Nils Flaatten presentation highlights Western Cape's economic growth
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Nils Flaatten, CEO of Wesgro, the Western Cape Government's Trade and Industry Promotion Agency, gave a very insightful presentation at Cap40 Business Wednesday on the 2nd of July. Access comprehensive data and analysis on trade and investment in the Western Cape, South Africa and the rest of the world.
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Nils Flaatten presentation highlights Western Cape's economic growth
- 1. Nils Flaatten, CEO 2 July 2014 An inspiring place to do business Presentation to le Cap 40 at Alliance Française du Cap
- 2. GDP Growth per Annum, 2002-2012 An inspiring place to do business 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 RSA 3.7 2.9 4.6 5.3 5.6 5.5 3.6 -1.5 3.1 3.6 2.5 Western Cape 4.3 3.4 5.7 5.9 5.9 6.2 4.3 -1.3 2.8 3.9 3.2 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Growth(%)
- 3. Population in the Western Cape, 2003-2018 An inspiring place to do business 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f Population 4.95 5.05 5.15 5.26 5.36 5.47 5.57 5.68 5.79 5.90 6.02 6.15 6.28 6.42 6.56 6.70 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Population(millions) Upward trajectory with a 2% CAGR
- 4. WC and SA Education Levels, 2013 An inspiring place to do business 11.5% 17.4% 41.4% 17.6% 3.3% 4.5% 4.4%5.1% 17.4% 43.6% 19.6% 3.6% 4.5% 6.2% No Schooling - G2 Grade 3 - 7 Grade 8 - 11 Matric only Certificate and diploma only Matric and certificate diploma Matric and degree South Africa Western Cape
- 5. Western Cape Sectors Contribution to GDP, 2003 - 2012 An inspiring place to do business 0.2 1.7 4.6 2.9 4.9 9.2 9.3 18.1 14.4 25.5 0.2 2.1 3.7 4.2 5.3 9.1 10.2 11.4 17.9 25.7 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Mining and quarrying Electricity, gas and water Agriculture, forestry and fishing Construction Personal services Transport, storage and communication General government services Manufacturing Wholesale, retail and motor trade; catering and accommodation Finance, real estate and business services 2012 2003
- 6. 7/4/2014 3.80% 3.60% 3.10% 2.60% 2.30% 2.10% 1.90% 1.80% 0.40% -1.50% 2.70% 2.70% 3.80% 1.80% 0.90% 2.10% -0.20% 0.20% 0.90% -1.90% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Wholesale, retail and motor trade; catering and accommodation Finance, real estate and business services General government services Construction Personal services Transport, storage and communication Agriculture, forestry and fishing Manufacturing Electricity, gas and water Mining and quarrying CAGR 2008-2012 Growth 2011-2012 Western Cape Sector Growth, 2008 - 2012
- 7. Employment By Skill Sector in the Western Cape, 2013 An inspiring place to do business Sector Description Formal And Informal Employment - Total Formal Employment By Skill: Total Formal Employment By Skill - Highly Skilled Formal Employment By Skill - Skilled Formal Employment By Skill- Semi- And Unskilled Informal Employment - Total Wholesale and retail trade, catering and accommodation 420610 232168 29839 158478 43850 188442 Finance, insurance, real estate and business services 352008 308312 68756 195417 44138 43697 Community, social and personal services 275990 206080 18949 31822 155309 69910 General government 229699 229699 88048 109587 32064 0 Manufacturing 229055 191032 23964 65568 101500 38023 Agriculture, forestry and fishing 152952 134784 5153 7848 121783 18168 Construction 106509 52781 3405 10311 39065 53727 Transport, storage and communication 86559 47467 6065 28892 12511 39092 Electricity, gas and water 6575 6473 2315 2294 1864 102 Mining and quarrying 3690 3672 200 737 2734 18 TOTAL 1863645 1412465 246694 610954 554817 451179
