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Map of Abyani Tribes
    Methodology
           Sasha Gordon
           Yemen Analyst
      Critical Threats Project

          October 30, 2012



   Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org
Purpose
• Describe methodology developed for and used in
  the Abyani Tribes map, part of the publication
  Abyani Tribes and al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula
• List sources for
  mapping data
• Outline and give
  examples of three
  methods used for
  tribal mapping
                Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org   2
Yemen Tribal Mapping Methodology Overview
• Sources Used:
    Regional Newspapers
        Yemeni (e.g., al Masdar Online, Mareb Press, Aden Online)
        Saudi (e.g., Okaz, Akhbar al Yom)
    Yemeni online forums
        Tribal (e.g., alhtribe.net, yafeau.net)
        Local online forums (e.g., Abyan Board, Hadramawt Forum)
    YouTube
    Wikimapia
• Sources consulted provide data points on which the map of tribal areas of
  operation is based. Repetition across sources helps confirm the reliability of
  the data.
• The following slides examine the methods used to map the tribal polygons.
                           Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org            3
Baseline Method
• Determine populated locations with tribal affiliation from the
  listed sources
• Extrapolate polygon from determined points and/or areas

 This method is used to create a base polygon in all cases.
 Additional information is then incorporated to modify the
  polygon. Three examples are described in the following slides:
   – Method 1: Baseline Method + Geographical and Textual Clues
   – Method 2: Baseline Method + Descriptions on Yemeni Online Forums
   – Method 3: Baseline Method + Wikimapia



                     Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org       4
Method 1:
Baseline Method + Geographical and Textual Clues

• Employ Baseline Method to extrapolate polygon from
  determined points and/or areas
• Use information and geography as cues to modify polygon
• Example:


   Al Jadana Tribe



                   Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org   5
Mapping the al Jadana Tribe with Method 1

1) Reliable Yemeni news sources indicate that the al Jadana tribe operates in
   Abyan governorate.1
2) Yemeni newspaper Mareb Press and Saudi newspaper Akhbar al Yom place the
   tribe in the area around al Lahmar town in Mudia district.2
                                                                        2
              1



                                                                            Al Lahmar
      Abyan




                         Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org                   6
Mapping the al Jadana Tribe with Method 1
3) Yemen newspaper al Oulaye describes al Rawdah village as the central location of the
   Jadana tribe.3
4) The polygon is roughly extrapolated from these two points, al Lahmar and al Rawdah
   (Baseline Method).
             3, 4                                           5

                                         Mudia City
         Al Lahmar




                  Al Rawdah                             Paved secondary road       Unpaved secondary road




5) The polygon is extended along the road to the west approximately 10 km. Mareb Press
   indicates that this tribe controls a portion of the road in Mudia district leading to Mudia city.
   Secondary roads are also used as guides.4
                                Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org                        7
Method 2:
Baseline Method + Descriptions on Yemeni Online Forums


• Create polygon using Baseline Method
• Build upon the base using forums in which Yemenis describe
  tribal areas
• Example:


Al Fadhel Tribe (“Fadhli”)



                   Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org   8
Mapping the al Fadhel Tribe with Method 2

1) These points are identified as Fadhli territory:5
     – Zinjibar district
     – Zinjibar city
     – Dirjaj
     – Al Kud
     – Shaqra
     – Yuramis
     – Ja’awalah
     – Amudiya
     – Tiran
     – Khanfer
     – Al Khabr




                              Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org   9
Mapping the al Fadhel Tribe with Method 2
2) Posts on “Abyan Board,” an online forum, indicates that Fadhli territory has the
   following boundaries:6
    – Al ‘Imad in Aden to the west
    – Awlaki tribal territory to the east
    – Making a distance of “about 100 miles”




                            Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org              10
Mapping the al Fadhel Tribe with Method 2
3) Polygon is drawn using these points and measurements.*
   The Awlaki territory’s western border is also roughly determined from the data.




