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POLICY
PERSPECTIVES
VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4, NOV 2017
•The digital economy increasingly permeates all
aspects of business and society. Already, its effects
have been felt across the economic landscape,
including the skills needed to get a job, the
production and delivery of services, and political
and policy decision-making.
•In the emerging digital economy, a growing share
of trade in goods and services is taking place
through electronic commerce on the Internet. The
digital economy has three primary components
— supporting infrastructure, electronic business
processes (how business is conducted), and
electronic commerce transactions (selling of goods
and services online).
WELCOME TO THE FOURTH
INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
You are in the midst of a revolution.
The Fourth one, in fact. So, what is it
— and in what ways may it transform
life as we know it?
Historically, there have been three
previous industrial revolutions. The
emergence of the digital economy is
considered by some to represent the
fourth.
The first industrial revolution
originated in Britain, roughly in
the mid-eighteenth century, and
centred on the shift from rural-
agrarian to urban-mechanized
systems of production. The second
spanned most of the century after
1870 and focused on the shift to
mass production, distribution and
communication — especially in
the United States but also in some
other developed economies. Key
innovations during this period
included electricity, the telephone,
radio, television and mass
transportation infrastructure. The
third revolution took off in the 1960’s
with the rise of more advanced
computing and telecommunications
capabilities, such as the switch from
mainframe to personal computers,
faxes, photocopying, and electronic
•A growing share of economic activity is unmeasured
or poorly measured by government statistical
agencies, in part because current approaches to
calculating GDP and collecting statistical data do
not reflect the value of digital consumption.
•BC has an opportunity to leverage the forces
of disruption and be a leader in the transition of
traditional industries to the digital economy.
•In addition to encouraging the development of
a strong digital supercluster in BC, policymakers
should also be considering steps to stimulate
the take-up and diffusion of digital technologies,
platforms and tools across the economy. This
can be a powerful way to raise productivity in the
broader business sector.
WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU'RE EXPECTING [DISRUPTION]:
THE DIGITAL ECONOMY AND BRITISH COLUMBIA
HIGHLIGHTS
Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com
documents — culminating in the
introduction of the Internet in the
late 1990s.
Enter the Fourth Industrial
Revolution. At first glance, it might
seem less noticeable than preceding
industrial revolutions but its impact is
arguably more disruptive. At the root
of the fourth industrial revolution is
accelerating technological innovation
that is upending business models
in existing industries, breathing life
into new ones, and giving rise to a
new economic paradigm: the digital
economy.
2
POLICY
PERSPECTIVES
A NEW MODEL
The OECD sees the digital economy
as “enabling and executing the
trade of goods and services
through electronic commerce on
the Internet”. The National Bureau
of Economic Research describes
the digital economy as having
three primary components —
supporting infrastructure, electronic
business processes (how business
is conducted), and electronic
commerce transactions (selling of
goods and services online).
However it is defined, the digital
economy increasingly permeates
all aspects of business and society.
Already, its effects have been felt
across the economic landscape, from
the skills needed to get a job, the
production and delivery of services,
and policy and political decision-
making. It influences the way people
connect with one another and with
information through a combination
of technologies and big data. These
technologies can help to solve (or
better manage) complex problems,
while big data will assist (hopefully)
in evidence-based decision-making.
The new economy is knowledge-
based and relies predominantly
on intellectual capabilities — be
it human or artificial — thereby
reducing the impact of limitations
such as geographic distance and
constraints on physical inputs
or capacity. In this environment,
knowledge, skills and expertise are
as critical as any other economic
resource.
A SNAPSHOT OF THE
DIGITAL ECONOMY
The digital economy is transforming
the way people function and how
firms conduct business. Advances
in computing power supporting the
digital revolution have led not only
to significant quality improvements
and stepped up innovation, but also
to new, broadband-driven economic
exchanges between consumers and
providers of goods and services.
