This document outlines the methodology of a public opinion poll conducted ahead of Afghanistan's 2014 elections. It details the study design, questionnaire development, sampling methodology, data collection process, and margins of error. Key findings are also presented on issues like the biggest problems facing Afghanistan, views on democracy and elections, security, and information received about the upcoming vote. The methodology involved a stratified random sample of 2,500 face-to-face interviews across 34 provinces and 115 districts.
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Democracy International - Afghanistan Public Opinion Poll December 2013
1. PUBLIC OPINION POLL #1
METHODOLOGY AND KEY FINDINGS
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1
2. OBJECTIVE
To inform voters and candidates in a timely
manner about key election issues, voter
participation trends and level of public
support for individual candidates.
2
3. METHODOLOGY
Study design
•
Quantitative Survey
Questionnaire
•
•
Desk Review of Existing Literature
Qualitative Interviews & Focus Group Discussions
National and International Experts
Leaders/Members of Civil Society Organizations
Pilot test
•
3 settlements (Urban & Rural) - Random Selection
To Ensure the Clarity of Individual Questions
To Fine-tune Each Question Based on the Pretest Results
3
6. METHODOLOGY
Stratification (Distribution of Sampling Points):
• (PPS) Sampling Plan, Multi-stage Random Sampling :
Provincial level: Proportional to Population Size of Each Province
(CSO 2013 Population Data)
Urban/Rural: Proportional to Urban/Rural Population
District selection: Random Selection of Districts
PSU (Primary Sampling Unit): Random Selection of Settlements in
Each Selected District
SSU (Households): Households Selected Using Systematic
Random Sampling
Selection of Respondent: Respondents Selected Using the Kish
Grid
6
7. METHODOLOGY
Data Collection & Quality Control
•
SPS: 100 Interviewers (Male & Female), 35 Provincial
Supervisors
•
•
Back check by DI Quality Control Officers 8%
Observation by DI Quality Control Officers 8%
Inaccessibility and Replacements:
•
(4.5%) sampling points replaced (Security)
7
8. METHODOLOGY
Margins of Error - Overview
•
•
The Margin of Error (MoE) for the entire population is estimated to be
( 1.96%).
With each subsequent decrease in the sub-sample of the population the
MoE increases.
MARGINS OF ERROR
70%
60%
50%
40%
EXAMPLE: Do you agree or
disagree that…?
30%
20%
10%
Agree
0%
Total Sample
(n = 2500)
Females
(n = 1254)
Hazara
(n = 291)
University
(n = 148)
8
9. METHODOLOGY
Margins of Error – Gender, Ethnic Group &
Education Level
Population
Sample
MARGIN OF ERROR
(at 95% confidence)
Total Sample
2500
± 1.96%
Male
1246
± 1.97%
Female
1254
± 1.95%
Pashtun
977
± 2.45%
Tajik
886
± 2.65%
Hazara
291
± 5.40%
Secondary
213
± 6.42%
University or above
148
± 7.82%
Gender
Ethnic
Education
9
11. BIGGEST PROBLEM AT THE
NATIONAL LEVEL
THE SECOND BIGGEST
PROBLEM
Unemployment
Poor economy/Poverty
19%
Unemployment
17%
Unpaved Roads
0.9%
Lack of electricity
1.3%
Corruption committed by
authorities
3.6%
Lack of health care
1%
Crime
0.8%
Other
16%
Lack of Education/ Low