                                                                                     Awlaki
                                                                                    territory




                                    * Polygon later modified to show Marqishi subdivision in Khanfer.
                            Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org                                11
Method 3:
           Baseline Method + Wikimapia
• Create base polygon using Baseline Method
• Consult Wikimapia (crowd-sourced data) to enhance base
  polygon
• Example:


  Audhali Tribe




                  Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org   12
Mapping the Audhali Tribe with Method 3


1) Three areas of operation are
   determined from one or more
   of the following sources, using
                                                  Al Bayda
   the Baseline Method:
    – Hadramawt Forum7
    – Al Masdar Online, al Bida
      Press, and Mareb Press
      (Yemeni newspapers)8
    – Okaz (Saudi newspaper)9                Abyan



                                     Contact Sasha Gordon at
                                                               13
                                      Sasha.Gordon@aei.org
Mapping the Audhali Tribe with Method 3

2) Wikimapia’s mapped polygon indicating Audhali tribal area is consulted.




                                                                       “Thaher” Audhalis

                                                                       “Koor” Audhalis


                                                                       Polygon Label:
                                                                       “The Audhali Tribe”



                        Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org                     14
Mapping the Audhali Tribe with Method 3

3) The polygon is roughly mapped using the determined areas of operation and the
   polygon on Wikimapia.

4) Adjustments are made to
   polygon based on judgment
   and reliability of data.

   For example, this area,
   which was indicated as
   belonging to the Audhali on
   Wikimapia, is not included.
   Reliable sources indicate
   that this location is territory
   of the al Diyani tribe.10


                               Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org        15
Contact Sasha Gordon at
 Sasha.Gordon@aei.org
Notes
1 “Tribal mediation manages to free prisoners of the Ja’adna,” al Masdar Online, April 18, 2011 [Arabic]. Available:
http://www.almasdaronline.com/index.php/print.php?news_id=18696
“Abyan: al Ja’adna tribe hands over one of its sons to the Ansar al Sharia courts for a murder trial,” Mareb Press, April 4, 2012 [Arabic]. Available:
http://marebpress.net/news_details.php?lng=arabic&sid=42263
2 “Russian doctor freed after his capture by the Jadana of Mudia,” Akhbar al Yom, October 20, 2008 [Arabic]. Available:

http://www.akhbaralyom.net/news_details.php?lng=arabic&sid=5252
“Violent explosion shakes legal advisor of Abyan governorate; crisis in Lahmar while mediators try to correct the situation,” Mareb Press, June 5,
2007 [Arabic]. Available: http://marebpress.net/nprint.php?sid=6225
3 “Killer of Ja’adna tribe transported to militants of Ansar al Sharia for trial in Jaar,” al Oulaye, April 6, 2012 [Arabic]. Available:

http://aloulaye.com/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=1227:%D9%86%D9%82%D9%84-%D9%82%D8%A7%D8%AA%D9%84-
%D9%85%D9%86-%D9%82%D8%A8%D9%8A%D9%84%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AC%D8%B9%D8%A7%D8%AF%D9%86%D8%A9-
%D8%A5%D9%84%D9%89-%D9%85%D8%B3%D9%84%D8%AD%D9%8A-%D8%A3%D9%86%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%B1-
%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B4%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%B9%D8%A9-%D9%84%D9%85%D8%AD%D8%A7%D9%83%D9%85%D8%AA%D9%87-
%D9%81%D9%8A-%D8%AC%D8%B9%D8%A7%D8%B1&Itemid=104
4 “Violent explosion shakes legal advisor of Abyan governorate; crisis in Lahmar and mediators try to correct the situation,” Mareb Press, June 5,

2007 [Arabic]. Available: http://marebpress.net/nprint.php?sid=6225
5 “The Fadhli Tribe,” Abyan Board, May 6, 2007 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.abyanboard.net/ab/showthread.php/2536-

%D9%82%D8%A8%D9%8A%D9%84%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%81%D8%B6%D9%84%D9%8A
“Division of the Fadhli tribes of Abyan governorate,” Abyan Board, April 7, 2012 [Arabic]. Available:
http://www.abyanboard.net/ab/showthread.php/9662-%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%B3%D8%A7%D9%85-
%D9%82%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%A6%D9%84-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%81%D8%B6%D9%84%D9%8A-
%D9%85%D8%AD%D8%A7%D9%81%D8%B8%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D8%A8%D9%8A%D9%86
“Fadhli calls on the army and Ansar al Sharia in Zinjibar to implement week-long ceasefire and threatens to take tribal stance against infringers,”
al Masdar Online, July 11, 2011 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.almasdaronline.com/index.php?page=news&article-section=1&news_id=21233
“The tribes…the core and prop of the state,” Okaz, May 21, 2012 [Arabic]. Available:
http://www.okaz.com.sa/New/Issues/20120521/Con20120521504668.htm
“Tribes of Abyan,” Hadramawt Forum, November 4, 2009 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.hdrmut.net/vb/t301337.html
                                                  Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org                                              17
Notes
6 “The Fadhli Tribe,” Abyan Board, May 6, 2007 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.abyanboard.net/ab/showthread.php/2536-
%D9%82%D8%A8%D9%8A%D9%84%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%81%D8%B6%D9%84%D9%8A
7 “Tribes of Abyan,” Hadramawt Forum, November 4, 2009 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.hdrmut.net/vb/t301337.html
8 “Military sources to ‘al Masdar Online’: Military units loyal to revolution head toward Zinjibar to impose security and expel the armed groups

