head of the political party “Civic Position” Anatoliy Hrytsenko
MP, leader of the political party “Fatherland,” Yulia Tymoshenko
President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko
MP, leader of Radical Party, Oleh Lyashko
Prime Minister Volodymyr Hroisman
Head of the Donetsk military-civic administration, Pavlo Zhebrivskyi
Former head of the parliamentary Party of Regions faction, Oleksandr Yefremov
Co-leader of Opposition Bloc, head of the opposition government, Borys Kolesnikov
MP, leader of the Opposition Bloc, Yuriy Boyko
MP, leader of the political party “Za Zhyttia,” Vadym Rabinovych
Businessman Rinat Akhmetov
Very favorable Somewhat favorable
Very unfavorable Have not heard the name Difficult to answer
1%
78
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
79
2%
2%
7%
4%
22%
13%
49%
56%
20%
25%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2015
April 2017
Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer
Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its
army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine?
80
How do you evaluate Russia’s actions toward Crimea?
41%
43%
11%
12%
18%
11%
30%
34%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2015
April 2017
It is an illegal invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine
It is a lawful protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine
Other
Difficult to answer
81
In your opinion, which of the following should Ukraine do?
50%
54%
13%
4%
14%
15%
7%
2%
2%
2%
15%
23%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2015
April 2017
Remain a united country Remain a united country, but without Crimea
Divide into several countries
Other Difficult to answer
2%
5%
9%
12%
28%
25%
54%
47%
8%
11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2015
April 2017
Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer
Do you feel that the Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are
under pressure or threat because of their language?
82
Do you support the economic blockade of the so-called Donetsk
and Luhansk People’s Republics?
83
5%
6%
17%
50%
1%
21%
Fully support
Somewhat support
Definitely do not support
Haven’t heard anything about this
Difficult to answer
Demographics
Demographics
45%
55%
32%
26%
42%
46%
32%
22%
3%
24%
38%
34%
23%
1%
18%
1%
30%
4%
8%
7%
5%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Male
Female
18-35
36-50
51+
Ukrainian
Russian
Ukrainian and Russian equally
Primary/Incomplete secondary
General secondary
Vocational secondary
Higher/Incomplete higher
Worker
Farmer/Peasant
White collar
Higher or medium level executive
Pensioner (not working)
Student
Housewife
Unemployed
Self-employed/Entrepreneur
Other
GENDERAGE
LANGUAGE
SPOKENAT
HOMEEDUCATIONOCCUPATION
85
Nationwide
Demographics
86
36%
21%
10%
1%
1%
5%
22%
2%
4%
70%
30%
24%
31%
22%
22%
0% 50% 100%
Orthodox (Kyiv Patriarchate)
Orthodox (Moscow Patriarchate)
Greek Catholic
Catholic
Protestant
Atheist
I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion
Other
Difficult to answer
City
Village
West
Center
South
East
RELIGION
TYPEOF
SETTLEMENTREGIONS
Nationwide
Demographics
87
21%
33%
33%
11%
2%
1%
0% 50%
We need to save money for food
We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow
money to buy clothes and shoes
We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes,
but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good
suit, a mobile phone or a vacuum cleaner
We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes and other
purchases, but we need to save or borrow money to purchase more
expensive items (e.g. appliances)
We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes and expensive
purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a
car or an apartment
Difficult to answer
FAMILYFINANCES
Nationwide
Demographics
44%
56%
29%
25%
46%
3%
75%
21%
4%
19%
43%
33%
20%
16%
1%
36%
5%
8%
7%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Male
Female
18-35
36-50
51+
Ukrainian
Russian
Ukrainian and Russian equally
Primary/Incomplete secondary
General secondary
Vocational secondary
Higher/Incomplete higher
Worker
White collar
Higher or medium level executive
Pensioner (not working)
Student
Housewife
Unemployed
Other
GENDERAGE
LANGUAGE
SPOKENAT
HOMEEDUCATIONOCCUPATION
88
Donbas Region
Demographics
89
20%
40%
1%
6%
21%
2%
9%
89%
11%
66%
34%
0% 50% 100%
Orthodox (Kyiv Patriarchate)
Orthodox (Moscow Patriarchate)
Greek Catholic
Atheist
I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion
Other
Difficult to answer
City
Village
Donetsk
Luhansk
RELIGION
TYPEOF
SETTLEMENTREGIONS
Donbas Region
Demographics
90
26%
41%
26%
3%
1%
3%
0% 50%
We need to save money for food
We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow
money to buy clothes and shoes
We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes,
but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good
suit, a mobile phone or a vacuum cleaner
We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes and other
purchases, but we need to save or borrow money to purchase more
expensive things (e.g. appliances)
We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes and expensive
purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a
car or an apartment
Difficult to answer
FAMILYFINANCES
Donbas Region
www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls
Center for Insights in Survey Research
202.408.9450 | info@iri.org
This presentation was undertaken with the financial support of the Government of Canada provided
through the Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development (DFATD)
Programme réalisée avec l’appui financier du gouvernement du Canada accordé par l’entremise du
ministère des Affaires étrangères, du Commerce et du Développement (MAECD)
.
.