Today, the United Nations’s
International Telecommunication
Union estimates that half of the
world’s population has regular
access to broadband, a third are
on a social network, and 1 in 2
people now use mobile technology
and service apps. The digital
economy represents an explosion
of consumer-supplier connectivity
based on technological infrastructure,
increasingly intuitive devices and
interfaces, and a whole new medium
enabling communication and
commerce with a global audience.
The backbone of the digital economy
is hyper-connectivity: the growing
connection of people to other people,
firms, and other organizations,
coupled with intelligence and data
exchange powered by broadband
and mobile technology, Big Data,
cloud computing, online platforms,
Artificial Intelligence, sensors, and
the Internet of Things (IoT)1 —
to name just a few. The digital
economy encompasses activity
that results from billions of daily
online connections among people,
businesses, devices, and data. A 2017
United Nations report estimates
that, given the limits of existing
national economic accounting and
measurement systems (discussed
below), the global digital economy
generated around $3 trillion in
economic activity in 2016. And the
figure is set to increase dramatically
in the next decade.
VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4, NOV 2017
Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com
1
The Internet of Things refers to connected devices that collect data which can be aggregated and analyzed.
FIGURE 1:	 CUMULATIVE NUMBER OF APPS DOWNLOADED FROM
	 THE APPLE APP STORE FROM JULY 2008 TO JUNE 2017
	 (IN BILLIONS)
Source: Apple Inc. Statistics.
3
POLICY
PERSPECTIVES
OCEANS OF DATA
The digital economy brings with it
data — oceans of data, in fact. At
least two generations of today’s
citizens already choose to give
away personal details in exchange
for gaining access to web-based
platforms and higher levels of
information and analytics. Citizens
increasingly are the target — but also
the biggest beneficiaries — of big
data, as seen through the explosion
of integrated lifestyle apps and
IoT products. According to Apple,
over 180 billion apps have been
downloaded in less than a decade
(see figure 1). Combined with fitness
trackers, other wearables, fintech
tools, online banking and other IoT
technology, they enable commercial
or personal data collection
mechanisms such as Google Home
or Amazon Alexa to win broad
market acceptance. More and more
consumers are now “voting with their
fingers” by giving away personal
details (and in many cases, even
paying for the chance to do so). In
return, big data delivers personalized
analytics, greater and more time-
sensitive consumer information and
choices, and enhanced quality of life
opportunities.
HOW TO MEASURE
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY IN THE
DIGITAL ECONOMY?
In truth, this is one of the biggest
challenges surrounding the digital
economy. A growing share of
economic activity is unmeasured or
poorly measured, because current
approaches to calculating GDP and
collecting statistical data do not
reflect the value that people derive
from digital consumption. For
example, virtual “free” goods are on
the rise — these include the public
consumption of content published
without a cost to the consumer, such
as video-streaming platforms like
YouTube, or digital-only news sites
like the Vancouver-based Daily Hive.
These companies deliver information
and products to consumers for zero
cost, and are often funded through
means other than paid subscriptions,
such as advertising. Globally-
accepted practices for tracking
and accounting for economic
transactions can neither capture
the benefits of these “free” goods/
services nor compute the value of
the associated economic activity.
Other forms of e-commerce are also
excluded from government-collected
data due to a lack of measurement
capacity and inadequate analytical
tools. The reduction of search
and matching costs offered by a
variety of online platforms (the “gig”
economy) is another benefit that
cannot be calculated by existing
productivity indicators. This, in turn,
is linked to the expansion of markets
for underused goods that can be
utilized to fuller potential thanks
to on-line platforms, like cars, tools
or homes (dubbed the “sharing”
economy). Modifying and improving
government’s official statistical
systems is a pressing task if the
goal is to understand and properly
measure the size and impact of the
digital economy.
