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ACC Limited
Kuldip Kaura,
CEO & MD- ACC Limited,
Motilal Oswal Investor Conference,
August 2012
2
ACC Limited
480
India 185
World
China 1,390
Per capita cement consumption in 2011
(in kg)
Per capita cement consumption in 2011
(in kg)
Source: IMF ,CMA and E&Y Report
India has the 2nd largest cement industry in
the world with demand at ~224 MT (world
~3570 MT) in 2011 & capacity ~290 MT (world
~4100 MT)
Cement demand expected to grow at ~8-9 %
per annum in foreseeable future on the back of
~7 % GDP growth
Lower Indian Per capita consumption and
higher Infrastructure growth leaves a bigger
room for industry growth
Fragmented Industry, with more than 100
players
Over 4 Lakh Dealer/Retailers
100+ RMX players
1.5 crore bags sold daily. More than 98% of
the total despatches sold in bags
Indian Cement Industry Scenario
Market Share Pie 2011Market Share Pie 2011
45%
5%
5%
Shree Cmt Jaypee
India Cmt
18%
Others
10%
ACC
11%
Ultra Tech
Ambuja
8%
3
ACC Limited
Indian Cement Market Development
Housing
Comm+Indus
Infrastructure
2016
341
214
(63%)
68
(20%)
59
(17%)
2011
224
152
(68%)
43
(19%)
29
(13%)
17%
7%
Demand - Next Five Years @ 10% CAGR
9%
Housing
Population growth and rising per
capita income
Mass urbanization of ~ 250 Million
people over next ~20 years
Thrust by Govt. on Rural / low cost /
mass housing
Commercial / Industrial
High Growth in retail, commercial
and institutional sector in urban and
semi-urban areas
High Growth in industry segment
Infrastructure
• Construction linked sector account
for 8.3% of 12th plan spend ~ 850 bn.
• Infrastructure development – Roads,
Ports, Power, etc
Figs in Mio.T
Key Demand Drivers
Sectoral
CAGR
4
ACC Limited
Industry structure undergoing major changes
Investment Cycle
Planning Period (5-7 years)
Land Cost (~200%)
Exchange Rate /Inflation
Energy/Environment Regulations Enhanced
Operating Cost
Fuel Cost (Coal) (50-100%)
Freight Cost (Oil) (~30%)
MIC (Fly Ash, Slag) (~100%)
•Significant increase in Investment Cost per ton
•Significant increase in Operating Cost
5
ACC Limited
All values in Mio tons
Demand - Supply
Source: EIU, RBI, ACC Analysis
84%
80%78%78%76%77%
Util Factor
Indian Cement Scenario
Market Development
Long term GDP growth of ~7 % leading to
multiplier effect for cement demand growth
of ~8-9%
Rising disposable income
Increased investment in infrastructure by
Govt . Expected investments of ~1trillion USD
in 5 yr Plan(2012-17) by Govt.
Mass urbanization of ~ 250 Million people
over next ~20 years
Cost Outlook
Overall cost pressure will continue due to
rise in cost of domestic coal & reduction in
coal linkage and volatile import coal prices
Rising cost of key input materials like fly ash,
slag & road and railway freights
Inflation remains at high level, & additionally
rupee depreciation impacting imports
Capacity Utilization
Cap. Utlztn. is under pressure as supplies are
coming from commissioned projects
In mid- term , good demand would gradually
improve the ratio
341
312
286
263
242
224
406
390
366
339
319
291
2012 20162015201420132011
Demand CAGR: 9%
Supply CAGR: 6.3%
Available supply
Demand
6
ACC Limited
ACC – Pioneer Of Indian Cement Industry
with a Rich Heritage
ACC was incorporated on August 1, 1936, in
a historic merger of ten cement companies
belonging to four business groups
ACC became Holcim group company in 2005
ACC is first among equals
1947 - First indigenous plant at Chaibasa, Jharkhand
1956 - First with bulk cement distribution at Okhla, Delhi
1961 - First with blended cement using blast furnace slag from TISCO
1978 - First to introduce energy efficient precalcinator technology
1982 - First to commission a 1 MTPA cement plant at Wadi, Karnataka
1994 - First to start commercial manufacture of Ready Mixed Concrete
2011 - World’s largest cement kiln installed at Wadi Karnataka, with a capacity of over 13000
MT of clinker per day
7
ACC Limited
ACC – A Pan India Presence
GAGAL
TIKARIA
LAKHERI
KYMORE
CHANDA
KUDITHINI
WADI
THONDEBHAVI
MADDUKARAI
BARGARH
JAMUL
CHAIBASA
SINDRI
DCW
Nationwide presence
16 cement plants - capacity
of 30 million tonnes/annum
21 sales units, 66 area
offices
55+ RMX plants
10,000 dealers
2011: Cement & Clinker Sales*
Volume (MioT) 23.97
Net Sales (Mio USD) 1870
EBITDA (Mio USD) 410
*1 USD= 50 INR
8
ACC Limited
RMX Operations: ACC Concrete
ACC Ltd. set up its first commercial RMX plant in India in 1994
becoming a pioneer in RMX industry
ACC Concrete was started as a subsidiary of ACC Ltd. in Jan 2008
Pan India RMX penetration is around 7%and in Indian metros
around 18% - Clearly a long way to grow for RMX market in India
Key company statistics
• 55 plants across India with presence in all
Major cities
• 2011- Volume Sold 2.1 mio m3. Net Sales
of Rs 6,800 mio.