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Social and political moods of Ukrainians, May 2017

  • 1. Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine April 21 – May 5, 2017
  • 2. Methodology 2 • The survey was conducted by Rating Group Ukraine on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research. • The survey was conducted throughout Ukraine (except for the occupied territories of Crimea and the Donbas) from April 21 to May 5, 2017 through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 2,400 permanent residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by gender, age, region and the size of settlement. An additional 1,378 respondents were also surveyed in the Ukrainian-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts. A multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for respondent selection. • Stage One: The territory of Ukraine was split into 25 administrative regions (24 regions of Ukraine and Kyiv). The survey was conducted throughout all regions of Ukraine, with the exception of the occupied territories of Crimea and the Donbas. • Stage Two: The selection of settlements was based on towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes according to their size: • Cities with a population of more than 1 million • Cities with a population of between 500,000 and 999,000 • Cities with a population of between 100,000 and 499,000 • Cities with a population of between 50,000 and 99,000 • Cities with a population of up to 50,000 • Villages • Cities and villages were selected at random. The number of selected cities/villages in each region was proportional to the share of the population living in cities/villages of a certain type in each region. • Stage Three: primary sampling points (PSP) were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2 percent. • The average response rate was 64.2 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the Government of Canada.
  • 3. Methodology 3 Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts Oversample • An oversample was conducted in the Ukrainian-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts from from April 21 to May 5, 2017 through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,378 citizens of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. The sample is representative in terms of gender, age, and size of settlement. A multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for respondent selection. • Stage One: The sample was proportionally split between Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, in the areas controlled by the Government of Ukraine. • Stage Two: The selection of settlements was based on towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes according to their size: • Cities with population of more than 1 million • Cities with population of between 500,000 and 999,000 • Cities with population of between 100,000 and 499,000 • Cities with population of between 50,000 and 99,000 • Cities with population of up to 50,000 • Villages • Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of the population living in a particular type of settlement in each region. • Stage Three: primary sampling points (PSP) were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.6 percent. • The average response rate was 67.3 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
  • 4. 4 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents of Crimea and the separatist-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts were not included in this poll. Donbas Region
  • 5. Mood of the Country
  • 6. Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction? 6 13% 14% 15% 18% 34% 29% 15% 17% 15% 11% 13% 11% 13% 71% 66% 69% 64% 48% 51% 72% 68% 70% 76% 71% 72% 72% 16% 20% 16% 17% 18% 20% 13% 15% 15% 13% 15% 17% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Nov. 2011 May 2012 May 2013 Feb. 2014 Apr. 2014 Sept. 2014 July 2015 Sept. 2015 Nov. 2015 Feb. 2016 June 2016 Sept. 2016 Apr. 2017 Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer
  • 7. 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 11% 8% 14% 14% 10% 15% 20% 20% 29% 28% 31% 37% 34% 33% 34% 36% 57% 60% 51% 44% 54% 45% 40% 37% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 4% 3% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% September 2014 July 2015 September 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 September 2016 April 2017 Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened a lot Difficult to answer <1% Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Ukraine changed? 7
  • 8. As far as you know, how has the GDP of Ukraine changed over the last 12 months? 7% 19% 38% 36% It has grown It hasn’t changed It has decreased Difficult to answer 8
  • 9. 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 6% 9% 14% 8% 9% 8% 3% 4% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 37% 39% 45% 37% 46% 41% 44% 46% 37% 19% 14% 18% 20% 15% 18% 23% 23% 36% 34% 30% 27% 30% 30% 31% 29% 34% 37% 29% 34% 36% 36% 38% 37% 34% 18% 18% 13% 15% 14% 17% 14% 18% 22% 40% 55% 45% 40% 47% 40% 36% 37% 2% 3% 3% 5% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 September 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 September 2014 July 2015 September 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 September 2016 April 2017 Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened a lot Difficult to answer <1% Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation of your household changed? 9
  • 10. Over the last 6 months, how has the economic situation of your household changed? 4% 28% 34% 32% 2% Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Difficult to answer <1% 10
  • 11. 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 7% 8% 13% 17% 8% 12% 9% 12% 10% 10% 9% 11% 7% 6% 8% 8% 9% 30% 32% 35% 31% 38% 27% 20% 16% 13% 14% 19% 25% 21% 21% 21% 24% 28% 32% 32% 26% 24% 29% 29% 31% 26% 26% 23% 24% 23% 32% 23% 25% 27% 25% 17% 15% 11% 11% 12% 17% 28% 35% 43% 35% 27% 27% 23% 31% 27% 27% 21% 13% 12% 14% 16% 12% 13% 12% 11% 8% 17% 20% 12% 16% 18% 19% 14% 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 September 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 September 2014 July 2015 September 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 September 2016 April 2017 Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen a lot Difficult to answer In the next 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine to change? 11
  • 12. 12 Do you think it is acceptable for groups of people to use each of the following methods of protests? 4% 4% 5% 6% 10% 13% 27% 28% 35% 52% 7% 9% 8% 13% 20% 23% 34% 36% 39% 34% 22% 24% 23% 23% 31% 32% 16% 13% 10% 5% 58% 55% 55% 50% 29% 23% 13% 15% 9% 6% 9% 8% 8% 8% 10% 9% 9% 8% 6% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Blocking airports Occupation of buildings or enterprises Blocking railway lines Blocking major roads Strikes without permission Demonstrations without permission Boycott Legal strikes Legal demonstrations Collecting signatures for petitions, letters Fully acceptable More acceptable than not More unacceptable than acceptable Not at all acceptable Difficult to answer
  • 14. Who bears primary responsibility for today’s situation in Ukraine? 14 5% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 14% 22% 39% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Difficult to answer Other The local authorities of Ukraine The West The people of Ukraine The Russian Federation Ukrainian oligarchs The Parliament of Ukraine The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine The President of Ukraine
  • 15. 9% 11% 15% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 33% 36% 40% 21% 20% 22% 15% 16% 17% 16% 20% 19% 22% 34% 29% 28% 32% 36% 30% 33% 27% 24% 13% 33% 40% 42% 43% 37% 44% 43% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 6% 8% 9% 7% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2014 April 2014 September 2014 July 2015 September 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 September 2016 April 2017 Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko? 15
  • 16. 12% 16% 13% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 34% 36% 35% 10% 11% 11% 6% 19% 12% 14% 17% 16% 27% 32% 29% 25% 25% 30% 28% 30% 27% 24% 15% 52% 54% 57% 64% 29% 51% 49% 9% 8% 10% 6% 5% 5% 4% 21% 8% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2014 April 2014 September 2014 July 2015 September 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 September 2016 April 2017 Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the Cabinet of Ministers under the leadership of Volodymyr Hroisman? 16* Volodymyr Hroisman was appointed Prime Minister of Ukraine in April 2016.
