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Responding to your environment
Operational Intelligence
01 October 2015 | BIG DATA Expo Utrecht
UREASON
A Dutch company based in Delft founded in 2001
Main offices in the Netherlands and the UK (Maidenhead)
A provider of a expert systems with a.o. machine learning
capabilities
Data scientists specialized in increasing operational intelligence
Strong company DNA in expert systems and industrial
automation
© UREASON3
Customers
Customers in Europe, North America and the Middle East
Industries: Oil & Gas, Petrochemical, Chemical, Traffic, Energy,
Telecom and Utilities
Some Examples:
Sabic, Imtech, Halliburton, Siemens Power Generation, Vestolit,
Shell Global Solutions/NAM, BASF, BP, Shell, KPE, OMV, SAFCO,
Siemens Oil & Gas, LyondellBasell, Total E&P, Anglian Water,
Tronox, Fluxys, Isover, Maersk, EMMI, SIAAP, Clough Amec,
Cameron, ThamesWater, Telia, …
From Data Science to Solution Development
© UREASON4
What is Operational Intelligence?
Operational Intelligence: A category of real-time dynamic, business analytics that delivers visibility and insight into data, streaming
events and business operations (Wikipedia).
Predictive Analytics enables Operational Intelligence ….
Predictive Analytics: A variety of statistical techniques from modelling, machine learning, and data mining that analyse current and
historical facts to make predictions about future, or otherwise unknown, events. I.e. a set of techniques to extract a model from data
to understand what will happen.
© UREASON5
Low High
Business Values & Complexity
Value of Operational Intelligence?
© UREASON6
1869–CharlesJosepMinard
Analytics … Analytics … Analytics
© UREASON7
Descriptive & Diagnostic Analytics Predictive & Prescriptive Analytics
Objective
Understand the Past
Observe Trends
Catalyst for Discussions
Gain Insights
Make Decisions
Take Actions
View Historical & Current Future Oriented
Metrics Lagging Indicators Leading Indicators
Users
Middle & Senior Management
Analysts & End Users
C-Level & Senior Management
Strategists, Analysts, Managers
Descriptive Analytics: Using data to find out what has happened
Diagnostic Analytics: Using data to find out why it happened
Predictive Analytics: Using data to find out what could happen
Presriptive Analytics: Using data to prescribe the best course of action for the future optimization
Data .. Data, Data .. Leading to more Insights
"Data is the new oil!" Clive Humby, ANA Senior marketer’s summit, Kellogg School.
Data Vs
- Volume – Scale of data: Every 2 days we create as much data as we generated up to
2003
- Velocity – Speed of data
- Variety – Different forms of data: structured, unstructured, semi structured, complex
structured data
- Variability – Data constantly changes
- Veracity – Uncertainty of data: data needs to be assessed if quality is good
© UREASON8
IBM 2012
Not Without Knowledge !
Data is just like crude. It’s valuable,
but if unrefined it cannot really be
used. It has to be changed into gas,
plastic, chemicals, etc. to create a
valuable entity that drives profitable
activity; so must data be broken
down, analysed for it to have value
(Michael Palmer).