- 8. Employment Composition in the Western Cape, 2008-2013 An inspiring place to do business 8.4% 0.2% 14.6% 0.4% 6.1% 18.6% 3.4% 20.5% 14.0% 13.9% 5.9% 0.4% 12.7% 0.4% 5.4% 19.5% 3.3% 21.0% 14.0% 17.3% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Electricity Construction Retail Communication Finance Services Government 2013 2008
- 9. 7/4/2014
- 10. Western Cape Trade (excluding petroleum), 2003-2013 An inspiring place to do business 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Import 22.19 25.70 30.75 39.36 44.91 54.08 49.81 47.97 57.61 69.17 86.82 Export 26.58 27.09 29.18 30.60 39.84 51.61 44.39 45.92 48.75 55.77 66.49 Trade Balance 4.39 1.40 -1.56 -8.76 -5.07 -2.47 -5.42 -2.06 -8.86 -13.40 -20.33 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 Value(bn)
- 11. Top 10 Western Cape Export Markets, 2013 An inspiring place to do business TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE EXPORT MARKETS, 2013 RANK IMPORTERS VALUE 2013 (ZARbn) % SHARE % GROWTH 2012-2013 1 Netherlands 6.74 9.00 -0.91 2 United Kingdom 6.66 8.89 25.04 3 Germany 3.85 5.14 25.33 4 Mozambique 3.78 5.05 148.62 5 United States 3.49 4.65 4.38 6 Singapore 2.70 3.61 9.17 7 Japan 2.65 3.53 117.68 8 Angola 2.54 3.40 11.83 9 Kenya 2.29 3.05 64.53 10 China 2.12 2.84 49.39 TOTAL EXPORTS 74.87 100% 16.06% Source: Quantec, 2014
- 12. Top 10 Western Cape Export Markets, 2011-2012 An inspiring place to do business TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE EXPORT MARKETS, 2011 RANK IMPORTERS VALUE 2011 (ZARbn) % SHARE % GROWTH 2010-2011 1 Netherlands 5.41 9.9% 8.7% 2 United Kingdom 4.95 9.1% -2.4% 3 Germany 3.12 5.7% 1.4% 4 United States 2.66 4.9% 10.1% 5 Angola 1.84 3.4% 11.7% 6 Republic of Korea 1.82 3.3% 117.3% 7 Mozambique 1.72 3.1% 37.6% 8 Belgium 1.51 2.8% 11.9% 9 Zambia 1.42 2.6% 59.5% 10 China 1.34 2.5% 11.9% TOTAL EXPORTS 54.7 100% -2.94% Source: Quantec, 2013 TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE EXPORT MARKETS, 2012 RANK IMPORTERS VALUE 2012 (ZARbn) % SHARE % GROWTH 2011-2012 1 Netherlands 6.8 10.52% 25.52% 2 United Kingdom 5.3 8.24% 7.44% 3 United States 3.3 5.17% 27.87% 4 Malaysia 3.1 4.85% 139.56% 5 Germany 3.1 4.75% -1.82% 6 Singapore 3.1 3.83% 209.10% 7 Angola 2.5 3.52% 23.13% 8 UAE 2.3 2.46% 59.43% 9 Zambia 1.6 2.36% 6.54% 10 Mozambique 1.5 2.35% -11.71% TOTAL EXPORTS 64.6 100% 18.46%
- 13. Top 10 Western Cape Import Markets, 2013 An inspiring place to do business TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE IMPORT MARKETS, 2013 RANK EXPORTERS VALUE 2013 (ZARbn) % SHARE % GROWTH 2012-2013 1 Saudi Arabia 37.67 20.19 -0.32 2 China 28.01 15.01 39.27 3 India 16.37 8.77 75.28 4 Nigeria 13.59 7.28 -20.73 5 Germany 8.10 4.34 65.45 6 Singapore 7.54 4.04 75.42 7 United Kingdom 6.58 3.53 21.31 8 Italy 5.24 2.81 38.49 9 United States 4.71 2.52 13.80 10 Netherlands 4.64 2.48 -11.23 TOTAL IMPORTS 186.57 100% 4% Source: Quantec, 2013
- 14. Top 10 Western Cape Import Markets, 2011-2012 An inspiring place to do business TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE IMPORT MARKETS, 2011 RANK EXPORTERS VALUE 2011 (ZARbn) % SHARE % GROWTH 2010-2011 1 China 17.017 12.13% 24.86% 2 Saudi Arabia 16.68 11.89% 36.85% 3 Iran 15.965 11.38% 26.18% 4 Nigeria 9.768 6.96% 84.38% 5 India 7.936 5.66% 72.30% 6 United Kingdom 6.714 4.78% 46.92% 7 United States 5.709 4.07% 33.61% 8 Angola 5.265 3.75% -41.05% 9 Italy 5.009 3.57% 87.90% 10 Germany 4.456 3.18% 0.80% TOTAL IMPORTS 140.335 100.00% 33.22% Source: Quantec, 2013 TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE IMPORT MARKETS, 2012 RANK EXPORTERS VALUE 2012 (ZARbn) % SHARE % GROWTH 2011-2012 1 Saudi Arabia 37.80 21.07% 126.60% 2 China 20.11 11.21% 18.16% 3 Nigeria 17.15 9.56% 75.53% 4 Angola 12.12 6.76% 130.22% 5 India 9.34 5.21% 17.68% 6 Iran (Islamic Republic of) 7.07 3.94% -55.69% 7 United Kingdom 5.43 3.03% -19.15% 8 Netherlands 5.22 2.91% 114.42% 9 Germany 4.90 2.73% 9.87% 10 United Arab Emirates 4.69 2.61% 6.59% TOTAL IMPORTS 179.42 100% 27.85%