  • 17. 2% 6% 6% 3% 1% 11% 32% 33% 14% 9% 10% 10% 5% 9% 7% 7% 30% 24% 24% 36% 35% 35% 31% 29% 35% 29% 28% 50% 26% 26% 37% 49% 48% 52% 59% 46% 58% 60% 8% 11% 11% 9% 6% 6% 7% 6% 9% 5% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 September 2014 July 2015 September 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 September 2016 April 2017 Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer 1% Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the Parliament of Ukraine? 17
  • 18. What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 2% 3% 5% 2% 7% 6% 3% 6% 6% 7% 8% 10% 11% 13% 14% 13% 12% 15% 16% 16% 15% 15% 20% 15% 18% 21% 25% 19% 17% 18% 28% 23% 25% 26% 23% 19% 21% 28% 25% 27% 21% 26% 26% 26% 24% 21% 45% 69% 48% 50% 53% 50% 49% 51% 53% 32% 47% 44% 49% 40% 39% 46% 45% 35% 26% 16% 9% 2% <1% 3% 2% 2% 5% 12% 1% 2% 8% <1% 5% 8% 13% 4% 14% 9% 10% 8% 8% 7% 7% 17% 7% 11% 6% 11% 12% 6% 6% 12% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% One of the leaders of the “UKROP” party, Hennadiy Korban Former Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk Mayor of Kharkiv Hennadiy Kernes Minister of Internal Affairs Arsen Avakov MP Nadia Savchenko Head of the Parliament Andriy Parubiy Prosecutor General Yuriy Lutsenko Leader of the political party “Svoboda,” Oleh Tyahnybok MP, leader of Opposition Bloc, Yuriy Boyko Former head of SBU Valentyn Nalyvaychenko Prime Minister Volodymyr Hroisman Former Governor of Odesa Oblast, Mikheil Saakashvili President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko MP, leader of the political party “Za Zhyttia,” Vadym Rabinovych Mayor of Kyiv Vitaliy Klitschko MP, leader of the political party “Fatherland,” Yulia Tymoshenko MP, leader of Radical Party, Oleh Lyashko Mayor of Lviv Andriy Sadovyi Head of the political party “Civic Position,” Anatoliy Hrytsenko Very favorable Somewhat favorable Very unfavorable Have not heard the name Difficult to answer 1% 1% 1% 18
  • 19. What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued) 19 29% 43% 63% 57% 27% 27% 27% 19% 20% 20% 18% 55% 41% 30% 34% 63% 68% 66% 73% 71% 73% 76% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Favorable Unfavorable 32% 34% 53% 54% 10% 13% 12% 7% 6% 5% 9% 60% 59% 40% 39% 83% 82% 83% 89% 87% 89% 86% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 19% 25% 20% 23% 15% 15% 23% 15% 18% 21% 33% 62% 62% 68% 70% 63% 77% 75% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Petro Poroshenko Arseniy Yatsenyuk Volodymyr Hroisman Andriy Parubiy 14% 20% 16% 15% 64% 63% 71% 75% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17
  • 20. What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued) 20 32% 31% 33% 34% 22% 25% 25% 20% 23% 23% 22% 58% 61% 58% 59% 68% 68% 68% 72% 68% 69% 71% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% May 13 Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Favorable Unfavorable Yulia Tymoshenko 43% 34% 34% 26% 22% 18% 42% 51% 50% 61% 64% 69% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 28% 24% 28% 29% 19% 16% 18% 15% 15% 14% 16% 63% 66% 62% 65% 69% 74% 73% 76% 75% 77% 75% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% May 13 Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Mikheil Saakashvili Oleh Tyahnybok 18% 17% 16% 17% 52% 58% 56% 53% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Nov.15 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Valentyn Nalyvaychenko
  • 21. What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued) 21 46% 24% 13% 34% 62% 76% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Favorable Unfavorable 13% 13% 12% 13% 17% 15% 16% 70% 72% 72% 70% 67% 71% 71% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Nadia Savchenko Yuriy Boyko 36% 38% 41% 36% 33% 25% 24% 41% 43% 40% 42% 48% 55% 59% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 25% 21% 23% 23% 22% 23% 23% 65% 74% 71% 69% 70% 69% 71% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Andriy Sadovyi Oleh Lyashko
  • 22. What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued) 22 11% 9% 7% 7% 7% 66% 66% 70% 67% 64% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Nov.15 Mar. 16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Hennadiy Korban 54% 48% 46% 50% 24% 25% 27% 19% 23% 21% 22% 37% 42% 47% 45% 63% 63% 60% 66% 65% 68% 65% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% May 13 Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Favorable Unfavorable Vitaliy Klitschko 25% 26% 31% 53% 50% 48% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Jun. 16 Sep. 16 Apr.17 Anatoliy Hrytsenko
  • 23. Energy and Utility Consumption
  • 24. Did you consume less energy or invest in energy efficiency measures for your household during this winter? 24 49% 6% 9% 28% 8% I consumed less energy I invested in energy efficiency measures I did not use less energy and did not invest in energy efficiency Difficult to answer *Historically, the Ukrainian government has subsidized the price of utilities for households. In 2016, the International Monetary Fund required that Ukraine decrease its subsidies, increasing the prices of utilities for families during a period of ongoing economic hardship.
