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Three Disruptive Leadership Opportunities  for Washington State to “Live in the Future” Keynote Talk Washington Innovation Summit:  New Decade, New Partnerships, New Solutions  Microsoft Executive Conference Center Redmond, Washington March 18, 2011 Dr. Larry Smarr Director, California Institute for Telecommunications and Information Technology Harry E. Gruber Professor,  Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering Jacobs School of Engineering, UCSD Follow me on Twitter: lsmarr
Three Disruptive Leadership Opportunities  for Washington State ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Globally Fiber to the Premise is Growing Rapidly,  Mostly in Asia Source: Heavy Reading (www.heavyreading.com), the market research division of Light Reading (www.lightreading.com). FTTP Connections Growing at ~30%/year 130 Million Households with FTTH  in 2013 If Couch Potatoes Deserve  a Gigabit Fiber, Why Not University  Data-Intensive Researchers?
UCSD Campus Investment in Fiber Enables Consolidation of Energy Efficient Computing & Storage Source:  Philip Papadopoulos, SDSC, UCSD OptIPortal Tiled Display Wall Campus Lab Cluster Digital Data Collections N x 10Gb/s Triton – Petascale  Data Analysis Gordon – HPD System Cluster Condo WAN 10Gb:  CENIC, NLR, I2 Scientific  Instruments DataOasis  (Central) Storage GreenLight Data Center
OptIPuter Persistent Infrastructure Enables Calit2 and U Washington Collaboratory  Ginger Armbrust’s Diatoms: Micrographs, Chromosomes, Genetic Assembly Photo Credit: Alan Decker Feb. 29, 2008 iHDTV: 1500 Mbits/sec Calit2 to UW Research Channel Over NLR
University of Washington is Poised to Drive  Fiber to the Lab and to the Home for State
Atmospheric CO 2  Levels for Last 800,000 Years and Several Projections for the 21 st  Century  Source: U.S. Global Change Research Program Report (2009) Graph from:  www.globalchange.gov/publications/reports/scientific-assessments /us-impacts/download-the-report 2100 No Emission Controls--MIT Study 2100 Shell Blueprints Scenario  2100 Ramanathan and Xu and IEA Blue Scenario 2100 Post-Copenhagen Agreements-MIT Model
Transition to Low Carbon Infrastructure: Race for Low-Carbon Industries is New Driver "If we stick to a 20 per cent cut, Europe is likely to lose the race to compete in the low-carbon world to countries such as China, Japan or the US - all of which are looking to create a more attractive environment for low-carbon investment,“ --British, French, and German Climate and Environmental Ministers Previous Goal—By 2020, 20% Cut Below 1990 Levels Source: Sydney Morning News
A Business Plan for America’s Energy Future www.americanenergyinnovation.org OUR RECOMMENDATIONS  Create an independent national energy strategy board. Invest $16 billion per year in clean energy innovation. Create Centers of Excellence with strong domain expertise. Fund ARPA-E at $1 billion per year. Establish and fund a New Energy Challenge Program  to build large-scale pilot projects.
Washington State Can Lead the Switch  from High Carbon Electricity to Renewables The nation's fleet of over 100 coal plants is responsible for  57 % of the electricity generated in the U.S.
Countries, States, and Cities are Beginning  to Conceive of a New Low Carbon Future
ICT is a Key Sector  in the Fight Against Climate Change Applications  of ICT  could enable emissions reductions  of 7.8 Gt CO 2 e in 2020,  or  15%  of business as usual emissions.  But it must keep its own growing footprint in check  and overcome a number of hurdles  if it expects to deliver on this potential. www.smart2020.org
Making University Campuses  Living Laboratories for the Greener Future www.educause.edu/EDUCAUSE+Review/EDUCAUSEReviewMagazineVolume44/CampusesasLivingLaboratoriesfo/185217
The GreenLight Project:  Instrumenting  the Energy Cost  of Computational Science ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Tom DeFanti, Calit2; GreenLight PI
I am the Future Digital Health Consumer:  Measuring the State of Your Body and “Tuning” It www.xconomy.com/san-diego/2010/05/12/how-internet-pioneer-larry-smarr-lost-20-pounds-by-becoming-a-quantified-self/ 2000 2010 I Arrived from 20 Years in the Midwest in 2000 and Decided to Move Against the Obesity Trend Age 52 Age 62
Nine Years Later I Am Recording My Metabolic Self 25 Week Average:  2473 Calories Burned/Day  1:19 hr Physical Activity/Day (>3 METs) 6887 Steps/Day (~3.4 Miles) 25 Week Ave:  6:51 hrs with 81% Efficiency www.bodymedia.com Elliptical Gardening Up and Down House Steps Measure Quantity and Quality of Sleep
In Spite of My High Levels of Omega-3s,  Blood Measurements Show Chronic Inflammation hsCRP from  Blood Tests “ Come Back When You Have a Symptom” High Sensitivity Complex Reactive Protein  is the Standard Blood Test for Inflammation hsCRP Should Be <100 Symptom:  Acute Diverticulitis Antibiotics
Where I Believe We are Headed: Predictive, Personalized, Preventive, & Participatory Medicine www.newsweek.com/2009/06/26/a-doctor-s-vision-of-the-future-of-medicine.html Quantify ~2500 Blood Proteins,  50 Each from 50 Organs or Cell Types  from a Single Drop of Blood To Create a Time Series Lee Hood, Director, Institute for Systems Biology, Seattle, WA
You Can Download This Presentation  at lsmarr.calit2.net

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Three Disruptive Leadership Opportunities for Washington State to “Live in the Future”

  • 1. Three Disruptive Leadership Opportunities for Washington State to “Live in the Future” Keynote Talk Washington Innovation Summit: New Decade, New Partnerships, New Solutions Microsoft Executive Conference Center Redmond, Washington March 18, 2011 Dr. Larry Smarr Director, California Institute for Telecommunications and Information Technology Harry E. Gruber Professor, Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering Jacobs School of Engineering, UCSD Follow me on Twitter: lsmarr
  • 2.