Literacy
4%
Government/Weak
authority
4.1%
Lack of national unity
0.1%
Lack of potable drinking
water
0.3%
Security issues/
Terrorism
48%
Foreign occupation
0.1%
11
Poor economy/Poverty
Corruption committed by
authorities
Government/Weak
authority
Lack of
Education/Schools/ Low
Literacy
Security
issues/Violence/Terrorism
Lack of electricity
Crime
Unpaved Roads
Lack of health care
centers/Poor quality of
health care services
Lack of potable drinking
water
26%
18%
12%
9%
9%
7%
6%
4%
4%
3%
2%
12. BIGGEST PROBLEM AT THE
COMMUNITY LEVEL
Lack of Governance/Weak
authority
Corruption committed by
2.9%
authorities
2.1%
Unemployment
26%
Lack of health care centers/
Health care services
2%
Other
16%
Lack of potable drinking water
3%
Crime
0.6%
Unpaved Roads
4.9%
Poor economy/Poverty
27%
THE SECOND BIGGEST PROBLEM
Unemployment
Lack of electricity
Unpaved Roads
Poor economy/Poverty
Lack of Education/Schools/ Low Literacy
Corruption committed by authorities
20%
14%
12%
12%
9%
7%
Lack of health care centers/Poor quality of health care services
6%
Lack of governance/Weak authority
Lack of potable drinking water
Security issues/Violence/Terrorism
Crime
6%
6%
4%
2%
12
13. COUNTRY’S DIRECTION
Wrong Direction
21%
Don’t Know 12%
Right Direction
33%
Some in
right, some in
wrong 34%
REASONS FOR GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION
Good reconstruction
17%
Good security
14%
International assistance
11%
Democracy/Elections
10%
5%
Better economic conditions
Legitimate Constitution
4%
Good government
4%
Freedom of movement
Insecurity
Poor governance
Administrative corruption
Innocent people being killed
Poor economy
No reconstruction has occurred
Presence of the Taliban
Neighboring countries causing…
Lack of international development …
Deficiencies in the education system
23%
21%
32%
Schools for girls have opened
Peace/End of war
REASONS FOR GOING IN THE WRONG DIRECTION
2%
14%
9%
8%
8%
7%
4%
2%
1%
1%
13
14. PRESENT LIVING AND ECONOMIC
CONDITIONS
COUNTRY’S PRESENT
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
RESPONDENTS’ PRESENT
LIVING CONDITIONS
49%
41%
22%
19%
19%
14%
Very bad
Fairly bad
Fairly
good
Very good
17%
13%
Very bad Fairly bad
Fairly
good
Very good
14
15. FEELING MORE ECONOMICALLY
SECURE COMPARED TO:
5 YEARS AGO
Refused
2%
15 YEARS AGO
(DURING THE TALIBAN
GOVERNANCE)
Refused
5%
No
14%
No
26%
Yes
72%
Yes
81%
15
16. SECURITY SITUATION TODAY
COMPARED TO THE LAST 12 MONTHS
LOCAL AREA
COUNTRY
34%
32%
30%
31%
21%
20%
14%
12%
A lot
worse
The
same
Little
better
Much
better
A lot
worse
The same
Little
better
Much
better
16
17. HOW WILL THE SECURITY
SITUATION DEVELOP DURING:
ELECTIONS TIME
SUBSEQUENT 12 MONTHS
52%
46%
17%
13%
14%
A lot
worse
The
same
15%
10%
10%
Little
better
Much
better
Don’t
Know
A lot
worse
The
same
11%
10%
Little
better
Much
better
Don’t
Know
17
19. CONFIDENCE IN INSTITUTIONS
AND GOVERNMENTAL AUTHORITY
Some confidence
A lot of confidence
22%
Your neighbors
71%
34%
Afghan National Army
58%
The President
43%
Police
43%
43%
38%
35%
Village leader (Malik/Arbab/Khan/Qaryadar)
44%
39%
The Media
37%
46%
Provincial Governor
29%
51%
Your District Governor
24%
44%
The Wolesi Jirga
21%
50%