• Number of Transit Mixers – 300
• Number of pumps is – 50
Kolkata
Delhi
Mumbai
Bengaluru
Hyderabad
Chennai
11
7
4
4
6
3
Goa
3
Bokaro
4
Ahmedabad
Surat
Vadodara
1
1
1
Bhilai
1
Punjab
5
Gorakhpur
Agra
Lucknow
Kanpur
Jaipur
1
1
1 1
1
9
ACC Limited
ACC Operational & Financial Performance
Sales Volume (in MT)Sales Volume (in MT)
EBITDA (Rs Cr.)EBITDA (Rs Cr.)
Market share to 11%
− Ramp up of Wadi, Chanda
−Enhancement of distribution
network
−Access to new markets
H1 2012 12.8
2011 23.7
2010 21.3
H1 2012 1,333
2011 1,921
2010 1,812
Improved EBITDA
− Better internal efficiencies
−New premium product
launches
−Higher sales volumes
Market share
Financial
Performance
ACC: Perspective
Growth
Potential
Performance
Potential
▪ Participate in India growth story
▪ Indian market to grow from 224 to ~ 500
by 2020
▪ To maintain market share at ~11 %
▪ Potential to grow to ~55 MTPA by 2020
▪ Mindset to touch benchmark and
theoretical performance levels
▪ Customer centricity and value creation
▪ Cost Leadership
▪ Architecture to drive performance
ACC towards Customer Centricity
Launched Premium Products (F2R, Coastal +,Concrete+)
to address identified market gaps and needs
Rolled out CRM across the country
Customer Help Centers and Interactive website
(www.acchelp.in )to provide construction solutions
Improve time to serve - delivery within 2 hrs
High emphasis on mason training programs to impart
new construction technology knowledge
12
Manufacturing Excellence
To improve efficiencies across KPIs
PPC clinker
factor (%)
PSC clinker
factor (%)
Thermal energy
(MJ/t Clinker)
Electrical energy
(kwh/t cement)
CPP PLF
(%)
1
2
3
4
5
Baseline Aspiration ACC Performance
Best performing plant
67.0
46.3
3101
89.6
59.6
60.0
40.0
2885
79.9
85.0
79.8
86.0
65.8
87.7
65.5
29233079
41.344.4
62.0
13
ACC Limited
Reduction
in GIGO
time
from 180
minutes
to 110
minutes
Loading
bay –
packer 3
Loading
bay –
packer 2
Loading
bay –
packer 1
Yard
Gross weight
Plant out
Weigh
BridgeTare weight
Plant out
Weigh bridge reading
captured through RFID.