- 15. RANK TOP 10 EXPORTS VALUE 2013 (ZARbn) % GROWTH 2012-2013 1 Oils petroleum, bituminous, distillates, except crude 8.39 -5.32 2 Grape wines(including fortified), alcoholic grape must 7.80 33.26 3 Citrus fruit, fresh or dried 6.58 22.70 4 Apples, pears and quinces, fresh 5.59 53.52 5 Grapes, fresh or dried 4.02 22.27 6 Hot-rolled products, iron/steel, width>600mm, not clad 3.11 7.47 7 Liquid, gas centrifuges, filtering, purifying machines 2.01 -6.23 8 Maize (corn) 1.83 44801.31 9 Fruit, nut, edible plant parts nes, prepared/preserved 1.60 16.90 10 Liqueur, spirits and undenatured ethyl alcohol <80% 1.28 66.28 TOTAL EXPORTS 74.87 16.06 Western Cape export and import products An inspiring place to do business RANK TOP 10 IMPORTS VALUE 2013 (ZARbn) % GROWTH 2012-2013 1 Petroleum oils, oils from bituminous minerals, crude 66.39 -16.76 2 Oils petroleum, bituminous, distillates, except crude 33.36 9.42 3 Diodes, transistors, semi-conductors, etc 3.69 1948.99 4 Liqueur, spirits and undenatured ethyl alcohol <80% 2.83 38.63 5 Prepared or preserved fish, fish eggs, caviar 1.67 9.60 6 Medicaments, therapeutic, prophylactic use, in dosage 1.67 73.87 7 Footwear nes, with outer sole, upper rubber or plastic 1.35 -0.98 8 Footwear with uppers of textile materials 1.27 9.51 9 Electric generating sets and rotary converters 1.07 3550.16 10 Machines nes having individual functions 1.03 -3.16 TOTAL IMPORTS 186.57 3.99 Source: Quantec, 2013
- 16. Western Cape Exports by Region, 2011 An inspiring place to do business Africa (ZAR11.24bn) Americas (ZAR4.42bn) Asia (ZAR12.52bn) Europe ( ZAR22.12bn) Oceana (ZAR1.12bn) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% ShareofWCExports(%) % Growth 2012 - 2013 Africa Americas Asia Europe Oceania
- 17. Western Cape Exports by Region, 2012 An inspiring place to do business Africa (ZAR14.14bn) America (ZAR5.45bn) Asia (ZAR17.39bn) Europe (ZAR23.18bn) Oceana (ZAR1.29bn) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% ShareofWCExports(%) % Growth 2011 - 2012 Africa Americas Asia Europe Oceania
- 18. Western Cape Exports by Region, 2013 An inspiring place to do business Africa (ZAR18.95bn) Americas (ZAR5.98bn) Asia (ZAR18.15bn) Europe (ZAR27.83bn) Oceana (ZAR1.41bn) 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% ShareofWCExports(%) % Growth 2012 - 2013 Africa Americas Asia Europe Oceania
- 19. Western Cape Imports by Region, 2013 An inspiring place to do business Africa (ZAR30.84bn) America (ZAR9.93bn) Asia (ZAR107.24bn) Europe (ZAR37.62bn) Oceana (ZAR0.86bn) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% ShareofWCimports(%) % Growth 2013 -2012 Africa Americas Asia Europe Oceania
- 20. Western Cape Output & Exports By Sector, 2011 An inspiring place to do business Food, beverage s and tobacco Petroleu m products, chemicals , rubber and plastic Agricultur e, forestry and fishing Metals, metal products, machiner y and equipmen t Transport equipmen t Wood, paper, publishing and printing Furniture and other manufact uring Textiles, clothing and leather goods Other non-metal mineral products Electrical machiner y and apparatus Radio, TV, instrumen ts, watches and clocks Mining and quarrying Output (ZARm) 42,969 34,431 22,733 20,776 14,780 14,644 10,292 9,689 4,658 3,655 2,191 704 Export (ZARm) 14,287 9,824 15,540 6,168 2,086 549 1,928 682 158 302 1,181 1,157 Export % 33.25% 28.53% 68.36% 29.69% 14.11% 3.75% 18.74% 7.04% 3.39% 8.27% 53.93% 164.45% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 Export(%) Value(ZARm)