© UREASON9
Knowledge
Design
Operational
Custom Knowledge
New Knowledge
Knowledge Engineering
Knowledge Discovery
Deterministic approach
Elicitation
- Retrospective
- Interviews
Machine Learning
Qualitative reasoning
Rule discovery
Patterns & Correlation discovery
1
2
Expertise
Typical Approach – Predictive Analytics Programs
© UREASON10
5
Updates &
Tuning (3)
4
Model
Deployment
3C
Model
Validation
3B
Model
Training
3A
Feature
Selection
2B
Data
Preparation
2A
Data
Understanding
1
Business
Understanding
Heavy end-user involvement
Knowledge Intensive Heavy end-user involvement
Data Collection Data Science
Process: ~ 3 - 5 Weeks – Feasible YES/NO
Based on results of the POC and business adoption possible rollout plan can be established
(3) Loopback to improve deployed models
Requirements - Ingredients
Streaming data/events
Historical data
Classified (known) issues
Understanding of the context in
which the data/events can be used
Tooling & Data Scientists 
UREASON & USE
© UREASON11
U.S.E. – Swiss Army Knife for Operational Intelligence
Data: Real-time: OPC DA, RDBMS, WITSML; Historical:
RDBMS/Files/Replay WITSML
Dimension Reduction: PCA and SAX parsing and clustering methods
such as DBScan
Model: Soft Class Model , Connectivity & Containment ship, full CRUD
access
Machine Learning: Supervised Neural Networks, Unsupervised Neural
Networks, Symbolic Anomaly Detection (unsupervised), Multivariate
Symbolic Anomaly Detection (unsupervised), SVM (supervised)
Rules: Diagnostic Rules, Control Flow, Reusable Rule Blocks, Event Fault
Trees, RT FFT, Bow-Tie Models, Decision Support Agents, Fuzzy
Reasoning, Topology Reasoning, etc.
Results: WYSIWYG UI: Data Displays, Real-Time Trends, Alarm & Event
Browser, SOP in Event etc. Instant web-dashboards – no programming
Deployment: High Availability support, data & event replication,
public/private modules, remote deployment and updates.
© UREASON12
Predictive Analytics - Examples
Provide Insight .. reducing risks and/or cost
© UREASON13
Industry Application area Techniques Results
Power generation Outage prevention Expert & Fuzzy rules Cost reduction
Chemical Gas leak detection Expert rules, neural
networks
24/7 monitoring, increased
safety
Drinking water Pollution assessment Rules, Topology and
Probabilistic Risk models
Pollution spread and risk
Oil & Gas ESP failure prediction Pattern analysis Early insights
Power generation Theft detection Anomaly detection Indication
Insurance Loyalty SVM and deterministic
rules
Early tipping risk
identification
Contact
UREASON International BV
Drie Akersstraat 11
2611 JR, Delft
The Netherlands
Telephone:
General: +31 85 273 49 20
Fax: +31 85 273 49 29
Email:
General: info@ureason.com
Support: support@ureason.com
© UREASON14

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Big Data Expo 2015 - Ureason

  • 1. Responding to your environment
  • 2. Operational Intelligence 01 October 2015 | BIG DATA Expo Utrecht
  • 3. UREASON A Dutch company based in Delft founded in 2001 Main offices in the Netherlands and the UK (Maidenhead) A provider of a expert systems with a.o. machine learning capabilities Data scientists specialized in increasing operational intelligence Strong company DNA in expert systems and industrial automation © UREASON3
  • 4. Customers Customers in Europe, North America and the Middle East Industries: Oil & Gas, Petrochemical, Chemical, Traffic, Energy, Telecom and Utilities Some Examples: Sabic, Imtech, Halliburton, Siemens Power Generation, Vestolit, Shell Global Solutions/NAM, BASF, BP, Shell, KPE, OMV, SAFCO, Siemens Oil & Gas, LyondellBasell, Total E&P, Anglian Water, Tronox, Fluxys, Isover, Maersk, EMMI, SIAAP, Clough Amec, Cameron, ThamesWater, Telia, … From Data Science to Solution Development © UREASON4
  • 5. What is Operational Intelligence? Operational Intelligence: A category of real-time dynamic, business analytics that delivers visibility and insight into data, streaming events and business operations (Wikipedia). Predictive Analytics enables Operational Intelligence …. Predictive Analytics: A variety of statistical techniques from modelling, machine learning, and data mining that analyse current and historical facts to make predictions about future, or otherwise unknown, events. I.e. a set of techniques to extract a model from data to understand what will happen. © UREASON5 Low High Business Values & Complexity