The Independent Election Commission (IEC)
15%
45%
The Provincial Council
40%
Independent Electoral Complaints Commission (IECC)
12%
35%
The Judiciary
16%
11%
Local Commanders (Warloards) in your area
24%
9%
Political Parties
24%
7%
The Taliban
7%
2%
19
20. SATISFACTION WITH:
THE WAY DEMOCRACY
WORKS IN AFGHANISTAN
THE WAY ELECTIONS
WORK IN AFGHANISTAN
74%
60%
28%
19%
4%
No Democracy
in Afghanistan
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
20
22. IMPORTANCE OF HOLDING
GENERAL ELECTIONS
Important
Very important
To secure a safe future for all Afghan citizens
26%
68%
94%
To ensure economic prosperity for all Afghan citizens
26%
67%
93%
To promote national reconciliation
25%
To eliminate corruption
To secure the delivery of better governmental services
To promote stronger democratic practices
22%
28%
33%
89%
64%
87%
65%
59%
87%
48%
81%
22
23. PARTICIPATING IN THE UPCOMING
ELECTIONS
96%
77%
63%
59%
52%
44%
34%
34%
11%
2%
The civic duty of
all Afghan citizens
Compatible with
Islamic values and
teachings
My own personal
responsibility
Disagree
The responsibility
of the male family
members
The responsibility
of the residents of
Kabul
Agree
23
24. WOMEN AND ELECTIONS
92 %
92%
FACTORS PREVENTING WOMEN
FROM PARTICIPATING IN ELECTIONS
70%
Insecurity
51%
Lack of Awareness
6%
6%
Family members prevent them from
participating
35%
28%
Lack of accessibility of polling stations
Women should
register to vote
Women have the
right to participate
in elections
Disagree
Agree
Participation is not socially appropriate
13%
24
25. VOTER REGISTRATION BY
GENDER
83%
WILL THEY REGISTER?
68%
59%
37%
31%
31%
31%
29%
16%
76%
24%
No
34%
24%
Yes
Male
11%
Female
No
41%
Not decided yet
Male
Yes
Female
25
26. VOTED IN THE 2009 PRESIDENTIAL AND
PROVINCIAL COUNCIL ELECTIONS
76%
70%
61%
60%
54%
44%
40%
38%
No
34%
Yes
65%
27%
24%
North
West
Central
No
South
East
Yes
26
27. LEGITIMACY OF 2009 PRESIDENTIAL AND
PROVINCIAL COUNCIL ELECTIONS BY
REGION
Disagree
Agree
Don't Know
64%
59%
55%
51%
50%
41%
38%
31%
24%
25%
19%
19%
27%
25%
22%
21%
15%
9%
Disaree
Agree
Don’t Know
North
Central
West
East
South
27
28. INTENTION TO VOTE IN 2014 PRESIDENTIAL
AND PROVINCIAL COUNCIL ELECTIONS BY
REGION
No
Yes
Don't Know
92%
87%
81%
7%
80%
79%
8%
Yes
85%
6%
2%
North
9%
15%
4%
West
Central
10%
3%
East
14%
9%
7%
South
28
29. PERCEPTION OF NEIGHBORS’ VOTING BEHAVIOR
IN THE UPCOMING ELECTIONS BY REGION
77%
77%
66%
59%
58%
43%
37%
16%
25%
23%
18%
18% 18%
14%
19%
16%
8%
5%
Most
people
will not
vote
Most
people
will vote
Don't
Know
Central
North
Most people will not vote
West
East
Most people will vote
South
Don't Know
29
30. ENTITIES THAT ENCOURAGE/DISCOURAGE
PARTICIPATION IN THE UPCOMING ELECTIONS
Discouraging
85%
83%
Encouraging
83%
75%
73%
71%
59%
49%
9%
4%
Family
members
Media
6%
Friends
8%
Village
elders/Tribal
leaders
11%
4%
GIRoA
officials
Religious
leaders
8%
Political party
leaders
3%
Taliban
30
31. IMPORTANCE OF VOTING IN INFLUENCING THE
OUTCOME OF THE UPCOMING ELECTIONS BY
REGION
78%
67%
67%
66%
67%
51%
38%
27%
25%
19%
18%
25%
1% 2%
1%
3%
Not
Not very Important
Very
important important
important
at all
Central
1% 2%
North
Not important at all
1%
4%
East
Not very important
