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A quick look at
the economy
Overview of the economy
 Economic growth - barely acceptable

 Employment growing, but should be faster
 Inflation remains moderate
 Washington politics creating unneeded uncertainty
and disruption for an already struggling economy
 Federal Reserve is still waiting for fiscal policy to
show up to the party, leaving the punchbowl out
 SF housing continues to recover from a low level
 MF housing largely recovered, but still room to grow

 Lenders slowly loosening lending standards
Risks to the
economy
Risks to the economy
 The federal budget/shutdown

 The federal debt ceiling
 Sharp cuts to federal government spending in the
near term resulting from an agreement on the
budget or debt ceiling
 Europe
 European government debt default
 The euro
 Energy (oil) prices

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Quick look at the US economy

  • 1.
  • 2. A quick look at the economy
  • 3. Overview of the economy  Economic growth - barely acceptable  Employment growing, but should be faster  Inflation remains moderate  Washington politics creating unneeded uncertainty and disruption for an already struggling economy  Federal Reserve is still waiting for fiscal policy to show up to the party, leaving the punchbowl out  SF housing continues to recover from a low level  MF housing largely recovered, but still room to grow  Lenders slowly loosening lending standards
  • 5. Risks to the economy  The federal budget/shutdown  The federal debt ceiling  Sharp cuts to federal government spending in the near term resulting from an agreement on the budget or debt ceiling  Europe  European government debt default  The euro  Energy (oil) prices