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Social telly
Television and social media
Vincent Létang, Senior Analyst,
Head of advertising

London, February 8, 2011
Social Media Week
About Screen Digest

                                                 •   Now part of the IHS group.
            Screen Digest                        •   Market research, online databases, reports, consultancy.
Advertising Intelligence                         •   An impressive client list: content providers, technology
                                                     vendors, investors.
Broadband Media Intelligence

Cinema Intelligence

Games Intelligence

Mobile Media Intelligence

TV Technology Intelligence

Television Intelligence

Video Intelligence



Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Television: a social media?
Some thoughts (1)

 • TV advertising is challenged from various sides: outgrown by pay TV
   revenues globally, and outgrown by online advertising in advanced
   markets (e.g. UK)
 • TV broadcasters need to innovate to keep up with advertisers
   expectations in the digital age (accountability, scalability, interactivity
   etc)

 • Television is ‘the’ original social medium (event, community, coffee-
   machine chat, reality TV voting)
 • Next step is real-time, many-to-many, monetizable interaction




 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Television: a social media?
Some thoughts (2)

 • There already are measurable, large scale, return path platforms for social
    usage:
         • FB and Twitter on laptops and smartphones (e.g. 2010 election debates)
         • Tablet PCs will bring that pattern to another level: 8m users by 2014
 • Connected TVs will create further scale and new opportunities by bringing
    social tools/brand into the TV

 • Addressable linear advertising technologies (DVR-based or IP based)
    combined with social features generate new marketing opportunities
         • Addressable TV plans are currently demographics or preference-based
         • ‘socially-targeted’ ads would increase engagement further


 • However, telly still has a future as a largely passive, family entertainment
    ad-funded medium: 2010 was a record year for TV-viewing across Europe
 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Television: a social media?
Some thoughts (3)

 • A very open and competitive market place


 • Traditional TV players/brands (channels, programme brands, pay TV
    providers, EPG operators) fight to maintain the control of how TV gets
    social (e.g. the ‘anti Google TV’ cartel of virtually all broadcasters in
    France and the US.
         • They are already doing well in keeping control of key online VOD rights and
           monetizing them.
         • Relaxation of branded content and product placement creates further opportunities


 • But internet giants see connected TVs as their Trojan Horse into the
   living room
 • Consumer electronics manufacturers may have to take sides in that
   battle
 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
TV advertising: a mature market

 • Linear TV advertising suffered slow growth in the 2000s
 • Pay TV has already outgrown advertising as the main form of funding for
   television
 • ‘Advanced ‘ TV advertising revenues slow to compensate
  Television revenues by type, Western Europe (%)
     100%
      90%
      80%
      70%
      60%
      50%
      40%
      30%
      20%
      10%
       0%
                   99       00       01       02   03   04   05     06    07    08     09    10       11   12   13   14
                                           Pay TV revenues   Public funding    Advertising revenues


 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
TV advertising: a mature market

 • Online advertising already bigger than TV (if keeping search in)
 • (behavioural) targeting, social and video are rejuvenating display since 2010
     • Facebook reached approx. $1.5bn in global revenues in 2010 (source GS)

     Online advertising and TV advertising in the UK (2008-2015, £m)
        8,000


        7,000
                                   Total internet   TV
        6,000


        5,000


        4,000


        3,000


        2,000


        1,000


             0
                        2008                2009         2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015
 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
TV advertising: a mature market

 •      After two horrendous years (2008-2009) and the 2010 ‘mechanical’ rebound,
        TV ad revenues growth will slow down dramatically again in most markets


Europe’s Big Five Markets: TV NAR 2009-2011
15%                                                                               14.1%
                        9.6%                            8.7%
10%
                                                                  5.3%
 5%
                                                                           1.3%
 0%

-5%

-10%

-15%

-20%

-25%
                    France                           Germany    Italy    Spain    UK


                2008           2009           2010       2011

 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
‘Advanced’ TV advertising now
available through multiple platforms

                                  ‘Advanced’ TV advertising (ATVA)



 1. ‘Broadcast’ platforms                  2. Online TV                          3. Connected TVs

 Alternative, interactive and/or           Alternative, interactive and/or       On-demand TV content and alternative
 addressable forms of advertising in       addressable forms of advertising on   content, serving platform for ATVA
 the lean-back ‘telly’ environment         lean-forward, personal devices        Addressable advertising (IP cloud-based)


                                                                                  Built-in open internet TVs
 Two-way, ‘walled-garden                   Online TV (ad-funded FVoD)
 ‘platforms: IPTV, digital cable
                                           Mobile TV (apps, players)              Connected devices (set-
                                                                                  top boxes, game consoles)
 Broadcast technologies:
                                           Digital Signage
 satellite, terrestrial
 Red-button interactivity
 STB-based pushed branded content
 Addressable advertising (DVR-based)
DVRs
Europe trails the US
Penetration of pay-TV DVRs (2007-2013)
 50%

 45%

 40%

 35%

 30%

 25%

 20%

 15%

 10%

  5%

  0%
                  USA                      UK     France   W. Europe   Germany    Italy   Spain


                                                  2007        2009         2013
 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Connected TV: Connected devices
to be mass market by 2014
                  US: active connected                          EU 3: active connected
                       devices (m)                                    devices (m)
 25.0                                                    25.0
                                                                              90% of all TVs sold in
                                                                              Europe will be
 20.0                                                    20.0                 connectable by 2014


 15.0                                                    15.0

 10.0                                                    10.0

   5.0                                                    5.0

   0.0                                                    0.0




                                 2009             2014                2009   2014
 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Tablet users set to reach
8.6m by 2014
UK: Tablet and iPad users (m)
   9.0


   8.0


   7.0


   6.0


   5.0


   4.0


   3.0


   2.0


   1.0


   0.0
      2009                            2010          2011           2012   2013   2014

                                                  Tablets   iPad
 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.