1% 3%
West
Important
4% 6%
South
Very important
31
32. IMPORTANCE OF THE UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL
ELECTION FOR THE FUTURE OF AFGHANISTAN
BY REGION
Not important at all
Important
Not very important
Very important
80%
72%
71%
70%
58%
71%
28%
23%
21%
15%
21%
1%
3%
Not
Not very Important
Very
important important
important
at all
1%
1.4%
Central
2%
0.3%
North
3%
2.3%
South
20%
3%
1.0%
East
8%
1.3%
West
32
33. INCLUSIVITY OF THE UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL
AND PROVINCIAL COUNCIL ELECTIONS BY
REGION
Not inclusive
Very inclusive
57%
45%
Somewhat inclusive
Don't Know
51%
41%
28%
40%
38% 37%
20%
28%
25%
27%
7%
15%
7%
Central
24% 26%
22%
18%
17%
9%
9%
5%
South
2%
East
West
North
33
34. PERCENTAGE OF ETHNIC GROUPS BEING
DISPROPORTIONATELY EXCLUDED FROM
PARTICIPATING IN THE ELECTIONS
54%
30%
15%
No
EXCLUDED ETHNIC GROUPS
63%
Pashtun
7%
Nuristani
Baloch
Don't Know
REASONS FOR BEING
EXCLUDED
26%
Insecurity
21%
Threat of Taliban
6%
Hazara
Yes
5%
Lack of awareness
9%
Lack of polling station in their area
9%
Uzbek
2%
Turkmen
2%
Male family members preventing women to vote
Tajik
2%
Problem of roads
Kyrkyz
1%
Not receiving information about election
Kuchis
.9%
Fear of fraud in election
6%
4%
3%
1%
34
35. TRANSPARENCY OF THE UPCOMING
PRESIDENTIAL AND PROVINCIAL COUNCIL
ELECTIONS BY REGION
48%
28%
14%
9%
Not
transparent
at all
Fairly
transparent
Very
transparent
Don't Know
60%
53%
44%
44%
40%
36%
30%
34%
23%
12%
15% 14% 16%
Central
8%
South
Not transparent at all
13%
12%
5%
4%
West
Fairly transparent
19%
15%
North
Very transparent
East
Don't Know
35
36. FAIRNESS OF THE UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL
AND PROVINCIAL COUNCIL ELECTIONS BY
REGION
48%
27%
14%
10%
Not fair at all
Fairly fair
Very fair
Don't Know
60%
51%
47%
43%
16% 13% 17%
Central
8%
South
Not fair at all
35%
27%
24%
12%
43%
36%
16%
14%
16%
11%
6%
4%
West
Fairly fair
North
Very fair
East
Don't Know
36
38. RECEIVED INFORMATION ABOUT VOTER
REGISTRATION BY GENDER
No information
Some information, but not sufficient
40%
Sufficient information
North
17%
East
17%
30%
23%
Central
28%
South
22%
52%
29%
West
34%
41%
30%
41%
30%
23%
45%
36%
21%
41% 40%
34%
26%
26%
21%
No information
Some information, but not sufficient
Sufficient information
No information
Some information, but not sufficient
Sufficient information
Male
Female
38
39. SOURCES AND TYPES OF
INFORMATION
SOURCE OF
INFORMATION
59%
Television
57%
Radio
47%
Elders
46%
Family members
44%
Friends or neighbors
33%
Independent Election Commission
23%
Mullahs
Mosque
Newspapers
The internet
18%
15%
8%
TYPES OF
INFORMATION
76%
Information about candidates
61%
Information about voter registration
52%
Information about how to vote/choose
candidates on a ballot
50%
Information about Islam and elections
Information about the location of polling
stations
43%
Information about security arrangements to
protect voters
31%
Information about electoral law and human
rights
28%
Information about how to file an electoral
complaint
20%
Information about the incumbents, their
policies, successes and failures
19%
Information about political parties
17%
39
