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Distilling Actionable
                                                      Insights from the Deluge of
                                                      Social Media Data
                                                      Jasper Snyder
                                                      VP, Converseon




© 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential
From Data Deluge to Insights




                               © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   2
The vast scope of social media data available today
requires scalable tech solutions. Human-machine
collaboration is the only way to deal with this deluge.



   Social Media Channel   Approx. Monthly Volume            Furthermore…
                                                            On-site comments and
         Blogs            30 million new posts              social cues and sharing

                                                            Social cues (e.g., “likes”)
         Facebook         1.8 billion status updates        and comments

                                                            Social cues like favoriting
         Twitter          4 billion tweets                  and flagging other users
                                                            240 years of video
         YouTube          400 million social actions        content uploaded each
                                                            month




                                                       © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   3
Social-media research can support both traditional
market research goals and PR use cases.

Traditional Market Research                  Communications Functions through Social
through Social Media Listening               Media Monitoring


                   • Consumer                • Consumer complaints and
                     Segmentation              product malfunctions

                   • Purchase triggers       • Adverse reactions for
                                               pharmaceutical companies
                   • Thoughts and opinions
                     about products and      • Crisis monitoring and
                     brands                    response

                   • Market awareness of     • Reputation management
                     products or brands




                                                           © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   4
These two use cases – market research and
communications – closely align with two services.


Social Listening                          Social Media Monitoring
When what matters most is                 When what matters most is delivering
understanding a consumer segment or       customer service, navigating a crisis
market.                                   situation or detecting reputation threats.

Goal is to acquire just enough data to    Goal is comprehensive, real time
understand a population “out there” in    coverage.
the world.

Higher tolerance for missing content.     Higher tolerance for irrelevant content.

Lower tolerance for irrelevant content.   Lower tolerance for missing content.




                                                     © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   5
The Social Media Research Process: From Raw Data to
Insights




               1. Data             2. Data
              Collection         Enrichment




                       3. Analysis
                        & Insight
                       Generation




                                      © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   6
Stage 1: Social Data Collection

                                              Primary Goal:

                                              Identify and acquire the data
     1. Data                       2. Data
                                              that can answer your business
    Collection                   Enrichment
                                              questions.



                                              Primary Challenges:

                                              1. Pull in relevant data and
                 3. Analysis &                   metadata
                    Insight
                  Generation                  2. Coverage of appropriate social
                                                 media channels

                                              3. Eliminate spam and irrelevant
                                                 content.




                                                    © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   7
Stage 2: Data Enrichment

                                                  Primary Goal:

                                       2. Data    Implement document- and sub-
1. Data Collection                   Enrichment   document-level enrichments like
                                                  topic, consumer segment,
                                                  emotion and sentiment.

                                                  Primary Challenges:

                     3. Analysis &                1. Data normalization
                        Insight
                      Generation
                                                  2. Classification

                                                  3. Scalability




                                                        © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   8
Stage 3: Analysis & Insight Generation

                                           Primary Goal:


                                2. Data    Connect the dots between a
1. Data Collection            Enrichment   suite of metrics and data points
                                           in order to reach sound strategic
                                           conclusions.

                                           Primary Challenges:

                3. Analysis                1. Reliability
                 & Insight
                Generation                 2. Strategic Value




                                                 © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   9
Social media is a massive compendium of documents…




                                 © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   10
Harvesting Data and Metadata from Social Media
Documents: A Tweet Dissected




                                   © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   11
Harvesting Data and Metadata from Social Media
Documents: A Tweet Dissected

Datapoints:
• Author Name
• Text
• Publication Date
• Some hashtags




                                   © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   12
Harvesting Data and Metadata from Social Media
Documents: A Tweet Dissected

Metadata:
• Person or tweet that a
  tweet is in reply to
• Follower count of author
• Times retweeted
• Times favorited
• Author description




                                   © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   13
Sorting Social Metadata




                          A

                                                       B


                                   C
    Tweets that contain
     #Ford in the text.
                          © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   14
Relevancy as a Sorting Task…

                                                    Irrelevant Documents
 All Social Media Documents                                              • Spam

                                                                         • Documents not
                                                                           in target
                  All Documents                                            language (e.g.,
                                                                           not English)
                  Containing Your
                  Boolean Query                                          • Contain
                                                                           keyword but not
                                                                           relevant to
                                                                           client question


                                     Relevant
                                    Documents




                                                © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   15
Data Enrichment: What Should We Measure?


   Metric                  Explanation
   Sentiment               Does the author make a negative or positive
                           point about a product or brand?
   Topics                  What topic is the author talking about the
                           product or brand in relation to?
   Purchase Stage          Has the author of a document already
                           purchased the product when writing about it
                           online?
   Consumer Segmentation   What segment is the document’s author
                           from?
   Emotions                What emotions do authors express toward
                           the target brand or product?