[comments section],” al Masdar Online, May 31, 2011 [Arabic]. Available:
http://www.almasdaronline.net/index.php/uploads/advs/uploads/issues/pdf/index.php?page=news&news_id=20207
“111th Brigade and sons of Lawder and al Audhali tribes foil al Qaeda’s attempt to control Lawder city: 30 terrorists killed,” al Bida Press, April 9,
2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.albidapress.net/news.php?action=view&id=19765
“Ansar al Sharia shells Lawder with artillery and tanks,” Mareb Press, April 11, 2012 [Arabic]. Available:
http://marebpress.net/news_details.php?lang=arabic&sid=42536
9 “The tribes…the core and prop of the state,” Okaz, May 21, 2012 [Arabic]. Available:

http://www.okaz.com.sa/New/Issues/20120521/Con20120521504668.htm
10 “Breaking News: One of Ansar al Sharia’s leaders captured in Lawder and sources say that 28 members of Ansar al Sharia were killed,’” Yafa

News, April 13, 2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:eWV7ikKXBc0J:www.yafa-
news.net/%3Fp%3D6783+&cd=2&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
“Celebration in Abyan - Marriage of Amtali family of Al Diyan tribe in Um Ayn,” You Tube, May 25, 2012 [Arabic]. Available:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6_eVZRAld4M
“Al Diyan,” Wikimapia [Arabic]. Available:
http://wikimapia.org/#lat=13.7948129&lon=45.9047316&z=11&l=0&m=b&show=/23103106/%D8%A7%D9%84-
%D8%AF%D9%8A%D8%A7%D9%86 (accessed September 4, 2012)




                                                  Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org                                               18
For more on Yemen’s tribes, visit
 www.criticalthreats.org/yemen




           Contact Sasha Gordon at
                                     19
            Sasha.Gordon@aei.org

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Map of Abyani Tribes: Methodology

