2. 2
Outline
Introduce the SEC Case Study
Review general concepts of numerical
modelling
Show how basic principles and models can
be extended to more complex settings
Discuss results of SEC model and insights
gained
3. 3
SE Collector Sewer
Environmental Assessment
Done for Conestoga-Rovers & Associates, Earth Tech
(Canada) Inc. and Regional Municipality of York
Study to look at impact of construction dewatering
on groundwater and baseflow in nearby streams
Previous construction (16th Ave) needed large-scale
dewatering after boring into Thorncliffe aquifer
SEC alignment designed to pass mostly through
Newmarket Till
Design used sealed shafts and EPBM when in
aquifers (now EPBM for entire run)
Study used MODFLOW to investigate baseline
impacts and contingencies (e.g., TBM rescue and
delays).
4. 4
Southeast Collector Trunk Sewer
Links to York-Durham Sewer System to Duffins Creek WPCP
Hydrogeologic investigation by CRA
5. 5
Alignment is 15 km long
Four tunnel boring machines
3.6 m sealed concrete liner
Shafts for access and turning TBM
Shaft 13 for connection to existing sewer
Construction currently underway
6. 6
Dewatering applications for groundwater models:
How long will we have to pump to reach target
levels?
How much will we have to pump to maintain levels?
What are the impacts on:
nearby wells
nearby streams (baseflow) and wetlands
Can we optimize pumping rates and minimize
impacts?
7. 7
What is a groundwater model?
A model is a simplified representation of a real
physical system
We want to analyze response in simple system and
extrapolate
Need to simplify because we often have limited
knowledge of subsurface geology
Limited data on hydraulic properties
Inputs (e.g. recharge) are highly variable in time
and space.
8. 8
Mathematical groundwater model:
Based on two simple principals
Darcy’s Law: Flow is proportional to
change in head (gradient)
q = - K dh/dx (K is hydraulic conductivity)
Conservation of mass:
Flow out – Flow in = Decrease in storage
Flow in/out can be related to heads through
Darcy’s Law
Change in storage can also be related to change
in head through the storage coefficient
Two basic types of models: analytical and
numerical
9. 9
Analytical solutions for predicting drawdown:
Integrate the GW flow equation directly. Get
“closed form” solution
Steady-State:
Single and multiple wells (e.g., Theim equation)
Line sources (e.g., DF drain discharge)
Transient
Single well – constant discharge (Theis)
Single well – constant drawdown (Lohman)
Late time (straight-line) solutions (Jacob)
Multiple wells (super-position) and boundaries
Leaky aquifers and partial penetration (Hantush)
Multiple aquifers (Neuman-Witherspoon)
Recharge and regional flow
Change in streamflow
Hunt (1999) and others
10. 10
Analytical solutions example:
What pumping rate do I need to get a 2 m
drawdown at 30 days at the edge of a 100 m wide
site. T is 650 m2/d, S is 0.0015
If there was a stream 500 m from the well with a
bed thickness of 1 m and a K’ of 0.086 m/d, how
much flow would be coming from the stream?
11. 11
Limitations of analytical solutions:
Need to assume infinite extent or that h=Ho at
some radius of influence
Simple geometry
Uniform properties
Theis eqn assumes single, infinite aquifer with no recharge
and fully penetrating well
Simple stream geometry and properties.
Note: More complex solutions can address specific
limitations.
Image wells and superposition can help deal with boundary
issues
12. 12
Numerical Models:
Finite Difference Methods:
Break area into a rectangular grid
Approximate derivatives in GW flow equation with
expressions relating to heads in neighbouring cells
Flows must satisfy mass balance criteria
Solve for heads at centre of cell
Finite Element Method
Break area into triangular or rectangular mesh
Approximate head in element as
simple function of heads at nodes
and take derivatives
Combine with weighted residual
method to minimize error
Solve for heads at each node
13. 13
Groundwater Modelling Programs:
Many codes available
MODFLOW-2005 is a finite difference code
developed by U.S. Geological Survey
open source and free (www.usgs.gov/software)
Many user-interfaces (e.g. Visual MODFLOW or GW-
Vistas) available for purchase
FEFLOW 6.0 is a Finite-Element Code
developed by DHI-WASY
closed source
built in GUI
Which method is better?
FD Guy FE Guy
14. 14
Numerical models have many important features:
Multiple aquifers and aquitards
Irregular geometry and discontinities
Irregular boundaries
Spatial variability in hydraulic properties
Variation in recharge rates
Multiple pumping sources
Confined/unconfined transition
Interaction with streams
Warning: All models are simplifications. Not all features can be
represented and are often unknown. Simplifying assumptions,
and extrapolations should be identified.
15. 15
Model information requirements (Conceptual Model):
Model geometry
Model extent should be determined by natural hydrologic
boundaries
Layer thickness (B) and continuity
Aquifer and aquitard properties (K, T, S, Sy)
Boundary conditions (heads and inflows at physical
limits of model)
Initial Conditions (heads at t=0)
Simple conceptual
model for a well in
a confined aquifer
Assumes infinite
areal extent
16. 16
SEC Model extents:
Included all of Duffins Creek and Rouge River watersheds
All overburden layers and weathered bedrock
Large model but better able to analyze affects on streams
17. 17
Question: Local versus sub-regional models:
Dewatering analysis may only need a local-scale
model
Impact assessment needs to consider effects
beyond site boundary
Detailed information may exist only on site
Process and extrapolate from other information:
Surficial geology and bedrock maps
Aquifer maps
MOE WWIS and UGAIS geotechnical data
Larger scale model should not sacrifice detail at
local scale
18. 18
Model grid design:
Model grid should be refined (i.e., small cells or
elements) around area of interest
Often use expanding grid to reach model boundaries
Uniform grids are better for regional models
because all features (e.g., streams) are of interest
19. 19
Portion of SEC Model grid:
Uniform 100-m cell size outside of SEC study area.