THE AGE OF THE MACHINE
Automation and the future of
work is another big topic in the
era of the digital economy. Some
studies suggest more than 40%
of the Canadian labour force
may be affected by automation
by 2035. A similar share of the
“tasks” currently performed by paid
employees could be automated
using existing technologies (see
Figure 2). Another recent study
from McKinsey estimates that in
60% of all current jobs, more than
30% of work-related activities could
be digitized. As new technologies
push the frontiers of automation and
encroach on some of the advantages
that humans have been thought to
possess over machines, the way we
work is changing. This is not new
to the Fourth Industrial Revolution,
of course. Previous generations
of workers were also sometimes
replaced by machines. While it is
uncertain how many current jobs will
be “lost” to automation, the digital
age is sure to see the automation of
many specific tasks and bring wide-
ranging changes to the workplace.
Technological displacement is likely
to have the greatest impact on tasks
that are routine, administrative, sales
VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4, NOV 2017
Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com
FIGURE 2:	 AUTOMATION OF TASKS
IN THE CANADIAN LABOUR MARKET
Source: Brookfield Institute, 2016.
4
POLICY
PERSPECTIVES
and service-oriented in nature. Such
tasks tend to be quite repetitive
and can be recreated by intelligent
algorithms. According to the OECD,
jobs in which 70% (or more) of the
tasks are deemed automatable are at
the highest risk of displacement. At
the opposite end of the spectrum
are complex problem-solving tasks
that artificial intelligence has yet
to be able to recreate. Overall,
digitization is transforming jobs by
both expanding the digital content
of hundred of existing jobs (see
figure 3) and shifting the overall job
mix toward more digitally-intensive
occupations. The challenge for
workers in the “age of the machine”
will be to figure out where they can
add value and/or perform non-
automatable tasks.
WHAT TO EXPECT
WHEN YOU'RE EXPECTING
[DIGITAL DISRUPTION]
How will the digital economy
transform the economy — even
more than it already has? Below
is a partial summary of recent
predictions from The Bank of Canada
and the academic literature:
1.	 Increased data collection
and analysis. Government
and business will be able to
collect ever larger amounts of
information about consumer and
citizen preferences that can be
used to predict behaviours and
improve service delivery and
product offerings. Increased
data collection facilitates cross-
industry learning opportunities
and may bring a host of benefits,
including efficiency gains, better
health, and improved safety and
environmental outcomes. Large
VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4 NOV 2017
Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com
FIGURE 3:	 SELECT OCCUPATIONS AND DIGITAL SKILLS LEVEL, 2016
Source: Brookings Institute.
FIGURE 4:	 PERCENTAGE OF WORKERS IN JOBS AT HIGH
	 AND MEDIUM RISK OF AUTOMATION
Source: OECD.
5
POLICY
PERSPECTIVES VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4, NOV 2017
Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com
data sets will help inform fact-
based decisions on production
and resource allocation.
2.	 Personalization and customization.
With more data and analysis, the
public and private sectors will
be able to better target intended
demographic groups and provide
more individually-tailored services.
3.	 Greater transparency. Government,
business and consumers will
be able to track, monitor and
verify the performance of others
with whom they are transacting
or entering into agreements.
Advances in Big Data, sensor
technology, drones and block
chain will facilitate new types
of economic transactions,
produce real-time feedback
for participants, and increase
investment certainty.
4.	 Interconnectivity.
Advanced
communications
technology (e.g.
cloud computing,
video conferencing,
virtual reality/
augmented reality,
mobile devices)
allows people and
ideas to interact
without the physical limitations
of geography and differing time
zones.
5.	 Automation and labour market
disruption. Large data sets will
feed into intelligent algorithms
that automate systems and
enhance productivity. Repetitive
tasks are most likely to be
replaced by machines, while novel
tasks will largely remain within
the purview of human talent.
A well-educated and suitably
trained labour force will need to
be prepared to keep pace with
technological change.
