2. Predicting the future of
innovation is difficult.
The following slides will
illustrate this…
3.
4. ”Everything that can be invented
already has been”
// Charles H Duell, head
of U.S.Patent Office, 1899
5.
6.
7. ”The development has been so remarkable
that we do not expect any
further improvements in the future.”
// German car manufacturer, 1914
8.
9.
10. ”The telephone is an amazing
innovation, but who will ever
use it?”
// Rutherford B Hayes,
American president 1875
11. ”This ’telephone’ has too many
shortcomings to be seriously
considered as a means of
communications. The device is
inherently of no value to us.”
//Western Union, 1876
12.
13.
14. “In the early 1980s AT&T asked McKinsey to
estimate how many cellular phones would
be in use in the world at the turn of the
century. The consultancy … concluded
that the total market would be about
900,000. At the time this persuaded AT&T
to pull out of the market.”
— The Economist, 1999
15.
16.
17. ”There is a world market for
about five computers”
// Tomas Watson, founder and
chairman of IBM, 1943
18.
19.
20. ”It was gigantic and did not look like a
camera”
// Comment on Hasselblad’s first digital
camera prototype developed in 1996
21.
22. All those people who’ve said that we’ve
reached the end of development have
one thing in common…