- 21. FDI flows into the Western Cape An inspiring place to do business 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Capex (ZARbn) 3.7 15.1 2.9 2.4 1.7 8.2 5.7 9.7 5.7 5.6 3.9 Projects 10 8 13 12 10 14 22 28 23 28 24 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 NumberofProjects Value(ZARbn) WESTERN CAPE FDI FLOWS, 2003-2013 Source: FDI Intelligence, 2014
- 22. Breakdown of FDI into the Western Cape An inspiring place to do business Business Services Software & IT services Financial Services Communic ations Transportat ion Chemicals Alternative/ Renewable energy Coal, Oil and Natural Gas Consumer Products Hotels & Tourism % Projects 17.71% 17.71% 7.81% 6.77% 5.73% 3.65% 3.65% 3.13% 3.13% 3.13% % Capex 3.28% 4.43% 2.37% 14.42% 4.01% 0.75% 13.65% 23.18% 2.12% 6.36% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% %Share BREAKDOWN OF FDI BY SECTOR, 2003-2013 Source: FDI Intelligence, 2014
- 23. Top sources of FDI into the Western Cape An inspiring place to do business UK United States Netherland s Germany France Switzerlan d India Canada China UAE % Projects 25.52% 23.44% 7.81% 6.77% 5.21% 3.13% 2.60% 2.08% 2.08% 2.08% % Capex 15.27% 19.73% 5.52% 6.53% 5.80% 0.90% 1.74% 0.92% 0.77% 1.15% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% %Share BREAKDOWN OF FDI BY SOURCE MARKET, 2003-2013 Source: FDI Intelligence, 2014
- 24. France and Western Cape An inspiring place to do business
- 25. Western Cape Trade with France, 2003-2012 An inspiring place to do business 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Exports (ZARm) 804.2 1001.9 1200.3 1156.6 1412.3 2121.8 1372.1 1562.1 1020.4 921.7 Imports(ZARm) 1188.7 1273.4 1215.5 1476.7 1886.6 2665.2 2339.2 1918.4 2703.9 1932.0 Trade Balance (ZARm) -384.5 -271.5 -15.2 -320.2 -474.3 -543.4 -967.2 -356.3 -1683.6 -1010.3 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 Value(ZARm)
- 26. RANK TOP 10 EXPORTS VALUE 2012 (ZARm) % GROWTH 2011-2012 1 Measuring or checking instruments 108.5 9642.54% 2 Grape wines(including fortified), alcoholic grape must 95.3 21.26% 3 Citrus fruit, fresh or dried 72.9 67.33% 4 Fish fillets, fish meat, mince except liver, roe 67.3 -24.38% 5 Apples, pears and quinces, fresh 65.7 25.64% 6 Liqueur, spirits and undenatured ethyl alcohol <80% 64.1 297.61% 7 Diodes, transistors, semi-conductors, etc 60.8 -85.57% 8 Parts for radio, tv transmission, receive equipment 40.5 114.07% 9 Yachts, pleasure, sports vessels, rowing boats, canoes 39.6 2598.87% 10 Grapes, fresh or dried 37.3 13.95% TOTAL EXPORTS 921.7 -9.66% Western Cape exports and imports with France, 2012 An inspiring place to do business RANK TOP 10 IMPORTS VALUE 2012 (ZARm) % GROWTH 2011-2012 1 Wooden casks, barrels, vats, tubs, 134.8 7.69% 2 Aircraft, spacecraft, satellites 123.4 - 3 Blood, antisera, vaccines, toxins and cultures 101.2 20214.91% 4 Oils petroleum, bituminous, distillates, except crude 81.5 -92.85% 5 Perfumes and toilet waters 71.6 22.08% 6 Stoppers, caps, lids, crown corks, etc off base metal 63.0 -1.91% 7 Tobacco, tobacco substitute products nes 58.7 75.74% 8 Gasoline and oil additives 45.0 -42.35% 9 Refrigerators, freezers and heat pumps nes 44.8 21.83% 10 Acrylic polymers in primary forms 43.7 -3.53% TOTAL IMPORTS 1 932.0 -28.55% Source: Quantec, 2013