  • 25. 25 Did your household participate in the state program for “heating loans” aimed at improving the energy efficiency of your household? 5% 92% 3% Yes No Difficult to answer
  • 26. 42% 51% 7% Yes No Difficult to answer 26 Have you heard of the state program for “heating loans” aimed at improving the energy efficiency of your household? (Respondents who did not participate in the “heating loans” program and those who had difficulty answering; n=2,289)
  • 28. Do you support the idea of holding early parliamentary elections in Ukraine? 28 15% 18% 20% 17% 18% 23% 27% 23% 25% 21% 24% 26% 22% 20% 19% 22% 19% 17% 23% 23% 22% 25% 21% 20% 14% 17% 14% 16% 18% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% September 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 September 2016 April 2017 Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer
  • 29. 34% 40% 39% 46% 34% 34% 41% 42% 49% 42% 29% 34% 28% 28% 26% 31% 34% 33% 33% 32% 33% 36% 34% 35% 33% 32% 32% 35% 40% 33% 34% 30% 33% 33% 7% 9% 8% 5% 8% 7% 8% 5% 4% 7% 9% 4% 10% 9% 10% 9% 8% 13% 11% 14% 11% 19% 20% 10% 12% 11% 15% 20% 16% 20% 21% 22% 19% 19% 12% 8% 8% 5% 4% 5% 6% 8% 3% 5% 8% 6% 9% 7% 11% 8% 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 September 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 September 2014 July 2015 September 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 September 2016 April 2017 Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer If early parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, would you vote? 29
  • 30. If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated, for which party would you vote? 30 19% 22% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 9% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Difficult to answer I would not vote Other Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia) Left Opposition Strong Ukraine People's Front Agrarian Party of Ukraine People’s Control Social Democratic Party Nash Krai Party National Movement of D.Yarosh UKROP Movement of New Forces Svoboda Civic Position Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich) For Life Party (Za Zhyttia) Radical Party Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist" Opposition Bloc Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna) (All respondents)
  • 31. If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated, for which party would you vote? (continued) 31 (Likely voters, n=1,585) 20% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 12% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Difficult to answer Other Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia) Left Opposition People's Front Strong Ukraine Agrarian Party of Ukraine People’s Control Social Democratic Party Nash Krai Party National Movement of D.Yarosh UKROP Movement of New Forces Svoboda Civic Position Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich) For Life Party (Za Zhyttia) Radical Party Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist" Opposition Bloc Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna)
  • 32. 32 (All respondents) Jul.15 Sep. 15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr. 17 Fatherland (Batkivshchyna) 6% 9% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% Bloc Petro Poroshenko “Solidarnist” 8% 10% 11% 7% 7% 8% 6% Opposition Bloc 6% 8% 8% 8% 10% 6% 6% Radical Party 5% 5% 3% 5% 5% 6% 5% Self-Reliance (Samopomich) 7% 9% 7% 8% 5% 5% 5% Civic Position 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 4% 4% For Life Party (Za Zhyttia) - - - - - 3% 5% Svoboda 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% Strong Ukraine 1% 1% - 1% - 2% 1% Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia) - 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% Movement of New Forces - - - - 2% 1% 2% UKROP 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% Other party 13% 12% 10% 9% 9% 10% 11% I would not vote 24% 16% 25% 27% 26% 21% 22% Difficult to answer 20% 19% 17% 16% 19% 18% 19% If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated, for which party would you vote? (continued)
  • 33. If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, for which other political party would you vote if the party that you previously selected did not participate in the elections? 33 34% 24% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Difficult to answer I would not vote Other People’s Control Left Opposition Strong Ukraine Agrarian Party of Ukraine Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia) Democratic Alliance Justice UKROP Right Sector National Movement of D.Yarosh Nash Krai Party People's Front Social Democratic Party Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist" Movement of New Forces Opposition Bloc Svoboda Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna) Civic Position Radical Party For Life Party (Za Zhyttia) Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich) (All respondents)
  • 34. If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, for which other political party would you vote if the party that you previously selected did not participate in the elections? 34 (Likely voters, n=1,551) 40% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Difficult to answer Other People’s Control Left Opposition Agrarian Party of Ukraine Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia) Strong Ukraine Justice UKROP Democratic Alliance National Movement of D.Yarosh Nash Krai Party Right Sector People's Front Social Democratic Party Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist" Movement of New Forces Opposition Bloc Svoboda Fatherland (Batkivshchyna) Civic Position Radical Party For Life Party (Za Zhyttia) Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)
  • 35. Why would you vote for this party? 35 4% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 13% 15% 17% 20% 22% 22% 25% 33% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Difficult to answer Other This party understands the problems of my region Other parties are even worse This party will secure stability in the country This party fulfills its promises This party can restore peace in the country This party has demonstrated consistent policies I like their decisiveness This party defends the interests of people like me They tell the truth This party can realize reforms and positive changes in Ukraine The ideology of this party is very close to mine The leadership of this party includes people whom I respect (Respondents who selected a party; n=1,415)