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Social Telly: How Television is Becoming a Social Media

  • 1. Social telly Television and social media Vincent Létang, Senior Analyst, Head of advertising London, February 8, 2011 Social Media Week
  • 2. About Screen Digest • Now part of the IHS group. Screen Digest • Market research, online databases, reports, consultancy. Advertising Intelligence • An impressive client list: content providers, technology vendors, investors. Broadband Media Intelligence Cinema Intelligence Games Intelligence Mobile Media Intelligence TV Technology Intelligence Television Intelligence Video Intelligence Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 3. Television: a social media? Some thoughts (1) • TV advertising is challenged from various sides: outgrown by pay TV revenues globally, and outgrown by online advertising in advanced markets (e.g. UK) • TV broadcasters need to innovate to keep up with advertisers expectations in the digital age (accountability, scalability, interactivity etc) • Television is ‘the’ original social medium (event, community, coffee- machine chat, reality TV voting) • Next step is real-time, many-to-many, monetizable interaction Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 4. Television: a social media? Some thoughts (2) • There already are measurable, large scale, return path platforms for social usage: • FB and Twitter on laptops and smartphones (e.g. 2010 election debates) • Tablet PCs will bring that pattern to another level: 8m users by 2014 • Connected TVs will create further scale and new opportunities by bringing social tools/brand into the TV • Addressable linear advertising technologies (DVR-based or IP based) combined with social features generate new marketing opportunities • Addressable TV plans are currently demographics or preference-based • ‘socially-targeted’ ads would increase engagement further • However, telly still has a future as a largely passive, family entertainment ad-funded medium: 2010 was a record year for TV-viewing across Europe Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 5. Television: a social media? Some thoughts (3) • A very open and competitive market place • Traditional TV players/brands (channels, programme brands, pay TV providers, EPG operators) fight to maintain the control of how TV gets social (e.g. the ‘anti Google TV’ cartel of virtually all broadcasters in France and the US. • They are already doing well in keeping control of key online VOD rights and monetizing them. • Relaxation of branded content and product placement creates further opportunities • But internet giants see connected TVs as their Trojan Horse into the living room • Consumer electronics manufacturers may have to take sides in that battle Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 6. TV advertising: a mature market • Linear TV advertising suffered slow growth in the 2000s • Pay TV has already outgrown advertising as the main form of funding for television • ‘Advanced ‘ TV advertising revenues slow to compensate Television revenues by type, Western Europe (%) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Pay TV revenues Public funding Advertising revenues Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 7. TV advertising: a mature market • Online advertising already bigger than TV (if keeping search in) • (behavioural) targeting, social and video are rejuvenating display since 2010 • Facebook reached approx. $1.5bn in global revenues in 2010 (source GS) Online advertising and TV advertising in the UK (2008-2015, £m) 8,000 7,000 Total internet TV 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 8. TV advertising: a mature market • After two horrendous years (2008-2009) and the 2010 ‘mechanical’ rebound, TV ad revenues growth will slow down dramatically again in most markets Europe’s Big Five Markets: TV NAR 2009-2011 15% 14.1% 9.6% 8.7% 10% 5.3% 5% 1.3% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% France Germany Italy Spain UK 2008 2009 2010 2011 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 9. ‘Advanced’ TV advertising now available through multiple platforms ‘Advanced’ TV advertising (ATVA) 1. ‘Broadcast’ platforms 2. Online TV 3. Connected TVs Alternative, interactive and/or Alternative, interactive and/or On-demand TV content and alternative addressable forms of advertising in addressable forms of advertising on content, serving platform for ATVA the lean-back ‘telly’ environment lean-forward, personal devices Addressable advertising (IP cloud-based) Built-in open internet TVs Two-way, ‘walled-garden Online TV (ad-funded FVoD) ‘platforms: IPTV, digital cable Mobile TV (apps, players) Connected devices (set- top boxes, game consoles) Broadcast technologies: Digital Signage satellite, terrestrial Red-button interactivity STB-based pushed branded content Addressable advertising (DVR-based)
  • 10. DVRs Europe trails the US Penetration of pay-TV DVRs (2007-2013) 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% USA UK France W. Europe Germany Italy Spain 2007 2009 2013 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 11. Connected TV: Connected devices to be mass market by 2014 US: active connected EU 3: active connected devices (m) devices (m) 25.0 25.0 90% of all TVs sold in Europe will be 20.0 20.0 connectable by 2014 15.0 15.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 2009 2014 2009 2014 Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 12. Tablet users set to reach 8.6m by 2014 UK: Tablet and iPad users (m) 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Tablets iPad Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.