The document contains information about 7 students including their names and roll numbers. It then discusses various topics related to financial analysis such as statistical analysis, measurement of return, probabilities, expected rate of return, average rate of return, standard deviation, fundamental analysis involving analysis of economy-wide factors, industry-wide factors and company-wide factors. It also discusses technical analysis and different types of charts used including bar charts, line charts and candlestick charts.
3. Name Roll No.
Priyank Darji 07
Hardik Nathwani 25
Shashank Pai 26
Sagar Panchal 27
Dharmik Patel 30
Kush Shah 38
Siddarth Tawde 45
4.
5. STATISTICAL ANAYASIS
Statistical analysis refers to a collection of methods used
to process large amounts of data and report overall trends.
Statistical analysis provides ways to objectively report on
how unusual an event is based on historical data.
Statistical analysis to examine the tremendous amount of
data produced every day by the stock market.
6. MEASUREMENT OF RETURN
The rate of return is the total return the investor receives
during the holding period ( the period when the security
is owned or held by the investor) stated as percentage of
the purchase price of the investment at the beginning of
the holding period.
The general equation for calculating the total rate of
return is show below:
K = D + S.P- P.P
P.P
7. Probabilities are governed by five rules and range from
0 to 1
A probability can never be larger than 1
The sum total of probabilities must be equal to 1
If outcome is certain occure, it is assigned a probability of
1, and impossible outcome are assigned a probability of 0.
The possible outcomes must be mutually exclusive and
collectively exhaustive.
The future return are characterized by uncertain.
8. EXCEPTED RATE OF RETURN
The return on an investment as estimated by an asset
pricing model.
Formula :-
E(r) = probability * rate of return
For example:-
If a security has a 20% probability of providing a 10%
rate of return, a 50% probability of providing a 12% rate
of return, and a 25% probability of providing a 14% rate
of return.
• expected rate of return:-
= (.20)(10%) + (.50)(12%) + (.25)(14%)
=11.5%.
9. AVERAGE RATE OF RETURN (ARR)
Definition
Method of investment appraisal which determines return on investment by
totaling the cash flows (over the years for which the money was invested)
and dividing that amount by the number of years.
Example:
Ramesh spent $800,000 to buy an apartment building. After deducting all
operating expenses, real estate taxes, and insurance, he receives $65,000
in the first year, $71,000 in the second year, $69,000 in the third year, and
$70,000 in the fourth year.
Solution:-
Total net earning = 65,000 + 71,000 + 69,000 + 70,000 = 2,75,000
Now divided by 4
275000/4
=68750
ARR = 68750/800000*100
= 8.59%
10. Standard deviation is a statistical term that measures the
amount of variability or dispersion around an average.
Definition of 'Standard Deviation‘
In finance, standard deviation is applied to the annual
rate of return of an investment to measure the
investment's volatility. Standard deviation is also known
as historical volatility and is used by investors as a
gauge for the amount of expected volatility.
13. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Meaning:-
Fundamental analysis refers to the study of basic
fundamental economic indicators which affect the
country’s economy.
An investor using Fundamental Analysis to make
investment decisions will rely heavily on the following
sources of information:
Company Balance Sheet
Income (Profit and Loss) Statement
Annual report
Company announcements
14. Phase 1 :Analysis of Economy wide factor
Economic fundamental provide the most significant
information to traders. The impact of economic data tends to
be long term oriented. Economic indicators are reports
published at a fixed time intervals by government and private
organizations.
Here are some lists of economic report that have most
significant impacts on the market:
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Gross National Product (GNP)
Inflation report
Interest rate
15. Phase 2 :Analysis of Industry wide factor
Study of industry life cycle
The industry life cycle is made up of the following
stages:
1. Pioneering Phase
2. Growth Phase
3. Mature Growth Phase
4. Stabilization/Maturity Phase
5. Deceleration/Decline Phase
16. CONTD…
Study of qualitative and quantitative factor:-
1. Economies of scale
2. Capital Requirements
3. Government Regulation
4. Business Model
5. Management Team
17. Phase 2 :Analysis of Company wide factor
This is usually done by studying the company's financial
statements. From these statements a number of useful ratios
can be calculated.
P/E Ratio
Book Value Per Share
Current Ratio
Debt Ratio
18. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
• Meaning
Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities
by analyzing the statistics generated by market activity,
such as past prices and volume.
• The field of technical analysis is based on three
assumptions:
1.The market discounts everything.
2. Price moves in trends.
3. History tends to repeat itself.