Loading bay no. displayed
EGP printed automatically with
weight out
Logistics Excellence : GIGO
RFID implemented to achieve best-in-class GIGO time
RFID reader
Plant in
Gross
Weight
Gate in
Gate out
captured
Key Drivers of Success
Complete visibility of
vehicle information and
movement
Driver does not get down
at any point
Vehicle side
plant fixed to 45
numbers
Yard detention
time reduced to
7 hrs
Enabled safe
and smooth
flow of vehicle
inside the plant
HR Excellence:
Strengthen the HR system to increase people centricity
EnablersProcesses
World class HR organization
Accountable HR organization with right KPIs and skills
E
Manage my
career
B
Clear and faster
paths for
leadership roles
with enabling
systems
Talent Mgmt/
capability building
C
Segment and
develop talent for
critical skills at ACC
Productivity
improvement*
D
Zero based
manning approach
for ideal plant
structure
Communication and quality of life
Improve two way communication with employees and quality of life
HR performance radar
Review and improvement of critical people indicators at each unit
Mindsets and capabilities
Managers and leaders oriented and trained to drive people excellence at ACC
Recruitment, on
boarding
Attract and on-
board the right
talent profile as per
needs of ACC
A
14
Jamul Project with 2.79 MTPA Clinker capacity and 5.15 MTPA
Cement capacity is under implementation. Expected commissioning
by 2015
55
38
30
202020162011
Installed Capacity (mio Tons per annum)
Next 8-10 years, Opportunity to create another ACC
224 312 470Market size
ACC ‘s growth potential
ACC’S Journey towards sustainability
Greenhouse gas emissions: ACC reduced specific CO2 emissions from
812 kg /t(1990) to 545 kg/t (2012).Ongoing efforts to improve further
─ Clinker Factor to reduce from current 65% to ~ 60%
─ Electrical Energy to reduce from current 89.6 kwh/t cement to 80
kwh/t cement.
─ Thermal Energy to reduce from current 3101 MJ/T Clinker to 2885
MJ/T Clinker
─ ACC plans to double ( ~740000 tons ) its AFR usage by 2015
Renewable Energy
Wind Power 19 MW installed .Additional 15 MW conceptualized
Waste Heat Recovery system at Gagal is being installed and
feasibility at other plants is being examined
On Going focus on Water Conservation, Afforestation and tree
plantation
ACC publishes annual Corporate Sustainable Development Reports
based on GRI guidelines
17
ACC Limited
ACC – Community Development Impacting
Over 1 Lakh People in 100+ Villages
Sustainable Community Development – in 100 villages
around its operations through livelihood generation, rural
infrastructure, literacy, women’s empowerment.
Notable successes - 289 self help groups benefitting 2900
women
Education & Training – ACC supports 66 Govt. schools
in backward districts. Operates 16 schools wherein
10,000 students receive education.
ACC runs 2 technical institutes at Kymore (MP) and Jamul
(Chhattisgarh). ACC has partnered with seven ITIs for
their up-gradation through the PPP program
Community Health – ACC medical clinics conduct village
health camps.
ACC is the first corporate to set up Anti-Retroviral
treatment centres for combating AIDS.
Around 6000 people have benefited.
Building infrastructure for livable neighborhoods
18
ACC Limited
ACC - Awards & Accolades
ACC was the very first recipient in 1976 of National Award for Rural and Agricultural
Development Activities from ASSOCHAM.
Good Corporate Citizen Award in 2006 from Bombay Chamber of Commerce &
Industry
Bombay Natural History Society Award in 1997 for supporting the cause Nature
Conservation
Golden Peacock Environment Management Special award for outstanding efforts in
Environment Management
National Award for Fly Ash Utilization 2006 – by Ministry of Power, Ministry of
Environment & Forests, Dept of Science & Technology
Greentech Safety Gold and Silver Awards from Greentech Foundation for outstanding
performance in Safety Management
Jamnalal Bajaj Uchit Vyavahar Puraskar – in the category Large Manufacturing
Enterprises for exemplary record of practicing and promoting Fair Business Practices
by Council for Fair Business Practices
CNBC-TV 18’s India Business Leaders Award in the category India Corporate Citizen of
the Year 2008
The Vision Corporate Triple Impact by FICCI -2010 for Triple Bottom Line
India Manufacturing Excellence Awards 2011
19
ACC Limited
Disclaimer
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements:
This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements relating to the
Group’s future business, development and economic performance.
