Justin and Lisa set out some of the new information on West Cork from the Census 2011 data.

1. Census 2011, Interpretation of
Data and Trends for West Cork.
Lisa Noonan and Justin Doran
School of Economics
University College Cork
1

2. Structure of Presentation
• Introduction
• The Census and Small Area Population
Statistics
• Overview of Ireland
• West Cork – Statistical Snapshot (Census
supplemented with additional sources)
• Key Findings
2

3. The Census and Small Area
Population Statistics
3

4. Information on the Census
• Census of Population carried out on 10th April
2011
• Figures relate to the de facto population:
– Visitors present in an area on Census night
included
– Residents temporarily absent from the area
excluded
4

5. About the Census
• Different geographic divisions of the country
in Census 2011:
– Small Areas
– Electoral Divisions
– Town and Rural Districts
– Counties and Cities
– Dáil Constituencies
– Regional Authorities
5

6. About the Census
• SAPS 2011 published by CSO on 1st July 2012
• 15 themes covered including:
– Demography
– Employment
– Housing
– PC and Internet Access
6

7. Overview of Ireland
7

8. Overview of Ireland – Actual GDP
versus Counterfactual
8

9. 1,000.00
1,500.00
2,000.00
2,500.00
500.00
0.00
1998Q1
1998Q4
1999Q3
2000Q2
2001Q1
2001Q4
2002Q3
2003Q2
2004Q1
2004Q4
2005Q3
Employed
2006Q2
2007Q1
2007Q4
2008Q3
2009Q2
2010Q1
2010Q4
2011Q3
2012Q2
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
50
0
1998Q1
Ireland
1998Q4
1999Q3
2000Q2
2001Q1
2001Q4
2002Q3
2003Q2
2004Q1
2004Q4
2005Q3
2006Q2
Unemployed
2007Q1
2007Q4
2008Q3
2009Q2
Employment and Unemployment in
2010Q1
2010Q4
9
2011Q3
2012Q2

10. Net Migration
Net Migration - State and Munster
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
State
-50,000 Munster
-100,000
-150,000
-200,000
-250,000
1926 - 1936 - 1946 - 1951 - 1956 - 1961 1966 1971 1979 1981 1986 - 1991 - 1996 - 2002 - 2006 -
1936 1946 1951 1956 1961 - 1966 - 1971 - 1979 - 1981 - 1986 1991 1996 2002 2006 2011
10

11. Statistical Snapshot of West Cork
11

12. Population by DED – 2011 Census
(1387,36057]
(620,1387]
(347,620]
[73,347] 12

13. Population by DED – 2011 Census
(1319,20397]
(665,1319]
(388,665]
[88,388]
13

14. Population by DED – Growth 2006 to 2011
(12.8189,112.048]
(6.79279,12.8189]
(1.9397,6.79279]
[-15.8228,1.9397]
No data
14

15. Population Density by DED – 2011
Census
(217.2281,11176.03]
(32.42989,217.2281]
(19.24175,32.42989]
[3.905219,19.24175]
15

16. Population aged 15 and over by
Principal Status in Ireland 2011
0%
4%
13%
At work
Looking for first regular job
10% Unemployed having lost or given
up previous job
50% Student
Looking after home/family
11%
Retired
Unable to work due to permanent
11% sickness or disability
Other
1%
16

17. Population aged 15 and over by
Principal Status in Co. Cork 2011
0%
4% At work
12%
Looking for first regular job
Unemployed having lost or given up
previous job
10% Student
Looking after home/family
53%
Retired
11%
Unable to work due to permanent
sickness or disability
9%
Other
1%
17

18. Principal Economic Status of Persons aged 15
and over in County Cork 2006 and 2011
2006 2011
% of % of % of % of % of % of
Principal Economic Status Persons Males Females Persons Males Females
At work 59.04 69.43 48.55 53.43 58.80 48.21
Looking for first regular job 0.65 0.70 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.61
Unemployed, having lost or given
up previous job 3.05 3.57 2.54 8.64 11.57 5.80
Student 9.90 9.39 10.42 10.60 10.60 10.59
Looking after home/family 12.67 0.98 24.46 10.09 0.97 18.95
Retired 10.69 11.99 9.37 12.22 13.07 11.39
Unable to work due to permanent
sickness or disability 3.66 3.69 3.63 4.03 4.05 4.00
Other 0.34 0.25 0.42 0.35 0.25 0.44
18

19. 10 ED’s with the highest and lowest percentage difference in
Population at Work in Co. Cork 2006-2011
15
10
5
Percent
0
-5
-10
-15
19

20. 10 ED’s with the highest and lowest percentage difference
in Population at Work in West Cork 2006-2011
10
5
0
Percent
-5
-10
-15
20

21. Persons Not at Work by DED – Census
2011
(.208333,.563025]
(.161702,.208333]
(.12549,.161702]
[0,.12549]
21

22. Persons Not at Work by DED – Census
2011
(.165254,.410501]
(.130596,.165254]
(.102564,.130596]
[.04142,.102564]
22

23. Map of DEDs showing growth in Unemployment
(325,1200]
(217.265,325]
(154.91,217.265]
[0,154.91]
No data
23

24. 10 ED’s with the Highest and Lowest Percentage
Difference in Unemployed in Co. Cork from 2006-2011
12
10
8
6
Percent
4
2
0
-2
24

25. 10 ED’s with the Highest and Lowest Percentage Difference
in Unemployed in West Cork from 2006-2011
12
10
8
6
Percent
4
2
0
25

26. Housing Supply – Vacancy Rate by DED
(.2151899,.7222222]
(.1449631,.2151899]
(.097032,.1449631]
[0,.097032]
26

27. Vacant Dwellings as a % of Total
Housing Stock
27

28. % Increase in the Number of Vacant
Dwellings
28

29. Households with Computer – By DED
(.6358382,.8034782]
(.5535859,.6358382]
(.4915254,.5535859]
[.1666667,.4915254]
29

30. Households with Broadband – By DED
(2616.963,70333.11]
(994.8634,2616.963]
(426.25,994.8634]
[63.69231,426.25]
30

31. Four Elements of Regional Resilience
31

32. Resilience to 2007 Recession:
Irish Regions
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
Border Midland West Dublin Mid-East Mid-West South-East South-West
32

33. Resilience to 2007 Recession:
Cork Social Welfare Office Areas
0.4
0.2
0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1
33

34. South-West Regional Resilience by Sector
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
-12
34

35. Summary
• Ireland showing a slowed rate of population
growth and higher rates of unemployment.
• West Cork following national trends for
peripheral areas
– Higher rates of unemployment – with all West Cork
EDs showing increases
• Housing vacancy/oversupply appears as an issue
in coastal areas in West Cork (follows the trend of
Ireland as a whole).
35

36. Summary
• Housing oversupply can lead to prolonged
depressed prices.
• Availability of broadband becoming an
increasing issue.
– Obvious dichotomy between proportion of
households in urban and rural with broadband.
– Obvious implications for business.
36

37. Thank you
Questions Welcome
37