  • 36. 36 When electing a political party, which priority is closest to yours? 51% 17% 32% The party's priority is Ukraine's membership in the EU The party's priority is Ukraine's membership in the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan Difficult to answer
  • 37. 37 38% 40% 10% 21% 59% 64% 69% 74% 80% 82% 84% 89% 18% 18% 58% 44% 7% 7% 7% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2% 44% 42% 32% 36% 34% 28% 24% 19% 17% 17% 13% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Would not vote Undecided Opposition Bloc For Life (Za Zhyttia) UKROP Radical Party Civic Position Fatherland (Batkivshchyna) Self-Reliance (Samopomich) Movement of New Forces Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist" Svoboda The party's priority is Ukraine's membership in the EU The party's priority is Ukraine's membership in the Customs Union Difficult to answer When electing a political party, which priority is closest to yours? (continued)
  • 38. 38 When selecting a political party, which priority is closest to yours? (continued) 53% 19% 28% The priority of this political party is to deepen economic cooperation between Ukraine and the countries of the EU The priority of this political party is to deepen economic cooperation between Ukraine and post- Soviet countries Difficult to answer
  • 39. 39 40% 42% 11% 23% 64% 66% 72% 75% 80% 80% 84% 90% 19% 19% 62% 46% 9% 9% 9% 9% 4% 4% 3% 2% 42% 39% 27% 31% 27% 25% 19% 17% 17% 16% 13% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Would not vote Undecided Opposition Bloc For Life (Za Zhyttia) UKROP Radical Party Civic Position Fatherland (Batkivshchyna) Self-Reliance (Samopomich) Movement of New Forces Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist" Svoboda The party's priority is to deepen economic cooperation between Ukraine and the countries of the EU The party's priority is to deepen economic cooperation between Ukraine and post-Soviet countries Difficult to answer When selecting a political party, which priority is closest to yours? (continued)
  • 40. When selecting a political party during elections, which is most important to you? 40 6% 3% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 6% 34% 35% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Difficult to answer I don’t pay attention to any of the aforementioned positions when electing political party What it suggests in environmental policy How it supports language and culture What it proposes for education and science How it strengthens the position of Ukraine in the world What it proposes for healthcare How it defends our rights and freedoms What it proposes for national security and defense What it proposes for the economy What it proposes for social policy (salaries, pensions, employment, etc.)
  • 41. What is another area you consider when selecting a political party? 41 18% 3% 2% 2% 2% 5% 7% 9% 12% 18% 22% 0% 10% 20% 30% Difficult to answer I don’t pay attention to any of the aforementioned positions when selecting political party How it supports language and culture What it proposes for environmental policy What it proposes for education and science How it strengthens the position of Ukraine in the world What it proposes for national security and defense What it proposes for healthcare How it defends your rights and freedoms What it proposes for the economy What it proposes for social policy (salaries, pensions, employment, etc.)
  • 43. 43 If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous economy? 13% 17% 16% 14% 14% 20% 19% 20% 20% 20% 34% 30% 29% 28% 27% 18% 20% 22% 21% 27% 15% 14% 12% 16% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% July 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 April 2017 Democracy is definitely more important to me Democracy is somewhat more important to me Prosperity is definitely more important to me Difficult to answer
  • 44. Which of the following are the three most important issues for Ukraine? 44 1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 4% 7% 9% 10% 13% 17% 17% 23% 24% 26% 30% 52% 54% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Difficult to answer Other Russian language status Lack/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water Rights to land ownership Delays in salary/pension payments Russian presence in the Crimea Crime Relations with Russia Hryvnia devaluation Political instability Social protection for the poor Government incompetence Inflation Unemployment Low industry production Corruption within state bodies Military conflict in Donbas
  • 45. Which three of the following issues are the most important for you personally? 45 1% 4% 1% 2% 6% 6% 6% 9% 10% 11% 14% 18% 26% 26% 32% 32% 33% 53% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Difficult to answer Other Russian language status Russian presence in the Crimea Lack/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water Rights to land ownership Relations with Russia Crime Delays in salary/pension payments Political instability Government incompetence Low industry production Hryvnia devaluation Corruption within state bodies Social protection for the poor Military conflict in Donbas Unemployment Inflation
  • 46. 46 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 10% 12% 13% 22% 26% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Difficult to answer Other Secure the country’s defense capability Secure the unity of Ukraine Make our cities and villages more comfortable for life Achieve developed democracy so that citizens have more power in decision-making processes Make our country fairer and just Restore the territorial integrity of Ukraine Join the EU and NATO Get rid of corruption Secure a high level of economic development Improve the quality of life of citizens In your opinion, what should be the most important priority for Ukraine’s development in the next 10 years?
  • 47. 47 How would you characterize the detention of Roman Nasirov, the former Head of the State Fiscal Service of Ukraine? 30% 32% 38% It represents political persecution and selective justice It demonstrates a real fight against corruption Difficult to answer *Roman Nasirov headed the State Fiscal Service of Ukraine until his suspension in March 2017. He is being investigated by the National Anti-Corruption Bureau (NABU) for alleged corruption worth up to two billion Ukrainian hryvnias ($74 million) in one of the highest-profile corruption cases ever in Ukraine.