Such statements may be subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other
important factors, such as but not limited to (1) competitive pressures; (2)
legislative and regulatory developments; (3) global, macroeconomic and political
trends; (4) fluctuations in currency exchange rates and general financial market
conditions; (5) delay or inability in obtaining approvals from authorities; (6)
technical developments; (7) litigation; (8) adverse publicity and news coverage,
which could cause actual development and results to differ materially from the
statements made in this presentation. ACC assumes no obligation to update or
alter forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future
events or otherwise.

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Acc investor presentation_august_12

  • 1. ACC Limited Kuldip Kaura, CEO & MD- ACC Limited, Motilal Oswal Investor Conference, August 2012
  • 2. 2 ACC Limited 480 India 185 World China 1,390 Per capita cement consumption in 2011 (in kg) Per capita cement consumption in 2011 (in kg) Source: IMF ,CMA and E&Y Report India has the 2nd largest cement industry in the world with demand at ~224 MT (world ~3570 MT) in 2011 & capacity ~290 MT (world ~4100 MT) Cement demand expected to grow at ~8-9 % per annum in foreseeable future on the back of ~7 % GDP growth Lower Indian Per capita consumption and higher Infrastructure growth leaves a bigger room for industry growth Fragmented Industry, with more than 100 players Over 4 Lakh Dealer/Retailers 100+ RMX players 1.5 crore bags sold daily. More than 98% of the total despatches sold in bags Indian Cement Industry Scenario Market Share Pie 2011Market Share Pie 2011 45% 5% 5% Shree Cmt Jaypee India Cmt 18% Others 10% ACC 11% Ultra Tech Ambuja 8%
  • 3. 3 ACC Limited Indian Cement Market Development Housing Comm+Indus Infrastructure 2016 341 214 (63%) 68 (20%) 59 (17%) 2011 224 152 (68%) 43 (19%) 29 (13%) 17% 7% Demand - Next Five Years @ 10% CAGR 9% Housing Population growth and rising per capita income Mass urbanization of ~ 250 Million people over next ~20 years Thrust by Govt. on Rural / low cost / mass housing Commercial / Industrial High Growth in retail, commercial and institutional sector in urban and semi-urban areas High Growth in industry segment Infrastructure • Construction linked sector account for 8.3% of 12th plan spend ~ 850 bn. • Infrastructure development – Roads, Ports, Power, etc Figs in Mio.T Key Demand Drivers Sectoral CAGR
  • 4. 4 ACC Limited Industry structure undergoing major changes Investment Cycle Planning Period (5-7 years) Land Cost (~200%) Exchange Rate /Inflation Energy/Environment Regulations Enhanced Operating Cost Fuel Cost (Coal) (50-100%) Freight Cost (Oil) (~30%) MIC (Fly Ash, Slag) (~100%) •Significant increase in Investment Cost per ton •Significant increase in Operating Cost
  • 5. 5 ACC Limited All values in Mio tons Demand - Supply Source: EIU, RBI, ACC Analysis 84% 80%78%78%76%77% Util Factor Indian Cement Scenario Market Development Long term GDP growth of ~7 % leading to multiplier effect for cement demand growth of ~8-9% Rising disposable income Increased investment in infrastructure by Govt . Expected investments of ~1trillion USD in 5 yr Plan(2012-17) by Govt. Mass urbanization of ~ 250 Million people over next ~20 years Cost Outlook Overall cost pressure will continue due to rise in cost of domestic coal & reduction in coal linkage and volatile import coal prices Rising cost of key input materials like fly ash, slag & road and railway freights Inflation remains at high level, & additionally rupee depreciation impacting imports Capacity Utilization Cap. Utlztn. is under pressure as supplies are coming from commissioned projects In mid- term , good demand would gradually improve the ratio 341 312 286 263 242 224 406 390 366 339 319 291 2012 20162015201420132011 Demand CAGR: 9% Supply CAGR: 6.3% Available supply Demand