BC'S DIGITAL ECONOMY
There are no official estimates of the
size of the digital economy in Canada,
nor at the provincial level. The high
technology sector is the backbone
of the digital economy. In BC, the
high-technology industry has grown
faster than the overall economy for a
decade or more. Today, it generates
approximately $26 billion a year in
revenue. In 2016, 150,000 British
Columbians were employed in tech-
related jobs,2 in positions ranging
from digital animation, gaming, life
sciences, software development and
clean tech, but also, increasingly,
in forestry,
mining, energy,
manufacturing,
agriculture,
medical
diagnostics, and
transportation.
BC is home to the
fastest-growing
tech workforce
in Canada as
well as a host of global technology
companies — some locally-based,
others larger firms that have
established a presence in the
province.3 As noted in a recent
Deloitte report, BC has the potential
to become a leader in the digital
economy due to its excellent post-
secondary education and training
institutions and strategic geographic
position close to Asia and within the
Cascadia Innovation Corridor.
LEVERAGING BC'S POSITION
AS A DIGITAL ECONOMY
LEADER
Recently, the Government of Canada
announced that it will invest $950
million in support of a handful of
innovation hubs. Also referred to
as “superclusters”, these are regions/
communities with concentrated
industry expertise in more than
one technology that can help
to accelerate economic growth,
innovation and partnerships. A BC-
led Digital Supercluster application
has been put forward to leverage
BC’s position as a digital leader.
What would this supercluster
look like? The foundation of BC’s
supercluster would be supported
by three areas of commercial and
research strength, or platforms:
•	 data visualization: uses include
visual effects, gaming, simulation
and modelling, mapping, as well
as virtual, augmented, and mixed
reality;
•	 data analytics: uses include
machine learning, artificial
intelligence, cloud, as well as
quantum and supercomputing;
and
•	 data collection: uses include data
repositories, connectivity, and the
Internet of Things.
Once established, these platforms
would support the growth of other
emerging technology clusters within
the province:
•	 environmental and resource
technologies (clean resources,
climate solutions);
•	 precision health and other health-
related technologies (biotech,
2
Of these, more than 90,000 work in industries that produce goods and services that are classified as part of the high technology industry itself by BC
Stats; the others are in jobs across the rest of the economy.
3
Some companies include: Microsoft, Amazon, Cisco, Disney, GE, Sony, Electronic Arts, Boeing, Finning, SAP, Sierra Wireless, Wavefront, D-Wave,
Hootsuite, Slack, Bardel Entertainment, and Finger Food Studios.
6
POLICY
PERSPECTIVES VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4, NOV 2017
Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com
digital health); and
•	 smart infrastructure and
transportation (smart cities, clean
tech).
BC has an opportunity to leverage
the forces of disruption and be a
leader in the transition of traditional
industries to the digital economy.
Embracing the cluster approach can
enhance the competitiveness of BC
and Canada while also supporting
our traditional industries — such
as natural resources, infrastructure,
manufacturing and transportation
— as they rely on increasingly
sophisticated technologies and data.
A digital technology supercluster
has the potential to create a more
dynamic investment environment,
grow more significant BC companies,
increase trade, and boost the number
of high quality jobs in the province.
And, harnessing the power and
AUTHORED BY
Kristine St-Laurent
Policy Analyst
potential of the digital economy can
allow BC to attract, develop and
retain highly skilled people to fuel
the future of research, innovation and
government and business operations.
MANAGING THE TRANSITION
TO DIGITAL
As the Government of Canada
decides where its $950 million in
“supercluster” investments will go,
there is understandable excitement
about nurturing a world-class digital
sector in British Columbia. But to
successfully manage the transition
to digitization and bolster overall
productivity, policy-makers should
also be considering steps to
stimulate the take-up and diffusion
of digital technologies, platforms
and tools across the economy. It is
not enough simply to build a strong
digital technology sector. Even more
important is leveraging the benefits
that digital technologies offer to
improve performance in all industries.