                                                © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   16
Data Enrichment: What Should We Measure?


   Metric                  Sorting Categories
   Sentiment               Positive, negative, neutral
   Topics                  Pre-selected topic and unexpected topics
   Purchase Stage          Before making a purchase or after.
   Consumer Segmentation   Young male, middle-aged woman, etc.
   Emotions                Joy, anticipation, surprise, fear, etc.




                                                  © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   17
How can we implement the sorting tasks we’ve
discussed so far?


Machine Sorters                               Human Sorters




                     Sorting Tasks

                                     © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   18
Q: How do you know when a computer is correct?




    A: The same way you know that a human is correct:


     “I know it when I see it…”




                                      © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   19
Establishing A Basis for How Well Humans Agree With
One Another

Example 1: Inter-Coder Agreement on Sentiment   Example 2: Inter-Coder Agreement on Emotion

    Item     Coder 1     Coder 2                Tweet                           Coder 1          Coder 2

                                                I do not like the cats with     Disgust          Anger
    1        Positive    Positive               thumbs “advert”
    2        Positive    Neutral                I say that video is real,       Trust            No Emotion
                                                definitely.                                      Expressed
    3        Neutral     Neutral
    4        Negative    Positive
    etc.     …           …




                                                                     © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   20
Using Human Parallel Coding to Establish Gold
Standards



              Confusion Matrix: Human as Gold Standard


              POSITIVE   NEGATIVE   NEUTRAL      TOTAL
   POSITIVE     365        24         159         548
  NEGATIVE      57         81          65         203                      Raw Accuracy:
                                                                              61.5%
   NEUTRAL      274        60         415         749
     TOTAL      696        165        639        1500




                                                   © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   21
Using A Credit Matrix to Create Improved Measurement

                        Credit Matrix

             POSITIVE     NEGATIVE      NEUTRAL
  POSITIVE    100%            0%         50%
 NEGATIVE      0%           100%         50%
 NEUTRAL      50%            50%         100%

                                                   Partial Credit Figure of Merit:
                                                   82.3%
      Confusion Matrix: Human 1 as Gold Standard

             POSITIVE      NEGATIVE     NEUTRAL
  POSITIVE     365            24          159
 NEGATIVE       57            81          65
  NEUTRAL      274            60          415



                                                    © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   22
But how does the machine learn?


 1. Collection of Human   2. Machine ingests coded data     3. Machine applies model from
                             and finds patterns in each
    Annotated Data           category classification           step two on raw data. Results
                                                               are compared to human
                                                               coding of same material.




                                                          © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   23
In conclusion….




                  © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential   24
Thank You!
Jasper Snyder,
VP, Converseon
jsnyder@converseon.com




                                                              Converseon Inc.
                                                              53 West 36th Street, 8th Floor,
                                                              New York, NY 10018
                                                              t: 212.213.4279 | f: 646.304.2364
                                                              www.converseon.com
                                                                                                  25
        © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential

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Converseon 2012 CASRO Technology Conference