- 27. FDI From France to the Western Cape, 2003-2013 An inspiring place to do business FDI FROM FRANCE TO THE WESTERN CAPE, 2003 – JUNE 2013 PROJECT DATE INVESTING COMPANY DESTINATION CITY INDUSTRY SECTOR SUB-SECTOR INDUSTRY ACTIVITY CAPEX (ZARm) Sep-10 Concentrix Solar Not Specified Alternative/Renewable energy Solar electric power Electricity 2666.6 Sep-10 Concentrix Solar Not Specified Alternative/Renewable energy Solar electric power Electricity 2666.6 Mar-10 Tenesol Cape Town Electronic Components All other electrical equipment & components Manufacturing 98.4 Nov-09 Teleperformance Cape Town Business Services Business support services Customer Contact Centre 38.0 Nov-09 Teleperformance Cape Town Business Services Business support services Customer Contact Centre 38.0 Sep-09 AD Software Cape Town Software & IT services Software publishers, except video games Sales, Marketing & Support 63.6 Jun-09 Trusted Logic Cape Town Software & IT services Software publishers, except video games Sales, Marketing & Support 63.6 Mar-09 Solaire Direct Cape Town Electronic Components All other electrical equipment & components Manufacturing 58.7 Jan-09 Diana Group (Groupe Diana) Cape Town Chemicals Paints, coatings, additives & adhesives Sales, Marketing & Support 66.1 Total 5759.8
- 28. Thank you | Dankie | Enkosi
Notas do Editor
- Newcomers in the top 10: Japan, Kenya and China (China was there in 2011) Japan: Maize [zero in 2012 to ZAR1.5bn in 2013] Kenya: Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, coils of a width of 600 mm or more, less than 3mm [98% increase from 2012] China: copper or copper alloy/waste or scrap, high growth in sheep and lamb skins [zero in 2012 to ZAR199m in 2013] and iron ore Singapore still an interesting player: Blends of complex petroleum hydrocarbons for use as plasticisers in the manufacture of pneumatic tyres
- 2012 Malaysia: Blends of complex petroleum hydrocarbons for use as plasticisers in the manufacture of pneumatic tyres [zero to ZAR1.5bn from 2011 to 2012] UAE: due to increase in Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, coils of a width of 600 mm or more, less than 3mm and pears [both from zero in 2011 to over ZAR100m in 2012]
- New players from 2012 import markets Singapore: refined petroleum imports increased by 82% to ZAR7.2bn Italy: diodes and motor vehicles US: part for use in lifting and moving machines gerw by 180%
- Speaker notes: FDI into the Western Cape has been steadily increasing in terms of the number of projects, however there has been volatility in the value of investments. Since 2008 there has been strong increase in the value of investments, only slightly decreasing in 2010 to 2013, while the number of investments continued to increase only slightly decreasing in 2011 and 2013.
- In terms of number of projects, the services sector (Business Services, Software and IT Services, Financial Services and Communications) attracted the highest numbers of projects. The sectors that attracted the highest level of capital value of FDI projects are coal, oil and gas; alternative/renewable energy, communications and hotels and tourism. Miscellaneous business, professional, and technical services covers the following services: Legal, accounting, management consulting, and public relations servicesAdvertising and market research servicesResearch and development servicesArchitectural, engineering and other technical servicesAgricultural, mining, and on-site processing services Other services transactions between residents and non-residents cover items such as placement of personnel, security and investigative services; translation and interpretation; photographic services; building cleaning, etc. Also included are payments for local supplies, utility payments, etc. by non-resident enterprises engaged in construction services.
- Top sources of FDI by number of projects – UK and US Top sources of FDI by value of investment – US, UK, Netherlands, Germany. Asian markets among top 10 source markets for FDI into Western Cape: India, China and UAE
- Top sources of FDI by number of projects – UK and US Top sources of FDI by value of investment – US, UK, Netherlands, Germany. Asian markets among top 10 source markets for FDI into Western Cape: India, China and UAE
- Diodes: Photosensitive/photovoltaic/LED semic