  • 48. Do you feel secure walking home alone in your neighborhood at night? 48 19% 39% 23% 14% 6% Yes, I feel completely safe Yes, I feel safe most of the time No, I never feel safe Difficult to answer
  • 50. 50 If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union, which of the following should it be? 42% 36% 37% 32% 40% 42% 41% 52% 53% 59% 55% 57% 57% 55% 54% 51% 53% 40% 43% 41% 42% 37% 37% 36% 27% 24% 17% 14% 17% 15% 15% 15% 19% 18% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5% 5% 9% 6% 10% 9% 12% 12% 12% 14% 12% 14% 14% 15% 17% 17% 20% 18% 17% 14% 14% 13% 15% 20% 14% 16% 15% 19% 17% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 September 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 September 2014 July 2015 September 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 September 2016 April 2017 European Union Customs Union Other Difficult to answer
  • 51. 51 If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union, which of the following should it be? (continued) 27% 38% 59% 83% 29% 31% 12% 2% 19% 20% 11% 8% 25% 11% 18% 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% East South Center West European Union Customs Union Other Difficult to answer
  • 52. 52 1% 4% 9% 13% 34% 38% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Difficult to answer Security guarantees Guarantees that rules and standards will be observed Greater ability to determine one's destiny A better economic situation in Ukraine Better living conditions for ordinary people What do you expect from this international union first and foremost? (Respondents who chose either the EU or Customs Union, n=1,687)
  • 53. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? 34% 38% 43% 41% 48% 48% 45% 39% 43% 46% 43% 40% 31% 30% 28% 30% 30% 32% 29% 27% 9% 7% 17% 14% 8% 10% 10% 12% 11% 12% 13% 15% 8% 15% 17% 13% 16% 17% 17% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2014 April 2014 September 2014 July 2015 September 2015 November 2015 February 2016 June 2016 September 2016 April 2017 Would vote to join NATO Would vote against joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer 53
  • 54. 21% 33% 54% 71% 41% 42% 20% 10% 20% 14% 11% 7% 18% 10% 16% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% East South Center West Would vote to join NATO Would vote against joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? (continued) 54
  • 55. 55 2% 6% 41% 51% 0% 20% 40% 60% Difficult to answer NATO does not provide any benefits, but we need it for international prestige NATO will defend Ukraine NATO will help Ukraine to increase its defense system standards In your opinion, what benefits does NATO provide to Ukraine? (Respondents who believe Ukraine should join NATO, n=1,108)
  • 56. 3% 3% 3% 6% 5% 7% 7% 9% 7% 9% 11% 14% 25% 32% 36% 38% 39% 39% 38% 42% 47% 47% 23% 60% 57% 43% 49% 45% 48% 47% 41% 38% 36% 30% 6% 4% 11% 6% 5% 3% 3% 7% 3% 4% 27% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Russia Turkey Moldova United States Germany Lithuania Georgia Canada European Union Belarus Poland Very warm Warm Neutral Very cold Difficult to answer 1% How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries? 56
  • 58. Do you support the economic blockade of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics? 58 17% 20% 19% 27% 3% 14% Fully support Somewhat support Definitely do not support Haven’t heard anything about this Difficult to answer
  • 59. In your opinion, are the national authorities of Ukraine doing enough to keep the liberated areas of the Donbas under Ukrainian authority? 59 1% 12% 31% 41% 15% Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer
  • 60. 60 11% 3% 3% 3% 10% 15% 55% 0% 20% 40% 60% Difficult to answer Other Become part of Russia Become an independent country Part of Ukraine but with special status Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as a result of decentralization reform Part of Ukraine as before In your opinion, what status should the Donbas territories under the control of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics have? Support Ukrainian Unity
  • 61. 61 In your opinion, what status should the Donbas territories under the control of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics have? (continued) November 2015 April 2017 Part of Ukraine as before 53% 55% Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as a result of decentralization reform 18% 15% Part of Ukraine but with special status 9% 10% Become part of Russia 4% 3% Become an independent country 3% 3% Other 1% 3% Difficult to answer 12% 11%
  • 62. 62 In your opinion, what status should the entire Donbas region have (i.e., the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts)? 9% 2% 2% 2% 6% 8% 16% 56% 0% 20% 40% 60% Difficult to answer Other Become an independent country Become part of Russia The territories controlled today by the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics should be separated from Ukraine and the rest of the territory should stay within Ukraine Part of Ukraine but with a special status Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as a result of decentralization reform Part of Ukraine as before Support Ukrainian Unity
  • 63. 63 November 2015 April 2017 Part of Ukraine as before 53% 56% Part of Ukraine but with extended competences resulting from the decentralization reform 20% 16% Part of Ukraine but with a special status 6% 8% Become part of Russia 2% 2% Become an independent country 1% 2% The territories controlled today by the so- called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics should be separated from Ukraine and the rest of the territory should stay within Ukraine 7% 6% Other 1% 2% Difficult to answer 9% 9% In you opinion, what status should the entire Donbas region have (i.e., the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts)? (continued)
  • 64. Oversample: Ukrainian-Controlled Territories of the Donbas Region (n=1,378) April 21 – May 5, 2017
  • 65. 65 21% 2% 2% 2% 11% 17% 45% 0% 20% 40% 60% Difficult to answer Other Become an independent country Become part of Russia Part of Ukraine but with a special status Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as a result of decentralization reform Part of Ukraine as before In your opinion, what status should the Donbas territories under the control of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics have? Support Ukrainian Unity
  • 66. 66 In your opinion, what status should the Donbas territories under the control of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics have? (continued) November 2015 April 2017 Part of Ukraine as before 31% 45% Part of Ukraine but with extended competences resulting from the decentralization reform 28% 17% Part of Ukraine but with special status 13% 11% Become an independent country 4% 2% Become part of Russia 8% 2% Other 1% 2% Difficult to answer 15% 21%
  • 67. 67 In your opinion, what status should the entire Donbas region have (i.e. the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts)? 17% 1% 1% 1% 2% 9% 22% 47% 0% 20% 40% 60% Difficult to answer Other The territories controlled today by the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics should be separated from Ukraine and the rest of the territory should stay within Ukraine Become an independent country Become part of Russia Part of Ukraine but with a special status Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as a result of decentralization reform Part of Ukraine as before Support Ukrainian Unity