40. HELPFULNESS OF THE INFORMATION
RECEIVED BY GENDER
53%
50%
52%
25%
21%
17%
18%
14%
11%
10%
Did not
Not helpful
receive any
at all
information
Fairly
helpful
Very
helpful
Did not
receive any
information
9% 11%
Not helpful
at all
Male
Fairly helpful Very helpful
Female
40
42. FAMILIARITY WITH THE
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES
HEARD ABOUT THE
CANDIDATE
92%
Dr. Abdullah Abdullah
86%
Mohammad Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai
81%
Abdul Qayum Karzai
78%
Professor Abdul Rab Rasul Sayyaf
65%
Mohammad Shafiq Gul Agha Sherzai
62%
Abdul Rahim Wardak
53%
Zalmai Rasoul
Mohammad Dawood Soltanzoi
Mohammad Nadir Naiem
Engineer Qotbuddin Helal
Hedayat Amin Arsala
39%
36%
35%
35%
42
43. FAMILIARITY WITH THE PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATES BY REGION
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
94.9%
89.1%
82.8%
86.4%
76.2%
71.0%
63.5%
52.7%
45.5%
Central
North
East
West
South
46.6%
50.9%
43
44. SUPPORT FOR PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATES
LIKELY TO SUPPORT THE
CANDIDATE
Dr. Abdullah Abdullah
39%
Mohammad Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai
39%
Abdul Qayum Karzai
52%
48%
41%
40%
Professor Abdul Rab Rasul Sayyaf
54%
27%
Mohammad Shafiq Gul Agha Sherzai
53%
25%
Zalmai Rasoul
53%
25%
Abdul Rahim Wardak
56%
17%
Mohammad Dawood Soltanzoi
56%
16%
Engineer Qotbuddin Helal
58%
Mohammad Nadir Naiem
59%
Hedayat Amin Arsala
59%
Least likely
15%
15%
11%
Most likely
44
46. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY, WHOM
WOULD YOU CAST YOUR VOTE FOR?
31.5%
25.5%
13.2%
10.2%
5.4%
5.3%
1.4%
1.2%
1.2%
.8%
.4%
46
47. CANDIDATE PREFERENCE BY
REGION
8.0%
1.8%
2.5%
18.8%
Dr. Abdullah Abdullah
Zalmai Rasoul
33.7%
10.9%
3.7%
38.2%
45.4%
18.0%
10.9%
Mohammad Ashraf Ghani
Ahmadzai
.5%
Abdul Rahim Wardak
.2%
.8%
20.9%
14.4%
19.4%
10.2%
6.5%
Abdul Qayum Karzai
Engineer Qotbuddin Helal
Mohammad Nadir Naiem
35.1%
6.3%
Professor Abdul Rab Rasul Sayyaf
.9%
.9%
5.2%
.5%
1.3%
4.6%
1.2%
1.6%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0%
East
North
Central
Mohammad Dawood
Soltanzoi
0.0%
Hedayat Amin Arsala
22.9%
West
2.9%
1.5%
8.9%
South
5.2%
.1%
1.1%
.8%
.7%
1.9%
3.1%
0.0%
0.0%
20.3%
Mohammad Shafiq Gul Agha
Sherzai
2.3%
43.5%
30.6%
8.7%
.8%
.8%
0.0%
.3%
.2%
1.1%
.6%
.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0%
47
48. HOW MUCH DOES THE INCLUSION OF FIRST
VP ON THE TICKET INFLUENCE YOUR
DECISION
Mohammad Ismail Khan (Abdul Rab Rasul
Sayyaf)
25%
26%
Abdul Rashid Dustom (Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai)
33%
Ahmad Zia Masood (Zalmai Rasoul)
35%
Wahidullah Sharani (Abdul Qayum Karzai)
Ahmad Saeedi (Moh. Dawood Soltanzoi)
Sayed Hussain Alemi Balkhi (Gul Agha Sherzai)
25%
40%
20%
28%
43%
20%
26%
49%
15%
31%
51%
Taj Mohammad Akbar (Mohammad Nadir
Naiem)
52%
Mohammad Khan (Dr. Abdullah Abdullah)
52%
Enayatullah Enayat (Engineer Qotbuddin Helal)
38%
31%
Shah Abdul Ahad Afzali (Abdul Rahim Wardak)
General Khodaidad (Hedayat Amin Arsala)
45%
28%
21%
9%
24%
30%
62%
12%
38%
65%
Not at all
17%
28%
To some level
7%
Very much
48
49. IF THE FIRST VP LEAVES THE TICKET WOULD
YOU STILL VOTE FOR THE CANDIDATE?