  • 6. 6 ACC Limited ACC – Pioneer Of Indian Cement Industry with a Rich Heritage ACC was incorporated on August 1, 1936, in a historic merger of ten cement companies belonging to four business groups ACC became Holcim group company in 2005 ACC is first among equals 1947 - First indigenous plant at Chaibasa, Jharkhand 1956 - First with bulk cement distribution at Okhla, Delhi 1961 - First with blended cement using blast furnace slag from TISCO 1978 - First to introduce energy efficient precalcinator technology 1982 - First to commission a 1 MTPA cement plant at Wadi, Karnataka 1994 - First to start commercial manufacture of Ready Mixed Concrete 2011 - World’s largest cement kiln installed at Wadi Karnataka, with a capacity of over 13000 MT of clinker per day
  • 7. 7 ACC Limited ACC – A Pan India Presence GAGAL TIKARIA LAKHERI KYMORE CHANDA KUDITHINI WADI THONDEBHAVI MADDUKARAI BARGARH JAMUL CHAIBASA SINDRI DCW Nationwide presence 16 cement plants - capacity of 30 million tonnes/annum 21 sales units, 66 area offices 55+ RMX plants 10,000 dealers 2011: Cement & Clinker Sales* Volume (MioT) 23.97 Net Sales (Mio USD) 1870 EBITDA (Mio USD) 410 *1 USD= 50 INR
  • 8. 8 ACC Limited RMX Operations: ACC Concrete ACC Ltd. set up its first commercial RMX plant in India in 1994 becoming a pioneer in RMX industry ACC Concrete was started as a subsidiary of ACC Ltd. in Jan 2008 Pan India RMX penetration is around 7%and in Indian metros around 18% - Clearly a long way to grow for RMX market in India Key company statistics • 55 plants across India with presence in all Major cities • 2011- Volume Sold 2.1 mio m3. Net Sales of Rs 6,800 mio. • Number of Transit Mixers – 300 • Number of pumps is – 50 Kolkata Delhi Mumbai Bengaluru Hyderabad Chennai 11 7 4 4 6 3 Goa 3 Bokaro 4 Ahmedabad Surat Vadodara 1 1 1 Bhilai 1 Punjab 5 Gorakhpur Agra Lucknow Kanpur Jaipur 1 1 1 1 1
  • 9. 9 ACC Limited ACC Operational & Financial Performance Sales Volume (in MT)Sales Volume (in MT) EBITDA (Rs Cr.)EBITDA (Rs Cr.) Market share to 11% − Ramp up of Wadi, Chanda −Enhancement of distribution network −Access to new markets H1 2012 12.8 2011 23.7 2010 21.3 H1 2012 1,333 2011 1,921 2010 1,812 Improved EBITDA − Better internal efficiencies −New premium product launches −Higher sales volumes Market share Financial Performance
  • 10. ACC: Perspective Growth Potential Performance Potential ▪ Participate in India growth story ▪ Indian market to grow from 224 to ~ 500 by 2020 ▪ To maintain market share at ~11 % ▪ Potential to grow to ~55 MTPA by 2020 ▪ Mindset to touch benchmark and theoretical performance levels ▪ Customer centricity and value creation ▪ Cost Leadership ▪ Architecture to drive performance
  • 11. ACC towards Customer Centricity Launched Premium Products (F2R, Coastal +,Concrete+) to address identified market gaps and needs Rolled out CRM across the country Customer Help Centers and Interactive website (www.acchelp.in )to provide construction solutions Improve time to serve - delivery within 2 hrs High emphasis on mason training programs to impart new construction technology knowledge
  • 12. 12 Manufacturing Excellence To improve efficiencies across KPIs PPC clinker factor (%) PSC clinker factor (%) Thermal energy (MJ/t Clinker) Electrical energy (kwh/t cement) CPP PLF (%) 1 2 3 4 5 Baseline Aspiration ACC Performance Best performing plant 67.0 46.3 3101 89.6 59.6 60.0 40.0 2885 79.9 85.0 79.8 86.0 65.8 87.7 65.5 29233079 41.344.4 62.0
  • 13. 13 ACC Limited Reduction in GIGO time from 180 minutes to 110 minutes Loading bay – packer 3 Loading bay – packer 2 Loading bay – packer 1 Yard Gross weight Plant out Weigh BridgeTare weight Plant out Weigh bridge reading captured through RFID. Loading bay no. displayed EGP printed automatically with weight out Logistics Excellence : GIGO RFID implemented to achieve best-in-class GIGO time RFID reader Plant in Gross Weight Gate in Gate out captured Key Drivers of Success Complete visibility of vehicle information and movement Driver does not get down at any point Vehicle side plant fixed to 45 numbers Yard detention time reduced to 7 hrs Enabled safe and smooth flow of vehicle inside the plant
  • 14. HR Excellence: Strengthen the HR system to increase people centricity EnablersProcesses World class HR organization Accountable HR organization with right KPIs and skills E Manage my career B Clear and faster paths for leadership roles with enabling systems Talent Mgmt/ capability building C Segment and develop talent for critical skills at ACC Productivity improvement* D Zero based manning approach for ideal plant structure Communication and quality of life Improve two way communication with employees and quality of life HR performance radar Review and improvement of critical people indicators at each unit Mindsets and capabilities Managers and leaders oriented and trained to drive people excellence at ACC Recruitment, on boarding Attract and on- board the right talent profile as per needs of ACC A 14