  • 1. Map of Abyani Tribes Methodology Sasha Gordon Yemen Analyst Critical Threats Project October 30, 2012 Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org
  • 2. Purpose • Describe methodology developed for and used in the Abyani Tribes map, part of the publication Abyani Tribes and al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula • List sources for mapping data • Outline and give examples of three methods used for tribal mapping Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 2
  • 3. Yemen Tribal Mapping Methodology Overview • Sources Used:  Regional Newspapers  Yemeni (e.g., al Masdar Online, Mareb Press, Aden Online)  Saudi (e.g., Okaz, Akhbar al Yom)  Yemeni online forums  Tribal (e.g., alhtribe.net, yafeau.net)  Local online forums (e.g., Abyan Board, Hadramawt Forum)  YouTube  Wikimapia • Sources consulted provide data points on which the map of tribal areas of operation is based. Repetition across sources helps confirm the reliability of the data. • The following slides examine the methods used to map the tribal polygons. Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 3
  • 4. Baseline Method • Determine populated locations with tribal affiliation from the listed sources • Extrapolate polygon from determined points and/or areas  This method is used to create a base polygon in all cases.  Additional information is then incorporated to modify the polygon. Three examples are described in the following slides: – Method 1: Baseline Method + Geographical and Textual Clues – Method 2: Baseline Method + Descriptions on Yemeni Online Forums – Method 3: Baseline Method + Wikimapia Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 4
  • 5. Method 1: Baseline Method + Geographical and Textual Clues • Employ Baseline Method to extrapolate polygon from determined points and/or areas • Use information and geography as cues to modify polygon • Example: Al Jadana Tribe Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 5
  • 6. Mapping the al Jadana Tribe with Method 1 1) Reliable Yemeni news sources indicate that the al Jadana tribe operates in Abyan governorate.1 2) Yemeni newspaper Mareb Press and Saudi newspaper Akhbar al Yom place the tribe in the area around al Lahmar town in Mudia district.2 2 1 Al Lahmar Abyan Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 6
  • 7. Mapping the al Jadana Tribe with Method 1 3) Yemen newspaper al Oulaye describes al Rawdah village as the central location of the Jadana tribe.3 4) The polygon is roughly extrapolated from these two points, al Lahmar and al Rawdah (Baseline Method). 3, 4 5 Mudia City Al Lahmar Al Rawdah Paved secondary road Unpaved secondary road 5) The polygon is extended along the road to the west approximately 10 km. Mareb Press indicates that this tribe controls a portion of the road in Mudia district leading to Mudia city. Secondary roads are also used as guides.4 Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 7
  • 8. Method 2: Baseline Method + Descriptions on Yemeni Online Forums • Create polygon using Baseline Method • Build upon the base using forums in which Yemenis describe tribal areas • Example: Al Fadhel Tribe (“Fadhli”) Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 8
  • 9. Mapping the al Fadhel Tribe with Method 2 1) These points are identified as Fadhli territory:5 – Zinjibar district – Zinjibar city – Dirjaj – Al Kud – Shaqra – Yuramis – Ja’awalah – Amudiya – Tiran – Khanfer – Al Khabr Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 9
  • 10. Mapping the al Fadhel Tribe with Method 2 2) Posts on “Abyan Board,” an online forum, indicates that Fadhli territory has the following boundaries:6 – Al ‘Imad in Aden to the west – Awlaki tribal territory to the east – Making a distance of “about 100 miles” Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 10
  • 11. Mapping the al Fadhel Tribe with Method 2 3) Polygon is drawn using these points and measurements.* The Awlaki territory’s western border is also roughly determined from the data. Awlaki territory * Polygon later modified to show Marqishi subdivision in Khanfer. Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 11
  • 12. Method 3: Baseline Method + Wikimapia • Create base polygon using Baseline Method • Consult Wikimapia (crowd-sourced data) to enhance base polygon • Example: Audhali Tribe Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 12
  • 13. Mapping the Audhali Tribe with Method 3 1) Three areas of operation are determined from one or more of the following sources, using Al Bayda the Baseline Method: – Hadramawt Forum7 – Al Masdar Online, al Bida Press, and Mareb Press (Yemeni newspapers)8 – Okaz (Saudi newspaper)9 Abyan Contact Sasha Gordon at 13 Sasha.Gordon@aei.org
  • 14. Mapping the Audhali Tribe with Method 3 2) Wikimapia’s mapped polygon indicating Audhali tribal area is consulted. “Thaher” Audhalis “Koor” Audhalis Polygon Label: “The Audhali Tribe” Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 14
  • 15. Mapping the Audhali Tribe with Method 3 3) The polygon is roughly mapped using the determined areas of operation and the polygon on Wikimapia. 4) Adjustments are made to polygon based on judgment and reliability of data. For example, this area, which was indicated as belonging to the Audhali on Wikimapia, is not included. Reliable sources indicate that this location is territory of the al Diyani tribe.10 Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 15