36%
Mohammad Ismail Khan (Abdul Rab Rasul Sayyaf)
58%
Sayed Hussain Alemi Balkhi (Gul Agha Sherzai)
29%
66%
Abdul Rashid Dustom (Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai)
28%
68%
Taj Mohammad Akbar (Mohammad Nadir Naiem)
14%
Wahidullah Sharani (Abdul Qayum Karzai)
86%
12%
75%
Enayatullah Enayat (Engineer Qotbuddin Helal)
11%
86%
Shah Abdul Ahad Afzali (Abdul Rahim Wardak)
9%
86%
Mohammad Khan (Dr. Abdullah Abdullah)
8%
88%
Ahmad Saeedi (Moh. Dawood Soltanzoi)
5%
Ahmad Zia Masood (Zalmai Rasoul)
3%
74%
82%
100%
General Khodaidad (Hedayat Amin Arsala)
No
Yes
49
50. HOW MUCH DOES THE INCLUSION OF THE
SECOND VP INFLUENCE YOUR PREFERENCE
FOR THIS TICKET
Kazima Mohaqiq (Mohammad Dawood Soltanzoi)
Habiba Sarabi (Zalmai Rasoul)
Abdul Wahab Erfan (Abdul Rab Rasul Sayyaf)
Mohammad Sarwar Danish (Ashraf Ghani
Ahmadzai)
27%
37%
29%
25%
31%
Mohammad Mohaqiq (Dr. Abdullah Abdullah)
41%
12%
46%
34%
40%
16%
28%
20%
29%
45%
25%
26%
Azizullah Puya (Mohammad Nadir Naiem)
49%
Safiya Seddiqi (Hedayat Amin Arsala)
50%
Mohammad Hashem Zareh (Gul Agha Sherzai)
51%
Mohammad Ali Nabizadah (Engineer Qotbuddin
Helal)
39%
50%
Mohammad Noor Akbari (Abdul Qayum Karzai)
Sayed Hussain Anwari (Abdul Rahim Wardak)
15%
15%
20%
23%
38%
32%
61%
Not at all
12%
14%
28%
To some level
11%
Very much
50
51. IF THE SECOND VP LEAVES THE TICKET
WOULD YOU STILL VOTE FOR THE
CANDIDATE?