  • 3. Globally Fiber to the Premise is Growing Rapidly, Mostly in Asia Source: Heavy Reading (www.heavyreading.com), the market research division of Light Reading (www.lightreading.com). FTTP Connections Growing at ~30%/year 130 Million Households with FTTH in 2013 If Couch Potatoes Deserve a Gigabit Fiber, Why Not University Data-Intensive Researchers?
  • 4. UCSD Campus Investment in Fiber Enables Consolidation of Energy Efficient Computing & Storage Source: Philip Papadopoulos, SDSC, UCSD OptIPortal Tiled Display Wall Campus Lab Cluster Digital Data Collections N x 10Gb/s Triton – Petascale Data Analysis Gordon – HPD System Cluster Condo WAN 10Gb: CENIC, NLR, I2 Scientific Instruments DataOasis (Central) Storage GreenLight Data Center
  • 5. OptIPuter Persistent Infrastructure Enables Calit2 and U Washington Collaboratory Ginger Armbrust’s Diatoms: Micrographs, Chromosomes, Genetic Assembly Photo Credit: Alan Decker Feb. 29, 2008 iHDTV: 1500 Mbits/sec Calit2 to UW Research Channel Over NLR
  • 6. University of Washington is Poised to Drive Fiber to the Lab and to the Home for State
  • 7. Atmospheric CO 2 Levels for Last 800,000 Years and Several Projections for the 21 st Century Source: U.S. Global Change Research Program Report (2009) Graph from: www.globalchange.gov/publications/reports/scientific-assessments /us-impacts/download-the-report 2100 No Emission Controls--MIT Study 2100 Shell Blueprints Scenario 2100 Ramanathan and Xu and IEA Blue Scenario 2100 Post-Copenhagen Agreements-MIT Model
  • 8. Transition to Low Carbon Infrastructure: Race for Low-Carbon Industries is New Driver &quot;If we stick to a 20 per cent cut, Europe is likely to lose the race to compete in the low-carbon world to countries such as China, Japan or the US - all of which are looking to create a more attractive environment for low-carbon investment,“ --British, French, and German Climate and Environmental Ministers Previous Goal—By 2020, 20% Cut Below 1990 Levels Source: Sydney Morning News
  • 9. A Business Plan for America’s Energy Future www.americanenergyinnovation.org OUR RECOMMENDATIONS Create an independent national energy strategy board. Invest $16 billion per year in clean energy innovation. Create Centers of Excellence with strong domain expertise. Fund ARPA-E at $1 billion per year. Establish and fund a New Energy Challenge Program to build large-scale pilot projects.
  • 10. Washington State Can Lead the Switch from High Carbon Electricity to Renewables The nation's fleet of over 100 coal plants is responsible for 57 % of the electricity generated in the U.S.
  • 11. Countries, States, and Cities are Beginning to Conceive of a New Low Carbon Future
  • 12. ICT is a Key Sector in the Fight Against Climate Change Applications of ICT could enable emissions reductions of 7.8 Gt CO 2 e in 2020, or 15% of business as usual emissions. But it must keep its own growing footprint in check and overcome a number of hurdles if it expects to deliver on this potential. www.smart2020.org
  • 13. Making University Campuses Living Laboratories for the Greener Future www.educause.edu/EDUCAUSE+Review/EDUCAUSEReviewMagazineVolume44/CampusesasLivingLaboratoriesfo/185217
  • 14.
  • 15. I am the Future Digital Health Consumer: Measuring the State of Your Body and “Tuning” It www.xconomy.com/san-diego/2010/05/12/how-internet-pioneer-larry-smarr-lost-20-pounds-by-becoming-a-quantified-self/ 2000 2010 I Arrived from 20 Years in the Midwest in 2000 and Decided to Move Against the Obesity Trend Age 52 Age 62
  • 16. Nine Years Later I Am Recording My Metabolic Self 25 Week Average: 2473 Calories Burned/Day 1:19 hr Physical Activity/Day (>3 METs) 6887 Steps/Day (~3.4 Miles) 25 Week Ave: 6:51 hrs with 81% Efficiency www.bodymedia.com Elliptical Gardening Up and Down House Steps Measure Quantity and Quality of Sleep
  • 17. In Spite of My High Levels of Omega-3s, Blood Measurements Show Chronic Inflammation hsCRP from Blood Tests “ Come Back When You Have a Symptom” High Sensitivity Complex Reactive Protein is the Standard Blood Test for Inflammation hsCRP Should Be <100 Symptom: Acute Diverticulitis Antibiotics
  • 18. Where I Believe We are Headed: Predictive, Personalized, Preventive, & Participatory Medicine www.newsweek.com/2009/06/26/a-doctor-s-vision-of-the-future-of-medicine.html Quantify ~2500 Blood Proteins, 50 Each from 50 Organs or Cell Types from a Single Drop of Blood To Create a Time Series Lee Hood, Director, Institute for Systems Biology, Seattle, WA
  • 19. You Can Download This Presentation at lsmarr.calit2.net