  • 15. Jamul Project with 2.79 MTPA Clinker capacity and 5.15 MTPA Cement capacity is under implementation. Expected commissioning by 2015 55 38 30 202020162011 Installed Capacity (mio Tons per annum) Next 8-10 years, Opportunity to create another ACC 224 312 470Market size ACC ‘s growth potential
  • 16. ACC’S Journey towards sustainability Greenhouse gas emissions: ACC reduced specific CO2 emissions from 812 kg /t(1990) to 545 kg/t (2012).Ongoing efforts to improve further ─ Clinker Factor to reduce from current 65% to ~ 60% ─ Electrical Energy to reduce from current 89.6 kwh/t cement to 80 kwh/t cement. ─ Thermal Energy to reduce from current 3101 MJ/T Clinker to 2885 MJ/T Clinker ─ ACC plans to double ( ~740000 tons ) its AFR usage by 2015 Renewable Energy Wind Power 19 MW installed .Additional 15 MW conceptualized Waste Heat Recovery system at Gagal is being installed and feasibility at other plants is being examined On Going focus on Water Conservation, Afforestation and tree plantation ACC publishes annual Corporate Sustainable Development Reports based on GRI guidelines
  • 17. 17 ACC Limited ACC – Community Development Impacting Over 1 Lakh People in 100+ Villages Sustainable Community Development – in 100 villages around its operations through livelihood generation, rural infrastructure, literacy, women’s empowerment. Notable successes - 289 self help groups benefitting 2900 women Education & Training – ACC supports 66 Govt. schools in backward districts. Operates 16 schools wherein 10,000 students receive education. ACC runs 2 technical institutes at Kymore (MP) and Jamul (Chhattisgarh). ACC has partnered with seven ITIs for their up-gradation through the PPP program Community Health – ACC medical clinics conduct village health camps. ACC is the first corporate to set up Anti-Retroviral treatment centres for combating AIDS. Around 6000 people have benefited. Building infrastructure for livable neighborhoods
  • 18. 18 ACC Limited ACC - Awards & Accolades ACC was the very first recipient in 1976 of National Award for Rural and Agricultural Development Activities from ASSOCHAM. Good Corporate Citizen Award in 2006 from Bombay Chamber of Commerce & Industry Bombay Natural History Society Award in 1997 for supporting the cause Nature Conservation Golden Peacock Environment Management Special award for outstanding efforts in Environment Management National Award for Fly Ash Utilization 2006 – by Ministry of Power, Ministry of Environment & Forests, Dept of Science & Technology Greentech Safety Gold and Silver Awards from Greentech Foundation for outstanding performance in Safety Management Jamnalal Bajaj Uchit Vyavahar Puraskar – in the category Large Manufacturing Enterprises for exemplary record of practicing and promoting Fair Business Practices by Council for Fair Business Practices CNBC-TV 18’s India Business Leaders Award in the category India Corporate Citizen of the Year 2008 The Vision Corporate Triple Impact by FICCI -2010 for Triple Bottom Line India Manufacturing Excellence Awards 2011
  • 19. 19 ACC Limited Disclaimer Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements: This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements relating to the Group’s future business, development and economic performance. Such statements may be subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors, such as but not limited to (1) competitive pressures; (2) legislative and regulatory developments; (3) global, macroeconomic and political trends; (4) fluctuations in currency exchange rates and general financial market conditions; (5) delay or inability in obtaining approvals from authorities; (6) technical developments; (7) litigation; (8) adverse publicity and news coverage, which could cause actual development and results to differ materially from the statements made in this presentation. ACC assumes no obligation to update or alter forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.