  • 1. Distilling Actionable Insights from the Deluge of Social Media Data Jasper Snyder VP, Converseon © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential
  • 2. From Data Deluge to Insights © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 2
  • 3. The vast scope of social media data available today requires scalable tech solutions. Human-machine collaboration is the only way to deal with this deluge. Social Media Channel Approx. Monthly Volume Furthermore… On-site comments and Blogs 30 million new posts social cues and sharing Social cues (e.g., “likes”) Facebook 1.8 billion status updates and comments Social cues like favoriting Twitter 4 billion tweets and flagging other users 240 years of video YouTube 400 million social actions content uploaded each month © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 3
  • 4. Social-media research can support both traditional market research goals and PR use cases. Traditional Market Research Communications Functions through Social through Social Media Listening Media Monitoring • Consumer • Consumer complaints and Segmentation product malfunctions • Purchase triggers • Adverse reactions for pharmaceutical companies • Thoughts and opinions about products and • Crisis monitoring and brands response • Market awareness of • Reputation management products or brands © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 4
  • 5. These two use cases – market research and communications – closely align with two services. Social Listening Social Media Monitoring When what matters most is When what matters most is delivering understanding a consumer segment or customer service, navigating a crisis market. situation or detecting reputation threats. Goal is to acquire just enough data to Goal is comprehensive, real time understand a population “out there” in coverage. the world. Higher tolerance for missing content. Higher tolerance for irrelevant content. Lower tolerance for irrelevant content. Lower tolerance for missing content. © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 5
  • 6. The Social Media Research Process: From Raw Data to Insights 1. Data 2. Data Collection Enrichment 3. Analysis & Insight Generation © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 6
  • 7. Stage 1: Social Data Collection Primary Goal: Identify and acquire the data 1. Data 2. Data that can answer your business Collection Enrichment questions. Primary Challenges: 1. Pull in relevant data and 3. Analysis & metadata Insight Generation 2. Coverage of appropriate social media channels 3. Eliminate spam and irrelevant content. © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 7
  • 8. Stage 2: Data Enrichment Primary Goal: 2. Data Implement document- and sub- 1. Data Collection Enrichment document-level enrichments like topic, consumer segment, emotion and sentiment. Primary Challenges: 3. Analysis & 1. Data normalization Insight Generation 2. Classification 3. Scalability © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 8
  • 9. Stage 3: Analysis & Insight Generation Primary Goal: 2. Data Connect the dots between a 1. Data Collection Enrichment suite of metrics and data points in order to reach sound strategic conclusions. Primary Challenges: 3. Analysis 1. Reliability & Insight Generation 2. Strategic Value © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 9
  • 10. Social media is a massive compendium of documents… © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 10
  • 11. Harvesting Data and Metadata from Social Media Documents: A Tweet Dissected © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 11
  • 12. Harvesting Data and Metadata from Social Media Documents: A Tweet Dissected Datapoints: • Author Name • Text • Publication Date • Some hashtags © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 12
  • 13. Harvesting Data and Metadata from Social Media Documents: A Tweet Dissected Metadata: • Person or tweet that a tweet is in reply to • Follower count of author • Times retweeted • Times favorited • Author description © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 13
  • 14. Sorting Social Metadata A B C Tweets that contain #Ford in the text. © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 14
  • 15. Relevancy as a Sorting Task… Irrelevant Documents All Social Media Documents • Spam • Documents not in target All Documents language (e.g., not English) Containing Your Boolean Query • Contain keyword but not relevant to client question Relevant Documents © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 15
  • 16. Data Enrichment: What Should We Measure? Metric Explanation Sentiment Does the author make a negative or positive point about a product or brand? Topics What topic is the author talking about the product or brand in relation to? Purchase Stage Has the author of a document already purchased the product when writing about it online? Consumer Segmentation What segment is the document’s author from? Emotions What emotions do authors express toward the target brand or product? © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 16
  • 17. Data Enrichment: What Should We Measure? Metric Sorting Categories Sentiment Positive, negative, neutral Topics Pre-selected topic and unexpected topics Purchase Stage Before making a purchase or after. Consumer Segmentation Young male, middle-aged woman, etc. Emotions Joy, anticipation, surprise, fear, etc. © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 17
  • 18. How can we implement the sorting tasks we’ve discussed so far? Machine Sorters Human Sorters Sorting Tasks © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 18
  • 19. Q: How do you know when a computer is correct? A: The same way you know that a human is correct: “I know it when I see it…” © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 19
  • 20. Establishing A Basis for How Well Humans Agree With One Another Example 1: Inter-Coder Agreement on Sentiment Example 2: Inter-Coder Agreement on Emotion Item Coder 1 Coder 2 Tweet Coder 1 Coder 2 I do not like the cats with Disgust Anger 1 Positive Positive thumbs “advert” 2 Positive Neutral I say that video is real, Trust No Emotion definitely. Expressed 3 Neutral Neutral 4 Negative Positive etc. … … © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 20
  • 21. Using Human Parallel Coding to Establish Gold Standards Confusion Matrix: Human as Gold Standard POSITIVE NEGATIVE NEUTRAL TOTAL POSITIVE 365 24 159 548 NEGATIVE 57 81 65 203 Raw Accuracy: 61.5% NEUTRAL 274 60 415 749 TOTAL 696 165 639 1500 © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 21
  • 22. Using A Credit Matrix to Create Improved Measurement Credit Matrix POSITIVE NEGATIVE NEUTRAL POSITIVE 100% 0% 50% NEGATIVE 0% 100% 50% NEUTRAL 50% 50% 100% Partial Credit Figure of Merit: 82.3% Confusion Matrix: Human 1 as Gold Standard POSITIVE NEGATIVE NEUTRAL POSITIVE 365 24 159 NEGATIVE 57 81 65 NEUTRAL 274 60 415 © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 22
  • 23. But how does the machine learn? 1. Collection of Human 2. Machine ingests coded data 3. Machine applies model from and finds patterns in each Annotated Data category classification step two on raw data. Results are compared to human coding of same material. © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 23
  • 24. In conclusion…. © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential 24
  • 25. Thank You! Jasper Snyder, VP, Converseon jsnyder@converseon.com Converseon Inc. 53 West 36th Street, 8th Floor, New York, NY 10018 t: 212.213.4279 | f: 646.304.2364 www.converseon.com 25 © 2012 Converseon Inc. Proprietary and Confidential