De-risking the incorporation of new
technologies into the operations
of business and government is one
priority. Another is developing a
qualified and skilled workforce. We
need to ensure that education, work-
integrated learning, and immigration
polices and programs mesh well
together to meet the evolving needs
of employers and equip people with
the skills to prosper in the digital age.
FIGURE 5:	 A SNAPSHOT OF BC'S DIGITAL TECHNOLOGY SUPERCLUSTER
Source: http://www.bcbc.com/bcbc-blog/2017/tech-tonic-shifts-supporting-the-growth-of-a-bc-tech-supercluster.

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What to expect when you're expecting (disruption): The digital economy and British Columbia

  • 1. POLICY PERSPECTIVES VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4, NOV 2017 •The digital economy increasingly permeates all aspects of business and society. Already, its effects have been felt across the economic landscape, including the skills needed to get a job, the production and delivery of services, and political and policy decision-making. •In the emerging digital economy, a growing share of trade in goods and services is taking place through electronic commerce on the Internet. The digital economy has three primary components — supporting infrastructure, electronic business processes (how business is conducted), and electronic commerce transactions (selling of goods and services online). WELCOME TO THE FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION You are in the midst of a revolution. The Fourth one, in fact. So, what is it — and in what ways may it transform life as we know it? Historically, there have been three previous industrial revolutions. The emergence of the digital economy is considered by some to represent the fourth. The first industrial revolution originated in Britain, roughly in the mid-eighteenth century, and centred on the shift from rural- agrarian to urban-mechanized systems of production. The second spanned most of the century after 1870 and focused on the shift to mass production, distribution and communication — especially in the United States but also in some other developed economies. Key innovations during this period included electricity, the telephone, radio, television and mass transportation infrastructure. The third revolution took off in the 1960’s with the rise of more advanced computing and telecommunications capabilities, such as the switch from mainframe to personal computers, faxes, photocopying, and electronic •A growing share of economic activity is unmeasured or poorly measured by government statistical agencies, in part because current approaches to calculating GDP and collecting statistical data do not reflect the value of digital consumption. •BC has an opportunity to leverage the forces of disruption and be a leader in the transition of traditional industries to the digital economy. •In addition to encouraging the development of a strong digital supercluster in BC, policymakers should also be considering steps to stimulate the take-up and diffusion of digital technologies, platforms and tools across the economy. This can be a powerful way to raise productivity in the broader business sector. WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU'RE EXPECTING [DISRUPTION]: THE DIGITAL ECONOMY AND BRITISH COLUMBIA HIGHLIGHTS Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com documents — culminating in the introduction of the Internet in the late 1990s. Enter the Fourth Industrial Revolution. At first glance, it might seem less noticeable than preceding industrial revolutions but its impact is arguably more disruptive. At the root of the fourth industrial revolution is accelerating technological innovation that is upending business models in existing industries, breathing life into new ones, and giving rise to a new economic paradigm: the digital economy.