Down to 2.5 x 2.5 m near Shaft 13
20. 20
SEC Model layer geometry defined by analyzing borehole data
Many monitoring wells and geotechnical boreholes installed for SEC
Other data obtained from YPDT database
21. 21
SEC Model Geology:
Good geologic control along the alignment
Less detail at depth (e.g., to locate bedrock valleys)
Information about Newmarket Till extent used in design
Tunnel passes through TAC and ORAC at some locations
22. 22
Geology section outside SEC area inferred primarily from MOE
WWIS geologic logs
Location errors, ft-m conversion errors, and other data quality
issues add to difficulty in interpretation process
Potentiometric surfaces from MOE WWIS static water levels
23. 23
Three main types of Boundary Conditions:
Known head at boundary
Constant or time-dependent
Lakes and large rivers
Known flow at boundary
No-flow at stream divides
Impermeable boundaries (aquifer base)
Head-dependent flow
Leakage across confining units
Leakage across stream beds
H=H0
No Flow
No
Flow
1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8 9 10
11 12 13 14 15
No Flow
Model for a well in a
confined aquifer with
simple boundaries
24. 24
SEC Model uses natural hydrologic boundaries
No-flow boundaries at regional groundwater divide
Lateral boundaries defined by Rouge/Duffins watersheds
Constant head (72.5 masl) at Lake Ontario
25. 25
Boundary Conditions for Dewatering:
Specifying flow at a well or multiple well points:
Useful if you need to know the time to achieve target
drawdown
Can provide detailed pumping schedule (e.g., if using
multiple wells on different benches)
Specified Head
Once target is achieved, head can be maintained with
decreased rate of pumping
Can set head and determine
inflows from mass balance
MODFLOW CHD package
allows you to turn on
constant head boundaries.
We modified to turn them
off again.
Dewatering ahead of TBW
was simulated with moving
CH boundary
Click for Animation
26. 26
Aquifer properties:
Aquifer tests conducted by CRA:
Provide local information on T and S
Regional aquifer and aquitard properties
K’s inferred from previous studies and lithologic log data
Aquitard properties inferred previous work (e.g., Gerber
and Howard) and regional ORM model calibration
Local data incorporated and K’s refined
27. 27
Aquifer Inflows:
For simple models, recharge can be estimated and
refined through calibration
For SEC, groundwater recharge determined through
separate water budget analysis
Used USGS Precipitation-Runoff model (PRMS)
Daily water balance calculated for each model cell
Daily climate data inputs
(P, Temp, Solar Radiation)
Soil Properties and land use
(e.g., % impervious and
vegetative cover density)
from available mapping
Simulated 7 years and
averaged results
28. 28
SEC Model recharge:
High values on Oak Ridges Moraine and Iroquois Beach
Lower recharge on Halton and Newmarket Till and urban areas
29. 29
Aquifer Outflows:
For dewatering with wells or wellpoints, discharge
rates are specified.
For drains, a control elevation is specified.
For SEC Model, all permitted groundwater takings
were represented
Streams represented by MODFLOW rivers or drains
Discharge calculated internally based on difference
between stage and aquifer head
Stage is assumed constant (other MODFLOW packages
adjust stage based on upstream inflows and leakage)
30. 30
Model calibration:
After we define geometry, boundary conditions,
aquifer properties, and inflows, we still need to
calibrate to observations.
For SEC, calibration targets were observed
potentials and average baseflow in stream
K’s and recharge primary calibration factors
MOE WWIS water levels
Data quality problems, large number makes them useful
Baseflow estimated for HYDAT gauges
Automated base-
flow separation
methods not exact
31. 31
Match of simulated (blue) to observed (red) is reasonable
White areas are “dry”, heads are below base of ORAC
32. 32
Match aquifer test results to calibrate storage properties
Also tried to match simulated and observed 16th Ave dewatering
33. 33
Modelling dewatering and streamflow depletion:
Pumping near a stream can induce surface water
infiltration.
More likely, pumping can reduce amount of water
that would naturally discharge to the steam.
Impacts depend on pumping rate, proximity to
stream, and aquifer properties (transmissivity and
storage), and streambed properties
34. 34
Modelling dewatering and streamflow depletion:
Lag between start of
pumping and change in flow
Due to high storage (Sy)
May not see in short-term test
Recovery is also lagged
35. 35
SEC Dewatering analysis – Baseline Scenario:
Four Tunnel Drives:
TBM run in regular mode through Newmarket Till
Run in EPBM mode through aquifers
Shafts:
Sealed shafts in aquifers; open shafts in till.
Shaft 13 needs dewatering for 5 months at end for
connection to old sewer
Water takings:
300 L/m at Shaft 11 for construction
All other water from municipal supply
(now permitted for 220 L/min for construction and 300
L/min for seepage and dewatering).
Change in baseflow determined by subtracting
simulated baseflow from simulated discharge under
baseline conditions
36. 36
Schedule for Tunnel Drives and Shaft construction (not current schedule)
Green indicates no expected impact (sealed shafts and EPBM mode)
40. 40
Conclusions:
Numerical models can account for complex geology,
multiple aquifers and aquitards, and regional flow
conditions
Transient flow modelling is needed to represent behavior
of groundwater system under short-term and longer-term
dewatering
Models can account for decreasing inflows over time
Can account for change in aquifer storage and seasonal
changes in recharge
Can be used to assess time-dependent changes to
groundwater discharge to streams
Models results and understanding of geology helped in
route selection and dewatering design to minimize
impacts.