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#CCSOCIALSCIENCE
With:
Dr Andreas Kappes
(City, University of London)
@ankappes
Andreas.Kappes@city.ac.uk
THE SCIENCE BEHIND FAKE NEWS AND
MISINFORMATION
ROADMAP
1. Why Valence Matters, and Facts Not
– Understanding the different brain modes of processing
confirming and disconfirming evidence
2. Crossing the Rubicon: When Valence Matters, and When
Facts
– Understanding when beliefs become loaded with
valence
3. Where Does Valence Come From: Why Do we Have Beliefs?
– Understanding the functions of beliefs in daily life and
how to use them
4. Beware of What People are Saying
– What not to do when trying to understand the reasons for
false beliefs
What are you?
WHY SHOULD YOU LISTEN TO ME?
WHY VALENCE MATTERS
(AND FACTS NOT)
Kappes et al., 2020, Nature Neuroscience
+
2 sec
2 sec
1-3 sec
2 sec
2 sec
4 sec
$1.000.000?
Your Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Investment
50
Your
Investment
40
Final
Investment
45
2 sec
2 sec
2 sec
2 sec
4 sec
$1.000.000?
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Investment
50
Your
Investment
40
+
1-3 sec Final
Investment
45
Agreement
Your Judgment
2 sec
2 sec
2 sec
4 sec
$1.000.000?
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Investment
50
Your
Investment
40
+
1-3 sec Final
Investment
45
Agreement
Your Judgment
2 sec
2 sec
2 sec
4 sec
$1.000.000?
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Investment
50
Your
Investment
40
+
1-3 sec Final
Investment
35
Disagreement
Your Judgment
ChangeinWager
(2ndWager–1stWager)
A
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Partner confirms
judgment
Partner disconfirms
judgment
No information
provided
Confirming
opinion
Disconfirming
opinion
No opinion
provided
*
ns
*
2 sec
2 sec
2 sec
4 sec
$1.000.000?
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Investment
50
Your
Investment
40
+
1-3 sec Final
Investment
40
XXXXXXX
Your Judgment
ChangeinWager
(2ndWager–1stWager)
A
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Partner confirms
judgment
Partner disconfirms
judgment
No information
provided
ns
Confirming
opinion
Disconfirming
opinion
No opinion
provided
*
ns
*
ChangeinWager
(2ndWager–1stWager)
A
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Partner confirms
judgment
Partner disconfirms
judgment
No information
provided
ns
Confirming
opinion
Disconfirming
opinion
No opinion
provided
*
ns
*
Agree
Your Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Your Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Agree
Your Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Partner’s
Wager
Final
Wager
Partner’s
Wager
Final
Wager
Agree
Your Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Your Judgment
Partner’s
Judgment
Kappes & Sharot, The Conversation, 2020
Horne et al., 2015, PNAS
Kappes & Sharot, The Conversation, 2020
(Kaminska, 2017)
Octavius
Mark Antony loves Cleopatra more than Rome. Beware of
the snakes in the grass. #realtalk #RomeOverEgypt
CROSSING THE RUBICON:
WHEN VALENCE MATTERS
(AND WHEN NOT)
Kappes et al., 2018, Psychological Science
CROSSING THE RUBICON
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
1
Stranger
Bias
The stranger is Lauren, a
33-year old female
American.
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
1
Stranger
Bias
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
1
Bias
Identifiable
Stranger
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
1
Stranger
Bias
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
1
Bias
Identifiable
Stranger
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
1
Self
Bias
Kahane et al., 2013
WHERE DOES VALENCE COME FROM:
WHY DO WE HAVE BELIEFS?
• √
Conway & Pleydell-Pearce, 2000
Korn et al., 2014
Kruglanski et al., 2015
Function
Belief Belief
BEWARE OF WHAT PEOPLE ARE SAYING
Zajonc, 1980
MOTIVATED REASONING
(Kappes & Sharot, 2018)
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Good
News
Bad
News
Good
News
Bad
News
Cognitive Load No Load
LearningRate
* *
WHAT HAPPENS IF YOU BLOCK REASONING?
POST – HOC RATIONALISATION
Haidt, 2001
IN A NUTSHELL
1. Prevent the crossing of the Rubicon so that
valence doesn’t matter
2. Find common ground and don’t be cocky
3. Identify the functions of beliefs and replace
those with new beliefs
4. Reason is not the enemy
5. Emotions are key for immunization
THANK YOU

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The science behind fake news and misinformation: lessons for effective charity communications