Mohammad Hashem Zareh (Gul Agha Sherzai)
26%
Habiba Sarabi (Zalmai Rasoul)
69%
25%
66%
Azizullah Puya (Mohammad Nadir Naiem)
17%
80%
Mohammad Sarwar Danish (Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai)
15%
80%
Mohammad Mohaqiq (Dr. Abdullah Abdullah)
15%
82%
Mohammad Noor Akbari (Abdul Qayum Karzai)
11%
Kazima Mohaqiq (Mohammad Dawood Soltanzoi)
10%
Sayed Hussain Anwari (Abdul Rahim Wardak)
7%
Abdul Wahab Erfan (Abdul Rab Rasul Sayyaf)
74%
8%
Mohammad Ali Nabizadah (Engineer Qotbuddin Helal)
77%
83%
4%
89%
90%
78%
Safiya Seddiqi (Hedayat Amin Arsala)
No
Yes
51
52. THE SINGLE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE THE
ELECTED PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON BY
REGION
29%
26%
21%
7%
5%
5%
3%
4%
Eliminating corruption
Improving the economy
ImprovingReconciliation with the Taliban improving roads Taliban
security
Rebuilding and
Defeat of the Improving education
Improving medical care
35%
30%
33.4%
33.4%
30.0%
29.6%
28.4%
29.1%
25.2% 24.7%
23.2%
24.3%
25%
18.8%
20.0%
23.9%
20.3%
20%
13.5%
15%
10.2%
10%
9.4%
6.8%
6.7%
6.4%
5.0%
3.6%
5%
2.5%
5.5%
1.7%
6.5% 6.1% 5.1%
3.9%
1.4%
8.0%
4.4%
2.9%
2.8%3.4% 3.5%
2.9%3.2%
.9%
1.3%
0%
Eliminating
corruption
Improving the
economy
Improving
security
Central
Reconciliation Rebuilding and
with the Taliban
improving
roads
North
East
West
Defeat of the
Taliban
South
Improving
education
Improving
medical care
52
53. WILL ANY ONE CANDIDATE GET ENOUGH VOTES
IN THE FIRST ROUND TO AVOID A RUN-OFF
ELECTION?
No
Yes
Don't Know
28%
Don't Know
No
19%
Yes
53%
53
54. LIKELY CONTENDERS IN THE RUNOFF
27.4%
Dr. Abdullah Abdullah - Mohammad Ashraf Ghani
Ahmadzai
Dr. Abdullah Abdullah - Abdul Qayum Karzai
Abdul Qayum Karzai - Mohammad Ashraf Ghani
Ahmadzai
Dr. Abdullah Abdullah - Professor Abdul Rab Rasul
Sayyaf
11%
9.3%
8.4%
54
55. AFGHAN DIASPORA AND VOTING
IN THE UPCOMING ELECTIONS
No
Yes
Don't Know
14%
Don't Know
No
8%
Yes
78%
55
56. WHO WILL BE PRESIDENT ONE
YEAR FROM TODAY?
29.5%
Dr. Abdullah Abdullah
27.4%
Mohammad Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai
16.7%
Abdul Qayum Karzai
11.0%
Professor Abdul Rab Rasul Sayyaf
Zalmai Rasoul
5.9%
Mohammad Shafiq Gul Agha Sherzai
5.1%
Abdul Rahim Wardak
1.6%
Mohammad Nadir Naiem
1.1%
Engineer Qotbuddin Helal
.7%
Mohammad Dawood Soltanzoi
.6%
Hedayat Amin Arsala
.3%
56
57. WHICH CANDIDATE BEST REPRESENTS
YOUR ECONOMIC INTERESTS?
32.9%
Dr. Abdullah Abdullah
28.2%
Mohammad Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai
13.2%
Abdul Qayum Karzai
10.3%
Professor Abdul Rab Rasul Sayyaf
Mohammad Shafiq Gul Agha Sherzai
5.7%
Zalmai Rasoul
5.4%
Abdul Rahim Wardak
1.3%
Engineer Qotbuddin Helal
1.0%
Mohammad Nadir Naiem
.8%
Mohammad Dawood Soltanzoi
.7%
Hedayat Amin Arsala
.4%
57
60. HOUSEHOLD MONTHLY INCOME
AND EDUCATION LEVEL
30%
22%
20%
14%
14%
3,000 AFG or
less
3,001 - 5,000
AFG
5,001 - 10,000
AFG
10,001 15,000 AFG
More than
15,000 AFG
40%
18%
10%
9%
7%
9%
6%
Never went to school
Informal schooling School, Primary School, complete
Primary
incomplete
Secondary education igh School
H
University education or above
60