  • 2. 2 POLICY PERSPECTIVES A NEW MODEL The OECD sees the digital economy as “enabling and executing the trade of goods and services through electronic commerce on the Internet”. The National Bureau of Economic Research describes the digital economy as having three primary components — supporting infrastructure, electronic business processes (how business is conducted), and electronic commerce transactions (selling of goods and services online). However it is defined, the digital economy increasingly permeates all aspects of business and society. Already, its effects have been felt across the economic landscape, from the skills needed to get a job, the production and delivery of services, and policy and political decision- making. It influences the way people connect with one another and with information through a combination of technologies and big data. These technologies can help to solve (or better manage) complex problems, while big data will assist (hopefully) in evidence-based decision-making. The new economy is knowledge- based and relies predominantly on intellectual capabilities — be it human or artificial — thereby reducing the impact of limitations such as geographic distance and constraints on physical inputs or capacity. In this environment, knowledge, skills and expertise are as critical as any other economic resource. A SNAPSHOT OF THE DIGITAL ECONOMY The digital economy is transforming the way people function and how firms conduct business. Advances in computing power supporting the digital revolution have led not only to significant quality improvements and stepped up innovation, but also to new, broadband-driven economic exchanges between consumers and providers of goods and services. Today, the United Nations’s International Telecommunication Union estimates that half of the world’s population has regular access to broadband, a third are on a social network, and 1 in 2 people now use mobile technology and service apps. The digital economy represents an explosion of consumer-supplier connectivity based on technological infrastructure, increasingly intuitive devices and interfaces, and a whole new medium enabling communication and commerce with a global audience. The backbone of the digital economy is hyper-connectivity: the growing connection of people to other people, firms, and other organizations, coupled with intelligence and data exchange powered by broadband and mobile technology, Big Data, cloud computing, online platforms, Artificial Intelligence, sensors, and the Internet of Things (IoT)1 — to name just a few. The digital economy encompasses activity that results from billions of daily online connections among people, businesses, devices, and data. A 2017 United Nations report estimates that, given the limits of existing national economic accounting and measurement systems (discussed below), the global digital economy generated around $3 trillion in economic activity in 2016. And the figure is set to increase dramatically in the next decade. VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4, NOV 2017 Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com 1 The Internet of Things refers to connected devices that collect data which can be aggregated and analyzed. FIGURE 1: CUMULATIVE NUMBER OF APPS DOWNLOADED FROM THE APPLE APP STORE FROM JULY 2008 TO JUNE 2017 (IN BILLIONS) Source: Apple Inc. Statistics.
  • 3. 3 POLICY PERSPECTIVES OCEANS OF DATA The digital economy brings with it data — oceans of data, in fact. At least two generations of today’s citizens already choose to give away personal details in exchange for gaining access to web-based platforms and higher levels of information and analytics. Citizens increasingly are the target — but also the biggest beneficiaries — of big data, as seen through the explosion of integrated lifestyle apps and IoT products. According to Apple, over 180 billion apps have been downloaded in less than a decade (see figure 1). Combined with fitness trackers, other wearables, fintech tools, online banking and other IoT technology, they enable commercial or personal data collection mechanisms such as Google Home or Amazon Alexa to win broad market acceptance. More and more consumers are now “voting with their fingers” by giving away personal details (and in many cases, even paying for the chance to do so). In return, big data delivers personalized analytics, greater and more time- sensitive consumer information and choices, and enhanced quality of life opportunities. HOW TO MEASURE ECONOMIC ACTIVITY IN THE DIGITAL ECONOMY? In truth, this is one of the biggest challenges surrounding the digital economy. A growing share of economic activity is unmeasured or poorly measured, because current approaches to calculating GDP and collecting statistical data do not reflect the value that people derive from digital consumption. For example, virtual “free” goods are on the rise — these include the public consumption of content published without a cost to the consumer, such as video-streaming platforms like YouTube, or digital-only news sites like the Vancouver-based Daily Hive. These companies deliver information and products to consumers for zero cost, and are often funded through means other than paid subscriptions, such as advertising. Globally- accepted practices for tracking and accounting for economic transactions can neither capture the benefits of these “free” goods/ services nor compute the value of the associated economic activity. Other forms of e-commerce are also excluded from government-collected data due to a lack of measurement capacity and inadequate analytical tools. The reduction of search and matching costs offered by a variety of online platforms (the “gig” economy) is another benefit that cannot be calculated by existing productivity indicators. This, in turn, is linked to the expansion of markets for underused goods that can be utilized to fuller potential thanks to on-line platforms, like cars, tools or homes (dubbed the “sharing” economy). Modifying and improving government’s official statistical systems is a pressing task if the goal is to understand and properly measure the size and impact of the digital economy. THE AGE OF THE MACHINE Automation and the future of work is another big topic in the era of the digital economy. Some studies suggest more than 40% of the Canadian labour force may be affected by automation by 2035. A similar share of the “tasks” currently performed by paid employees could be automated using existing technologies (see Figure 2). Another recent study from McKinsey estimates that in 60% of all current jobs, more than 30% of work-related activities could be digitized. As new technologies push the frontiers of automation and encroach on some of the advantages that humans have been thought to possess over machines, the way we work is changing. This is not new to the Fourth Industrial Revolution, of course. Previous generations of workers were also sometimes replaced by machines. While it is uncertain how many current jobs will be “lost” to automation, the digital age is sure to see the automation of many specific tasks and bring wide- ranging changes to the workplace. Technological displacement is likely to have the greatest impact on tasks that are routine, administrative, sales VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4, NOV 2017 Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com FIGURE 2: AUTOMATION OF TASKS IN THE CANADIAN LABOUR MARKET Source: Brookfield Institute, 2016.