  • 68. 68 November 2015 April 2017 Part of Ukraine as before 32% 47% Part of Ukraine but with extended authorities as a result of decentralization reform 35% 22% Part of Ukraine but with a special status 8% 9% Become part of Russia 7% 2% Become an independent country 1% 1% The territories controlled today by the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics should be separated from Ukraine and the rest of the territory should stay within Ukraine 3% 1% Other 1% 1% Difficult to answer 14% 17% In your opinion, which status should the entire Donbas region have (i.e. the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts)? (continued)
  • 69. In your opinion, are the national authorities of Ukraine doing enough to keep the liberated areas of the Donbas within Ukrainian territory? 69 6% 2% 18% 8% 23% 24% 29% 36% 25% 30% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2015 April 2017 Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Difficult to answer
  • 70. 70 In your opinion, which areas should the Ukrainian authorities prioritize in order to keep the Donbas part of Ukraine? (Three answers possible) 9% 3% 4% 24% 36% 42% 72% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Difficult to answer Other Focus on closer relations with the West (EU and NATO) Focus on the status of the Donbas region and improve relations with Russia Improve basic services (health, education and infrastructure) Fight crime, corruption and reform the judiciary Improve the economy and create jobs
  • 71. 71 In your opinion, which areas should the Ukrainian authorities prioritize in order to keep the Donbas part of Ukraine? (continued) November 2015 April 2017 Improve the economy and create jobs 62% 72% Fight crime, corruption and reform the judiciary 46% 42% Improve basic services (health, education and infrastructure) 46% 36% Focus on the status of the Donbas region and improve relations with Russia 19% 24% Focus on closer relations with the West (EU and NATO) 9% 4% Other 2% 3% Difficult to answer 12% 9%
  • 72. 72 In your opinion, which issues should be the top priority for your local authorities? (Three answers possible) 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 11% 14% 15% 26% 44% 48% 49% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Difficult to answer Other Land issues Garbage collection Cultural institutions Sporting establishments Pavements Sewage Kindergartens Water supply Public parks and squares Heating Yards and territories around houses Street lightning Schools Environment Transportation Security Industrial areas Social assistance Housing and communal areas Medical institutions Roads
  • 73. In your opinion, which issues should be the top priority for your local authorities? (continued) (Three answers possible) 73 November 2015 April 2017 Roads 50% 49% Medical institutions 37% 48% Housing and communal areas 43% 44% Social assistance 38% 26% Industrial areas 14% 15% Security 26% 14% Transportation 25% 11% Environment 21% 9% Street lightning 34% 8% Schools 22% 8% Public parks and squares 15% 7% Heating 25% 7% Yards and territories around houses 25% 7% Water supply 23% 6% Kindergartens 19% 5% Pavements 18% 4% Sewage 16% 4% Garbage collection 16% 3% Cultural institutions 13% 3% Sport establishments 11% 3% Land issues 17% 2% Other 10% 2% Difficult to answer 10% 3%
  • 74. Which of the following are the three most important issues for Ukraine? 74 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 7% 7% 8% 15% 16% 19% 23% 33% 35% 46% 63% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Difficult to answer Other Russian language status Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water Rights to land ownership Delays in salary/pension payments Russian presence in the Crimea Hryvnia devaluation Crime Relations with Russia Political instability Social protection for the poor Government incompetence Inflation Low industry production Unemployment Corruption within state bodies Military conflict in the Donbas
  • 75. Which three of the following are the most important issues for Ukraine? (continued) 75 November 2015 April 2017 Military conflict in the Donbas 50% 63% Corruption within state bodies 40% 46% Unemployment 34% 35% Low industry production 24% 33% Inflation 23% 23% Government incompetence 26% 19% Social protection for the poor 22% 16% Political instability 18% 15% Relations with Russia 12% 8% Crime 5% 7% Hryvnia devaluation 14% 7% Russian presence in the Crimea 3% 5% Delays in salary/pension payments 6% 4% Rights to land ownership 3% 2% Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water 7% 2% Russian language status 1% 1% Other 1% 3% Difficult to answer 2% 2%
  • 76. Which of the following issues are the three most important for you personally? 76 6% 10% 2% 3% 3% 5% 6% 7% 9% 9% 11% 14% 14% 18% 21% 31% 50% 60% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Difficult to answer Other Russian language status Rights to land ownership Russian presence in Crimea Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water Crime Relations with Russia Delays in salary/pension payments Political instability Government incompetence Hryvnia devaluation Low industry production Corruption within state bodies Social protection for the poor Unemployment Inflation Military conflict in the Donbas
  • 77. Which of the following issues are the three most important for you personally? (continued) 77 November 2015 April 2017 Military conflict in the Donbas 50% 60% Inflation 43% 50% Unemployment 29% 31% Social protection for the poor 26% 21% Corruption within state bodies 26% 18% Low industry production 17% 14% Hryvnia devaluation 21% 14% Government incompetence 21% 11% Delays in salary/pension payments 7% 9% Political instability 11% 9% Relations with Russia 8% 7% Crime 3% 6% Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water 10% 5% Russian presence in the Crimea 3% 3% Rights to land ownership 4% 3% Russian language status 2% 2% Other 6% 10% Difficult to answer 2% 6%
  • 78. What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 5% 5% 10% 10% 20% 2% 3% 3% 3% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 11% 12% 11% 12% 15% 16% 29% 14% 11% 16% 15% 18% 19% 22% 16% 15% 21% 15% 16% 18% 20% 19% 23% 20% 13% 11% 11% 19% 20% 14% 45% 75% 66% 66% 61% 48% 50% 51% 42% 51% 37% 57% 37% 56% 59% 53% 52% 16% 36% 30% 36% 28% 17% 14% 4% 8% 5% 9% 15% 6% 6% 2% 2% 24% 10% 12% 15% 14% 26% 20% 23% 28% 19% 35% 18% 26% 15% 12% 15% 15% 41% 31% 36% 17% 24% 21% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% One of the leaders of UKROP Party, Hennadiy Korban Former Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk Head of Parliament Andriy Parubiy Leader of the political party “Svoboda,” Oleh Tyahnybok Prosecutor General Yuriy Lutsenko Mayor of Kyiv Vitaliy Klitschko Minister of Internal Affairs Arsen Avakov Mayor of Lviv Andriy Sadovyi Former head of SBU Valentyn Nalyvaychenko MP Nadia Savchenko Mayor of Kharkiv Hennadiy Kernes Former Governor of Odesa Oblast, Mikheil Saakashvili Head of the political party “Civic Position” Anatoliy Hrytsenko MP, leader of the political party “Fatherland,” Yulia Tymoshenko President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko MP, leader of Radical Party, Oleh Lyashko Prime Minister Volodymyr Hroisman Head of the Donetsk military-civic administration, Pavlo Zhebrivskyi Former head of the parliamentary Party of Regions faction, Oleksandr Yefremov Co-leader of Opposition Bloc, head of the opposition government, Borys Kolesnikov MP, leader of the Opposition Bloc, Yuriy Boyko MP, leader of the political party “Za Zhyttia,” Vadym Rabinovych Businessman Rinat Akhmetov Very favorable Somewhat favorable Very unfavorable Have not heard the name Difficult to answer 1% 78 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
  • 79. 79 2% 2% 7% 4% 22% 13% 49% 56% 20% 25% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2015 April 2017 Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine?