  • 16. Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org
  • 17. Notes 1 “Tribal mediation manages to free prisoners of the Ja’adna,” al Masdar Online, April 18, 2011 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.almasdaronline.com/index.php/print.php?news_id=18696 “Abyan: al Ja’adna tribe hands over one of its sons to the Ansar al Sharia courts for a murder trial,” Mareb Press, April 4, 2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://marebpress.net/news_details.php?lng=arabic&sid=42263 2 “Russian doctor freed after his capture by the Jadana of Mudia,” Akhbar al Yom, October 20, 2008 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.akhbaralyom.net/news_details.php?lng=arabic&sid=5252 “Violent explosion shakes legal advisor of Abyan governorate; crisis in Lahmar while mediators try to correct the situation,” Mareb Press, June 5, 2007 [Arabic]. Available: http://marebpress.net/nprint.php?sid=6225 3 “Killer of Ja’adna tribe transported to militants of Ansar al Sharia for trial in Jaar,” al Oulaye, April 6, 2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://aloulaye.com/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=1227:%D9%86%D9%82%D9%84-%D9%82%D8%A7%D8%AA%D9%84- %D9%85%D9%86-%D9%82%D8%A8%D9%8A%D9%84%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AC%D8%B9%D8%A7%D8%AF%D9%86%D8%A9- %D8%A5%D9%84%D9%89-%D9%85%D8%B3%D9%84%D8%AD%D9%8A-%D8%A3%D9%86%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%B1- %D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B4%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%B9%D8%A9-%D9%84%D9%85%D8%AD%D8%A7%D9%83%D9%85%D8%AA%D9%87- %D9%81%D9%8A-%D8%AC%D8%B9%D8%A7%D8%B1&Itemid=104 4 “Violent explosion shakes legal advisor of Abyan governorate; crisis in Lahmar and mediators try to correct the situation,” Mareb Press, June 5, 2007 [Arabic]. Available: http://marebpress.net/nprint.php?sid=6225 5 “The Fadhli Tribe,” Abyan Board, May 6, 2007 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.abyanboard.net/ab/showthread.php/2536- %D9%82%D8%A8%D9%8A%D9%84%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%81%D8%B6%D9%84%D9%8A “Division of the Fadhli tribes of Abyan governorate,” Abyan Board, April 7, 2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.abyanboard.net/ab/showthread.php/9662-%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%B3%D8%A7%D9%85- %D9%82%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%A6%D9%84-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%81%D8%B6%D9%84%D9%8A- %D9%85%D8%AD%D8%A7%D9%81%D8%B8%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D8%A8%D9%8A%D9%86 “Fadhli calls on the army and Ansar al Sharia in Zinjibar to implement week-long ceasefire and threatens to take tribal stance against infringers,” al Masdar Online, July 11, 2011 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.almasdaronline.com/index.php?page=news&article-section=1&news_id=21233 “The tribes…the core and prop of the state,” Okaz, May 21, 2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.okaz.com.sa/New/Issues/20120521/Con20120521504668.htm “Tribes of Abyan,” Hadramawt Forum, November 4, 2009 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.hdrmut.net/vb/t301337.html Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 17
  • 18. Notes 6 “The Fadhli Tribe,” Abyan Board, May 6, 2007 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.abyanboard.net/ab/showthread.php/2536- %D9%82%D8%A8%D9%8A%D9%84%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%81%D8%B6%D9%84%D9%8A 7 “Tribes of Abyan,” Hadramawt Forum, November 4, 2009 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.hdrmut.net/vb/t301337.html 8 “Military sources to ‘al Masdar Online’: Military units loyal to revolution head toward Zinjibar to impose security and expel the armed groups [comments section],” al Masdar Online, May 31, 2011 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.almasdaronline.net/index.php/uploads/advs/uploads/issues/pdf/index.php?page=news&news_id=20207 “111th Brigade and sons of Lawder and al Audhali tribes foil al Qaeda’s attempt to control Lawder city: 30 terrorists killed,” al Bida Press, April 9, 2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.albidapress.net/news.php?action=view&id=19765 “Ansar al Sharia shells Lawder with artillery and tanks,” Mareb Press, April 11, 2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://marebpress.net/news_details.php?lang=arabic&sid=42536 9 “The tribes…the core and prop of the state,” Okaz, May 21, 2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.okaz.com.sa/New/Issues/20120521/Con20120521504668.htm 10 “Breaking News: One of Ansar al Sharia’s leaders captured in Lawder and sources say that 28 members of Ansar al Sharia were killed,’” Yafa News, April 13, 2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:eWV7ikKXBc0J:www.yafa- news.net/%3Fp%3D6783+&cd=2&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us “Celebration in Abyan - Marriage of Amtali family of Al Diyan tribe in Um Ayn,” You Tube, May 25, 2012 [Arabic]. Available: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6_eVZRAld4M “Al Diyan,” Wikimapia [Arabic]. Available: http://wikimapia.org/#lat=13.7948129&lon=45.9047316&z=11&l=0&m=b&show=/23103106/%D8%A7%D9%84- %D8%AF%D9%8A%D8%A7%D9%86 (accessed September 4, 2012) Contact Sasha Gordon at Sasha.Gordon@aei.org 18
  • 19. For more on Yemen’s tribes, visit www.criticalthreats.org/yemen Contact Sasha Gordon at 19 Sasha.Gordon@aei.org