  • 4. 4 POLICY PERSPECTIVES and service-oriented in nature. Such tasks tend to be quite repetitive and can be recreated by intelligent algorithms. According to the OECD, jobs in which 70% (or more) of the tasks are deemed automatable are at the highest risk of displacement. At the opposite end of the spectrum are complex problem-solving tasks that artificial intelligence has yet to be able to recreate. Overall, digitization is transforming jobs by both expanding the digital content of hundred of existing jobs (see figure 3) and shifting the overall job mix toward more digitally-intensive occupations. The challenge for workers in the “age of the machine” will be to figure out where they can add value and/or perform non- automatable tasks. WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU'RE EXPECTING [DIGITAL DISRUPTION] How will the digital economy transform the economy — even more than it already has? Below is a partial summary of recent predictions from The Bank of Canada and the academic literature: 1. Increased data collection and analysis. Government and business will be able to collect ever larger amounts of information about consumer and citizen preferences that can be used to predict behaviours and improve service delivery and product offerings. Increased data collection facilitates cross- industry learning opportunities and may bring a host of benefits, including efficiency gains, better health, and improved safety and environmental outcomes. Large VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4 NOV 2017 Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com FIGURE 3: SELECT OCCUPATIONS AND DIGITAL SKILLS LEVEL, 2016 Source: Brookings Institute. FIGURE 4: PERCENTAGE OF WORKERS IN JOBS AT HIGH AND MEDIUM RISK OF AUTOMATION Source: OECD.
  • 5. 5 POLICY PERSPECTIVES VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4, NOV 2017 Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com data sets will help inform fact- based decisions on production and resource allocation. 2. Personalization and customization. With more data and analysis, the public and private sectors will be able to better target intended demographic groups and provide more individually-tailored services. 3. Greater transparency. Government, business and consumers will be able to track, monitor and verify the performance of others with whom they are transacting or entering into agreements. Advances in Big Data, sensor technology, drones and block chain will facilitate new types of economic transactions, produce real-time feedback for participants, and increase investment certainty. 4. Interconnectivity. Advanced communications technology (e.g. cloud computing, video conferencing, virtual reality/ augmented reality, mobile devices) allows people and ideas to interact without the physical limitations of geography and differing time zones. 5. Automation and labour market disruption. Large data sets will feed into intelligent algorithms that automate systems and enhance productivity. Repetitive tasks are most likely to be replaced by machines, while novel tasks will largely remain within the purview of human talent. A well-educated and suitably trained labour force will need to be prepared to keep pace with technological change. BC'S DIGITAL ECONOMY There are no official estimates of the size of the digital economy in Canada, nor at the provincial level. The high technology sector is the backbone of the digital economy. In BC, the high-technology industry has grown faster than the overall economy for a decade or more. Today, it generates approximately $26 billion a year in revenue. In 2016, 150,000 British Columbians were employed in tech- related jobs,2 in positions ranging from digital animation, gaming, life sciences, software development and clean tech, but also, increasingly, in forestry, mining, energy, manufacturing, agriculture, medical diagnostics, and transportation. BC is home to the fastest-growing tech workforce in Canada as well as a host of global technology companies — some locally-based, others larger firms that have established a presence in the province.3 As noted in a recent Deloitte report, BC has the potential to become a leader in