  • 80. 80 How do you evaluate Russia’s actions toward Crimea? 41% 43% 11% 12% 18% 11% 30% 34% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2015 April 2017 It is an illegal invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine It is a lawful protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine Other Difficult to answer
  • 81. 81 In your opinion, which of the following should Ukraine do? 50% 54% 13% 4% 14% 15% 7% 2% 2% 2% 15% 23% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2015 April 2017 Remain a united country Remain a united country, but without Crimea Divide into several countries Other Difficult to answer
  • 82. 2% 5% 9% 12% 28% 25% 54% 47% 8% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2015 April 2017 Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer Do you feel that the Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine are under pressure or threat because of their language? 82
  • 83. Do you support the economic blockade of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics? 83 5% 6% 17% 50% 1% 21% Fully support Somewhat support Definitely do not support Haven’t heard anything about this Difficult to answer
  • 85. Demographics 45% 55% 32% 26% 42% 46% 32% 22% 3% 24% 38% 34% 23% 1% 18% 1% 30% 4% 8% 7% 5% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Male Female 18-35 36-50 51+ Ukrainian Russian Ukrainian and Russian equally Primary/Incomplete secondary General secondary Vocational secondary Higher/Incomplete higher Worker Farmer/Peasant White collar Higher or medium level executive Pensioner (not working) Student Housewife Unemployed Self-employed/Entrepreneur Other GENDERAGE LANGUAGE SPOKENAT HOMEEDUCATIONOCCUPATION 85 Nationwide
  • 86. Demographics 86 36% 21% 10% 1% 1% 5% 22% 2% 4% 70% 30% 24% 31% 22% 22% 0% 50% 100% Orthodox (Kyiv Patriarchate) Orthodox (Moscow Patriarchate) Greek Catholic Catholic Protestant Atheist I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion Other Difficult to answer City Village West Center South East RELIGION TYPEOF SETTLEMENTREGIONS Nationwide
  • 87. Demographics 87 21% 33% 33% 11% 2% 1% 0% 50% We need to save money for food We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money to buy clothes and shoes We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good suit, a mobile phone or a vacuum cleaner We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes and other purchases, but we need to save or borrow money to purchase more expensive items (e.g. appliances) We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes and expensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a car or an apartment Difficult to answer FAMILYFINANCES Nationwide
  • 88. Demographics 44% 56% 29% 25% 46% 3% 75% 21% 4% 19% 43% 33% 20% 16% 1% 36% 5% 8% 7% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Male Female 18-35 36-50 51+ Ukrainian Russian Ukrainian and Russian equally Primary/Incomplete secondary General secondary Vocational secondary Higher/Incomplete higher Worker White collar Higher or medium level executive Pensioner (not working) Student Housewife Unemployed Other GENDERAGE LANGUAGE SPOKENAT HOMEEDUCATIONOCCUPATION 88 Donbas Region
  • 89. Demographics 89 20% 40% 1% 6% 21% 2% 9% 89% 11% 66% 34% 0% 50% 100% Orthodox (Kyiv Patriarchate) Orthodox (Moscow Patriarchate) Greek Catholic Atheist I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion Other Difficult to answer City Village Donetsk Luhansk RELIGION TYPEOF SETTLEMENTREGIONS Donbas Region
  • 90. Demographics 90 26% 41% 26% 3% 1% 3% 0% 50% We need to save money for food We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money to buy clothes and shoes We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good suit, a mobile phone or a vacuum cleaner We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes and other purchases, but we need to save or borrow money to purchase more expensive things (e.g. appliances) We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes and expensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a car or an apartment Difficult to answer FAMILYFINANCES Donbas Region
  • 91. www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls Center for Insights in Survey Research 202.408.9450 | info@iri.org This presentation was undertaken with the financial support of the Government of Canada provided through the Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development (DFATD) Programme réalisée avec l’appui financier du gouvernement du Canada accordé par l’entremise du ministère des Affaires étrangères, du Commerce et du Développement (MAECD) . .