  • 6. Value of Operational Intelligence? © UREASON6 1869–CharlesJosepMinard
  • 7. Analytics … Analytics … Analytics © UREASON7 Descriptive & Diagnostic Analytics Predictive & Prescriptive Analytics Objective Understand the Past Observe Trends Catalyst for Discussions Gain Insights Make Decisions Take Actions View Historical & Current Future Oriented Metrics Lagging Indicators Leading Indicators Users Middle & Senior Management Analysts & End Users C-Level & Senior Management Strategists, Analysts, Managers Descriptive Analytics: Using data to find out what has happened Diagnostic Analytics: Using data to find out why it happened Predictive Analytics: Using data to find out what could happen Presriptive Analytics: Using data to prescribe the best course of action for the future optimization
  • 8. Data .. Data, Data .. Leading to more Insights "Data is the new oil!" Clive Humby, ANA Senior marketer’s summit, Kellogg School. Data Vs - Volume – Scale of data: Every 2 days we create as much data as we generated up to 2003 - Velocity – Speed of data - Variety – Different forms of data: structured, unstructured, semi structured, complex structured data - Variability – Data constantly changes - Veracity – Uncertainty of data: data needs to be assessed if quality is good © UREASON8 IBM 2012
  • 9. Not Without Knowledge ! Data is just like crude. It’s valuable, but if unrefined it cannot really be used. It has to be changed into gas, plastic, chemicals, etc. to create a valuable entity that drives profitable activity; so must data be broken down, analysed for it to have value (Michael Palmer). © UREASON9 Knowledge Design Operational Custom Knowledge New Knowledge Knowledge Engineering Knowledge Discovery Deterministic approach Elicitation - Retrospective - Interviews Machine Learning Qualitative reasoning Rule discovery Patterns & Correlation discovery 1 2 Expertise
  • 10. Typical Approach – Predictive Analytics Programs © UREASON10 5 Updates & Tuning (3) 4 Model Deployment 3C Model Validation 3B Model Training 3A Feature Selection 2B Data Preparation 2A Data Understanding 1 Business Understanding Heavy end-user involvement Knowledge Intensive Heavy end-user involvement Data Collection Data Science Process: ~ 3 - 5 Weeks – Feasible YES/NO Based on results of the POC and business adoption possible rollout plan can be established (3) Loopback to improve deployed models
  • 11. Requirements - Ingredients Streaming data/events Historical data Classified (known) issues Understanding of the context in which the data/events can be used Tooling & Data Scientists  UREASON & USE © UREASON11
  • 12. U.S.E. – Swiss Army Knife for Operational Intelligence Data: Real-time: OPC DA, RDBMS, WITSML; Historical: RDBMS/Files/Replay WITSML Dimension Reduction: PCA and SAX parsing and clustering methods such as DBScan Model: Soft Class Model , Connectivity & Containment ship, full CRUD access Machine Learning: Supervised Neural Networks, Unsupervised Neural Networks, Symbolic Anomaly Detection (unsupervised), Multivariate Symbolic Anomaly Detection (unsupervised), SVM (supervised) Rules: Diagnostic Rules, Control Flow, Reusable Rule Blocks, Event Fault Trees, RT FFT, Bow-Tie Models, Decision Support Agents, Fuzzy Reasoning, Topology Reasoning, etc. Results: WYSIWYG UI: Data Displays, Real-Time Trends, Alarm & Event Browser, SOP in Event etc. Instant web-dashboards – no programming Deployment: High Availability support, data & event replication, public/private modules, remote deployment and updates. © UREASON12
  • 13. Predictive Analytics - Examples Provide Insight .. reducing risks and/or cost © UREASON13 Industry Application area Techniques Results Power generation Outage prevention Expert & Fuzzy rules Cost reduction Chemical Gas leak detection Expert rules, neural networks 24/7 monitoring, increased safety Drinking water Pollution assessment Rules, Topology and Probabilistic Risk models Pollution spread and risk Oil & Gas ESP failure prediction Pattern analysis Early insights Power generation Theft detection Anomaly detection Indication Insurance Loyalty SVM and deterministic rules Early tipping risk identification
  • 14. Contact UREASON International BV Drie Akersstraat 11 2611 JR, Delft The Netherlands Telephone: General: +31 85 273 49 20 Fax: +31 85 273 49 29 Email: General: info@ureason.com Support: support@ureason.com © UREASON14