the digital economy due to its excellent post- secondary education and training institutions and strategic geographic position close to Asia and within the Cascadia Innovation Corridor. LEVERAGING BC'S POSITION AS A DIGITAL ECONOMY LEADER Recently, the Government of Canada announced that it will invest $950 million in support of a handful of innovation hubs. Also referred to as “superclusters”, these are regions/ communities with concentrated industry expertise in more than one technology that can help to accelerate economic growth, innovation and partnerships. A BC- led Digital Supercluster application has been put forward to leverage BC’s position as a digital leader. What would this supercluster look like? The foundation of BC’s supercluster would be supported by three areas of commercial and research strength, or platforms: • data visualization: uses include visual effects, gaming, simulation and modelling, mapping, as well as virtual, augmented, and mixed reality; • data analytics: uses include machine learning, artificial intelligence, cloud, as well as quantum and supercomputing; and • data collection: uses include data repositories, connectivity, and the Internet of Things. Once established, these platforms would support the growth of other emerging technology clusters within the province: • environmental and resource technologies (clean resources, climate solutions); • precision health and other health- related technologies (biotech, 2 Of these, more than 90,000 work in industries that produce goods and services that are classified as part of the high technology industry itself by BC Stats; the others are in jobs across the rest of the economy. 3 Some companies include: Microsoft, Amazon, Cisco, Disney, GE, Sony, Electronic Arts, Boeing, Finning, SAP, Sierra Wireless, Wavefront, D-Wave, Hootsuite, Slack, Bardel Entertainment, and Finger Food Studios.
  • 6. 6 POLICY PERSPECTIVES VOLUME 24, ISSUE 4, NOV 2017 Where Leaders Meet to Unlock BC’s Full Potential | www.bcbc.com digital health); and • smart infrastructure and transportation (smart cities, clean tech). BC has an opportunity to leverage the forces of disruption and be a leader in the transition of traditional industries to the digital economy. Embracing the cluster approach can enhance the competitiveness of BC and Canada while also supporting our traditional industries — such as natural resources, infrastructure, manufacturing and transportation — as they rely on increasingly sophisticated technologies and data. A digital technology supercluster has the potential to create a more dynamic investment environment, grow more significant BC companies, increase trade, and boost the number of high quality jobs in the province. And, harnessing the power and AUTHORED BY Kristine St-Laurent Policy Analyst potential of the digital economy can allow BC to attract, develop and retain highly skilled people to fuel the future of research, innovation and government and business operations. MANAGING THE TRANSITION TO DIGITAL As the Government of Canada decides where its $950 million in “supercluster” investments will go, there is understandable excitement about nurturing a world-class digital sector in British Columbia. But to successfully manage the transition to digitization and bolster overall productivity, policy-makers should also be considering steps to stimulate the take-up and diffusion of digital technologies, platforms and tools across the economy. It is not enough simply to build a strong digital technology sector. Even more important is leveraging the benefits that digital technologies offer to improve performance in all industries. De-risking the incorporation of new technologies into the operations of business and government is one priority. Another is developing a qualified and skilled workforce. We need to ensure that education, work- integrated learning, and immigration polices and programs mesh well together to meet the evolving needs of employers and equip people with the skills to prosper in the digital age. FIGURE 5: A SNAPSHOT OF BC'S DIGITAL TECHNOLOGY SUPERCLUSTER Source: http://www.bcbc.com/bcbc-blog/2017/tech-tonic-shifts-supporting-the-growth-of-a-bc-tech-supercluster.